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By the Numbers: Better late than never?

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We Fantasy owners are an excitable bunch, and nothing gets us more revved up than the major league debut of a highly-touted prospect, as Wednesday's callup of George Springer reminds us.

Some players, like Jose Fernandez, Mike Trout and Bryce Harper, start producing at a high level right away, or at least within a year of their arrival. Others take longer or suffer from inconsistency in their early years (e.g., Justin Upton, Jason Heyward, Yovani Gallardo). And then there are those who get stuck in neutral for so long, we forget they were ever prospects.

Not every great young talent flourishes in the big leagues, but especially for those who may have been rushed through the minors, it can take several seasons to realize their potential. I was probably not alone in writing off Carlos Gomez, Adam Jones, Homer Bailey and Chris Tillman after a few years of struggles, but eventually each one has shown why their arrival was so highly anticipated in the first place. Gomez is probably the most dramatic example of a player who was all but forgotten by Fantasy owners by the time he was 24. That's the age Gomez was when he was dealt by the Twins as a three-year veteran to the Brewers. Then Gomez flailed for two more seasons before breaking out in the latter part of 2012.

So to review, it took Gomez roughly five full seasons before he became a reliable and relevant Fantasy option. He logged a mere 36 games at Triple-A before debuting at age 21, so much of Gomez's development took place at the major league level. The same could be said for Rick Porcello, who was a 20-year-old rookie with the Tigers in 2009, but his breakout didn't come until four years later, when he started to show some potential as a strikeout pitcher just last season.

Gomez's and Porcello's stagnation is old news, but there are plenty of present-day players in a similar situation. This column will focus on six of them -- all players who have debuted since 2007 at the age of 21 or younger, and all have yet to reach the potential suggested by their prospect status. Each also made Baseball America's Top 100 Prospect list at some point during his minor league career. Even so, given the protracted difficulties that each player has faced, none is a high-percentage play, but each is still young enough to be a potential breakout candidate.

Travis Snider, OF, Pirates: Though Snider is off to a good start, he has yet to draw much attention in CBSSports.com leagues, and his long history of disappointing performances likely has something to do with that. His major league career has not been entirely without the power he showed as a prospect; he did hit 14 home runs in 82 games with the Blue Jays in 2010. That's a distant memory, though, and Snider has never produced home run power at a rate close to that since. He also has yet to play more than 111 games in a season.

The potential for a power breakout is still there. In three of the previous five seasons, Snider has posted a home run-to-flyball ratio of at least 12 percent, which is higher than that of Todd Frazier the last two seasons. Snider just needs to hit fewer ground balls, and though his rate has been above 50 percent the last two seasons, it was just 42 percent in 2010 and is currently also 42 percent. While Snider still has to fend off the imminent arrival of prospect Gregory Polanco, he has enough time to establish some value for owners in deeper mixed leagues.

Dayan Viciedo, OF, White Sox: Viciedo turned heads as a 21-year-old in 2010, batting .308 with five home runs in only 106 plate appearances with the White Sox, but he didn't come close to approaching that level of production in his next three seasons. He did spend the bulk of 2011 at Triple-A Charlotte, but the extra time in the minors didn't seem to help him expedite a big league breakout. Viciedo did crank 25 homers in 2012, but he hit just .255, and in 2013, he was not much of a threat in any category.

Viciedo doesn't have the contact skills, the line drive proclivities or speed to be counted on as a .300 hitter, but a .275 average wouldn't be out of the question. He has already proven himself to be capable of hitting 25 home runs, so his appeal isn't all that different from that of Khris Davis, now that Avisail Garcia's shoulder injury has opened the door to regular playing time. Viciedo probably won't walk as often as Davis, but his breakout potential is just as great, as he is actually a year younger.

Daric Barton, 1B, Athletics: It's been three years since Barton was an everyday player, so it's hard to remember why he was once considered a top prospect. You have to go back to 2010 to see the promise that Barton held, as he finished with a .393 on-base percentage and 10 home runs in 159 games. That's obviously not much power, but he was just 24 for most of that season, so he had room to develop more power, at least in theory.

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Now at 28, Barton is getting another chance as the A's primary first baseman. He still draws walks, though not so many that he's been able to exceed a .350 OBP in any of the last three seasons. Barton has also failed to hit for power, and that includes during his numerous stays in the Pacific Coast League. Power isn't as important as it once was, but even a 15-homer season looks like a stretch for Barton, and he doesn't provide a high enough batting average or OBP to come close to making up for that. Odds are long on Barton being this season's version of Garrett Jones, who broke out in his age-28 season with 21 home runs in 82 games and a .293/.372/.567 slash line. His absolute ceiling is that of a first base version of Daniel Nava.

Nate Eovaldi, SP, Marlins: Fantasy owners haven't exactly been waiting forever for Eovaldi to break out, but given his mid-90s heat, it seems like he should have started getting strikeouts at some point during his first three seasons. With 19 Ks in his first 19 1/3 innings this season, maybe we are seeing the first signs of a new and improved Eovaldi. Given that the last time we saw Eovaldi come close to a strikeout per inning was in Double-A, some skepticism may be warranted.

Eovaldi's owners probably won't welcome the news that he has actually been getting swinging strikes at the lowest rate (7.4 percent) of his major league career, but they can take comfort in knowing that this percentage was skewed by last Saturday's start at the Phillies, when he induced a mere three whiffs. That's the fun of drawing conclusions from early-season stats, but we don't have to limit ourselves to such a small sample. Eovaldi actually started to get swinging strikes (7.9 percent) and strikeouts (7.7 K/9) at a higher rate over his last nine starts in 2013, and that corresponded with an increase in the horizontal movement in his fastball. If you think you've seen Eovaldi pitch to contact for too long to ever buy into him as a strikeout pitcher, you just may be missing out on a breakout in his age-24 season.

Phil Hughes, SP, Twins: As Hughes progressed through the Yankees' farm system, he made his mark with high strikeout-to-walk ratios. The lofty home run rates that have been the hallmark of his major league career were nowhere to be found. In his seven years with the Yankees, Hughes was a better and less homer-prone pitcher away from the Bronx, so even though we've been waiting seven long years for him to break out, maybe the move to spacious Target Field is just what he needs to shore up his biggest weakness.

Hughes hasn't been effective in his first two home starts as a Twin, allowing eight earned runs and 13 hits in 10 innings, but he has been victimized by a .419 BABIP and a 53 percent strand rate in those games (per FanGraphs.com). He has not allowed a home run in either of those starts, and despite all of the hits on balls in play, few have been for extra bases, as he has allowed a .122 Isolated Power to opposing hitters (as compared to a .147 mark across the majors this season). Hughes is still a dangerous play in hitters' parks, but with his change of scenery, just maybe he can be closer to the pitcher we thought he'd be when he was a prospect.

Tyler Chatwood, Rockies: In three seasons, Chatwood has established himself as a ground ball specialist who offers little to Fantasy owners than the potential for a low ERA -- a potential he finally realized last season. Chatwood allowed only five home runs in 111 1/3 innings, posting a 3.15 ERA. While Chatwood's control isn't all that good, he did make some strides last season, putting up a respectable 3.3 BB/9.

According to FanGraphs.com, Chatwood has averaged at least 93 mph on his fastball in each of his first three seasons, so it seems like there should be some potential for more strikeouts. He wasn't much of a strikeout pitcher in the minors, but the Angels rushed him through their system, so it's hard to use that as an indication of his major league potential. So far this season, as in past years, Chatwood has thrown his fastball with a very low rate of spin, and that's something that correlates with a lower strikeout rate. It's also a trait that is typical of extreme ground ball pitchers, like Chatwood. Unlike with Eovaldi, it's not realistic to expect higher strikeout rates from Chatwood, even though his velocity suggests otherwise.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Al at @almelccbs .

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Player News
Rays pitcher C.J. Riefenhauser tosses one inning in Class A rehab
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:41 am ET) Rays pitcher C.J. Riefenhauser tossed one scoreless inning of action on Sunday for Class A Charlotte, his first appearance as a part of his rehab assignment.

Riefenhauser, who is currently on the 15-day DL with a shoulder injury, walked two batters and struck out one, but did not allow a hit. Riefenhauser has made two appearances this season, allowing three runs in 1 1/3 innings of work, but has not pitched since April 23 when the injury occurred.


Rays infielder Ryan Brett begins Class A rehab assignment Sunday
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:37 am ET) Rays infielder Ryan Brett went 2 for 3 in his first Class A rehab game for Charlotte on Sunday. Brett had a double and two runs scored before getting taken out of the game.

Brett, who is currently on the 15-day DL with a shoulder injury, has played in just three games for Tampa Bay this season and has been out of action since April 22.


Tigers catcher Bryan Holaday collects three RBI on Sunday
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:24 am ET) Tigers catcher Bryan Holaday went 1 for 3 at the plate in Detroit's 10-8 loss to the Astros on Sunday.

Holaday did his damage in the first inning when he stepped to the plate with the bases loaded and two outs. Holaday ripped a doubled to left field off of Roberto Hernandez, scoring all three runs and doubling his RBI total for the season.

Holaday is now hitting .308 in 13 at-bats this season.


Tigers 1B Miguel Cabrera blasts 11th home run of the season
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:22 am ET) Tigers first baseman Miguel Cabrera went 2 for 5 at the plate in Detroit's 10-8 loss to the Astros on Sunday.

Cabrera did his damage in the ninth inning when he crushed the first pitch he saw from Luke Gregerson over the left center field wall for a solo home run, his 11th of the season.

Cabrera is now hitting .344 with 32 RBI in 163 at-bats this season.


Astros DH Evan Gattis blasts ninth home run of the season
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(1:18 am ET) Astros designated hitter Evan Gattis went 3 for 4 at the plate in Houston's 10-8 win over the Tigers on Sunday.

Gattis got things going in the first inning when he ripped a triple to right field, scoring two runs, his second of the season. Then in the sixth, Gattis blasted a solo shot off of Anibal Sanchez to left center field, his ninth of the season. 

Gattis, who also drew one walk, is now hitting .201 with 28 RBI in 154 at-bats this season.


Pirates 3B Josh Harrison on a tear at the plate of late
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12:21 am ET) Pirates third baseman Josh Harrison has turned things around at the plate. On May 10, general manager Neal Huntington suggested Harrison was pressing too much to prove his worth. Harrison is hitting .468 (22 for 47) in 11 games since those remarks and Huntington is estatic for him, according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.

"It looks like a guy that's having fun playing the game again," Huntington said Sunday. "Just showing up with energy every day and trying to do everything in his power to help a club win versus trying to justify. It’s fun to watch him get back out there and be the guy he is."

Harrison extended his hitting streak to 11 on Sunday and noted his contract may have factored into his early struggles.

"The contract could have played a little into it," he said. "It's no secret I knew I was a contract guy. But that doesn't make me approach the game any different. It's just a matter of, you know, I got off to a rough start."

Harrison is now hitting .261 with 14 RBI in 157 at-bats this season.


Mets pitcher Dillon Gee unclear of role when activated from DL
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12:14 am ET) Mets pitcher Dillon Gee was baffled on Sunday for multiple reasons. After losing his luggage, Gee was told he will head back to make a third rehab start this week. He is also unclear of what his role will be in the starting rotation when he is able to return, according to the New York Daily News.

"I don't know what to think about it," Gee said. "I kind of raised that, I felt like I am just wasting bullets trying to get over 100 pitches in a minor league rehab game. I am doing what they want me to do.

"Obviously you wondered what the roles will be, because all the roles are all filled," Gee said. "He's (Syndergaard) pitched really well, so he deserves to be here as well. I wonder the same thing as most of you... what’s going to happen."

Gee is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA in 30 1/3 innings of work this season.


Giants pitcher Jean Machi preserves bullpen on Sunday
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12:08 am ET) Giants pitcher Jean Machi allowed three runs, two earned, on five hits in 2 2/3 innings of work in San Francisco's 11-2 loss to the Rockies on Sunday.

Machi was called on early when starter Tim Hudson struggled to find the zone and was knocked around. He helped to keep San Francisco was digging deeper into the bullpen, manager Bruce Bochy said per CSN Bay Area.

"Machi saved us," Bochy said. "I thought he had some of his best stuff, too. He should feel good about that and the fact that he did give us those innings."

Machi now has a 4.63 ERA in 23 1/3 innings of work this season.


Rangers DH Prince Fielder continues hot hitting with two RBI
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(12:03 am ET) Rangers designated hitter Prince Fielder went 3 for 5 at the plate in Texas' 5-2 win over the Yankees on Sunday.

Fielder, who also singled twice, did his damage in the first when he doubled to deep center field, driving home a run. Fielder singkled to right in the seventh to collect his second RBI. Fielder is tearing the cover off the ball, hitting a blistering .358 with 32 RBI in 176 at-bats this season.


Yankees catcher Brian McCann leaves with foot injury on Sunday
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(5/24/2015) Yankees catcher Brian McCann was forced to leave Sunday's game against the Rangers with a cramp in his foot/calf, according to MLB.com. 

Manager Joe Girardi said he was a little concerned with the injury, but won't know more about it until Monday. McCann went 1 for 4 with two RBI in Sunday's game before exiting. He said after the game he is planning on playing in Monday's game against the Royals.


 
 
 
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