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Jeff Lippman

Week 5 Fantasy Stockwatch

By | Fantasy Writer

You may have blinked this week and missed the quasi-blockbuster trade between the Golden State Warriors and New York Knicks. It involved many big-time Fantasy names.

The Knicks sent two major Fantasy contributors, Jamal Crawford and Zach Randolph, to the Warriors in exchange for Tim Thomas, Cuttino Mobley and bitter power forward Al Harrington.

The biggest winners in the trade? Those owners who have been grinding their teeth with Harrington sitting on his butt in Golden State now have the No. 2 Fantasy forward – or better – that they drafted.

Harrington was miserable in California and the switch to the East Coast has already heightened his spirits. In fact, the 27-year-old called the trade for Crawford a “dream come true.” Funny, last year nobody in their right mind would welcome a trade to the Knicks. Now they're the stuff dreams are made of. Playing for Golden State must be like a root canal.

On the other side of the trade, we don't expect the values of Crawford or Randolph to change much in their new surroundings. The Warriors are the closest thing to Knicks coach Mike D'Antoni's offensive scheme so they still figure to put up the points. Perhaps the biggest losers are already playing for the Warriors and will now have to take a backseat to the new guys.

Al Harrington, PF, N.Y. Knicks
Harrington will make his Broadway debut on Tuesday against LeBron James and Cleveland. He's still very young by NBA standards though he's already 10 full seasons with a career average of 13 points and 5.8 boards. Harrington was averaging slightly lower numbers this season for the Warriors but hasn't played in a game since Nov. 7 and was content to sit on the bench for the remainder of his days in Golden State. Well, he'll play Tuesday and we expect he'll do great in D'Antoni's system. He could be in line to break out, even, as he'll definitely score above his career average. Check the Knicks box scores, just about every player who gets minutes scores in double figures and Harrington will start right away. He's owned in just 80 percent of Fantasy leagues right now so buy, buy, buy.
Anthony Morrow, SG, Golden State
Morrow went from being owned in precisely zero Fantasy leagues over the year's first three weeks to being owned in 73 percent of CBSSports.com leagues right now. A 37-point, 11-rebound game followed by another game with 25 points tends to create that kind of frantic waiver wire rush. Well, Morrow only scored seven points and grabbed one rebound in 34 minutes against Chicago Friday and that comes before Jamal Crawford joins his new teammates and complicates the backcourt situation. Crawford will start for the Warriors meaning either Kelenna Azubuike or Morrow will be removed from the starting lineup. It really doesn't matter who will be removed because Morrow's numbers will take a hit in either case. We didn't expect him to really keep playing like an All-Star and now the Warriors don't need that kind of production from him. He's an obvious choice to lose stock in Fantasy.
Steve Blake, PG, Portland
Portland has always been Blake's third home -- after Miami and College Park, Md. -- as he's had his best seasons as a Trail Blazer. This season is no different as Blake is having his best season to date after 14 games as the starting point guard in Portland. The guard, ranked fifth on the NCAA's all-time assists list, is averaging over 11 points and four assists per game and is doing even better lately. In his last two contests, Blake has averaged 21 points and five assists. He's 10-of-18 on three-point attempts over those two games and shooting 50 percent from the field. His numbers will never blow you away but he brings the kind of consistency that Portland and Fantasy owners look for out of a point guard. He's still a lower-end option in Fantasy but he's definitely playing better than names like teammate Jerryd Bayless and Jordan Farmar, two players drafted above him in most Fantasy leagues.
Luis Scola, PF, Houston
The Rockets backup power forward Carl Landry could easily have been designated as a stock up player but listing Scola as a down is essentially the same thing. The two seem interchangeable in Houston. Scola has been the starter and he's got the better averages at 11.6 points and 6.4 rebounds per. But over the past two games, Landry has come off the bench to out-play Scola both in production and in minutes. Scola is averaging eight points and three rebounds over 18 minutes in those contests while Landry chipped in 26.5 minutes per those two games with 15 points and five boards. Both players are in their second year in the league and Scola probably has more upside, at least as far as the Rockets are concerned, but for the time being, Scola is getting less minutes and giving way to the former Purdue Boilermaker.
Andrew Bogut, C, Milwaukee
Going two straight games with fewer than 10 rebounds did not sit well with the Australian center in his fourth NBA season. So Bogut went out against Utah and scored 16 points with 20 boards. He hasn't stopped rebounding since. Bogut is averaging 18 rebounds over his last three games, which is a ridiculous number. He wouldn't have to score at all with that kind of glass production but he's been dropping 14 points over those contests as well, which comes in well above his season's average. He's been the best rebounder in basketball over the past week or so and his stock is definitely soaring right now for the Bucks.
Tayshaun Prince, SF, Detroit
Prince is averaging 15.2 points and 7.4 rebounds for Detroit this season after 12 games, by far the best numbers of his career. He's down, though, because he's stopped producing at those rates, at least over the last three games. In those contests he's getting just 7.7 points and five rebounds and that was compounded by the four points he scored over 33 minutes against Boston in Detroit's last loss. What could be the reason for his hot start and recent cool down? How about Allen Iverson. With the added scoring A.I. brings to the table, it makes sense that Prince's points have gone down. He's got a career scoring average of over 12 points per game, so we still expect him to finish this season around those numbers. He just needs to learn to score with Iverson on the court.
Andrea Bargnani, PF, Toronto
Bargnani is pretty much as hot as you can get right now. The Italian power forward, who also has Fantasy eligibility at center, is about to gain another position in leagues that allow it. The Raptors have been starting him at small forward over Jamario Moon for the past four games and one more makes him triple-eligible. Add in the fact that the change in position has catapulted his stats to All-Star heights and Bargnani deserves to be picked up in all of the 26 percent of Fantasy leagues in which he's still available. The seven-footer is averaging 27 points and seven boards in the last two games and is adding 1.5 blocks. As a triple-eligible player with stats like these, Bargnani becomes one of the most versatile Fantasy big men in the game.
Rodney Stuckey, PG, Detroit
Allen Iverson was supposed to cure what ailed the Pistons with Chauncey Billups running the show. If A.I. has been any kind of medical treatment it would be that of a leech. He sucks the scoring out of every other player on the team. To a lesser extent than Prince above, Stuckey was doing a lot better with Billups at the point. He was always supposed to be a back up this season with the hope that he'd be the leader of the future for the Pistons but he was already becoming viable in Fantasy, until Iverson arrived, that is. In his last four games, his minutes have dropped to 19.5, two under his season average, and his scoring is coming in at 6.5 points in those contests with a zero-point effort in 15 minutes against Boston in his last game. He added five turnovers in that game and is obviously out of sync in his new role. It looks like the bottom line is that with Iverson playing, Stuckey will continue to have very limited Fantasy appeal.
Jameer Nelson, PG, Orlando
People, pick Nelson up off the waiver wire. Now. What are you waiting for? He's playing the best basketball of his entire career and he's the ninth best scoring point guard over the last week and change of action. So why is he only owned in 86 percent of leagues? Nelson is averaging 20 points, four rebounds and 4.8 assists per game over his last six contests and that makes him one of the hottest point guards in the NBA right now. And he's doing that while still shooting his worst career percentage from three-point range. Once he starts connecting from deep, watch out. Nelson should stay among the top point guards in Fantasy all season. He's currently dealing with a groin injury, but it shouldn't keep him out of action for long.
Adam Morrison, SF, Charlotte
He was the third overall pick in the 2006 NBA Draft after being named NCAA Player of the Year at Gonzaga during his third and final season in college. As a rookie for the Bobcats he was a bit disappointing but still showed off that scoring penchant by averaging 11.8 points per game. Morrison tore his ACL in his next season and missed the entire year. He's back for Charlotte but he doesn't seem to be in coach Larry Brown's plans. Brown loves a defensive player and Morrison might actually be allergic to putting his hands up and stopping those with the ball. That has caused Morrison to play just an average of 13 minutes per game over his last three contests and his production is plummeting from already low numbers. Morrison played 21 minutes in the Bobcats last game and failed to score on 0-for-6 shooting. He had a total of four points in the two games before that. He doesn't do anything other than score for Fantasy purposes and since he's been doing that poorly lately as well, Morrison is not someone to consider using and can officially be labeled a bust draft pick for the NBA's newest team.

Do you have a Fantasy Basketball question or comment for our staff of Fantasy writers? You can e-mail us at DMFantasyHoops@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Stockwatch in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Derrick Rose
Nothing structurally wrong with Rose
Derrick Rose, PG, CHI
5:44 PM
News: Bulls PG Derrick Rose visited a back specialist on Monday and the doctor confirmed the original diagnosis, reports the Chicago Tribune. Rose is dealing with lower back spasms and nothing greater. There is nothing structurally wrong with his back. Rose is considered day to day going forward for the Bulls.
Analysis: Rose has already missed consecutive games and Tuesday's contest against the Kings is also greatly in doubt at this point. It is definitely good news that Rose doesn't have anything worse wrong with him, but this has already been nagging and annoying enough to bother both the guard and his Fantasy owners. Rose has already missed seven games this season with an eighth a real possibility. Still, you know he'll play if it is humanly possible and that counts for something. Rose remains a must-start Fantasy option and he shouldn't miss too much more time following his visit to the doctor.

Zach Randolph
Randolph cleared for non-contact drills
Zach Randolph, PF, MEM
5:22 PM
News: Grizzlies F Zach Randolph (knee) has been cleared to participate in non-contact basketball drills, reports the Memphis Commercial-Appeal. Randolph, who tore his MCL back in January, is expected to return sometime in March. He is expected to be cleared for full-contact drills sometime over the next two weeks.
Analysis: Randolph continues to make significant progress from his knee injury and is on schedule to return in March, barring any setbacks. Obviously, Fantasy owners should keep a close eye on his progress moving forward to see when he will be able to get back on the court. Randolph can be considered a high-end Fantasy F, when healthy, so continue to stash him moving forward.

Kyrie Irving
Irving possible for Wednesday
Kyrie Irving, PG, CLE
2:47 PM
News: Cleveland G Kyrie Irving (concussion) participated in all non-contract drills during Monday's practice, but has yet to be cleared to return to game action, according to the Akron Beacon Journal. Irving has missed the past two games after being diagnosed with a concussion last Wednesday. With the Cavaliers' next game on Wednesday, he could be cleared for the outing with a positive showing in Tuesday's practice. "To me, he seems normal," Cleveland F Antawn Jamison said. "He's not going to be on the court unless he is 100 percent."
Analysis: Irving has now completed two straight days of light workouts as he continues to nurse his head injury. It appears he could be poised for a return on Wednesday, the first of only three games for Cleveland during Fantasy Week 8 (Feb. 13-19). Irving leads all rookies with 18.0 points per game this season and is also averaging 5.1 assists through 23 games. With his status still uncertain, he is a risky Fantasy option this scoring period.

Amar'e Stoudemire
Stoudemire shifts focus to court
Amar'e Stoudemire, PF, NY
12:09 PM
News: New York F Amar'e Stoudemire returned to practice Monday after spending the past week in Florida to mourn the death of his brother, according to Newsday. Stoudemire is expected to play in Tuesday's game at Toronto. "It feels good to be back on the basketball court," Stoudemire said. "I've been away for about a week now, so it feels good to be back." He is averaging 18.2 points and 8.1 rebounds per game this season.
Analysis: Stoudemire returns to the team at an interesting time as G Jeremy Lin has created tremendous buzz with his sterling production while Stoudemire and Carmelo Anthony have been sidelined. But Stoudemire could benefit from Lin's pick-and-roll ability and improve on his average of 7.0 field goals a game -- his lowest total since his rookie season (minimum 10 games). Consider Stoudemire a must-start in all Fantasy formats.

Martell Webster
Webster gets first start for Wolves
Martell Webster, SG, MIN
5:57 PM
News: Minnesota SF Martell Webster made his first start of the season on Monday night at Orlando in place of guard Luke Ridnour, who is away from the team. Webster played 10 minutes in the team's previous game Saturday against New York. He went 1 for 1 from the field with a 3-pointer for three points with one rebound in that game.
Analysis: Webster entered his first start having averaged fewer than five points per game on the year over 14 minutes. We expect him to get back to that kind of limited production once his starting gig is through and Ridnour back. For that reason, we don't see Webster's Fantasy value rising any with this news.

Raymond Felton
Felton remains starter -- for now
Raymond Felton, PG, POR
4:24 PM
News: Portland coach Nate McMillan said Monday that Blazers G Raymond Felton will remain in the starting lineup for Tuesday's game against Washington, according to The Oregonian. McMillan said over the weekend he was considering a shakeup to the starting lineup with G Jamal Crawford possibly replacing Felton. However, he changed his tune Monday. "I think he's the best guy at that position," McMillan said of Felton.
Analysis: Felton has been struggling recently and is averaging just 10.5 points over his past five games. He has been plagued by inconsistency throughout the season and posted more turnovers (three) than assists (two) during Portland's loss to Dallas on Saturday. Fantasy owners should expect a decrease in playing time for Felton as Crawford could receive more minutes. Consider Felton a low-end No. 2 Fantasy G for Week 8 (Feb. 13-19).

Jamal Crawford
Crawford studies the PG position
Jamal Crawford, SG, POR
5:49 PM
News: Portland guard Jamal Crawford sat down and reviewed film with coach Nate McMillan to concentrate on point guard play on Monday, reports the Oregonian. McMillan has reiterated that he's sticking with starting PG Raymond Felton for the time being, however.
Analysis: Felton is slumping and a lot of people are suggesting he's nearing being replaced at the point by Crawford. While McMillan has been clear that isn't happening just yet, it doesn't mean Crawford won't get a boost in minutes in that spot. The coach did have Crawford reviewing tape and that wasn't for nothing. The 31-year-old Crawford is averaging 19.2 points, 5.8 assists and 1.8 3-pointers per night over his last five games while getting 35 minutes in those contests. Should he get even more responsibility, Crawford's Fantasy value would go through the roof. He can be active in many 10- and 12-team Fantasy formats already.

Joakim Noah
Noah playing at high level again
Joakim Noah, C, CHI
5:37 PM
News: Bulls C Joakim Noah scored 16 points and grabbed nine rebounds on Sunday at Boston. On Monday, ESPN.com reports Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau praised Noah and said his center is "back to where he was at [the beginning] of last season."
Analysis: Noah failed to record a double-double in what would have been his third consecutive game Sunday. Still, Noah is averaging 13.8 points and 10.8 rebounds per night over his last five. He's shooting 65 percent over that span with 2.4 assists per game as well. He should be active in just about all Fantasy formats at this time.

Kosta Koufos
Koufos getting on boards for Denver
Kosta Koufos, C, DEN
5:27 PM
News: Denver C Kosta Koufos has really improved his rebounding of late for the Nuggets. Koufos played 26 minutes in his last game on Saturday as he scored seven points on 3 of 4 shooting with seven rebounds. Koufos is averaging 7.4 rebounds per game over his last five. He's only averaging 4.6 rebounds per game on the season.
Analysis: Koufos has seen an overall increase in production of late with 8.0 points, 7.4 rebounds, 1.4 blocks while shooting 63 percent from the field over his last five games. Playing more and sometimes starting with Timofey Mozgov and Chris Andersen injured, Koufos has become worthy of some Fantasy usage in the deepest formats. He's only currently owned in 9 percent of Fantasy leagues.

Nikola Pekovic
Pekovic keeps starting job
Nikola Pekovic, C, MIN
3:54 PM
News: According to the St. Paul Pioneer Press, Minnesota C Nikola Pekovic is expected to remain in the starting lineup when C Darko Milicic returns from an ankle injury. And Milicic is a supporter of the move. "He deserves to play," said Milicic, who is likely to return for Monday's game against Orlando. "He's playing in a great rhythm right now. I'm happy for him." Milicic has missed the Timberwolves' past four games.
Analysis: With Milicic sidelined, Pekovic has become a dominant scorer and provided Minnesota another strong low-post option with F Kevin Love. He is averaging 17.3 points and 9.8 rebounds over his past six games -- five of them with Milicic out -- while shooting a sterling 67.6 percent from the field. Fantasy owners should continue to add Pekovic in all formats and consider him a solid start heading into Week 8 (Feb. 13-19).

 
 
 
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