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Jeff Lippman

Stockwatch: Oden is what he is

By | Fantasy Writer

The Houston Rockets have a stacked offense. With Yao Ming, Tracy McGrady, the addition of Ron Artest and Luis Scola, there simply was no room for Rafer Alston to do anything but pass. Because of that, Alston saw his scoring average dip from 13 points per game last year to just over 10 this season. His assists have been down, too. Go figure.

Injuries have a way of changing the makeup of NBA lineups and for Houston, with T-Mac now out for at least the next three weeks, they're just happy to have a guy like Alston who can pick up the slack.

And pick up the slack he has.

Rafer Alston, PG, Houston
The man who used to be called "Skip To My Lou" in his AND1 mix tape days has been bringing his showboat game -- and often times attitude -- to the Rockets for four years now but was expected to have his smallest role on this year's team with the new additions. He's still averaging just over 10 points per game, his lowest numbers since coming to the Rockets, but has assumed a scorer's role once again with McGrady out of the lineup for three weeks. Alston has averaged over 18 points per game over his last three hitting 11 threes over that span. He's even slightly increased his assist numbers with T-Mac out. Alston is still available in 20 percent of CBSSports.com Fantasy leagues and should be picked up now in all leagues until McGrady comes back.
Greg Oden, C, Portland
Entering Week 7 of the NBA season, we finally have a decent read on what Oden's rookie season in the NBA will be like. And it only took two years. The bad news, however, is that Oden will likely not finish in the top three in NBA Rookie of the Year voting. He was far and away the most highly sought after rookie in Fantasy drafts before the season, but Oden is completely healthy now and it just seems he won't have the immediate impact most expected. Sure, he'll give you the occasional double-double but he'll also come out the next night and play 18 minutes and score two points with five boards. The Trail Blazers can afford to bring him along slowly since their offense has been top-notch even without the big man. Oden is averaging 7.8 points and 9.0 rebounds over his last four games and that is what you can expect out of him for now. That's still worth owning in all Fantasy leagues, but you might not use him if you have two solid centers.
Jose Juan Barea, PG, Dallas
You have to be careful with a situation like Barea's in Dallas. Yes, his stock is definitely way up after scoring 15, 18 and 22 points in three straight games. But Barea is seeing an increase in minutes because Josh Howard has been out. Howard expects to be back any day now and that could immediately send Barea back to Fantasy irrelevance. However, he has done such a great job in Howard's absence, he's definitely going to get more playing time than before. "The thing I like about Barea is his decision-making has continued to improve since training camp," Dallas coach Rick Carlisle said after Saturday's game. "He made a lot of good things happen." Even if his value won't be as high as his production over the last few games, his stock is still far higher than it was a few weeks ago.
Mike Miller, SG, Minnesota
Miller's knee is really bothering him. He's averaged just nine points and five boards over his last three games and has since sat out the last two contests for the Timberwolves. He wanted to return for Saturday's game but was held out of the lineup and has said that even if he returns over the next scoring period, it will be at less than 100 percent health. Miller will likely be active but won't be nearly the same player until that knee fully heals. Until he can sustain health and production for a few games straight, he's a risky play in Fantasy and should be overlooked for other options.
Marcus Camby, C, L.A. Clippers
Camby's production isn't going anywhere this season. He's as valuable in Fantasy as ever. In fact, over the last week of action, Camby has been the top Fantasy center in basketball. Chris Kaman may be out and the Clippers may have added Zach Randolph, but neither is going to stop Camby from doing what he does game in and game out. He's a double-double machine with five in his last six games. Over that span he's averaging over 12 points and 13 rebounds per game and adding an incredible four blocks to boot. Many Fantasy owners have felt that Camby wouldn't be the same player that he was in Denver, but in fact, Camby has been every bit as good.
Samuel Dalembert, C, Philadelphia
Dalembert is exactly what is wrong with Philadelphia thus far this season. He is the prime example of how the franchise has only subtracted with the addition of Elton Brand. Almost every player on the Sixers have taken a step back thus far but Dalembert, who averaged over 10 points per game and about nine rebounds over his last two seasons, has taken the greatest plunge. Dalembert has failed to score in three of his last six games and has added just 4.2 boards per over those contests. The Sixers have begun to limit his minutes because of his poor play and right now he doesn't even look worthy of being owned in Fantasy, let alone being the low-end No. 1 center many figured he'd be to start the season.
Andre Iguodala, SF, Philadelphia
Almost the entire Sixers team has seen their stock plummet this season and for much of the early going, Iguodala was one of them. That will happen when you average 20 points per game last season and struggle to achieve even half that number this year. But with the rest of the Sixers still wallowing in mediocrity, Iggy has finally started to pick up the pace. Over his last four games, Iguodala has almost 20 points and is adding over eight rebounds, almost five assists and a block. He's still a Rotisserie stud and is now scoring like the man Fantasy owners expected when they drafted him with a top pick. His scoring average should only continue to rise as the Sixers desperately need his production.
Mo Williams, PG, Cleveland
We very easily could have listed Daniel Gibson as a stock up here because he's the reason Williams' numbers have taken a hit recently. Well, part of it is Williams' poor play as well. Cleveland's starting point guard is still averaging over 15 points per game this season, but that number has dropped to under 13 over his last four contests. Plus, he hasn't played over 30 minutes in his last three contests with Gibson getting more time on the court. The fact that he already was doing little in the way of assists and rebounds only compounds his down arrow. We expect him to bounce back, but right now, Gibson is making a case to take over his starting spot in the lineup.
Rajon Rondo, PG, Boston
Rondo came into this season with a decent amount of hype after helping lead the Celtics to an NBA title and averaging over 10 points and five assists per game last year. Right now, however, he's playing like a must-start guard in all leagues and is officially one of the league's best all-around point guards. Two games ago, Rondo recorded his first-ever -- but definitely not his last -- triple-double with 16 points, 13 boards and 17 assists. He's averaging 16 points, over eight rebounds and 12 assists over his last three games and is getting a good number of steals and shooting well over 50 percent. Rondo should be starting in all Fantasy leagues on most occasions and it figures to stay that way for the former Kentucky Wildcat.
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, SF, Milwaukee
The Bucks are thanking their stars they finally have Michael Redd back in the starting lineup. Mbah a Moute Fantasy owners, however, are cursing under their breath. Since Redd's return, the UCLA rookie has taken a steep decline since starting off the year so hot. He's averaging under four points per game over his last five contests and his minutes continue to dwindle culminating in just four against the Bobcats on Friday night. He's young and talented and surely can find more minutes as the season wears on, but for right now, it looks like the Bucks are content to shy away from the rookie and you probably should too.

Do you have a Fantasy Basketball question or comment for our staff of Fantasy writers? You can e-mail us at DMFantasyHoops@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Stockwatch in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Derrick Rose
Rose to visit back specialist
Derrick Rose, PG, CHI
2:11 PM
News: Chicago PG Derrick Rose (back) had to miss Sunday's game at Boston, reports the Chicago Tribune. Rose gave an ominous sign on Saturday saying he was unsure if he would be able to play Sunday. He was correct as he had to miss a second straight game. Rose's back continues to be stiff and sore for the superstar and he will visit a back specialist on Monday. Rose could miss a few more games before his return. "You're always concerned," Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau said. "It's something he has had before. He had it when he was in high school. We're hopeful it will get cleared up quickly but we're not sure."
Analysis: Rose has now missed seven games this season due to toe and back injuries. He was thought to have entered the season in the best shape of his career, but has continued to come up with nagging bumps and bruises. "This is the most I've ever been injured," he said. "It's frustrating knowing I worked so hard. I hate missing games, especially when we're playing against great teams. I hate missing any game." The good news is that Rose truly does hate missing games. Owners can feel good knowing that he'll be out there if he can play at all. That said, he could miss some more time going forward, so owners might consider sitting him for the upcoming scoring period. Rose remains a must-start Fantasy option, when healthy.

Rajon Rondo
Rondo has monster triple-double
Rajon Rondo, PG, BOS
6:15 PM
News: Boston PG Rajon Rondo had a monster performance on Sunday afternoon to help beat the Chicago Bulls. Rondo did his damage as Derrick Rose missed the game for Chicago, but the results were still incredible as he scored 32 points, dished out 15 assists and grabbed 10 rebounds for a triple-double. Rondo went 11 of 22 from the field and 10 of 13 from the line in the win. He added two steals and had five turnovers for the Celtics in the win. It was just the 10th time since 1986 that an NBA player recorded at least 30 points, 15 assists and 10 rebounds.
Analysis: Rondo had another silly performance on Sunday. When he wants to score, he can score with anyone and could be a 20-plus point-per-game scorer. As it stands, Rondo is averaging around 13 points per game on the year. Still, that comes with around 10 assists per game with a couple steals. He's not having his all-around awesome usual season, but Rondo remains a must-start Fantasy PG for use at all times for games just like the one he put up on Sunday.

Brandon Bass
Bass to miss two weeks due to knee
Brandon Bass, PF, BOS
2:35 PM
News: Boston PF Brandon Bass will miss two weeks of action due to his sore knee, reports the Boston Globe on Sunday. Bass missed Sunday's game against the Bulls. Bass played 30 minutes on Friday at Toronto and scored 10 points with seven rebounds.
Analysis: Bass was trying to play through his knee injury and apparently that caused a setback that will keep him out for at least two weeks now. That will see Bass out until at least the end of February. Bass was averaging 11.6 points and 6.1 rebounds per game over 29 minutes for the Celtics on the year. When healthy, he has plenty of value in deeper Fantasy formats.

John Wall
Wall dishes it out vs. Pistons
John Wall, PG, WAS
9:31 PM
News: Wizards G John Wall did not have his finest scoring performance on Sunday against the Pistons but he helped his teammates get their points. He dished out a season-high 15 assists and finished with nine points in the 98-77 win. He went just 3 for 10 from the floor, including missing his lone attempt from downtown, but made all three of his free throws. Wall also chipped in with five rebounds, two steals and two blocks while playing 39 minutes.
Analysis: Wall scored in single digits for just the fifth time this season on Sunday but he was able to fill up the stat sheet very nicely for owners. He is averaging 19.6 points with nine assists, 3.4 rebounds and 1.4 steals in his last five contests, and is shooting 49 percent over that span. The 21-year-old has turned into one of the more exciting point guards in the league and he will have his hands full in Week 8 (Feb. 13-19). With games against the Trail Blazers, Clippers and Jazz on the schedule, continue to roll with Wall as a must-start Fantasy G.

Nick Young
Young scores in 20s once again
Nick Young, SG, WAS
9:47 PM
News: Wizards G Nick Young scored 20-plus points for the fifth time in his last seven games on Sunday against the Pistons. He finished with 22 points and three rebounds in the 98-77 win. He went 8 for 13 from the floor, including 3 for 6 from beyond the arc, and made all three of his free throws. Young, who played 31 minutes, also chipped in with two steals and an assist in the victory.
Analysis: Young has been able to find his scoring stroke again in recent weeks and is now averaging 17.3 points on the year. He is putting up 18.8 points with 3.2 rebounds and one steal in his last five contests, despite shooting just 40 percent from the field over that span. His shooting percentage has been down all around thus far but being a high-volume shooter, he will continue to get his looks on a nightly basis. While he does not contribute a ton in other categories, continue to roll with Young as a low-end option in larger Fantasy formats heading into Week 8 (Feb. 13-19).

JaVale McGee
McGee with another big double-double
JaVale McGee, C, WAS
9:38 PM
News: After posting his first double-double of February his last time out, Wizards C JaVale McGee had another solid night on Sunday against the Pistons. He scored 22 points and hauled in 11 rebounds in the 98-77 win. He was an efficient 10 for 13 from the field and made 2 of 3 free throws while playing 35 minutes. McGee also posted two blocks in the victory.
Analysis: McGee has been able to show owners over the last two games what he is capable of when he is on his game. The athletic big man has the skills to average a double-double on a nightly basis and is one of the better shot-blockers in the NBA. While his inconsistencies hurt his value, the upside of the 24-year-old is what makes him so attractive in Fantasy. With the Trail Blazers, Clippers and Jazz on the schedule for Week 8 (Feb. 13-19), consider getting McGee active in larger formats.

Rashard Lewis
Lewis scores double digits in return
Rashard Lewis, PF, WAS
9:22 PM
News: After missing the previous three games due to a knee injury, Wizards F Rashard Lewis returned on Sunday night against the Pistons. He scored 10 points while playing 12 minutes off the bench during the 98-77 win. He went 3 for 5 from the field, including 2 for 4 from downtown, and made both of his free throws. Lewis also hauled in three rebounds in the victory.
Analysis: Lewis has dealt with this knee injury for most of the season but he showed no signs of it on Sunday. It was his first time scoring in double digits since Feb. 1, and marked just the ninth time he had done so this season. The 32-year-old should be able to increase his minutes going forward but since he is not counted on for much scoring in Washington, continue to ignore Lewis in all but the deepest of Fantasy formats.

C.J. Watson
Watson drops 22 without Rose
C.J. Watson, PG, CHI
6:33 PM
News: Chicago PG C.J. Watson saw 42 minutes on the court on Sunday against Boston with Derrick Rose missing his second consecutive ballgame. Watson did not shoot well in the loss to the Celtics, but did score 22 points in the game. He went 8 of 23 from the field and 3 of 7 from long range. Watson added six assists for the Bulls.
Analysis: Watson may have scored 22 points, but it was clear the Bulls were lacking at the PG position without Rose. Watson is playing well Fantasy-wise over his last five games. Over that stretch, he's averaging 11.6 points, 6.4 assists and 3.0 rebounds with almost two 3-pointers per night. The healthier Rose is, the worse-off Watson will become. That said, Rose is really struggling with back right now. Watson has definite immediate Fantasy value in deeper formats.

Kyle Korver
Korver hits just one 3-pointer
Kyle Korver, SG, CHI
6:30 PM
News: Bulls guard Kyle Korver made just one shot on Sunday in a loss to the Celtics. Korver went 1 for 5 from the field over 19 minutes on the court. His lone make came from deep and he finished with three points. Korver added five rebounds, one assist and one steal in the performance for Chicago.
Analysis: The 30-year-old Korver has scored in double figures a few times over his last five games but is still averaging only 9.8 points per game over that span. That is a boost from his season average. Fantasy owners have Korver for his near-2.0 3-pointers per game. Outside of that, Korver has little Fantasy value.

Luol Deng
Deng streaking poorly with shot
Luol Deng, SF, CHI
6:28 PM
News: Chicago SF Luol Deng did not have a great performance on Sunday during a loss against the Celtics. Without the services of Derrick Rose, the Bulls fell to the Celtics. Deng shot just 3 of 12 from the field over 43 minutes to score 10 points. He grabbed five rebounds and had four assists in the performance for the Bulls. Deng added a steal and a blocked shot.
Analysis: Deng has shot just 12 for 35 over his last three games for the Bulls. When he's not hitting his shots, his scoring goes down the tubes. Still, he's averaging close to 16 points per game on the year and that comes with 7.1 rebounds, 1.2 steals and a 3-pointer per night. He'll have some good games and bad games, but Deng remains a solid start across the board in Fantasy.

 
 
 
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