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Jamey Eisenberg

Four point guards for the future

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The thought coming into the 2009-10 season was the rookie class was thin. There wasn't a lot expected from the players drafted after Blake Griffin, who went No. 1 overall to the Los Angeles Clippers.

Good thing it didn't work out that way. Despite Griffin hurting his knee and not playing a single game, this rookie class was stellar.

Tyreke Evans and Stephen Curry developed into future stars. Brandon Jennings was a notch below them, and Jonny Flynn has a high ceiling. There were also exceptional performances from Darren Collison, Marcus Thornton, Taj Gibson, Jrue Holiday, DeJuan Blair, Terrence Williams, Ty Lawson, Toney Douglas, Roddy Beaubois, Jonas Jerebko and Omri Casspi.

All of these players helped Fantasy owners at times this season.

"I heard we were a weak draft class and all that stuff," Curry said. "It's nice for everyone to be playing well."

In standard, head-to-head Fantasy leagues, Evans, Curry and Jennings finished in the Top 30 guards, with Evans a Top 30 overall player. He was the best rookie this season, but he's not alone.

This "weak" rookie class, which was arguably the best ever since 2003 when LeBron James, Carmelo Anthony, Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade went in the Top 5, showed its worth at All-Star weekend. The rookies beat the sophomores 140-128, which was the first time the rookies came out on top since 2002.

"They're pretty good," said Minnesota forward Kevin Love, who was on the sophomore team. "It is an impressive class. People overlooked them as a class. But they beat up on us a little bit."

Fantasy owners are going to enjoy the players from the 2009 Draft class for many years to come, and we've highlighted the four point guards with the most potential for the future in Evans, Curry, Jennings and Flynn.

Collison would be on this list if he wasn't stuck behind Chris Paul, and Collison's amazing run this season came when Paul (knee) was out. Holiday could emerge as a solid Fantasy option, but he's behind the other four. And Lawson and Douglas also could develop later in their careers depending on what happens around them.

But these four point guards in Evans, Curry, Jennings and Flynn are going to lead their teams -- and Fantasy squads -- for the next several years based on what they have shown as rookies.

Stephen Curry, Golden State
2009 Stats: 17.5 points, 5.9 assists, 4.5 rebounds, 1.9 steals, 3.1 turnovers
2009 Average Draft Position: Round 8
He says: "With the injuries we've had, I've gotten a lot of extra playing time. I've been able to get better with every game I've played. That's been my motivation now is just trying to get better." -- Curry
Coach says: "He's been better early than I expected. I expected that I would have that player, but I didn't think it would be his rookie year. I thought in his second year he would play like this. ... He's good. He's got skill." -- Warriors coach Don Nelson
What others are saying: "I'm impressed. You already see great growth, and you can see why they are so high on him. He's probably the closest thing to a Steve Nash type of player in terms of being able to see the floor and make passes that you can't really teach. For a guy who is considered undersized and a little bit light, he has some toughness. But he has great poise. He does not seem like a rookie." -- Heat coach Erik Spoelstra
Our take: Curry is a star in the making because of his shooting prowess and the team he plays for. Nelson has turned plenty of lesser-skilled players into quality Fantasy options, and now he has a gem in Curry. The backcourt of Curry and Monta Ellis should continue to shine for several years, and we expect Curry to remain a starting Fantasy guard for a long time.
I would draft Curry before these three guards in 2010: Tony Parker, Baron Davis and Jason Kidd in Round 3

Tyreke Evans, Sacramento
2009 Stats: 20.1 points, 5.8 assists, 5.3 rebounds, 1.5 steals, 3.0 turnovers
2009 Average Draft Position: Round 9
He says: "I didn't expect to come in the league and average 20. I thought I would have to work my way up. I thought I would come in and average about 10 or 11 points and next year get better each game. I can get better if I keep working hard. The sky's the limit for me." -- Evans
Coach says: "If they would guard him (one-on-one) he would go for 40 a night. Tyreke adjusts well. He's obviously very gifted. He has size and strength and ball-handling ability and body control to be able to get to the basket. He's a very rare talent. He's very big and strong." -- Kings coach Paul Westphal
What others are saying: "What Evans is doing, few people have done at his age. He is playing at a high level for a long enough period of time. You can do that the first few weeks of the season and then everybody starts to adjust, but he is still doing it and teams are scheming against him, trying to take the ball out of his hands, understanding what his strength is. He is a very talented, gifted player, particularly in his ability to get to the rim." -- Spoelstra
Our take: Evans is an absolute star with his ability to post quality stats in points, rebounds and assists. His averages of 20 points, five assists and five rebounds makes him the fourth rookie to accomplish that feat in NBA history along with Oscar Robertson, Michael Jordan and LeBron James. That's special company, and it won't be long before Evans is a perennial first-round draft pick in all Fantasy leagues.
I would draft Evans before these three guards in 2010: Steve Nash, Chauncey Billups and Derrick Rose in Round 2

Jonny Flynn, Minnesota
2009 Stats: 13.5 points, 4.4 assists, 2.4 rebounds, 1.0 steals, 2.9 turnovers
2009 Average Draft Position: Round 10
He says: "I've learned so much, especially being able to go out there and play through so many mistakes. Kurt just keeps me out there. During the learning process, that's the best way to learn. Kurt has been doing that with me. I've learned so much in this little short span of time." -- Flynn
Coach says: "He loves the game. He's improved tremendously. I put him in a system that's contrary to what he grew up playing. He understands where he can fit in, where he can involve his teammates and where his pockets of opportunities are. He wants to learn and wants to do what's right, and that's what he's striving to do. I just see him getting better and better every year. He has deficiencies, and he knows what those are, but he wants to work on them and wants to get better." -- Timberwolves coach Kurt Rambis
What others are saying: "He's had to be a little bit ahead of his time. Just having the ball in your hands, you get to learn, but you also make a lot of mistakes, too. It's tough. You have to make all those decisions with the ball in your hands all the time. It's a very tough job, but he's done a great job of it the whole season." -- Timberwolves forward Kevin Love
Our take: Flynn has some work to do before he can be considered a starting Fantasy guard, but he'll have room to grow in Minnesota. The only reason why Flynn won't improve next year is if Ricky Rubio comes to the NBA in 2010-11, but that's not expected to happen. Flynn should be drafted as a reserve Fantasy guard, and hopefully his second year will be an improvement on what he learned as a rookie.
I would draft Flynn before these three guards in 2010: Ray Allen, Mike Conley and Jose Calderon in Round 7

Brandon Jennings, Milwaukee
2009 Stats: 15.5 points, 5.7 assists, 3.4 rebounds, 1.3 steals, 2.4 turnovers
2009 Average Draft Position: Round 10
He says: "I was doing that earlier in the season, worrying about my stats. Now, I'm being more laid back and mellow and trying to get the wins. I think I'm playing pretty good. The team is winning. I'm just being a point guard and running the team." -- Jennings
Coach says: "He's having a good year. He's played the position well. He's done a nice job running the team. He hasn't shot the ball the way he would have liked in the past couple of months. We've given him a lot of freedom, and he hasn't abused it in any way. He's taken pretty good shots. His defense has improved as the year has gone on. His knowledge of the pro game is improving all the time. We like the way he's played." -- Bucks coach Scott Skiles
What others are saying: "He's learning. He's doing a good job. He's receptive to instruction. That's a good thing. A lot of young guys aren't like that and just shake their heads. He does a good job of trying to translate things and make it happen on the court." -- Bucks guard Jerry Stackhouse
Our take: Jennings got off to a hot start, highlighted by his 55-point game against Golden State in November, but his play has been sporadic at times. He's an explosive guard with his ability to score, and he has developed as a playmaker. He should continue to improve in his second year, and we see Jennings as a starting Fantasy option. If his shooting can improve (only 37 percent for the season), he would only enhance his value in Rotisserie formats.
I would draft Jennings before these three guards in 2010: Rodney Stuckey, Aaron Brooks and Mo Williams in Round 4

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Player News
Greg Stiemsma
Foot limiting Stiemsma
Greg Stiemsma, C, BOS
5/28/2012
News: Celtics center Greg Stiemsma was able to play just five minutes during Saturday’s Game 7 victory over the 76ers, as he continues to be bothered by a lingering left foot injury. He recorded no stats in the game, as the Celtics won 85-75, to move on to the Eastern Conference Finals against Miami.
Analysis: It seems Stiemsma is going to continue to play through the injury, albeit in a very limited role. He is playing through a lot of pain right now and is not producing much, averaging 2.0 points, 1.0 rebounds and 1.8 blocks per game during the previous round, so he should not be used in postseason Fantasy formats.

Udonis Haslem
Haslem back from suspension
Udonis Haslem, PF, MIA
5/28/2012
News: After serving his one-game suspension during Thursday’s Game 6 against the Pacers for a Flagrant foul during Game 5, Heat forward Udonis Haslem is ready to return on Monday for the beginning of the Eastern Conference Finals against Boston. He will likely come off the bench for the series against the Celtics.
Analysis: Haslem averaged 6.0 points per game in the five games he played against Indiana, but he broke out in the final two games before earning the suspension, scoring 24 points with 10 rebounds in 42 minutes over those two games. He will continue to play solid minutes for the Heat against Boston, however he does not score much, so consider him just a low-end Fantasy option in postseason formats.

Chris Bosh
Bosh back on the floor
Chris Bosh, PF, MIA
5/28/2012
News: Heat forward Chris Bosh, who remains out indefinitely with an abdominal strain, was able to get in some light work in on the court on Sunday during practice, according to the Palm Beach Post. Bosh has already been ruled out for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Monday against Boston, however this is the first time he has been able to do any basketball-related activities, and is the first step to him returning to the court for the first time since Game 1 of the Heat's series victory of the Pacers in the semifinal round.
Analysis: The Post report does not seem optimistic about Bosh’s prospects for returning during the series against the Celtics, however no official determination has been made regarding that. He plans on resting on Monday before trying to get back on the floor on Tuesday, so his status moving forward will continue to be determined based on how he responds to increases in activity. Fantasy owners should continue to keep an eye on his status, as he is worth using in most postseason Fantasy formats when healthy.

David West
West guts one out
David West, PF, IND
5/25/2012
News: Pacers forward David West played through his sprained left knee on Thursday in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Heat, leading the Pacers with 24 points on 10 of 16 shots. West took advantage of the often significant height advantages he was working with against Miami’s undersized front-line, however he was able to pick up just five rebounds in 41 minutes, as the Pacers fell, 105-93, ending their season.
Analysis: West’s production took a tumble this season, however given the fact that he was coming off a major knee injury and playing in a contracted season due to the lockout, the fact that he was able to play in all 66 games this season as a full-time player says a lot about his toughness. His scoring fell from 18.9 points per game to 12.8 this season, however given that he was going from Chris Paul to Darren Collison at the point, that drop off was to be expected. At 31 years of age, West’s best days are probably behind him, however he should still be targeted in the middle rounds on Draft Day as a solid option at the forward position.

Danny Granger
Granger plays through ankle injury
Danny Granger, SF, IND
5/25/2012
News: As expected, Pacers forward Danny Granger played through his ankle injury on Thursday for Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals against Miami. Granger gutted out 38 minutes in the game, scoring 15 points on 6 of 14 shooting, while grabbing four rebounds and dishing out four assists, as the Pacers’ season ended, 105-93. He finished the postseason averaging 17.2 points and 5.8 rebounds per game in 11 games.
Analysis: While the Pacers enjoyed their finest season as a team in some time, Granger had one of his toughest as professional. While he still scored 18.7 points per game on the season, that came on a career-low 41.6 percent shooting, while he posted his lowest rebounding and assist averages since his second season in the league. Granger remained a dead-eye three-point shooter, hitting 38.1 percent of his attempts, so most of the fall off came from inside the arc. Still, he is capable of filling up the boxscore on any given night, and given his career averages, should be able to shoot the ball better next season, so target him with an early-round pick on Draft Day as your No. 2 Fantasy forward.

Avery Bradley
Report: Bradley likely done for postseason
Avery Bradley, PG, BOS
5/23/2012
News: The Boston Herald reported Wednesday that Celtics guard Avery Bradley "definitely" needs surgery on his injured left shoulder soon, and is not expected to play during the remainder of the postseason.
Analysis: Bradley has been dealing with this injury for a while, and he was trying to play through it until the end of the postseason, however now it looks like he is done for the season. Bradley became a much larger part of the Celtics’ plans this season, logging career highs across the board in his second season in the league. If the Celtics can advance in the postseason, he may try to get on the floor again, however at this point that is not looking likely, so don’t rely on him in postseason Fantasy formats.

Lance Stephenson
Stephenson takes hard foul
Lance Stephenson, SG, IND
5/23/2012
News: Little-used Pacers’ reserve guard Lance Stephenson was forced to get X-rays on his collarbone after Tuesday’s Game 5 in Miami, as the result of an elbow from Heat center Dexter Pittman in the waning moments of a 115-83 Heat victory. Stephenson, who drew criticism from Heat players after making a choke sign during Game 3 towards LeBron, appears to have escaped relatively unscathed, as the X-rays showed no fractures. Pittman received a Flagrant 1 foul for the play and may be looking at a suspension.
Analysis: Stephenson had played just six minutes in the postseason prior to Game 5, as he has been used only in blowouts. The injury looked serious at the time, however it appears there was no long-term damage done. Having said that, this may be the last we have seen of Stephenson in the postseason, so he is not worth owning in any Fantasy postseason leagues.

Dwyane Wade
Report: Wade gets fluid drained from knee
Dwyane Wade, SG, MIA
5/21/2012
News: Heat guard Dwyane Wade struggled in a major way during the first three games of the Eastern Conference Semifinal against Indiana, with the worst of it coming during a 2 for 13 shooting night in Game 3 when he scored just five points. According to ESPN.com, there is an explanation for that, as he reportedly needed fluid drained from his left knee prior to the game. That seemed to do the trick, as he bounced back in a major way on Sunday, scoring 30 points on 13 for 23 shooting to lead the Heat to a 101-93 victory in Game 4.
Analysis: Wade shot just 31 percent from the field in the first three games of the series, and there had been rumblings that he was dealing with a lower-leg injury that had been limiting him, so this reported certainly seems believable. Wade bounded back in a major way on Sunday, looking very much like a new man. Hopefully he can sustain this production moving forward, as he is a must-start Fantasy option for all postseason formats.

Rudy Fernandez
Fernandez mulls over options
Rudy Fernandez, SG, DEN
5/21/2012
News: Nuggets guard Rudy Fernandez is spending the summer in Spain recovering from back surgery and, as he told TuBasket.com, a Spanish-language website that covers basketball in Spain, he may decide to stay there even when he heals up. Fernandez turned down a contract offer from Real Madrid last summer that would have made him the highest-paid player in Spain, however as a restricted free-agent this year, he plans on weighting all of his options.
Analysis: The contract Fernandez reportedly turned down last summer would have been for six years and $26 million, so it will be interesting to see if any teams are willing to offer him something comparable. Fernandez was unable to emerge as a full-time player in Denver’s deep rotation, averaging 8.6 points in 22.9 minutes per game. He seems to have hit a plateau in his NBA development from his 10.4 point per game campaign as a rookie, so even if he does keep on playing in the NBA, he will likely be just a Fantasy reserve, so don’t plan on targeting him on Draft Day.

Daniel Gibson
Cavs expected to keep Gibson
Daniel Gibson, PG, CLE
5/20/2012
News: Cavaliers guard Daniel Gibson, who missed the final month of the season after undergoing surgery to repair a torn tendon in his left ankle, is expected to return to the team for the 2012-13 season, as the Cleveland Plain Dealer speculates that the team will pick up the $4.8 million team option on him.
Analysis: Gibson is expected to be recovered well before the beginning of the season, so the only question heading into next season will be that team option. Gibson struggled with his shot last season, hitting just 35.1 percent of his attempts from the field, however at that price the team should find a place for hm. He missed 31 games last season, however as a backup point guard with range, he gives the team decent production. However as long as Kyrie Irving is around, Gibson won't have anything close to starter's minutes and should be avoided in all leagues on Draft Day.

 
 
 
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