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Jamey Eisenberg

Courtside Seat: NBA rookies to watch

By | Senior Fantasy Writer

Derrick Rose was the No. 1 overall pick in the NBA Draft, but that doesn't mean he's destined for Fantasy stardom.

He might not even start for your Fantasy team right away.

Rose is expected to compete with Kirk Hinrich and Ben Gordon for playing time in Chicago. You can count on Rose seeing plenty of minutes, but his stats might not be that impressive this year.

Kirk Hinrich's already plummeting stock took a huge hit on draft night. (Getty Images)  
Kirk Hinrich's already plummeting stock took a huge hit on draft night. (Getty Images)  
While some point guards enter the NBA and make a splash as a rookie, others take time to develop. Chris Paul was a Fantasy darling in his first year when he averaged 16.1 points, 7.8 assists and 5.1 rebounds. Deron Williams, on the other hand, took time to develop and only averaged 10.8 points, 4.5 assists and 2.4 rebounds as a rookie.

You'll still want to draft Rose high in all Fantasy leagues this year because of his potential. As a freshman at Memphis he averaged 14.7 points, 4.7 assists and 4.5 rebounds and went to the NCAA title game.

But don't be surprised if he ends up as a Fantasy reserve for most of the season. Like Williams, Rose should eventually shine. And if the Bulls trade Hinrich or Gordon, his potential could accelerate to promise early on.

For now, though, temper your expectations and realize Rose will bloom down the road. He will finish as one of the top rookies in 2008-09, just not the best when it comes to Fantasy production.

Here is a list of five rookies who will make a Fantasy impact during their first season in the NBA.

Michael Beasley : The Heat drafted Beasley with the No. 2 overall selection, and he has the chance to produce right away. Beasley was a statistical monster at Kansas State, averaging 26.2 points and 12.4 rebounds. He could be undersized at power forward and not athletic enough at small forward, but he knows how to fill up a stat sheet. Go into a Fantasy draft with Beasley as a No. 3 option with the chance to improve early in the year.

O.J. Mayo : Mayo was drafted by Minnesota and traded to Memphis, which is a good move for his Fantasy value. The Grizzlies will put Mayo at shooting guard and allow him to run the floor with Rudy Gay and Mike Conley. Mayo, who can also play point guard, is better suited at shooting guard. He averaged 20.7 points, 4.5 rebounds and 3.3 assists at USC. Look for him to get his points as a rookie and contribute right away for your Fantasy team.

Kevin Love : Love would have suffered if he stayed in Memphis instead of being traded for Mayo to Minnesota. Now he will pair with center Al Jefferson in the frontcourt, and Love should do well on the high block. He is a good perimeter shooter at power forward and will work well in tandem with Jefferson. Last year as a freshman at UCLA, Love averaged 17.5 points, 10.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists, although his passing is better than the stats indicate. Consider Love a No. 3 Fantasy forward going into the season.

Eric Gordon : The Clippers drafted Gordon at No. 7 overall, and he should start right away at either guard spot. If Shaun Livingston (knee) is still slow in his recovery, Gordon can play point guard. If Livingston is able to go, then Gordon can start at shooting guard, which is probably his more natural spot. Gordon has the chance to be on an underrated team if Corey Maggette returns, with Elton Brand back from injury and Al Thornton a standout rookie last year. Gordon will feed off those players and turn into a quality No. 3 Fantasy guard.

Jerryd Bayless : Had Bayless stayed in Indiana, which is where he was drafted, his Fantasy value would be muted. But the trade to Portland allows Bayless to become an instant Fantasy star. He will share the backcourt with Brandon Roy and can feed the post to Greg Oden and LaMarcus Aldridge. The Blazers will be an improved team in 2008-09, and Bayless gets to run the show at point guard. He is a must have as a No. 3 Fantasy guard.

Five veterans hurt by the draft

Kirk Hinrich : The Bulls took Derrick Rose since he was the best player available, but that means bad things for Hinrich and possibly Ben Gordon as well. Hinrich, who had a terrible year in 2007-08, could still start alongside Rose, but his production will continue to sag. Hinrich used to be on the cusp of a No. 2 Fantasy guard, but he might have fallen to a No. 4 option following the draft.

Raymond Felton : The Bobcats made it clear Felton could be on the bench when they drafted D.J. Augustin with the No. 9 overall pick. Felton has failed to develop into an elite point guard, especially since he was in the same draft class as Chris Paul and Deron Williams. Felton has gone from a No. 3 Fantasy guard to a No. 4 option at best if Augustin comes in and takes his job.

Udonis Haslem : Haslem could see some time at center with the Heat drafting Michael Beasley at No. 2 overall and Shawn Marion deciding to stay in Miami. But if the Heat goes with a more natural lineup, Haslem is on the bench with Beasley and Marion getting the most playing time. Haslem has always been a solid source of points and rebounds, but his stats will decrease following the draft unless he gets time at center.

Jeff Green : The Sonics spent their first-round pick on Russell Westbrook, who is listed as a point guard but is more of a combo guard. If Westbrook plays point guard, then Green will be fine. But Westbrook will likely see time at shooting guard, meaning Green will come off the bench. Green started to show flashes toward the end of his rookie season, but this move could stunt his development and hurt his Fantasy value.

Jamaal Tinsley : Tinsley went from the starting point guard in Indiana to possibly third on the depth chart following two trades involved with the draft. The Pacers added T.J. Ford in a trade for Jermaine O'Neal and Jarrett Jack in the trade for Jerryd Bayless. Tinsley, when healthy, has always been a starting Fantasy guard. But now he could either be traded or see plenty of time on the bench. His Fantasy value was significantly lowered following the draft.

 
 
 
Player News
Zach Randolph
Randolph cleared for non-contact drills
Zach Randolph, PF, MEM
5:22 PM
News: Grizzlies F Zach Randolph (knee) has been cleared to participate in non-contact basketball drills, reports the Memphis Commercial-Appeal. Randolph, who tore his MCL back in January, is expected to return sometime in March.
Analysis: Randolph continues to make significant progress from his knee injury and is on schedule to return in March. Obviously, Fantasy owners should keep a close eye on his progress moving forward to see when he will be able to get back on the court. Randolph can be considered a high-end Fantasy F, when healthy, so continue to stash him moving forward.

Kyrie Irving
Irving possible for Wednesday
Kyrie Irving, PG, CLE
2:47 PM
News: Cleveland G Kyrie Irving (concussion) participated in all non-contract drills during Monday's practice, but has yet to be cleared to return to game action, according to the Akron Beacon Journal. Irving has missed the past two games after being diagnosed with a concussion last Wednesday. With the Cavaliers' next game on Wednesday, he could be cleared for the outing with a positive showing in Tuesday's practice. "To me, he seems normal," Cleveland F Antawn Jamison said. "He's not going to be on the court unless he is 100 percent."
Analysis: Irving has now completed two straight days of light workouts as he continues to nurse his head injury. It appears he could be poised for a return on Wednesday, the first of only three games for Cleveland during Fantasy Week 8 (Feb. 13-19). Irving leads all rookies with 18.0 points per game this season and is also averaging 5.1 assists through 23 games. With his status still uncertain, he is a risky Fantasy option this scoring period.

Amar'e Stoudemire
Stoudemire shifts focus to court
Amar'e Stoudemire, PF, NY
12:09 PM
News: New York F Amar'e Stoudemire returned to practice Monday after spending the past week in Florida to mourn the death of his brother, according to Newsday. Stoudemire is expected to play in Tuesday's game at Toronto. "It feels good to be back on the basketball court," Stoudemire said. "I've been away for about a week now, so it feels good to be back." He is averaging 18.2 points and 8.1 rebounds per game this season.
Analysis: Stoudemire returns to the team at an interesting time as G Jeremy Lin has created tremendous buzz with his sterling production while Stoudemire and Carmelo Anthony have been sidelined. But Stoudemire could benefit from Lin's pick-and-roll ability and improve on his average of 7.0 field goals a game -- his lowest total since his rookie season (minimum 10 games). Consider Stoudemire a must-start in all Fantasy formats.

Raymond Felton
Felton remains starter -- for now
Raymond Felton, PG, POR
4:24 PM
News: Portland coach Nate McMillan said Monday that Blazers G Raymond Felton will remain in the starting lineup for Tuesday's game against Washington, according to The Oregonian. McMillan said over the weekend he was considering a shakeup to the starting lineup with G Jamal Crawford possibly replacing Felton. However, he changed his tune Monday. "I think he's the best guy at that position," McMillan said of Felton.
Analysis: Felton has been struggling recently and is averaging just 10.5 points over his past five games. He has been plagued by inconsistency throughout the season and posted more turnovers (three) than assists (two) during Portland's loss to Dallas on Saturday. Fantasy owners should expect a decrease in playing time for Felton as Crawford could receive more minutes. Consider Felton a low-end No. 2 Fantasy G for Week 8 (Feb. 13-19).

Nikola Pekovic
Pekovic keeps starting job
Nikola Pekovic, C, MIN
3:54 PM
News: According to the St. Paul Pioneer Press, Minnesota C Nikola Pekovic is expected to remain in the starting lineup when C Darko Milicic returns from an ankle injury. And Milicic is a supporter of the move. "He deserves to play," said Milicic, who is likely to return for Monday's game against Orlando. "He's playing in a great rhythm right now. I'm happy for him." Milicic has missed the Timberwolves' past four games.
Analysis: With Milicic sidelined, Pekovic has become a dominant scorer and provided Minnesota another strong low-post option with F Kevin Love. He is averaging 17.3 points and 9.8 rebounds over his past six games -- five of them with Milicic out -- while shooting a sterling 67.6 percent from the field. Fantasy owners should continue to add Pekovic in all formats and consider him a solid start heading into Week 8 (Feb. 13-19).

O.J. Mayo
Mayo misses all his shots
O.J. Mayo, SG, MEM
5:23 PM
News: Memphis guard O.J. Mayo had been playing with some semblance of consistency until his latest performance on Sunday against Utah. Mayo saw 23 minutes in that contest as he went 0 for 3 from the field and scored just two points on free throws. Mayo added one rebound, two assists and two blocks in that performance.
Analysis: Mayo scored in double figures in three of the four prior performances but had an ugly night all around against the Jazz. Mayo has a scoring average of 12.0 points per game for the year with 1.3 3-pointers and 3.2 rebounds. That is OK production, though Mayo is only at 9.8 points, 1.0 3-pointers and 3.8 rebounds over his last five. Not playing all that well right now, Mayo should only be actively used in deeper Fantasy formats.

Zaza Pachulia
Pachulia showing consistency
Zaza Pachulia, C, ATL
5:20 PM
News: Atlanta C Zaza Pachulia has been very consistent of late for the Hawks. Pachulia scored eight points and grabbed nine rebounds with a block on Sunday in a loss to Miami. He shot 4 of 4 from the field over 30 minutes in that game.
Analysis: Pachulia has averaged 7.4 points, 7.6 rebounds, 1.4 steals and has shot 52 percent from the field over his last five games. He's seeing around 32 minutes per night as the Hawks are thin up front. Pachulia has been starting and seeing significant run and as such should be active in a good amount of deeper Fantasy leagues.

Jason Thompson
Thompson struggling to score of late
Jason Thompson, PF, SAC
5:16 PM
News: Kings PF Jason Thompson has barely been able to score in double figures recently for Sacramento. Thompson scored just two points on 1 of 6 shooting over 19 minutes in his last game on Saturday against the Suns. He's averaging just 7.8 points per game over his last five.
Analysis: Thompson played 40 minutes on Feb. 4 against Golden State. He scored 15 points, grabbed 16 rebounds and took 13 shots in that performance. Unfortunately, he's taken just 21 shots in four games since with a grand total of 24 points scored over that stretch. Thompson is cold right now and should only be used in deeper Fantasy formats. For the season, Thompson is averaging 7.9 points and 5.8 rebounds.

Chase Budinger
Budinger comes back to Earth
Chase Budinger, SF, HOU
5:13 PM
News: Houston SF Chase Budinger has come back to Earth since notching a season-high 22 points last Wednesday at Portland. Budinger has totaled just 19 points in two games since. On Sunday, Budinger went 3 of 8 from the field with four rebounds as he scored seven points over 21 minutes at Golden State.
Analysis: Budinger is averaging 11.8 points per game over his last five contests. He had two solid efforts over that span and that has his scoring average up a bit from the 9.2 he averages on the season. Budinger gives Fantasy owners a cheap source of 3-point shooting as he nails almost one and a half threes per night. Outside of that, however, Budinger's value is limited to just the deeper formats and leagues.

Carlos Delfino
Delfino scoring inconsistently
Carlos Delfino, SG, MIL
5:08 PM
News: Bucks SF Carlos Delfino has been highly inconsistent over his last four games. Delfino scored seven points and went 1 for 3 from 3-point range over 16 minutes on Feb. 7 against Phoenix. He scored 25 points, hit six 3-pointers and grabbed nine rebounds with four steals over 34 minutes at Toronto in the next game. He followed that with just five points and one 3-pointer over 33 minutes as he shot 2 of 12 overall on Friday at Cleveland. Delfino then hit four 3-pointers and scored 12 points over 29 minutes in his last game Saturday against Orlando.
Analysis: Delfino is shooting 40 percent from the field for the year and nets anywhere between 1.5-2.5 3-pointers per game. He's a decent rebounder for a guard, though his scoring remains erratic, at best. While Delfino can fill up a stat sheet from time to time, owners should consider the 29-year-old merely a low-end in deeper formats at this point in the season as he is an inconsistent contributor.

 
 
 
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