The Cardinals didn't make it back to the World Series, perhaps in part
because Scott Rolen decided to shut it down early last season to
have shoulder surgery and be 100 percent by the start of 2006.
Here's to hoping that decision was worth it.
Rolen will be back hitting fifth behind Albert Pujols and Jim
Edmonds, giving him a pair of .400-plus OBP sluggers to mash behind.
If healthy, Rolen will easily outperform his draft position, which will
rightly be downgraded due to shoulder uncertainty. A second- or
third-rounder before the injury, he was selected in the seventh round in
our magazine experts draft this December. For comparison, his young
protege, David Wright, went in Round 2.
Shoulder issues can prove to be death on a swing's power, so you will
certainly have to watch Rolen's extra-base-hit productivity in box
scores this spring before investing in him on Draft Day.
Spring position battles
No. 5 starter -- Anthony Reyes vs. Sidney Ponson
It's the top prospect vs. the veteran retread. Reyes is clearly out in
front, making him an outstanding sleeper in mixed leagues this spring.
The Cardinals have been a breeding ground for 15-game winners, so Reyes
could prove to be a rare rookie starting pitcher with a good amount of
victories. Ponson is signed to a cheap contract, so there's less
interest in having him as a starter. He will likely open at the long
reliever and spot starter -- not that the Cardinals have needed one in
recent years. Only consider Ponson as a late flier in deeper NL formats.
Second base -- Junior Spivey vs. Aaron Miles
The Cardinals had such great returns on Mark Grudzielanek and
David Eckstein off the scrap heap last year, they decided to grab a
pair of underachievers on the cheap to play second base in 2006. Spivey
has intriguing pop and steal potential for NL-only leagues, while Miles
is more of a contact hitter with limited Eckstein-like offensive
potential. Whoever wins this battle, especially if it happens outright,
will have deeper mixed-league sleeper written all over him because he
will get pumped with fastballs hitting No. 2 in front of Sir Pujols.
Left field -- Larry Bigbie vs. John Rodriguez
Bigbie and Rodriguez seemed to be headed in different directions as
27-year-olds last year. Bigbie's projection as a solid big-league
regular has fallen, while Rodriguez has risen. Since they're both
left-handed hitters, there is not platoon situation in play -- although
Rodriguez could spell Juan Encarnacion in right field from time to time.
Regardless, both of these guys will have their Fantasy value limited to
NL-only leagues on Draft Day.
|
St. Louis Cardinals Outlook
|
|
|
Projected lineup
|
Pos.
|
|
Projected Rotation
|
|
|
1
|
David Eckstein
|
SS
|
1
|
Chris Carpenter
|
RH
|
|
2
|
Junior Spivey
|
2B
|
2
|
Mark Mulder
|
LH
|
|
3
|
Albert Pujols
|
1B
|
3
|
Jeff Suppan
|
RH
|
|
4
|
Jim Edmonds
|
CF
|
4
|
Jason Marquis
|
RH
|
|
5
|
Scott Rolen
|
3B
|
5
|
Anthony Reyes
|
RH
|
|
6
|
Juan Encarnacion
|
RF
|
Alt
|
Sidney Ponson
|
RH
|
|
7
|
Larry Bigbie
|
LF
|
Top bullpen arms
|
|
8
|
Yadier Molina
|
C
|
CL
|
Jason Isringhausen
|
RH
|
|
Top bench options
|
SU
|
Braden Looper
|
RH
|
|
R
|
John Rodriguez
|
OF
|
RP
|
Ricardo Rincon
|
LH
|
|
R
|
Aaron Miles
|
2B
|
RP
|
Brad Thomson
|
RH
|
|
|
Rookies/Prospects
|
Age
|
Pos.
|
2005 high
|
Destination
|
|
1
|
Anthony Reyes
|
24
|
RH SP
|
Majors
|
Majors
|
|
Certainly worthy of a flier in mixed leagues on Draft Day
|
|
2
|
Adam Wainwright
|
24
|
RH SP
|
Majors
|
Majors
|
|
Has done enough in Triple-A, so he might open in bullpen
|
|
3
|
Travis Hanson
|
25
|
3B
|
Double-A
|
Triple-A
|
|
Emerged with breakout Double-A season, but blocked
|
|
4
|
Chris Duncan
|
24
|
1B/OF
|
Majors
|
Triple-A
|
|
Pitching coach's son earning look as big-league reserve
|
|
5
|
Cody Haerther
|
22
|
OF
|
Double-A
|
Double-A
|
|
It might not take much for him to surprise us this year
|
|
Best of the rest: RH SP Chris Lambert, 22; OF
Skip Schumaker, 25 (by opening day); RH SP Blake Hawksworth,
22.
|
You can e-mail your Fantasy Baseball questions to bleacher@commissioner.com. Be sure to put Attn: Cardinals outlook
in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be
aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot
guarantee personal responses or answers to all questions.