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Jeff Lippman

Week 4 Fantasy Stockwatch

By | Fantasy Writer

All the rookie attention this season has gone to O.J. Mayo, Derrick Rose, Michael Beasley and Greg Oden. Rightfully so, but we're forgetting about two first-year players out of UCLA who are making immediate impacts with their respective teams.

I'm not talking about Kevin Love, either.

Love, the 5th overall pick in the NBA Draft, is averaging 9.4 points and 6.6 boards per game for Minnesota in a backup role. Not bad, but after leading the Bruins with 17.5 and 10.6 last year, he's not doing as well as his former teammates.

Oklahoma City point guard Russell Westbrook, the 4th overall pick, wasn't even a starter in Westwood until Darren Collison injured himself. Westbrook, a sophomore last season, scored 12.7 points per game and was known for his athleticism and defensive prowess. Westbrook could assume a starting role for the Thunder shortly and has been playing well averaging 15 points, five rebounds and five assists over his last three games.

But the player who has been the best in the early going from UCLA's rookie class has a name that is much harder to spell and pronounce then his former teammates and he's been doing some job in the absence of Michael Redd in Milwaukee.

Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, SF, Milwaukee
The man finished fifth on the Bruins in scoring last season with an average of 8.8 per game but is dropping 10.6 per over his first 11 NBA games. With Redd out of action, Mbah a Moute is doing even more for the Bucks. He's averaging 15 points, 11 rebounds and over a steal per game in his last three contests. He's played over 30 minutes per game in each of the last five games and has become a prominent figure in the Bucks rotation. He's been starting with Charlie Villanueva out and there is talk that could continue even when Villanueva returns. Mbah a Moute has earned his way into more playing time and should now be useful in Fantasy for the rest of the season.
Yao Ming, C, Houston
After averaging 22 points and almost 11 rebounds per game last season for the Rockets, Yao -- and teammates Ron Artest and Tracy McGrady, actually -- has been underachieving a bit after 10 games this year. Yao scored 21 on Saturday but is averaging just 15 points and 8.7 boards over his last six contests. He's even blocking fewer shots lately and is turning the ball over a little too much. He's not off by chasms; the numbers are just below what is expected from the No. 1 Fantasy center. That said, Houston has four games in Week 4 and Yao could be back to his old self in no time. He's still a must-start in Fantasy despite his slow start to the season.
Rasheed Wallace, C, Detroit
Fantasy owners who thought Wallace was slowly playing his way into irrelevance haven't noticed what he's done over his last two contests. Wallace's numbers for the season after nine games are solid at nearly 14 points and 9.3 boards but he's gone nuts lately. Wallace scored 19 points and grabbed 11 boards against Golden State and followed that with 25 and 13 against the Lakers. He's had at least one block in every game this season and is playing like one of the best three Fantasy centers and not like someone drafted after centers like Tyson Chandler and Andrew Bynum, who he ate up on Friday. Wallace and the Pistons play three times in Week 4 and he's very worthy of starting across the board.
Randy Foye, PG, Minnesota
It is almost inconceivable right now that Foye was chosen over Golden State big man Andris Biedrins -- who is featured later on this list as a stock up player -- but that is exactly the case. Foye was chosen as a No. 2 Fantasy point guard but has not played as such to start the year after eight games. Foye is averaging just 10 points and 5.4 assists per game this season. The assist totals are up from last year but the scoring is down and the Timberwolves could use his production after notching 13 per last season in just his second year in the league. He should be blossoming in his 3rd season but instead, he's playing under his potential. The Villanova product is still worth starting in deeper Fantasy leagues, but he is far from the breakout player we expected.
Andris Biedrins, C, Golden State
Talk about a candidate for breakout player of the year. Fantasy owners who drafted Biedrins in Round 8 or later should consider themselves winners already. Biedrins, who averaged about 10 points and 10 boards last season, his fourth in the league, is dropping almost 17 and 15 over his first 10 games this season. He hasn't had less than 15 rebounds in his last four games and he's adding a block and a half per game as well. Biedrins is playing like a top three Fantasy center right now and should be starting in all leagues right now. He's playing like an All-Star and if he is just your secondary center, as he was drafted, your Fantasy team is probably rocking and rolling right now.
Deron Williams, PG, Utah
This is not a good situation going on in Utah right now. Williams averaged 19 points and 10.5 assists last season and was among the first five players chosen in almost everyone's Fantasy draft this year. He missed the first six games of the season due to an ankle injury, returned to play in two games and sat out of Saturday's contest as coach Jerry Sloan admitted he allowed Williams to return too early. Williams obviously wasn't himself in the two games in which he played as he's averaging just 7.5 points and eight assists in the two games. His owners have had a huge gap in their roster for most of the year and he's now a major injury risk for Week 4.
Devin Harris, PG, New Jersey
Harris scored 38 points and dished out two assists on Nov. 7 against Detroit and missed the next three games with a sprained left ankle. Apparently, the time off -- and the Hawks -- did him a world of good. Harris came back on Friday against Atlanta and scored 30 points with eight assists. If that wasn't good enough, on Saturday he dropped 33 and 10 on the Hawks. That is three straight 30-point games for the Nets point guard and he's averaging 23 on the season. He's getting more and more comfortable in his first full year in the Garden State and is scoring like the best point guard in the league in the last week. He has become a must-start in Fantasy. The Nets play three times in Week 4 but Harris is still worth starting across the board.
Roger Mason, Jr., SG, San Antonio
Remember when Mason scored 26 points at Minnesota on Nov. 5? He followed that with an 18-point game and with the Spurs missing Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker, Fantasy owners rushed out to pick up Mason under the assumption he'd be the team's No. 2 scorer alongside Tim Duncan. Mason is now owned in 74 percent of Fantasy leagues and that is, frankly, way too many. All Mason has done since the 18-point game is average 8.3 points per game, and his last two were his worst outings of the entire season. He's not playing better in Parker's absence, he's actually playing worse and might be pressing just a bit with a lot of pressure placed on his head in his fifth year in the league. He's still averaging the best scoring numbers of his career after eight games, but he's not the guy who scored 26 against the Timberwolves. He's really only worth owning in the deepest of Fantasy leagues right now.
Jeff Green, SF, Oklahoma City
For a guy who wasn't even drafted among the first 30 small forwards in Fantasy this season, Thunder forward Jeff Green is playing like a No. 1 option this season after 10 games and has been even better of late. The Georgetown product is enjoying the team's move to Oklahoma City from Seattle in his sophomore season in the league as is averaging over 15 points and six boards per game. He's dropping 21 and seven over his last three games and he continues to improve with each passing week. He's even adding assists and steals to his game. He's still owned in just 83 percent of Fantasy leagues so if you have him available on waivers, get him now. This guy is going to be viable in Fantasy for a long time.
LaMarcus Aldridge, PF, Portland
We know, we know. Aldridge was listed as a stock up in last week's Stockwatch. Hey, that's what stocks do. They rise and fall like the sun and basketball players are no different. Last week, with Greg Oden hurt, Aldridge stepped up and averaged well over 20 points and 10 boards over a three-game stretch. The Blazers have now had Oden back for the last two games, at a limited capacity mind you, and Aldridge's stats have taken a nose dive. Aldridge scored 15 points and grabbed eight rebounds at New Orleans and followed that -- as Oden got more minutes -- with six points and six boards. Aldridge even played his fewest amount of minutes of the season and it seems the more Oden plays, the less Fantasy viable Aldridge becomes. He should still be owned in most Fantasy leagues and there is always the chance that Oden gets hurt again but with a healthy big man in the middle, Aldridge's stock can go nowhere but down.

Do you have a Fantasy Basketball question or comment for our staff of Fantasy writers? You can e-mail us at DMFantasyHoops@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Stockwatch in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Kyrie Irving
Irving possible for Wednesday
Kyrie Irving, PG, CLE
2:47 PM
News: Cleveland G Kyrie Irving (concussion) participated in all non-contract drills during Monday's practice, but has yet to be cleared to return to game action, according to the Akron Beacon Journal. Irving has missed the past two games after being diagnosed with a concussion last Wednesday. With the Cavaliers' next game on Wednesday, he could be cleared for the outing with a positive showing in Tuesday's practice. "To me, he seems normal," Cleveland F Antawn Jamison said. "He's not going to be on the court unless he is 100 percent."
Analysis: Irving has now completed two straight days of light workouts as he continues to nurse his head injury. It appears he could be poised for a return on Wednesday, the first of only three games for Cleveland during Fantasy Week 8 (Feb. 13-19). Irving leads all rookies with 18.0 points per game this season and is also averaging 5.1 assists through 23 games. With his status still uncertain, he is a risky Fantasy option this scoring period.

Amar'e Stoudemire
Stoudemire shifts focus to court
Amar'e Stoudemire, PF, NY
12:09 PM
News: New York F Amar'e Stoudemire returned to practice Monday after spending the past week in Florida to mourn the death of his brother, according to Newsday. Stoudemire is expected to play in Tuesday's game at Toronto. "It feels good to be back on the basketball court," Stoudemire said. "I've been away for about a week now, so it feels good to be back." He is averaging 18.2 points and 8.1 rebounds per game this season.
Analysis: Stoudemire returns to the team at an interesting time as G Jeremy Lin has created tremendous buzz with his sterling production while Stoudemire and Carmelo Anthony have been sidelined. But Stoudemire could benefit from Lin's pick-and-roll ability and improve on his average of 7.0 field goals a game -- his lowest total since his rookie season (minimum 10 games). Consider Stoudemire a must-start in all Fantasy formats.

Nikola Pekovic
Pekovic stays at starting point
Nikola Pekovic, C, MIN
3:54 PM
News: According to the St. Paul Pioneer Press, Minnesota C Nikola Pekovic is expected to remain in the starting lineup when C Darko Milicic returns from an ankle injury. And Milicic is a supporter of the move. "He deserves to play," said Milicic, who is likely to return for Monday's game against Orlando. "He's playing in a great rhythm right now. I'm happy for him." Milicic has missed the Timberwolves' past four games.
Analysis: With Milicic sidelined, Pekovic has become a dominant scorer and provided Minnesota another strong low-post option with F Kevin Love. He is averaging 17.3 points and 9.8 rebounds over his past six games -- five of them with Milicic out -- while shooting a sterling 67.6 percent from the field. Fantasy owners should continue to add Pekovic in all formats and consider him a solid start heading into Week 8 (Feb. 13-19).

Anderson Varejao
Cavs awaiting word on Varejao
Anderson Varejao, C, CLE
3:27 PM
News: Cavaliers coach Byron Scott said the team is unlikely to have an update on injured C Anderson Varejao (wrist) until later this week, according to the Cleveland Plain Dealer. Scott added he has not heard any discussion of Varejao having surgery after he suffered a broken wrist during Friday's game against Milwaukee. Varejao is sidelined indefinitely and C Semih Erden will start in his place Wednesday against Indiana.
Analysis: An MRI taken on Varejao's wrist revealed a non-displaced fracture, but the Cavaliers have yet to determine how long their starting center will be sidelined. The 29-year-old was enjoying a consistently productive season while averaging 10.8 points and 11.5 rebounds per game -- both career highs. It seems like he will miss Cleveland's three games during Fantasy Week 8 (Feb. 13-19) and should be reserved in all formats for now.

Steve Nash
Nash enjoying Sun shine
Steve Nash, PG, PHO
3:14 PM
News: Phoenix general manager Lon Babby said the team not expecting to move G Steve Nash in a trade unless the veteran asks for one, according to SI.com. Nash is currently in his eighth season during his second stint with Phoenix, but the team is unlikely to compete for a playoff spot this year. "Our position has been the same all along, which is I've told him that he has earned the right to stay with our franchise as long as he wants provided that he believes in what we're doing, and provided that he's all in and wants to do that," Babby said.
Analysis: Despite turning 38 years old earlier this month, Nash continues to produce his typical robust numbers and is averaging 14.6 points and 10.3 assists per game. He also ranks third in the NBA in shooting percentage with a sterling 56.3 clip this season. "I didn't think I'd ever play this long, let alone feel as well," Nash told SI.com. "I sacrifice a lot, and I work hard to try to stay at a high level." With Nash continuously defying his age this year, Fantasy owners should continue to roll with him as a must-start in all formats for Week 8 (Feb. 13-19).

Darko Milicic
Milicic to return off bench
Darko Milicic, C, MIN
4:11 PM
News: Minnesota C Darko Milicic (ankle) is expected to return to the lineup for Monday's game at Orlando, but will serve in a new role. According to the St. Paul Pioneer Press, Milicic will play off the bench while Nikola Pekovic remains the Timberwolves' starting center. Pekovic has emerged as a strong low-post threat and is averaging 17.3 points and 9.8 rebounds over his past six games -- five of those outings have come with Milicic out.
Analysis: It appears Minnesota's patience with Milicic finally ran out. Milicic has dealt with injuries and ineffectiveness throughout his career, and was averaging just 5.6 points and 4.2 rebounds per game this season. The 26-year-old said he was content with his move to the bench. "(Pekovic) deserves to play," he said. "He's playing in a great rhythm right now. I'm happy for him." Fantasy owners weren't relying much on Milicic anyway this season and should continue to consider him an afterthought in the majority of formats for now.

Ben Wallace
Last hurrah for Wallace
Ben Wallace, C, DET
4:02 PM
News: After weeks of speculation, Detroit F Ben Wallace insists this is his last season -- without a doubt. Wallace, 37, said he is looking forward to spending time with his family following the 2011-12 campaign, his 16th season in the NBA. He is tied with Avery Johnson for the most games played by an undrafted player since the NBA-ABA merger, and Wallace can break that mark Tuesday night when the Pistons host San Antonio.
Analysis: Although he wasn’t drafted, Wallace carved out a niche for himself as a tough defender around the basket and a sensational rebounder. He is a four-time NBA defensive player of the year and helped the Pistons win the 2004 championship. However, Wallace is well past the glory from earlier in his career and is averaging just 3.4 rebounds and 1.0 point per game this season. He should be left untouched in all Fantasy formats for now.

Jared Dudley
Dudley building confidence
Jared Dudley, SF, PHO
3:41 PM
News: After matching a season high with 20 points in a win over Sacramento on Saturday night, Phoenix G Jared Dudley said he is finally starting to develop a scoring rhythm. Dudley connected on 8 of 13 attempts from the field and made three shots from 3-point range to finish with his highest scoring output since Jan. 28. "My legs have gotten under me now," Dudley told the Arizona Republic. "I'm more locked in. I'm more aggressive. I know where my shots are coming from. Coach is running a couple more plays for me. The guys look for me and give me the ball off the dribble more. My confidence is growing."
Analysis: Dudley's improvement since returning to the starting lineup eight games ago has also made an impression on his teammates. "He's feeling more confident and more comfortable," Suns guard Steve Nash said. "He's been more decisive. He's taking the ball into the paint and making plays." Dudley remains a steady contributor from long range and is shooting 54.5 percent (12 for 22) in six games during the month of February. Fantasy owners should consider him a rising option in most formats while he's playing at a high level.

Jerryd Bayless
Bayless could return Tuesday
Jerryd Bayless, PG, TOR
3:02 PM
News: Raptors G Jerryd Bayless (ankle) is considered a game-time decision for Tuesday's contest against New York, according to the Toronto Sun. Bayless has missed the past two games while dealing with an ankle injury he suffered last Wednesday against Milwaukee.
Analysis: It's unclear what role Bayless will serve upon his return as Jose Calderon has shined at the point in his absence. Bayless, 23, missed 13 games earlier this season because of an ankle injury so the Raptors won't force him back to the court. Bayless netted 30 points during his last game against lowly Washington prior to the injury, and should be considered a low-end Fantasy option in deeper formats when healthy.

Keith Bogans
Bogans to be ready for camp
Keith Bogans, SG, NJ
2:52 PM
News: New Jersey G Keith Bogans had season-ending surgery Monday to repair his fractured left ankle and is expected to be prepared for the start of training camp next year, according to Yahoo Sports. He also suffered a complete tear of the deltoid ligament during a game last Wednesday.
Analysis: Bogans appeared in only five games for the Nets prior to the injury and was not an integral member of the rotation. He finished with averages of 4.2 points and 2.2 rebounds per game during his first season with New Jersey. He should be left untouched in all Fantasy formats.

 
 
 
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