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Start and sit hitters for Week 1

Senior Fantasy Writer
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In more recent iterations of what I'll call the "weekly hitting advice column" (because it's undergone several name changes over the years), I went so far as to rank every player at every position every week. And it was glorious.

But it was also a backbreaker -- a monster undertaking that imposed itself on every other task I set out to accomplish in a given week.

Those tasks are ever-evolving. In case you haven't noticed, CBSSports.com Fantasy News has become increasingly versatile over the last few years with daily podcasts, daily video call-in shows and a growing Twitter presence. Last year, we introduced rest-of-season rankings, and this year, we've added a blog. The goal is clear: to provide Fantasy advice on as many subjects as possible in as many forms as possible as efficiently as possible.

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To put it bluntly, I can no longer justify spending one-third of my office time on something as simple as weekly hitting advice -- at least not in written form.

And that's not coming from me.

So this season, I've been tasked with stripping down last year's version of the weekly hitting advice column to its most essential parts -- the real decision points for those few Fantasy owners who have legitimate decisions to make.

Because let's face it: Baseball is a big-picture sport. Attempting to predict hitter performances from week to week is mostly fruitless and borderline crazy. Players fluctuate between hot and cold without warning, independently of matchups, all season long.

What this column should aim to do -- and if it hasn't in the past, then the extra time I put into it was actually counterproductive -- is give you a sense of direction if you've become totally lost at a position, usually because of injury or the outright collapse of the player you drafted to start there. Rarely will reading it inspire you to make a lineup change, but that should have always been the case. The winning approach to Fantasy Baseball is to start your best players and trust them to perform as they should. And if you ever lose sight of who your best players are, that's what the rest-of-season rankings are for.

All this new version is lacking is the minutia that was probably just distracting you from the big picture anyway. The same research goes into it as the old version. It's just streamlined now. Simplicity and clarity are the goals, with an emphasis on clarity. Again, all the information in the world won't help you if you don't know what to do with it.

So here's how it works. At each position, I list the players who are "too obvious" for the upcoming week. Basically, they supersede whatever else I have to say about the position. In most leagues, that means you're automatically starting them. For shallower ones where you have to choose between a couple, I've gone ahead and ranked them. With those players accounted for, I then suggest a start and a sit for the upcoming week and make my case for each, revealing two or three "instead of" examples to provide additional context.

Altogether, I touch on about 20 players at each position. More than that in the outfield, actually. No, it's not every player, but it's all you should need to feel confident you've put your best foot forward.

All stats are updated through Thursday, March 27.

Catcher

Too obvious: Joe Mauer, Buster Posey, Carlos Santana, Yadier Molina, Jonathan Lucroy, Wilin Rosario, Brian McCann, Matt Wieters, Salvador Perez, Evan Gattis

Start: Miguel Montero, Diamondbacks
Various injuries have contributed to Montero developing a reputation as a slow starter over the last few years, but he was healthy this spring, plays for one of the eight teams with seven games this week and closes out the week at Coors Field, where he's a career .295 hitter with an .872 OPS, his best numbers at any stadium where he's gotten at least 100 at-bats. If you somehow dropped the ball at catcher, deep as the position is, he's a worthy gamble this week.
Instead of: Jarrod Saltalamacchia, A.J. Pierzynski, Russell Martin

Sit: Travis d'Arnaud, Mets
His prospect status has earned d'Arnaud a roster spot in just about all leagues, but he's been completely overmatched against major-leaguers so far. His spring performance hasn't helped. Through Thursday, he was batting just .159 (7 for 44). It's probably just a matter of time before he lives up to his pedigree, so you wouldn't want to cut him for a short-term fix, but you shouldn't expect any breakthroughs in a week he's facing Stephen Strasburg, Gio Gonzalez, Jordan Zimmermann and Johnny Cueto.
Instead of: Jason Castro, Mike Zunino, Montero

First base

Five Best Hitting Schedules
Team Schedule
1. Marlins COL4, SD3
2. Rays TOR4, TEX3
3. Rockies @MIA4, ARI3
4. White Sox MIN3, @KC3
5. Yankees @HOU3, @TOR3

Too obvious: Paul Goldschmidt, Joey Votto, Edwin Encarnacion, Chris Davis, Prince Fielder, Freddie Freeman, Albert Pujols, Eric Hosmer, Buster Posey, Allen Craig, Carlos Santana, Adrian Gonzalez, Mark Trumbo, Anthony Rizzo, Matt Adams, Jose Abreu

Start: Brandon Moss, Athletics
Whether or not Moss sits against lefties this season is irrelevant this week, with six righties on the schedule. And considering the one lefty is somebody named Roenis Elias, he might just end up starting all seven games. A 30-homer guy for the first time last year, Moss compiled a .904 OPS against righties and hit two-thirds of his homers on the road, where the Athletics play all seven of their games this week.
Instead of: Mike Napoli, Nick Swisher, Ryan Howard

Sit: Mark Teixeira, Yankees
Even if you assume Teixeira is as good as new coming off wrist surgery, which his .091 spring batting average would hardly suggest, he's a notoriously slow starter. He has a career .238 batting average in April compared to .278 overall. The Yankees may have favorable matchups this week, but he has to prove his competence all over again before you can seriously consider starting him in a mixed league.
Instead of: Brandon Belt, Napoli, Moss

Second base

Too obvious: Robinson Cano, Dustin Pedroia, Jason Kipnis, Matt Carpenter, Ian Kinsler, Martin Prado, Ben Zobrist, Aaron Hill, Jose Altuve, Jedd Gyorko, Brandon Phillips, Daniel Murphy

Start: Kolten Wong, Cardinals
Here's where overemphasizing the week-to-week can get you into trouble. The Cardinals don't have the greatest matchups this week, facing some of the best the Reds and Pirates have to offer, but if you don't have an obvious starter at second base, do you honestly think you'll find a better sleeper than Wong? He has a legitimate prospect pedigree, has hit .375 with a 1.080 OPS this spring and is the latest anointed starter for the organization that brought you Matt Carpenter and Allen Craig the last two years. Keep the faith.
Instead of: Howie Kendrick, Anthony Rendon

Sit: Chase Utley, Phillies
Though still productive overall, Utley has begun to show his age with his struggles against same-handed pitchers. He hit .245 with a .754 OPS vs. lefties last year, and the Phillies face three in their six games this week. That's not exactly a death sentence for him, but he doesn't have any momentum heading into the season, having hit .175 (10 for 57) so far this spring. If you drafted him as part of a tandem with second base being so deep this year, you might want to bench him this week.
Instead of: Jed Lowrie, Brian Dozier

Third base

Too obvious: Miguel Cabrera, David Wright, Adrian Beltre, Evan Longoria, Matt Carpenter, Josh Donaldson, Ryan Zimmerman, Martin Prado, Kyle Seager, Pedro Alvarez

Start: Marcus Semien, White Sox
The White Sox may soon realize they upgraded with the injury to Gordon Beckham. Now is the perfect time to beat everyone to the punch in Fantasy. Semien, who showed Ian Kinsler-like potential in the minors last year, has impressed with a .333 batting average and .903 OPS this spring and should put his best foot forward against pitchers like Ricky Nolasco, Kevin Correia, Phil Hughes, Jeremy Guthrie and Bruce Chen this week. You wouldn't want to drop anyone of value for the versatile infielder -- this pick is too speculative for that -- but if you got burned at third base, he's highly available.
Instead of: Will Middlebrooks, Todd Frazier

Sit: Mike Moustakas, Royals
With the work he put in this offseason, Moustakas offers plenty of reasons to believe he'll finally make good on his potential this year, but he's been so disappointing so far in his major-league career that you shouldn't go out of your way to start him just yet. His strong spring performance isn't enough to earn him the benefit of the doubt in a week he's facing Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, Anibal Sanchez and Chris Sale.
Instead of: Pablo Sandoval, Aramis Ramirez

Shortstop

Five Worst Hitting Schedules
Team Schedule
1. Royals @DET3, CHW3
2. Cardinals @CIN3, @PIT3
3. Mets WAS3, CIN3
4. Rangers PHI3, @TB3
5. Brewers ATL3, @BOS3

Too obvious: Troy Tulowitzki, Hanley Ramirez, Jean Segura, Jose Reyes, Ian Desmond, Ben Zobrist, Elvis Andrus, Everth Cabrera

Start: Brad Miller, Mariners
The Mariners' matchups are nothing special this week, apart from them playing seven games, but I can't pass up what may be my only opportunity to recommend Miller in this space. If the Cactus League had an MVP award, he'd be in line for it. A .334 hitter over his minor-league career, he has hit well over .400 this spring, piling up 14 extra-base hits in 57 at-bats. If he goes the route of Matt Carpenter this year, as his skill set suggests he could, he'll quickly become "too obvious" at the weakest position in Fantasy.
Instead of: Andrelton Simmons, J.J. Hardy, Starlin Castro

Sit: Jhonny Peralta, Cardinals
Peralta is one of those shortstops who you can get away with starting in a mixed league but who you can't expect to give you any kind of advantage at the position. Particularly this week, with pitchers like Johnny Cueto, Tony Cingrani, Homer Bailey, Gerrit Cole and Francisco Liriano on tap, you'll want to weigh your alternatives.
Instead of: Jed Lowrie, Alexei Ramirez, Derek Jeter

Outfield

Too obvious: Mike Trout, Andrew McCutchen, Carlos Gonzalez, Jacoby Ellsbury, Ryan Braun, Adam Jones, Bryce Harper, Jose Bautista, Shin-Soo Choo, Giancarlo Stanton, Carlos Gomez, Matt Holliday, Jay Bruce, Justin Upton, Yasiel Puig, Hunter Pence, Alex Rios, Allen Craig, Mark Trumbo, Jason Heyward, Domonic Brown, Jayson Werth, Wil Myers, Starling Marte, Ben Zobrist, Martin Prado, Shane Victorino, Alex Gordon, Yoenis Cespedes, Carlos Beltran, Josh Hamilton, Curtis Granderson, Alfonso Soriano, Desmond Jennings

Start: Adam Eaton, White Sox
An elbow injury late last spring robbed Eaton of what could have been a breakout season, but so far, he's making the most of his second chance, demonstrating the patient approach, extra-base pop and plus-speed that got everyone so excited in the first place. And considering his first five games are against Ricky Nolasco, Kevin Correia, Phil Hughes, Jeremy Guthrie and Bruce Chen, the start of the regular season doesn't figure to slow him down. You drafted him for his upside. Time to cash in.
Instead of: Michael Cuddyer, Khris Davis, Leonys Martin

Sit: Christian Yelich, Marlins
As a second-year player with a top prospect pedigree, Yelich could be poised for a breakout season, but he won't make a strong case for it this week, with the Marlins at home for seven games. Their expansive ballpark stifled his developing power stroke last season, limiting him to a .256 batting average and .672 OPS there compared to .319 and .862 everywhere else. The Marlins also face four left-handers this week, against whom Yelich hit .165 with a .476 OPS last season.
Instead of: Kole Calhoun, Brett Gardner, Marlon Byrd

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott at @CBSScottWhite . You can also e-mail us at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .

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Player News
Wade Miley surrenders six runs in loss vs. Rockies
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(7:00 pm ET) Diamondbacks pitcher Wade Miley took a loss Sunday, allowing six earned runs on eight hits and four walks in 4 1/3 innings while striking out four in his team's 8-3 defeat against the Rockies.

Miley (8-12) surrendered one run in the second inning and two more in the third before the Rockies pushed three more across in the fifth. It's the second time in three games he hasn't finished five innings, though those two outings are his only non-quality starts in his last eight games. Miley owns a 4.35 ERA and 177:72 K:BB ratio in 196 1/3 innings. He's scheduled to make his last start of the season Saturday against the Cardinals.


Hisashi Iwakuma turns in another subpar start
by Al Melchior | Data Analyst
(6:46 pm ET) Hisashi Iwakuma entered Sunday's game against the Astros looking for his first quality start of September, and he left with his quest unfulfilled. Iwakuma lasted only 4 1/3 innings in the Mariners' 8-3 loss, as he coughed up four runs on six hits and three walks, though he did manage to strike out eight batters.

In his final regular season opportunity to break his slump, Iwakuma will face the Angels on Friday. He heads into that start with a 14-9 record and 3.54 ERA.


Rick Porcello has rare sub-quality start
by Al Melchior | Data Analyst
(6:37 pm ET) Heading into Sunday's game against the Royals, Rick Porcello had notched 21 quality starts in 29 tries, but he fell short in the Tigers' 5-2 loss. Porcello lasted only 3 1/3 innings for his third-shortest start of the season, and he allowed four runs on nine hits and two walks. He also struck out only one batter.

Porcello is slated to make one final start, as he is scheduled to face the Twins on Friday. He will enter that contest with a 15-12 record and a 3.31 ERA.


Corey Kluber matches career strikeout high
by Al Melchior | Data Analyst
(6:10 pm ET) Corey Kluber tied a career-best -- one he set in his previous start -- by striking out 14 Twins in the Indians' 7-2 win on Sunday. After getting 14 Ks against the Astros on Tuesday, Kluber repeated the feat and catapulted himself into the major league lead with 258 strikeouts.

Kluber lasted eight innings, holding the Twins to two runs on seven hits and a walk. He is now 17-9 with a 2.53 ERA. The 28-year-old is now set to make his final appearance of the season on Saturday against the Rays.


Jordan Zimmermann suffers bruised pitching shoulder
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(6:00 pm ET) Nationals starter Jordan Zimmermann suffered a bruised throwing shoulder Saturday when he got hit by a line drive off the bat of Casey McGehee, reports the Washington Post. Zimmermann narrowly avoided being struck in the face.

"It happened so fast, I don't even think my reaction was fast enough to do anything," he said. "It just happened to be that shoulder was in the right spot in the right time."

Zimmermann said his shoulder is sore but he doesn't think it will affect him going forward. It's unclear if he'll make his next scheduled start against the Marlins.


Avisail Garcia clouts a pair of homers
by Al Melchior | Data Analyst
(5:58 pm ET) Avisail Garcia broke out of a minor power drought by homering twice against the Rays on Sunday in a 10-5 win for the White Sox. Both home runs were solo shots off Nathan Karns. Garcia had just two extra base hits -- a home run and a double -- over his previous 14 games.

He finished the game 3 for 5 with two RBI and two runs. Garcia now has seven home runs on the season to go with a .267 batting average.


Jacob deGrom keeps rolling in win over Braves
by Al Melchior | Data Analyst
(5:33 pm ET) For the second game in a row, Jacob deGrom notched a double-digit strikeout total, as he added on to a strong string of starts with a win against the Braves on Sunday. The opponents mustered only two runs (one earned) over deGrom's six innings, as the Mets rolled to a 10-2 victory.

After getting 13 Ks in his last start against the Marlins, deGrom got 10 strikeouts in Sunday's outing. He limited the Braves to three singles and three walks, lifting his record to 9-6 and lowering his ERA to 2.63.

According to ESPN.com, Mets manager Terry Collins has not yet determined whether deGrom will make another start this season. The team has targeted an innings limit for him between 180 and 185, and he has now pitched 178 2/3 innings between the majors and Triple-A. Collins is looking to make a decision later in the week.


Mark Teixeira to see hand surgeon
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:22 pm ET) Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira, held out of Sunday's lineup with a sore right wrist, is headed to see a hand surgeon, reports MLB.com. Teixeira, who's hitting .216 with 21 homers and 58 RBI, might not play again this season.

Joe Kelly thwarts Orioles for fifth win
by Al Melchior | Data Analyst
(5:17 pm ET) Joe Kelly tied his career high of seven innings in a start, as he gained the win in the Red Sox's 3-2 victory over the Orioles on Sunday. Kelly held the Orioles to two runs on three hits and three walks, while striking out five.

Kelly is now 5-4 on the season with a 4.15 ERA. His next -- and final -- start of the season will come on Saturday against the Yankees.


Joey Votto not expected to return this season
by Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com
(5:14 pm ET) Reds first baseman Joey Votto (quad) has taken batting practice for four straight days without any problems, but his return before season's end is considered doubtful, reports the Cincinnati Enquirer. He's been on the disabled list since July 8.

"He's not pain-free," manager Bryan Price said. "He's not 100 percent, and he won't be at any time during the rest of the season. So the question is, Do we want to play him at less than 100 percent? He still hasn't seen any live pitching."

The Reds are out of the race and would like Votto to enter 2015 spring training completely healthy.


 
 
 
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