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2010-11 Draft Prep: Undervalued and overrrated

Sergio Gonzalez
Fantasy Writer
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They say you get what you pay for. But that is not always true in Fantasy.

Sometimes, you can pay a high price for a player with a high draft pick and not get enough in return. Other times, you can get much more than you bargained for and come away with a steal. Well, with the draft season coming to a close prior to the start of the Fantasy hoops season, we've taken a closer look at players we feel are being both undervalued and overvalued in drafts.

Based on the average draft position of players being selected in CBSSports.com leagues, we have compiled a list of the players we feel are being most overlooked and overrated in order to assist Fantasy owners to both find some of the best value picks and avoid making costly mistakes.

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Use this list to your advantage on Draft Day, in addition to our rankings, tiers, sleepers and breakout picks.

Most Undervalued

These players are being drafted behind players we feel they will out-perform.

Devin Harris, G, NJ (Avg. Draft Position: 43): Last season was a down year for Harris, as it was for just about all Nets players not named Brook Lopez. But Fantasy owners may be letting him slip too deep into drafts. He had a horrible first half, due in part to injuries, but was able to turn things around in the second half when he averaged 17.9 points and 6.9 steals following the All-Star break. In fact, last February, he averaged 20.3 points and 9.1 assists per game. Playing for a familiar coach in Avery Johnson, a former point guard who coached Harris in Dallas, should help Harris put together a resurgent campaign.

Mo Williams, G, CLE (Avg. Draft Position: 57): How quickly Fantasy owners forget. In his final season with the Bucks before coming over to the Cavaliers, Williams emerged as a high-end Fantasy guard, averaging a 17-6-4 stat line while also averaging over a steal and a 3-pointer. His numbers took a hit when he came to Cleveland. Why? He had to defer to a guy named LeBron. That won't be the case any longer and the Cavs are going to be looking to Williams to take on a much heavier offensive load this year. At 27, he is in the prime of his career and may be in the best situation he has ever been in to put up numbers. A career season is highly possible.

Luol Deng, F, CHI: (Avg. Draft Position: 73 ): Deng enjoyed a resurgent season last year after an injury-plagued 2008-09 season, but Fantasy owners have not seemed willing to count him all the way back. Part of the hesitation could be that he has failed to play more than 70 games since the 2006-07 season, but Deng entered camp in excellent shape and the 25-year-old is still a player who should continue to develop offensively for a Bulls team that is expected to be a contender in the Eastern Conference. We have noticed tremendous improvement in his 3-point shooting this preseason, which could help add to his scoring.

Jamal Crawford, G, ATL: (Avg. Draft Position: 82): Crawford is slipping into the eighth or ninth round in a lot of leagues, but that is too far for a player who averaged 18.0 points per game last season and will at the very least be in line to repeat those types of numbers this year. He has expressed his dissatisfaction with his contract and will be playing with a chip on his shoulder to prove his worth to not only the Hawks, but other teams. Expect an 18-3-3 season with multiple 3-pointers and just fewer than a steal per game as a starting point.

Andris Biedrins, C, GS (Avg. Draft Position: 118): Last season was dismal for Biedrins as he missed significant time due to an abdominal injury and was just not himself even in the 33 games he managed to play. He averaged just 5.0 points and 7.8 rebounds and has seen his Fantasy stock dip tremendously. Prior to last year, though, he had put up three straight years of 10-and-10 with over a block per game. With the Warriors looking to play a more traditional style under new coach Keith Smart following the departure of Don Nelson, Biedrins should no longer be subject to unsteady rotations and is expected to see heavy minutes this year at center.

Most Overvalued

These players are being drafted too high, considering ...

Joakim Noah, C, CHI (Avg. Draft Position: 49): We are fans of Noah in Fantasy just like many of you, but we just are not sure if he should be going quite as high as he is -- especially when he is going ahead of players like Chris Kaman at his own position. Kaman is coming off a year in which he averaged 18.5 points and 9.3 rebounds per game and as much as we like Noah, we don't foresee him ever having the upside to put together such a solid offensive campaign along with his rebounding. Considering the addition of Carlos Boozer and the lingering concerns over the plantar fasciitis problems he dealt with that limited him in the second half last season, a fourth or fifth round pick may be too risky of an investment.

Rodney Stuckey, G, DET (Avg. Draft Position: 60): Stuckey has gotten better in each of his first three seasons in the NBA, but there are some warning flags around him this year that could be a sign of that trend could come to an end. Much of the concern has to do with Will Bynum, who threatens to cut into Stuckey's playing time and overall value this year. Coach John Kuester has been toying with the idea of playing Stuckey off the bench this year and is committing to Bynum getting a good deal of playing time. That certainly will not help Stuckey's numbers.

Manu Ginobili, G, SA (Avg. Draft Position: 64): Ginobili's name may carry more weight than it should in Fantasy. The 33-year-old is still a very solid contributor in Fantasy, averaging a 16-5-4 stat line last season. But he is going ahead of players like Trevor Ariza (15-5-4), Eric Gordon (17-3-3) and Jamal Crawford (18-3-3), who are more likely at this stage in their careers to increase their production than Ginobili is given his constant injury risk due to his gritty style of play and age.

Luis Scola, F, HOU (Avg. Draft Position: 76): Scola put up career numbers last season, emerging as a breakout player while Yao Ming was sidelined. This season, Yao's return threatens to take away some of Scola's touches both on the offensive end and on the glass. He averaged 12.7 points and 8.7 rebounds alongside Yao in 2008-09, about four points fewer per game. Meanwhile, Scola is being drafted ahead of a player like Michael Beasley, with tons of upside and hope for improvement.

Anthony Randolph, F, NY (Avg. Draft Position: 90): Randolph, seemingly a perennial sleeper, entered the preseason as a popular sleeper pick again this year after coming over to the Knicks, but he has not gotten off to a great start with new coach Mike D'Antoni. At several times during the preseason, D'Antoni has not held back in his criticism of Randolph and his inability to pick up his system. Timofey Mozgov is now likely to start ahead of him and it could be a while before Fantasy owners get any real payoff from Randolph. Meanwhile, he is being selected ahead of teammate Wilson Chandler in many drafts, despite Chandler's prominent role and more established track record.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter . You can e-mail us your Fantasy Basketball questions to DMFantasyHoops@cbs.com . Be sure to put Undervalued/Overvalued in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

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