April 1, 2004 By Tristan H. Cockcroft Commissioner.COM Fantasy Writer
Sultan of Statexamines statistical trends that give
you a decisive edge on the competition. Check for new columns every
Thursday.
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With just days remaining in spring training, here's a look at 12 players
whose performance during the exhibition season has boosted their Fantasy
stock:
Erik Bedard, SP, Baltimore: His 2-0 record, 2.04 ERA and 21
strikeouts in 17 2/3 spring innings helped him earn the fifth starter
job this week. Bedard, who had Tommy John surgery in September 2002, has
since regained enough zip on his fastball and break on his curveball
that he could break out in a major way. Injuries might be the only thing
standing in his way.
Ramon Castro, C, Florida: If there was any question whether the
Marlins could survive the offseason loss of Ivan Rodriguez,
Castro has answered it this spring. He's a .289-6-13-1 hitter in 16
exhibition games, and is displaying the power that once made him a top
prospect. Castro could provide above-average Fantasy totals at a
fraction of the cost.
Coco Crisp has a chance at a starting job now that Milton Bradley might be traded.(AP)
Coco Crisp, OF, Cleveland: Once the Indians trade disgruntled
Milton Bradley this weekend as rumored, they'll need someone to man
center field on a regular basis. Crisp's .383-0-13-5 performance in 23
spring contests makes him the favorite to land the starting job. He's a
gritty player who should offer cheap steals.
Bobby Crosby, SS, Oakland: He's batting .346-6-14-1 in 20 spring
games, showing that he has the skills needed to handle the everyday job
left vacant following Miguel Tejada's offseason departure.
Crosby, initially expected to bat ninth for the Athletics, might now
move up as high as seventh, helping bolster his RBI chances.
Michael Cuddyer, OF, Minnesota: Although he disappointed in
previous big-league trials, Cuddyer has hit .426-5-17-1 in 21 games this
spring and earned a spot as a utilityman with the Twins to open the
season. He could quickly become the top backup at second base, third
base and the corner outfield spots, putting himself in line to start if
injuries strike the team's regulars.
Adam Dunn, OF, Cincinnati: His critics say he's too patient, and
would be helped by becoming more aggressive at the plate. Dunn seems to
be correcting that flaw, with a .404-6-14-1 mark in 19 games this
spring. He's still an annual risk in the batting average department, but
his performance recently suggests he might now be on the right track
toward superstardom.
Troy Glaus, 3B, Anaheim: Shoulder problems hurt his offensive
performance in 2003, but Glaus has rebounded well during the exhibition
season. He's hitting .358-5-14-0 in 21 games and appears primed for a
rebound. Keep in mind the Angels' lineup is stocked with talent this
season, so Glaus should see increased RBI opportunities.
Luis Gonzalez, OF, Arizona: All the talk this winter was that
Gonzalez's elbow ligament is hanging by a thread, and that he could be
headed for Tommy John surgery at any moment. He hasn't shown any signs
of that this spring, however, with a .458-3-19-1 line in 21 games.
Gonzalez is still a high risk for injury, but that doesn't mean you
should forget about him entirely.
Khalil Greene, SS, San Diego: The starting job is all his
following veteran Rey Ordonez's abrupt departure from Padres
camp. Greene hasn't just won the spot by default, however, having batted
.345-2-16-0 in 20 games. He shouldn't be pressured much hitting in the
eighth spot in the San Diego order, so expect solid Fantasy stats from
him in 2004.
Derek Lowe, SP, Boston: Most of the attention surrounding the Red
Sox's rotation this spring has centered around Pedro Martinez and
Curt Schilling, but Lowe's 2-1 record, 1.78 ERA and 0.868 WHIP in six
spring starts suggests he's not far behind in talent. He's in a contract
year and should receive more run support than most pitchers in the
majors.
Abraham Nunez, OF, Florida: It'll be tough for him to find
at-bats in the crowded Marlins outfield this season, but Nunez's spring
performance has opened many eyes within the organization. He's hitting
.367-8-18-2 in 23 games, leading all major leaguers in home runs. Based
on his numbers, Nunez is worth a flier in NL-only leagues.
David Riske, RP, Cleveland: Many Fantasy owners underrate him,
assuming former Rockies closer Jose Jimenez will overtake him for
the closer job before long. Don't doubt Riske though, as his 0.82 ERA
and three saves in 10 spring appearances demonstrate his ability to
thrive in the role. He could be in line for 30-plus saves.
If you have questions or comments regarding statistics and Fantasy
Baseball, e-mail us at
bleacher@commissioner.com. Be sure to put Attn: Sultan of Stat
in the subject field, and include your full name and hometown. Please
be aware that due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot
guarantee answers to all questions.
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