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Sergio Gonzalez

Offseason Stockwatch 1.0

By | Fantasy Writer

With the NBA Finals under way and the playoffs almost over, here's a look at players who have seen their stock rise and fall during the postseason

G Chris Paul, NO
It's hard to believe this guy could raise his Fantasy stock any more than he did during the regular season, but that's what he did while leading the franchise's furthest charge into the playoffs, looking more like a seasoned veteran than a third-year point guard. He took his scoring to another level and his numbers where actually better in the Hornets' postseason run than during his breakout regular season. He averaged 24.1 ppg in 12 contests while shooting over 50 percent from the field. Our guard rankings currently reflect the hierarchy with Kobe Bryant being No. 1 guard in Fantasy, but Paul has to be considered more 1-A than No. 2 -- especially in Head-to-Head leagues that reward assists with two or more points. Paul's 11.6 dimes per game make him a top three choice in those formats.
G Steve Nash, PHO
The early playoff exit for Phoenix led to the end of an era with Mike D'Antoni stepping down as head coach. That's bad news for Nash, who enjoyed his best seasons under D'Antoni. He averaged over 10 assists in each of the last four seasons, despite never averaging more than 8.8 in his eight previous years in the NBA. With the Suns in the midst of a philosophical change that will take them away from their run-and-gun style of the past several seasons, Nash's numbers could be in for a decline beginning next season.
G Rajon Rondo, BOS
Third-year players are usually hot commodities as breakout candidates in Fantasy hoops and it's not a stretch to believe that Rondo's third season began in late April with the start of the NBA playoffs. If this is what we have to look forward to, Rondo's appeal in Fantasy will be as high as ever in drafts this fall. He enjoyed a bit of a breakout year already as an NBA sophomore while playing as a link between stars Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen. But in the playoffs, the Celtics have taken off the training wheels and have allowed him to run the offense with more authority. His assist totals have gone from 5.1 in the regular season to 7.0 in the playoffs. His 16-dime effort in Game 2 of the NBA Finals goes to show where he's at as a playmaker. Expect him to be drafted as a No. 3 Fantasy guard, with a 14-6-4 season a distinct possibility in his third season.
G Jason Kidd, DAL
What does 8.6 ppg, 6.8 apg and 6.4 rpg translate to in most Fantasy leagues? Usually, that's what a Fantasy owner would take from their No. 3 Fantasy guard, not Jason Kidd. But that's exactly what he averaged in the playoffs in a first-round playoff loss to New Orleans, in a series in which he was severely outplayed by Chris Paul. Questions about Kidd's age, commitment and the organization around him in Dallas have crumbled Kidd's Fantasy appeal from that of a solid No. 1 Fantasy guard -- especially in Rotisserie formats and Head-to-Head leagues with heavy weight on assists -- to a risky No. 2.
G Rodney Stuckey, DET
The injury to Chauncey Billups in the Conference semis against Orlando allowed him to showcase his skills against both the Magic in the final three games of that series and during the Conference Finals against Boston while Billups wasn't at 100 percent. In fact, his play in those instances has sparked some rumors that Billups could be on the trading block, which could open up a path to a breakout season for Stuckey in 2008-09. He scored 13-plus points in five of his final nine playoff appearances even while playing only 24.9 minutes in those contests. He could be a huge sleeper pick.
F Lamar Odom, LAL
Odom is averaging just 12.0 ppg, 7.0 rpg and 1.5 apg in the first two games of the NBA Finals against Boston, both Celtics wins. Odom averaged a career-high 10.7 rebounds during the 2007-08 regular season and 14.2 points. But the Finals decline isn't the only reason to worry about Odom this fall. There is also the matter of Andrew Bynum and where Odom will fit in next season. Bynum is expected to be fully healthy for the start of training camp in September and he'll be the team's starting center. That will mean Pau Gasol will move to power forward and Odom will play small forward. Odom should see less rebounds with both Bynum and Gasol around and that also means less offensive touches. There is more of a chance for Odom's numbers to dip than there is for a rise.
G Delonte West, CLE
His numbers in the first round of the playoffs against Washington and the Conference semis against Boston opened some eyes in Cleveland and in Fantasy circles. He averaged 10.8 points, 4.2 assists and 3.3 rebounds in 13 playoff games while starting all of those games. He got 34.8 minutes per game, which was higher than the 25.1 minutes per game he saw in the regular season. Hopefully, it will open up the way for more minutes in his first full season in Cleveland. He'll be worth drafting as a fourth guard, but the offseason moves made by the Cavs will go a long way in determining where West will fit in.
C Rasheed Wallace, DET
The 12-year-veteran saw his numbers decline from series to series in the playoffs, finishing up with 12.0 ppg, 7.0 rpg and 1.7 apg in the Conference Finals loss to Boston. The departure of head coach Flip Saunders in Detroit after the series leaves more than a few question marks in Detroit including the future of Wallace, who has openly stated that he's not happy with playing center. The volatile veteran should no longer be considered anything more than a No. 3 Fantasy forward in larger leagues and his appeal as a center is that of an inconsistent No. 2 these days.
C Al Horford, ATL
Horford started 77 out of 81 games as a rookie and averaged 31.3 minutes per game. He nearly averaged a double-double with 10.1 points and 9.7 rebounds. He proved he could be an above average Fantasy center during the regular season, but his play in the first-round series against Boston set him apart from the pack of No. 2 centers and set him up for a rise to a No. 1 in some formats. He held his own in the paint against Kevin Garnett and averaged a double-double (12.6 ppg and 10.4 rpg). His offensive game figures to improve even more in his second NBA season, but he's already proven to be an able rebounder. He's on the Tyson Chandler track to Fantasy stardom.

Have a burning question regarding Fantasy Basketball? We invite you to send your questions, comments and scouting reports on players to: dmfantasyhoops@cbs.com. Please include your full name, city and state. You'll have the chance to be heard by thousands of Fantasy players just like yourself!

 
 
 
Player News
Derrick Rose
Nothing structurally wrong with Rose
Derrick Rose, PG, CHI
5:44 PM
News: Bulls PG Derrick Rose visited a back specialist on Monday and the doctor confirmed the original diagnosis, reports the Chicago Tribune. Rose is dealing with lower back spasms and nothing greater. There is nothing structurally wrong with his back. Rose is considered day to day going forward for the Bulls.
Analysis: Rose has already missed consecutive games and Tuesday's contest against the Kings is also greatly in doubt at this point. It is definitely good news that Rose doesn't have anything worse wrong with him, but this has already been nagging and annoying enough to bother both the guard and his Fantasy owners. Rose has already missed seven games this season with an eighth a real possibility. Still, you know he'll play if it is humanly possible and that counts for something. Rose remains a must-start Fantasy option and he shouldn't miss too much more time following his visit to the doctor.

Zach Randolph
Randolph cleared for non-contact drills
Zach Randolph, PF, MEM
5:22 PM
News: Grizzlies F Zach Randolph (knee) has been cleared to participate in non-contact basketball drills, reports the Memphis Commercial-Appeal. Randolph, who tore his MCL back in January, is expected to return sometime in March. He is expected to be cleared for full-contact drills sometime over the next two weeks.
Analysis: Randolph continues to make significant progress from his knee injury and is on schedule to return in March, barring any setbacks. Obviously, Fantasy owners should keep a close eye on his progress moving forward to see when he will be able to get back on the court. Randolph can be considered a high-end Fantasy F, when healthy, so continue to stash him moving forward.

Kyrie Irving
Irving possible for Wednesday
Kyrie Irving, PG, CLE
2:47 PM
News: Cleveland G Kyrie Irving (concussion) participated in all non-contract drills during Monday's practice, but has yet to be cleared to return to game action, according to the Akron Beacon Journal. Irving has missed the past two games after being diagnosed with a concussion last Wednesday. With the Cavaliers' next game on Wednesday, he could be cleared for the outing with a positive showing in Tuesday's practice. "To me, he seems normal," Cleveland F Antawn Jamison said. "He's not going to be on the court unless he is 100 percent."
Analysis: Irving has now completed two straight days of light workouts as he continues to nurse his head injury. It appears he could be poised for a return on Wednesday, the first of only three games for Cleveland during Fantasy Week 8 (Feb. 13-19). Irving leads all rookies with 18.0 points per game this season and is also averaging 5.1 assists through 23 games. With his status still uncertain, he is a risky Fantasy option this scoring period.

Amar'e Stoudemire
Stoudemire shifts focus to court
Amar'e Stoudemire, PF, NY
12:09 PM
News: New York F Amar'e Stoudemire returned to practice Monday after spending the past week in Florida to mourn the death of his brother, according to Newsday. Stoudemire is expected to play in Tuesday's game at Toronto. "It feels good to be back on the basketball court," Stoudemire said. "I've been away for about a week now, so it feels good to be back." He is averaging 18.2 points and 8.1 rebounds per game this season.
Analysis: Stoudemire returns to the team at an interesting time as G Jeremy Lin has created tremendous buzz with his sterling production while Stoudemire and Carmelo Anthony have been sidelined. But Stoudemire could benefit from Lin's pick-and-roll ability and improve on his average of 7.0 field goals a game -- his lowest total since his rookie season (minimum 10 games). Consider Stoudemire a must-start in all Fantasy formats.

Timofey Mozgov
Mozgov expected to sit vs. Suns
Timofey Mozgov, C, DEN
6:07 PM
News: Coach George Karl (ankle) told reporters on Monday that he does not expect C Timofey Mozgov to play in Tuesday night's contest against the Nuggets. Mozgov has missed the past five games due to an ankle injury.
Analysis: There was a report circulating earlier in the day that said Mozgov would be able to play on Tuesday, although that does not seem to be the case anymore. Fantasy owners should keep an eye on his status moving forward to see when he will be able to get back on the court. The 25-year-old is averaging just 5.7 points and 4.5 rebounds a night, so consider him a marginal option, when healthy.

Martell Webster
Webster gets first start for Wolves
Martell Webster, SG, MIN
5:57 PM
News: Minnesota SF Martell Webster made his first start of the season on Monday night at Orlando in place of guard Luke Ridnour, who is away from the team. Webster played 10 minutes in the team's previous game Saturday against New York. He went 1 for 1 from the field with a 3-pointer for three points with one rebound in that game.
Analysis: Webster entered his first start having averaged fewer than five points per game on the year over 14 minutes. We expect him to get back to that kind of limited production once his starting gig is through and Ridnour back. For that reason, we don't see Webster's Fantasy value rising any with this news.

Raymond Felton
Felton remains starter -- for now
Raymond Felton, PG, POR
4:24 PM
News: Portland coach Nate McMillan said Monday that Blazers G Raymond Felton will remain in the starting lineup for Tuesday's game against Washington, according to The Oregonian. McMillan said over the weekend he was considering a shakeup to the starting lineup with G Jamal Crawford possibly replacing Felton. However, he changed his tune Monday. "I think he's the best guy at that position," McMillan said of Felton.
Analysis: Felton has been struggling recently and is averaging just 10.5 points over his past five games. He has been plagued by inconsistency throughout the season and posted more turnovers (three) than assists (two) during Portland's loss to Dallas on Saturday. Fantasy owners should expect a decrease in playing time for Felton as Crawford could receive more minutes. Consider Felton a low-end No. 2 Fantasy G for Week 8 (Feb. 13-19).

Jamal Crawford
Crawford studies the PG position
Jamal Crawford, SG, POR
5:49 PM
News: Portland guard Jamal Crawford sat down and reviewed film with coach Nate McMillan to concentrate on point guard play on Monday, reports the Oregonian. McMillan has reiterated that he's sticking with starting PG Raymond Felton for the time being, however.
Analysis: Felton is slumping and a lot of people are suggesting he's nearing being replaced at the point by Crawford. While McMillan has been clear that isn't happening just yet, it doesn't mean Crawford won't get a boost in minutes in that spot. The coach did have Crawford reviewing tape and that wasn't for nothing. The 31-year-old Crawford is averaging 19.2 points, 5.8 assists and 1.8 3-pointers per night over his last five games while getting 35 minutes in those contests. Should he get even more responsibility, Crawford's Fantasy value would go through the roof. He can be active in many 10- and 12-team Fantasy formats already.

Joakim Noah
Noah playing at high level again
Joakim Noah, C, CHI
5:37 PM
News: Bulls C Joakim Noah scored 16 points and grabbed nine rebounds on Sunday at Boston. On Monday, ESPN.com reports Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau praised Noah and said his center is "back to where he was at [the beginning] of last season."
Analysis: Noah failed to record a double-double in what would have been his third consecutive game Sunday. Still, Noah is averaging 13.8 points and 10.8 rebounds per night over his last five. He's shooting 65 percent over that span with 2.4 assists per game as well. He should be active in just about all Fantasy formats at this time.

Kosta Koufos
Koufos getting on boards for Denver
Kosta Koufos, C, DEN
5:27 PM
News: Denver C Kosta Koufos has really improved his rebounding of late for the Nuggets. Koufos played 26 minutes in his last game on Saturday as he scored seven points on 3 of 4 shooting with seven rebounds. Koufos is averaging 7.4 rebounds per game over his last five. He's only averaging 4.6 rebounds per game on the season.
Analysis: Koufos has seen an overall increase in production of late with 8.0 points, 7.4 rebounds, 1.4 blocks while shooting 63 percent from the field over his last five games. Playing more and sometimes starting with Timofey Mozgov, Chris Andersen and Nene all injured, Koufos has become worthy of some Fantasy usage in the deepest formats. He's only currently owned in 9 percent of Fantasy leagues.

 
 
 
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