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David Gonos

Draft preview: Kansas City Royals outlook

Team-by-team outlooks

It's a new day in Kansas City ... Well, at least they hope it is.

The Royals endured a horrible season in 2006 with the most promising items still developing down in the minors. They made a few moves to bring in some nice talent, like Ryan Shealy, and the sudden development of Mark Teahen caused Royal-blue smiles. But it's the farm system, led by super prospects Alex Gordon, Luke Hochevar and Billy Butler, that will keep Fantasy teams stocked over the next decade.

Kansas City's pitching staff was one of the worst in the majors a year ago. Their starters had an ERA of 5.85, and the bullpen's was 5.36 -- both were low marks in the AL. So they'll have a completely revamped rotation than the one that took the field on opening day last season. Gil Meche leads the staff as the veteran No. 1 (it's tough to call him an ace though), and Odalis Perez shaved a full run off of his ERA after arriving in Kauffman Stadium (granted, he still had an ERA of 5.64 after the trade).

From a Fantasy perspective, you'll want to keep an eye on the Royals' staff, but as of now, they aren't worth owning in mixed-league play. One interesting pitcher to watch early in the season, however, is Zack Greinke, who has returned to the mound after some psychological issues a year ago. It's hard to forget what the youngster did in 2004, posting eight wins and a 3.97 ERA in 145 innings as a rookie. If he can get his head straight, he could be a nice sleeper for ERA and WHIP help -- likely not wins though.

On the offensive side, the Royals have an underrated top of the order, with David DeJesus and Mark Grudzielanek, who appears to have been reborn in the Midwest. DeJesus doesn't give you the stats you'd normally want from a leadoff man, but now that he has some consistent hitting behind him, he should eclipse 100 runs scored for the first time in his career. He set highs in many categories last year, but injuries limited him to just 119 games. Consider him a nice AL-only Head-to-Head sleeper as well because of how many at-bats he'll end up with after a full healthy season.

Shealy finally got a starting gig after sitting behind Todd Helton in Colorado the past couple seasons. He'll give you an inconsistent batting average, but he can knock in runs by the handful. He'll also learn from team captain Mike Sweeney, who will work as the designated hitter this season, which could help his bad back stay well.

The biggest question for this offense is whether or not Gordon can grab the reins as the starting third baseman out of spring training. If he does, it then begs the question of whether Mark Teahen can handle the transition to right field. Will moving their best offensive player from '06 to a different defensive position alter his ability at the plate? It's not uncommon for a player to have a dropoff offensively after moving positions in the field.

Spring position battles

Fourth and fifth starters -- Jorge De La Rosa, Zack Greinke vs. Brian Bannister and Todd Wellemeyer

From a Fantasy perspective, you're going to want to stay clear of the back end of the Royals' rotation, unless you are in a deep AL-only league and you have an innings requirement. Greinke is certainly intriguing though, and no one is rooting for him to return to his rookie form more than Royals' management. Only 11 other AL starters had a lower ERA than Greinke's 3.97 in '04, among those that qualified for the ERA title.

Third base -- Alex Gordon vs. Mark Teahen

This isn't so much a battle as it is an audition. If Gordon can stick out of spring training, he just moves Teahen out to right field and Reggie Sanders to the bench. Gordon's talent has already shoved former top prospect Billy Butler to the outfield also.

Kansas City Royals Outlook
Projected lineup Pos. Projected Rotation
1 David DeJesus CF 1 Gil Meche RH
2 Mark Grudzielanek 2B 2 Odalis Perez LH
3 Mark Teahen RF 3 Luke Hudson RH
4 Mike Sweeney DH 4 Jorge De La Rosa LH
5 Ryan Shealy 1B 5 Zack Greinke RH
6 Alex Gordon 3B Alt Brian Bannister RH
7 Emil Brown LF
8 Jason LaRue C Top bullpen arms
9 Angel Berroa SS CL Octavio Dotel RH
Top bench options SU David Riske RH
R Reggie Sanders OF RP Joe Nelson RH
R Andres Blanco INF RP Joel Peralta RH
     
Rookies/Prospects Age Pos. 2006 high Destination
1 Alex Gordon 23 3B Double-A Majors
Royals say they will give him a shot this spring, can we trust them?
2 Billy Butler 20 OF Double-A Triple-A
Gordon forced him to RF, but his bat will wind up playing anywhere
3 Luke Hochevar 23 RH SP Class A Double-A
Royals taking time with prospects, so he might not arrive in '07
4 Tyler Lumsden 23 LH SP Double-A Triple-A
Has shot at rotation, but that's good-news, bad-news right now
5 Justin Huber 24 DH Majors Triple-A
Shealy blocks him; he's running out of time and positions (C, 1B)
Best of the rest: RHP Brian Bannister, 26; OF Chris Lubanski, 22; OF Mitch Maier, 24; RHP Billy Buckner, 23; RHP Joakim Soria, 22; RHP Ryan Braun, 26.

You can e-mail your Fantasy Baseball questions to dmfantasybaseball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Royals outlook in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses or answers to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Jair Jurrjens
Jurrjens still trade candidate
Jair Jurrjens, SP, ATL
11:57 AM
News: CBSSports.com senior writer Danny Knobler reports sources said the Braves could try and trade SP Jair Jurrjens if he proves healthy in spring training. The Braves tried to trade Jurrjens this winter, but they couldn't find a taker because potential trade partners weren't convinced Jurrjens was healthy or could stay healthy. Jurrjens missed the end of the 2011 season with a knee injury and has made just 43 starts the last two seasons.
Analysis: When Jurrjens is healthy, then he is one of the best pitchers in the majors. His 1.87 ERA in the first half last season was second to only Jered Weaver among major-league starters. Jurrjens has won 13-plus games in three of the last four seasons. So why would the Braves want to trade him? Well, Jurrjens is a free agent after the 2013 season and it appears Atlanta is ready to clear some rotation space for the likes of Julio Teheran and Randall Delgado. It's going to be very interesting to see what happens with Jurrjens this spring. There appears to be a chance he might not finish the spring with Atlanta, which could mean Jurrjens slides down draft boards in NL-only formats that lose players who are traded to the AL. In mixed leagues, Jurrjens is still a decent mid-round Fantasy pick.

A.J. Burnett
Angels, Indians interested in Burnett
A.J. Burnett, SP, NYY
11:40 AM
News: FOXSports.com reports sources indicate the Angels are interested in Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, whose name has been heavily mentioned in trade rumors with the Pirates. However, the Angels are on Burnett's no-trade list and he wants to stay east. Pittsburgh is still considered the heavy favorite to potentially land Burnett. CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman said the Indians have also inquired about Burnett. The trade talks involve DH Travis Hafner, but Cleveland is unsure if it would make that trade. The Yankees also don't mind the free agent DH options available.
Analysis: Right now the hold up in the Pirates trade is how much money Pittsburgh will be willing to pay of Burnett's remaining salary over the next two years ($33 million) and the prospects the Pirates would send to the Yankees. Perhaps these rumors regarding the Angels and Indians might speed up the process, but other sources have said the Yankees would keep Burnett if the deal isn't right for them. Wherever Burnett pitches in 2012, he is going to be a late-round Fantasy pick coming off a turbulent 2011 campaign.

Coco Crisp
Crisp moving over for Cespedes?
Coco Crisp, CF, OAK
10:13 AM
News: Sources have told FOXSports.com that the Athletics intend to start newly signed Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes in center field right away, which would move Coco Crisp over to left field and Seth Smith to DH. Cespedes is already 26 and has faced upper-level competition in Cuba, but some scouts think he could use some time in the minors to adjust to the U.S. game.
Analysis: None of these reports are coming directly from the Athletics, so you should consider them nothing more than speculation at this point. Still, speculation is better than nothing, and if Cespedes is in fact going to be on the opening day roster, then he might even be worth drafting in the middle rounds, given his upside. As for Crisp, moving to left field wouldn't have any real impact on his Fantasy value. The Athletics outfield is even more crowded with the Cespedes signing, but the team seems to consider Crisp a mainstay at the top of the lineup. Given his base-stealing ability and doubles pop, he's a worthy fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Ryan Braun
Braun will know fate by Feb. 24
Ryan Braun, LF, MIL
10:03 AM
News: Monday came and went without a ruling on Brewers OF Ryan Braun's pending 50-game suspension for testing positive for a banned substance. It was the 25th day since the three-man panel heard Braun's appeal. According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, the panel was supposed to “make all reasonable efforts” to deliver a verdict within that period of time, but chairman Shyam Das was given an extension. A decision is expected before Braun reports to spring training on Feb. 24, but the exact date is unknown since the process is intended to be confidential.
Analysis: The panel's need for a lengthy deliberation is theoretically a good sign, but then again, since the process is usually confidential, we don't know how common such extensions are. Braun's case is said to be unique, but it might not make much of a difference to the panel. If you're drafting now, you should do so with the expectation that Braun will miss the first 50 games of the season, which could allow him to slip to the middle rounds in standard mixed leagues. If the appeal is upheld, though, he's suddenly back to being a first-rounder in Fantasy.

Mike Moustakas
Moustakas in great shape
Mike Moustakas, 3B, KC
12:48 PM
News: Royals manager Ned Yost had his contract option for the 2013 season picked up on Tuesday, but the Kansas City skipper seemed more interested in talking about his 2012 team. Yost was impressed with how many players have shown up for spring training early and is really blown away by the fitness level of a few of his players. "Billy Butler and Mike Moustakas -- I'm extremely proud of both of those guys," Yost told reporters. "They could be in the best shape they've been in their careers. Billy looks great, and I didn't even hardly recognize Moose he looks so good."
Analysis: While the fitness level doesn't necessarily mean a player will have success, it really can't hurt either. To hear Yost rave about Moustakas should get the attention of Fantasy owners. Moustakas, who is one of the Royals' top prospects, struggled when he first arrived in the majors last season. However, he seemed to have figured it out by season's end. Moustakas hit .352 with four homers and 12 RBI in his final 22 games last season. He is definitely one of the more intriguing Fantasy sleepers heading into 2012 and this latest report just adds to his appeal on Draft Day.

Jhoulys Chacin
Chacin fires back at GM
Jhoulys Chacin, SP, COL
12:07 PM
News: The Denver Post reports Rockies SP Jhoulys Chacin responded to comments made by GM Dan O'Dowd, who expressed concern recently about Chacin's offseason conditioning. "I came to Arizona this past Monday. I have not stopped training during the winter, both in my country and here," Chacin told Venezuelan newspaper Meridiano. "I have always done the best job I could all throughout these past few months. I don't know where these comments came from. I believe they're the result of what other people have told him, instead of his own personal evaluation. I am looking forward to meeting O'Dowd personally, and I am confident that he will have a different conclusion after a firsthand evaluation." O'Dowd made his comments after seeing Chacin at the team's Fanfest in January. "He looked OK. It wasn't as bad as I anticipated," O'Dowd said. "It's still not what it should be."
Analysis: O'Dowd believes Chacin needs to lose weight because the excess pounds affect the balance in his delivery and cause his fastball command to suffer. Chacin spent much of the winter working out in his native Venezuela after working out in Tucson previously. On Feb. 9, Chacin reportedly weighed 226 pounds but anticipates being close to the 218 pounds he was last spring when he reports to spring training on Feb. 19. Chacin went 8-7 with a 3.16 ERA in 18 pre-All Star break starts last year and went 3-7 with a 4.31 ERA in 13 starts after the break. Chacin struggled with walks in the second half and was much more hittable down the stretch than he was early in the season. This situation is clearly not the way Fantasy owners want to see Chacin kick off the 2012 season, but perhaps this will provide him with the motivation he needs to reach elite status. Look to Chacin as a mid-round Fantasy option on Draft Day.

Kyle Seager
Seager gets work at first base
Kyle Seager, 3B, SEA
1:25 PM
News: The Seattle Times reports Mariners 3B Kyle Seager took grounders at first base Tuesday.
Analysis: It's interesting to see Seager working at another position in camp with manager Eric Wedge calling him the front-runner for the third-base job. However, the team could be interested to see if Seager could play another position in a pinch. Justin Smoak is still the team's first baseman and Mike Carp is his expected backup. Carlos Guillen can also play first base, so we can't look too much into Seager taking grounders at first just yet. His main focus should be winning the 3B job over the likes of Alex Liddi and Chone Figgins. Consider Seager nothing more than a late-round, low-end Fantasy corner infielder on Draft Day. He does have some sleeper potential, but don't reach for him in drafts.

Travis Hafner
Hafner on Yankees radar?
Travis Hafner, DH, CLE
1:19 PM
News: CBSSports.com baseball insider Jon Heyman reports the Indians have inquired about Yankees SP A.J. Burnett, who has been heavily involved in trade rumors. The talks with the Indians revolve around a Burnett for DH Travis Hafner deal. However, Cleveland is unsure if it would make that trade, and the Yankees also appear content with the free agent DH options available.
Analysis: This trade rumor is definitely interesting because a trade to the Yankees would immediately elevate Hafner's Fantasy appeal. He would end up going to a hitter's park and be inserted into one of the best lineups in baseball. That means a ton of chances to fill the stat sheet. However, it doesn't appear this deal is imminent, so Fantasy owners shouldn't get their hopes up. It's best to view Hafner as a low-end, injury-risk Fantasy option for the late rounds of deep formats on Draft Day. Hafner continues to post poor home run totals and hasn't played more than 100 games in three of his last four seasons.

Kosuke Fukudome
Fukudome lands on South Side
Kosuke Fukudome, RF, CLE
11:46 AM
News: Kosuke Fukudome is headed back to the Windy City, but this time he is going to call the South Side home. Fukudome agreed to a one-year, $1 million contract with the White Sox on Tuesday. The deal also included a club option for the 2013 season. "Kosuke adds to our outfield depth and gives Robin (Ventura) another left-handed bat to mix into the lineup based on matchups," assistant general manager Rick Hahn said in a statement. "He can play center field and right and provides flexibility to our roster."
Analysis: Fukudome played for the Cubs from 2008 to the trade deadline last season when he was shipped to Cleveland. He had his most disappointing campaign in the majors in 2011, which is why he probably stayed on the free-agent market longer than expected. The White Sox are expected to open 2012 with an outfield alignment of Alex Rios in center, Dayan Viciedo in right field and Alejandro De Aza in left field. Brent Lillibridge is considered a backup at all three outfield positions and now Fukudome joins the mix as another outfield body. However, since he likely won't begin the season as a starter, then Fukudome can be left undrafted in most Fantasy formats. Consider him at best an AL-only Fantasy reserve.

Joba Chamberlain
Chamberlain throws for third time
Joba Chamberlain, RP, NYY
1:06 PM
News: The New York Post reports Yankees SP Joba Chamberlain, who is recovering from Tommy John surgery, threw 20 pitches on Tuesday for the third time this year. Chamberlain is throwing from a half-mound.
Analysis: It appears Chamberlain is progressing nicely from his elbow surgery. But there is no guarantee he will be ready for the start of the season. Let Chamberlain go undrafted in most Fantasy formats, and let him prove that he is healthy and productive before adding him to rosters that reward for middle relievers.

 
 
 
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