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Jamey Eisenberg

What you should take from the NBA playoffs

By | Senior Fantasy Writer

The NBA playoffs are usually when Fantasy owners can relax. The season is over, your work is done and there's not much you can do to improve your roster. Or is there?

Every good Fantasy owner knows this is the time to do your homework. This is the time to find out who can help you next year based on what happens in the playoffs.

LeBron James and Kobe Bryant are still elite players, but what about guys like Mo Williams and Andrew Bynum? The perception is they have struggled in the playoffs and it could hurt their Fantasy value next season.

Glen Davis turned it up in the playoffs, but what will Kevin Garnett's return do to his value? (Getty Images)  
Glen Davis turned it up in the playoffs, but what will Kevin Garnett's return do to his value? (Getty Images)  
Williams, for example, hasn't scored at the same level he did in the regular season, when he averaged 17.8 points compared to 15.6 in the playoffs, and his confidence appears shaken. But his assists (4.1 in the regular season and 4.3 in the playoffs) and rebounds (3.4 for both) have been almost identical. Williams should still perform at a high level in the regular season and will remain a No. 2 Fantasy guard.

Bynum has struggled in the playoffs but he's not fully recovered from the knee injury that cost him 32 games. He averaged 14.3 points, 8.0 rebounds and 1.8 blocks during the season but only 6.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.0 blocks in the playoffs. He'll be fine once next year starts and should still be considered a No. 2 Fantasy center in all leagues. When he's healthy, he's a dominant force, and we saw that last year.

In Boston, Glen Davis had a tremendous playoff run, including a game-winning shot against Orlando. But Davis saw his stats rise with Kevin Garnett (knee) out. Davis, who averaged 15.8 points and 5.6 rebounds in the playoffs compared to 7.0 points and 4.0 rebounds in the regular season, is a restricted free agent this offseason. If he returns to the Celtics as expected, he'll see a boost in production but not enough to make him a Fantasy starter as long as Garnett is around.

We can envision a scenario with Garnett playing around 30 minutes a game to make sure he's ready for the playoffs, which will lower his Fantasy value to a No. 2 forward, but he's still the focal point of Boston's offense. Davis will get increased playing time behind Garnett and Kendrick Perkins, but he's still a No. 4 Fantasy option at best.

But Davis' teammate, Rajon Rondo, has seen his Fantasy value rise in the playoffs, along with Houston's Aaron Brooks and Luis Scola, Mickael Pietrus of the Magic and Denver's J.R. Smith. These five players have stepped up in the postseason and will be solid Fantasy options next year.

Aaron Brooks, G, Houston Rockets
Brooks gets a boost in Fantasy value because he's now the starting point guard with Rafer Alston in Orlando. He also could continue to score at a high level with Tracy McGrady (knee) not expected to be ready for the start of the season. And if Ron Artest leaves as a free agent, Brooks will shine. Brooks has the potential to be a No. 2 Fantasy guard if his assist total can match his scoring output. Coach Rick Adelman said in the Houston Chronicle he is confident the improvement will come for Brooks. "He's a starting point guard in this league," Adelman said. "He's just going to get better."
Regular season stats: 11.2 points, 3.0 assists, 2.0 rebounds
Playoff stats: 16.8 points, 3.4 assists, 2.6 rebounds
Final regular season CBSSports.com Owned/Started Percentage: 56/22 percent

Mickael Pietrus, G, Orlando Magic
Pietrus was expected to be the starting shooting guard for the Magic this year before injuries limited him to 54 games and opened the door for rookie Courtney Lee. But Pietrus has shown he deserves to be on the court at the end of games, and his play in the playoffs is proof of that. He's a good three-point shooter and a versatile scorer and would be worth using as a No. 3 Fantasy guard if his rebound and assist totals could improve. There's a chance Hedo Turkoglu could leave as a free agent, which would allow Pietrus to be even better. He's a definite sleeper next year and is worth a late-round pick.
Regular season stats: 9.4 points, 3.3 rebounds, 1.2 assists
Playoff stats: 10.1 points, 2.6 rebounds, 1.0 assists
Final regular season CBSSports.com Owned/Started Percentage: 24/7 percent

Rajon Rondo, G, Boston Celtics
Rondo had a breakout regular season, but he took his game to another level in the playoffs. He had three triple-doubles, and his rebound totals skyrocketed with Kevin Garnett (knee) out. While those stats will come down, he'll still produce at a high level. He was worthy of consideration as a No. 2 Fantasy guard next year, but now he's on the cusp of a No. 1 option. It wouldn't be a surprise if he's drafted in the second round in all formats. His shooting will continue to improve, and he's a triple-double threat every time he steps on the court. He's no longer an afterthought in the Celtics offense.
Regular season stats: 11.9 points, 8.2 assists, 5.2 rebounds
Playoff stats: 16.9 points, 9.8 assists, 9.7 rebounds
Final regular season CBSSports.com Owned/Started Percentage: 98/72 percent

Luis Scola, F, Houston Rockets
Scola improved each of his first two seasons in the NBA but got a chance to display his game to a national audience (non-Olympics) with the Rockets finally getting past the first round. He's a double-double threat and has the potential to average 15.0 points and 10.0 rebounds for the season. Scola took advantage of Yao Ming (leg) getting hurt against the Lakers when he had four double-doubles in the second round. He has become a solid No. 2 Fantasy forward and is worth drafting around Round 5 or 6 in all formats.
Regular season stats: 12.7 points, 8.8 rebounds, 1.5 assists
Playoff stats: 14.4 points, 8.4 rebounds, 1.8 assists
Final regular season CBSSports.com Owned/Started Percentage: 91/61 percent

J.R. Smith, G, Denver Nuggets
The playoffs showed that Smith is one of the best shooters in the NBA. He made 180 three-pointers in the regular season and has 486 treys the past three seasons. Consistency is a problem for Smith, as he will score 20 points one night and three the next, but he is worth using as a No. 3 Fantasy guard. He's even better in Rotisserie formats because of his shooting ability. His playmaking improved in the playoffs, and he had three games with six assists. Again, if he could be more consistent in that area, he would be a star. Look for Smith to continue to improve entering next season.
Regular season stats: 15.2 points, 3.7 rebounds, 2.8 assists
Playoff stats: 14.3 points, 3.4 rebounds, 3.0 assists
Final regular season CBSSports.com Owned/Started Percentage: 78/41 percent

Do you have a question or comment for Jamey? You can e-mail him at DMFantasyHoops@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Playoffs in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Derrick Rose
Nothing structurally wrong with Rose
Derrick Rose, PG, CHI
5:44 PM
News: Bulls PG Derrick Rose visited a back specialist on Monday and the doctor confirmed the original diagnosis, reports the Chicago Tribune. Rose is dealing with lower back spasms and nothing greater. There is nothing structurally wrong with his back. Rose is considered day to day going forward for the Bulls.
Analysis: Rose has already missed consecutive games and Tuesday's contest against the Kings is also greatly in doubt at this point. It is definitely good news that Rose doesn't have anything worse wrong with him, but this has already been nagging and annoying enough to bother both the guard and his Fantasy owners. Rose has already missed seven games this season with an eighth a real possibility. Still, you know he'll play if it is humanly possible and that counts for something. Rose remains a must-start Fantasy option and he shouldn't miss too much more time following his visit to the doctor.

Zach Randolph
Randolph cleared for non-contact drills
Zach Randolph, PF, MEM
5:22 PM
News: Grizzlies F Zach Randolph (knee) has been cleared to participate in non-contact basketball drills, reports the Memphis Commercial-Appeal. Randolph, who tore his MCL back in January, is expected to return sometime in March. He is expected to be cleared for full-contact drills sometime over the next two weeks.
Analysis: Randolph continues to make significant progress from his knee injury and is on schedule to return in March, barring any setbacks. Obviously, Fantasy owners should keep a close eye on his progress moving forward to see when he will be able to get back on the court. Randolph can be considered a high-end Fantasy F, when healthy, so continue to stash him moving forward.

Kyrie Irving
Irving possible for Wednesday
Kyrie Irving, PG, CLE
2:47 PM
News: Cleveland G Kyrie Irving (concussion) participated in all non-contract drills during Monday's practice, but has yet to be cleared to return to game action, according to the Akron Beacon Journal. Irving has missed the past two games after being diagnosed with a concussion last Wednesday. With the Cavaliers' next game on Wednesday, he could be cleared for the outing with a positive showing in Tuesday's practice. "To me, he seems normal," Cleveland F Antawn Jamison said. "He's not going to be on the court unless he is 100 percent."
Analysis: Irving has now completed two straight days of light workouts as he continues to nurse his head injury. It appears he could be poised for a return on Wednesday, the first of only three games for Cleveland during Fantasy Week 8 (Feb. 13-19). Irving leads all rookies with 18.0 points per game this season and is also averaging 5.1 assists through 23 games. With his status still uncertain, he is a risky Fantasy option this scoring period.

Amar'e Stoudemire
Stoudemire shifts focus to court
Amar'e Stoudemire, PF, NY
12:09 PM
News: New York F Amar'e Stoudemire returned to practice Monday after spending the past week in Florida to mourn the death of his brother, according to Newsday. Stoudemire is expected to play in Tuesday's game at Toronto. "It feels good to be back on the basketball court," Stoudemire said. "I've been away for about a week now, so it feels good to be back." He is averaging 18.2 points and 8.1 rebounds per game this season.
Analysis: Stoudemire returns to the team at an interesting time as G Jeremy Lin has created tremendous buzz with his sterling production while Stoudemire and Carmelo Anthony have been sidelined. But Stoudemire could benefit from Lin's pick-and-roll ability and improve on his average of 7.0 field goals a game -- his lowest total since his rookie season (minimum 10 games). Consider Stoudemire a must-start in all Fantasy formats.

Raymond Felton
Felton remains starter -- for now
Raymond Felton, PG, POR
4:24 PM
News: Portland coach Nate McMillan said Monday that Blazers G Raymond Felton will remain in the starting lineup for Tuesday's game against Washington, according to The Oregonian. McMillan said over the weekend he was considering a shakeup to the starting lineup with G Jamal Crawford possibly replacing Felton. However, he changed his tune Monday. "I think he's the best guy at that position," McMillan said of Felton.
Analysis: Felton has been struggling recently and is averaging just 10.5 points over his past five games. He has been plagued by inconsistency throughout the season and posted more turnovers (three) than assists (two) during Portland's loss to Dallas on Saturday. Fantasy owners should expect a decrease in playing time for Felton as Crawford could receive more minutes. Consider Felton a low-end No. 2 Fantasy G for Week 8 (Feb. 13-19).

Joakim Noah
Noah playing at high level again
Joakim Noah, C, CHI
5:37 PM
News: Bulls C Joakim Noah scored 16 points and grabbed nine rebounds on Sunday at Boston. On Monday, ESPN.com reports Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau praised Noah and said his center is "back to where he was at [the beginning] of last season."
Analysis: Noah failed to record a double-double in what would have been his third consecutive game Sunday. Still, Noah is averaging 13.8 points and 10.8 rebounds per night over his last five. He's shooting 65 percent over that span with 2.4 assists per game as well. He should be active in just about all Fantasy formats at this time.

Kosta Koufos
Koufos getting on boards for Denver
Kosta Koufos, C, DEN
5:27 PM
News: Denver C Kosta Koufos has really improved his rebounding of late for the Nuggets. Koufos played 26 minutes in his last game on Saturday as he scored seven points on 3 of 4 shooting with seven rebounds. Koufos is averaging 7.4 rebounds per game over his last five. He's only averaging 4.6 rebounds per game on the season.
Analysis: Koufos has seen an overall increase in production of late with 8.0 points, 7.4 rebounds, 1.4 blocks while shooting 63 percent from the field over his last five games. Playing more and sometimes starting with Timofey Mozgov and Chris Andersen injured, Koufos has become worthy of some Fantasy usage in the deepest formats. He's only currently owned in 9 percent of Fantasy leagues.

Nikola Pekovic
Pekovic keeps starting job
Nikola Pekovic, C, MIN
3:54 PM
News: According to the St. Paul Pioneer Press, Minnesota C Nikola Pekovic is expected to remain in the starting lineup when C Darko Milicic returns from an ankle injury. And Milicic is a supporter of the move. "He deserves to play," said Milicic, who is likely to return for Monday's game against Orlando. "He's playing in a great rhythm right now. I'm happy for him." Milicic has missed the Timberwolves' past four games.
Analysis: With Milicic sidelined, Pekovic has become a dominant scorer and provided Minnesota another strong low-post option with F Kevin Love. He is averaging 17.3 points and 9.8 rebounds over his past six games -- five of them with Milicic out -- while shooting a sterling 67.6 percent from the field. Fantasy owners should continue to add Pekovic in all formats and consider him a solid start heading into Week 8 (Feb. 13-19).

O.J. Mayo
Mayo misses all his shots
O.J. Mayo, SG, MEM
5:23 PM
News: Memphis guard O.J. Mayo had been playing with some semblance of consistency until his latest performance on Sunday against Utah. Mayo saw 23 minutes in that contest as he went 0 for 3 from the field and scored just two points on free throws. Mayo added one rebound, two assists and two blocks in that performance.
Analysis: Mayo scored in double figures in three of the four prior performances but had an ugly night all around against the Jazz. Mayo has a scoring average of 12.0 points per game for the year with 1.3 3-pointers and 3.2 rebounds. That is OK production, though Mayo is only at 9.8 points, 1.0 3-pointers and 3.8 rebounds over his last five. Not playing all that well right now, Mayo should only be actively used in deeper Fantasy formats.

Zaza Pachulia
Pachulia showing consistency
Zaza Pachulia, C, ATL
5:20 PM
News: Atlanta C Zaza Pachulia has been very consistent of late for the Hawks. Pachulia scored eight points and grabbed nine rebounds with a block on Sunday in a loss to Miami. He shot 4 of 4 from the field over 30 minutes in that game.
Analysis: Pachulia has averaged 7.4 points, 7.6 rebounds, 1.4 steals and has shot 52 percent from the field over his last five games. He's seeing around 32 minutes per night as the Hawks are thin up front. Pachulia has been starting and seeing significant run and as such should be active in a good amount of deeper Fantasy leagues.

 
 
 
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