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Sergio Gonzalez

Fantasy Fast Break: Will Darren be dangerous?

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Each week, Fantasy Basketball Writer Sergio Gonzalez takes a look at situations that Fantasy owners should monitor over the course of the upcoming week. Have a look at the top storylines in Fantasy hoops and how they might affect your team going forward.

What happens in New Orleans with Chris Paul sidelined?

The Hornets announced Monday that Chris Paul will be out for an indefinite amount of time. Most estimates have him missing anywhere from a month to two months and that will leave both the Hornets and Fantasy owners searching for solutions.

For both, the solution may not be too hard to find.

Darren Collison sure looked like Chris Paul on Saturday when he dropped 17 points and 18 assists on the Grizzlies. He even added six rebounds with a block for good measure. Collison played 47 minutes in that game and with the team having traded away some of their guard depth last week when they moved Devin Brown to the Chicago Bulls, expect heavy minutes for Collison.

Let's get something straight, however. Collison is not Chris Paul and to expect him to put up the numbers he put up Saturday, or anything close to it, is ridiculous. However, with Collison there is a track record -- however brief -- of solid play in replacement of Paul. In nine games as a starter this season, Collison is averaging 15.1 points and 7.7 assists with 3.4 rebounds.

By comparison, a player like New Jersey's Devin Harris -- who was drafted in the first few rounds of most Fantasy drafts -- is averaging 15.3 points and 5.9 assists with 3.1 rebounds per game. Collison may not be able to keep up those numbers over the long term, but what is certain is that he will be more than just a regular stopgap measure for however long CP3 is out.

But that does not mean Collison will be the only player to benefit.

When Paul missed time earlier this season, Peja Stojakovic enjoyed his best stretch of the season. Stojakovic averaged 17.6 ppg in that run of six games in late November and had his best overall performance of the season -- a 25-point, 13-rebound game against the Suns on Nov. 19. Look to see if his numbers also get a boost this week.

And with no Brown around this time, there will be more touches to go around for fewer players in the back court. That includes recently promoted Marcus Thornton, who got the starting shooting guard job following the trade. Thornton had 14 points and nine rebounds Saturday against Memphis. Overall, Collison's combination of scoring and assists will likely lead to more Fantasy production than Thornton (he won't be bringing down nine boards per night by any stretch of the imagination), but Thornton's value will get its second boost in as many weeks.

Live chats with Sergio Gonzalez!
Every Monday award-winning Fantasy writer Sergio Gonzalez will share his thoughts and answer your questions leading up to weekly lineup deadlines. Read his transcripts and submit questions on Mondays!
Latest Gonzalez chat transcript (4/6)

Will Jason Thompson regain his lost Fantasy appeal?

Jason Thompson came into the season as a high-end breakout candidate with a lot of promise. For the first two months of the season, he did not disappoint.

Thompson averaged 15.3 points and 9.6 rebounds in November, following that up with 16.6 points and 8.9 rebounds through December. But in January, he became increasinly inconsistent and had his worst month of the season. He averaged 9.1 points and 7.8 rebounds per game.

The biggest reason for the lack of production was a decline in playing time. He went from averaging 37 minutes per game in December to 27 minutes per game in January. The emergence of Omri Casspi as well as the return of Kevin Martin had a negative impact on his overall production.

In fact, since Martin returned from his wrist injury on Jan. 15 in Philadelphia, Thompson has scored in double figures just four times in nine games entering Week 15. He has posted back-to-back double digit scoring performances just once in that span.

Saturday's 12 points and 16 rebounds against the Bobcats was a step in the right direction and a reminder as to why Fantasy owners need to show patience with him.

Eventually, Thompson will find his place again in the team's scheme. That place is now somewhere alongside Casspi in the front court and with the team still getting very inconsistent play out of Spencer Hawes, there is certainly room for more improvement.

Keep up with his production in Week 15 to see if he's ready to break out in February to make up for a forgettable January.

How much of an impact will Paul Millsap have with Carlos Boozer hurt?

We've been here before, haven't we? Carlos Boozer is out with an injury and Paul Millsap is there to pick up the pieces.

Boozer is likely to miss at least the first two games in Week 15 due to the calf injury he suffered last week and possibly longer. Millsap will get a chance to reward the 80 percent of CBSSports.com owners who have stashed him through his inconsistency this season.

They've stashed him for games like the one Millsap had on Friday against Sacramento. Millsap put up 32 points and 14 rebounds with seven assists against the Kings in an effort that should not be written off as a fluke.

Millsap has started 42 games in his career, averaging 16.4 points and 10.3 rebounds. That's not too far behind Boozer's 19.2 points and 10.7 rebounds per game this season.

Fantasy owners will want to keep close tabs on Boozer's recovery. But if he's ruled out for any amount of time beyond Week 15, Millsap should make the most of it.

What is going on with the Timberwolves rotation?

With the Timberwolves losing five straight games from Jan. 20-27, coach Kurt Rambis was looking to change things up when he moved Ryan Hollins into the starting lineup at center.

Just like that, the T'Wolves went on a two-game winning streak and Hollins has emerged as a potential option for Fantasy owners.

Hollins scored 19 points against the Clippers on Jan. 29 and followed that up with 16 points against the Knicks on Jan. 31. He saw 30 minutes in each game. With the Timberwolves winning both games, expect Rambis to stick with this current lineup for a while and if Hollins can back those performances up with another few solid stat lines in Week 15, Fantasy owners will be flocking to him off the waiver wire.

Owners in leagues that require starting two centers should be stashing him already with an eye on Minnesota's games against the Mavericks and Grizzlies during the team's two-game scoring period.

Rambis has found a way to get Hollins 30 minutes while also keeping Al Jefferson and Kevin Love -- who is coming off the bench -- in the 30-minute range. That may be hard to maintain, especially while also looking to keep players like Ryan Gomes and Corey Brewer in the mix.

But if Rambis can figure it out and keep it going, Hollins is going to be a viable Fantasy center going forward.

What is happening with the center situation in Phoenix?

When Robin Lopez took over the starting job at center for the Suns, it looked like he'd be the only viable Fantasy center in the desert.

Channing Frye did his best last week to get back on the Fantasy radar, however.

Frye posted back-to-back 20-point games against the Jazz and Bobcats and saw a boost in playing time as a result. It was Lopez's defense and the size he gives the team and not his offense that got him into the starting lineup over Frye. The two games served as a reminder that Frye's offensive upside is still high. It is definitely higher than that of Lopez and what has emerged in Phoenix is a virtual timeshare between the two players.

Expect to see the hot hand get the chance to take a bigger share of the minutes going forward and matchups in Week 15 against the Hornets, Nuggets and Kings favor Frye as the Suns face teams that the Suns will want to run the floor against.

If Frye can produce a couple more games like he did last week, it won't matter if he continues to come off the bench or not. Fantasy owners will once again know they can rely upon him as a No. 2 center option in most standard formats.

Do you have a Fantasy hoops question for our staff? You can e-mail us at DMFantasyHoops@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Fantasy Fast Break in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. You can also now follow Sergio on Twitter ( @CBSGonzalez ) where he'll also answer questions.

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Player News
David West
West guts one out
David West, PF, IND
5/25/2012
News: Pacers forward David West played through his sprained left knee on Thursday in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Heat, leading the Pacers with 24 points on 10 of 16 shots. West took advantage of the often significant height advantages he was working with against Miami’s undersized front-line, however he was able to pick up just five rebounds in 41 minutes, as the Pacers fell, 105-93, ending their season.
Analysis: West’s production took a tumble this season, however given the fact that he was coming off a major knee injury and playing in a contracted season due to the lockout, the fact that he was able to play in all 66 games this season as a full-time player says a lot about his toughness. His scoring fell from 18.9 points per game to 12.8 this season, however given that he was going from Chris Paul to Darren Collison at the point, that drop off was to be expected. At 31 years of age, West’s best days are probably behind him, however he should still be targeted in the middle rounds on Draft Day as a solid option at the forward position.

Danny Granger
Granger plays through ankle injury
Danny Granger, SF, IND
5/25/2012
News: As expected, Pacers forward Danny Granger played through his ankle injury on Thursday for Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals against Miami. Granger gutted out 38 minutes in the game, scoring 15 points on 6 of 14 shooting, while grabbing four rebounds and dishing out four assists, as the Pacers’ season ended, 105-93. He finished the postseason averaging 17.2 points and 5.8 rebounds per game in 11 games.
Analysis: While the Pacers enjoyed their finest season as a team in some time, Granger had one of his toughest as professional. While he still scored 18.7 points per game on the season, that came on a career-low 41.6 percent shooting, while he posted his lowest rebounding and assist averages since his second season in the league. Granger remained a dead-eye three-point shooter, hitting 38.1 percent of his attempts, so most of the fall off came from inside the arc. Still, he is capable of filling up the boxscore on any given night, and given his career averages, should be able to shoot the ball better next season, so target him with an early-round pick on Draft Day as your No. 2 Fantasy forward.

Udonis Haslem
Haslem earns suspension
Udonis Haslem, PF, MIA
5/24/2012
News: Heat forward Udonis Haslem earned a one-game suspension for his Flagrant foul on Pacers forward Tyler Hansbrough on Tuesday, meaning he will be unavailable for the team's matchup on Thursday in a potentially-decisive Game 6.
Analysis: Haslem insists that the hit on Hansbrough was not intentional, and he plans on appealing the suspension, however that won't change his status for the game. He is averaging just 6.0 points and 4.2 rebounds per game in the series and should not be missed much in Fantasy postseason formats.

Greg Stiemsma
Foot injury limiting Stiemsma
Greg Stiemsma, C, BOS
5/24/2012
News: Celtics center Greg Stiemsma has been playing on an injured left foot for the last month, and on Wednesday it became to much of an issue for him to deal with, as he was only able to play five minutes in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Semifinal in Philadelphia. He recorded no stats in the game, afterward telling WEEI.com in Boston, "This is as bad as it's been. I'll stay off it for the next few days. I'll be ready for Saturday."
Analysis: He has managed to play through the injury with very few exceptions since the final few weeks of the regular season, so we have no reason to doubt thathe will be able to go for Game 7, especially with two nights off. Still, he sounds like he is in a ton of pain and might be limited for the game, so avoid him in all Fantasy postseason formats.

Avery Bradley
Report: Bradley likely done for postseason
Avery Bradley, PG, BOS
5/23/2012
News: The Boston Herald reported Wednesday that Celtics guard Avery Bradley "definitely" needs surgery on his injured left shoulder soon, and is not expected to play during the remainder of the postseason.
Analysis: Bradley has been dealing with this injury for a while, and he was trying to play through it until the end of the postseason, however now it looks like he is done for the season. Bradley became a much larger part of the Celtics’ plans this season, logging career highs across the board in his second season in the league. If the Celtics can advance in the postseason, he may try to get on the floor again, however at this point that is not looking likely, so don’t rely on him in postseason Fantasy formats.

Lance Stephenson
Stephenson takes hard foul
Lance Stephenson, SG, IND
5/23/2012
News: Little-used Pacers’ reserve guard Lance Stephenson was forced to get X-rays on his collarbone after Tuesday’s Game 5 in Miami, as the result of an elbow from Heat center Dexter Pittman in the waning moments of a 115-83 Heat victory. Stephenson, who drew criticism from Heat players after making a choke sign during Game 3 towards LeBron, appears to have escaped relatively unscathed, as the X-rays showed no fractures. Pittman received a Flagrant 1 foul for the play and may be looking at a suspension.
Analysis: Stephenson had played just six minutes in the postseason prior to Game 5, as he has been used only in blowouts. The injury looked serious at the time, however it appears there was no long-term damage done. Having said that, this may be the last we have seen of Stephenson in the postseason, so he is not worth owning in any Fantasy postseason leagues.

Dwyane Wade
Report: Wade gets fluid drained from knee
Dwyane Wade, SG, MIA
5/21/2012
News: Heat guard Dwyane Wade struggled in a major way during the first three games of the Eastern Conference Semifinal against Indiana, with the worst of it coming during a 2 for 13 shooting night in Game 3 when he scored just five points. According to ESPN.com, there is an explanation for that, as he reportedly needed fluid drained from his left knee prior to the game. That seemed to do the trick, as he bounced back in a major way on Sunday, scoring 30 points on 13 for 23 shooting to lead the Heat to a 101-93 victory in Game 4.
Analysis: Wade shot just 31 percent from the field in the first three games of the series, and there had been rumblings that he was dealing with a lower-leg injury that had been limiting him, so this reported certainly seems believable. Wade bounded back in a major way on Sunday, looking very much like a new man. Hopefully he can sustain this production moving forward, as he is a must-start Fantasy option for all postseason formats.

Rudy Fernandez
Fernandez mulls over options
Rudy Fernandez, SG, DEN
5/21/2012
News: Nuggets guard Rudy Fernandez is spending the summer in Spain recovering from back surgery and, as he told TuBasket.com, a Spanish-language website that covers basketball in Spain, he may decide to stay there even when he heals up. Fernandez turned down a contract offer from Real Madrid last summer that would have made him the highest-paid player in Spain, however as a restricted free-agent this year, he plans on weighting all of his options.
Analysis: The contract Fernandez reportedly turned down last summer would have been for six years and $26 million, so it will be interesting to see if any teams are willing to offer him something comparable. Fernandez was unable to emerge as a full-time player in Denver’s deep rotation, averaging 8.6 points in 22.9 minutes per game. He seems to have hit a plateau in his NBA development from his 10.4 point per game campaign as a rookie, so even if he does keep on playing in the NBA, he will likely be just a Fantasy reserve, so don’t plan on targeting him on Draft Day.

Daniel Gibson
Cavs expected to keep Gibson
Daniel Gibson, PG, CLE
5/20/2012
News: Cavaliers guard Daniel Gibson, who missed the final month of the season after undergoing surgery to repair a torn tendon in his left ankle, is expected to return to the team for the 2012-13 season, as the Cleveland Plain Dealer speculates that the team will pick up the $4.8 million team option on him.
Analysis: Gibson is expected to be recovered well before the beginning of the season, so the only question heading into next season will be that team option. Gibson struggled with his shot last season, hitting just 35.1 percent of his attempts from the field, however at that price the team should find a place for hm. He missed 31 games last season, however as a backup point guard with range, he gives the team decent production. However as long as Kyrie Irving is around, Gibson won't have anything close to starter's minutes and should be avoided in all leagues on Draft Day.

Jarrett Jack
Jack resting stress fracture
Jarrett Jack, PG, NO
5/20/2012
News: Hornets guard Jarrett Jack, who missed the final three weeks of the season with a stress fracture in his right foot, has been resting the injury and is expected to get back on the floor in preparation for next season by the middle of June. Jack, who is entering the final season of a four-year contract with the Hornets, was expected to rest for six to eight weeks after being shut down for the season.
Analysis: Jack was quite good in replacing Chris Paul this season, average 15.6 points, 6.3 assists and 3.9 rebounds per game – career highs across the board. The 28-year-old dealt with injuries throughout, missing 11 games, however he was solid whenever he played and should return to that same level of effectiveness in the coming season. He should be considered a solid Fantasy option at the guard position, one worth selecting with an early middle round pick on Draft Day.

 
 
 
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