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2010-11 Draft Prep: Undervalued and overrrated

Sergio Gonzalez
Fantasy Writer
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They say you get what you pay for. But that is not always true in Fantasy.

Sometimes, you can pay a high price for a player with a high draft pick and not get enough in return. Other times, you can get much more than you bargained for and come away with a steal. Well, with the draft season coming to a close prior to the start of the Fantasy hoops season, we've taken a closer look at players we feel are being both undervalued and overvalued in drafts.

Based on the average draft position of players being selected in CBSSports.com leagues, we have compiled a list of the players we feel are being most overlooked and overrated in order to assist Fantasy owners to both find some of the best value picks and avoid making costly mistakes.

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Use this list to your advantage on Draft Day, in addition to our rankings, tiers, sleepers and breakout picks.

Most Undervalued

These players are being drafted behind players we feel they will out-perform.

Devin Harris, G, NJ (Avg. Draft Position: 43): Last season was a down year for Harris, as it was for just about all Nets players not named Brook Lopez. But Fantasy owners may be letting him slip too deep into drafts. He had a horrible first half, due in part to injuries, but was able to turn things around in the second half when he averaged 17.9 points and 6.9 steals following the All-Star break. In fact, last February, he averaged 20.3 points and 9.1 assists per game. Playing for a familiar coach in Avery Johnson, a former point guard who coached Harris in Dallas, should help Harris put together a resurgent campaign.

Mo Williams, G, CLE (Avg. Draft Position: 57): How quickly Fantasy owners forget. In his final season with the Bucks before coming over to the Cavaliers, Williams emerged as a high-end Fantasy guard, averaging a 17-6-4 stat line while also averaging over a steal and a 3-pointer. His numbers took a hit when he came to Cleveland. Why? He had to defer to a guy named LeBron. That won't be the case any longer and the Cavs are going to be looking to Williams to take on a much heavier offensive load this year. At 27, he is in the prime of his career and may be in the best situation he has ever been in to put up numbers. A career season is highly possible.

Luol Deng, F, CHI: (Avg. Draft Position: 73 ): Deng enjoyed a resurgent season last year after an injury-plagued 2008-09 season, but Fantasy owners have not seemed willing to count him all the way back. Part of the hesitation could be that he has failed to play more than 70 games since the 2006-07 season, but Deng entered camp in excellent shape and the 25-year-old is still a player who should continue to develop offensively for a Bulls team that is expected to be a contender in the Eastern Conference. We have noticed tremendous improvement in his 3-point shooting this preseason, which could help add to his scoring.

Jamal Crawford, G, ATL: (Avg. Draft Position: 82): Crawford is slipping into the eighth or ninth round in a lot of leagues, but that is too far for a player who averaged 18.0 points per game last season and will at the very least be in line to repeat those types of numbers this year. He has expressed his dissatisfaction with his contract and will be playing with a chip on his shoulder to prove his worth to not only the Hawks, but other teams. Expect an 18-3-3 season with multiple 3-pointers and just fewer than a steal per game as a starting point.

Andris Biedrins, C, GS (Avg. Draft Position: 118): Last season was dismal for Biedrins as he missed significant time due to an abdominal injury and was just not himself even in the 33 games he managed to play. He averaged just 5.0 points and 7.8 rebounds and has seen his Fantasy stock dip tremendously. Prior to last year, though, he had put up three straight years of 10-and-10 with over a block per game. With the Warriors looking to play a more traditional style under new coach Keith Smart following the departure of Don Nelson, Biedrins should no longer be subject to unsteady rotations and is expected to see heavy minutes this year at center.

Most Overvalued

These players are being drafted too high, considering ...

Joakim Noah, C, CHI (Avg. Draft Position: 49): We are fans of Noah in Fantasy just like many of you, but we just are not sure if he should be going quite as high as he is -- especially when he is going ahead of players like Chris Kaman at his own position. Kaman is coming off a year in which he averaged 18.5 points and 9.3 rebounds per game and as much as we like Noah, we don't foresee him ever having the upside to put together such a solid offensive campaign along with his rebounding. Considering the addition of Carlos Boozer and the lingering concerns over the plantar fasciitis problems he dealt with that limited him in the second half last season, a fourth or fifth round pick may be too risky of an investment.

Rodney Stuckey, G, DET (Avg. Draft Position: 60): Stuckey has gotten better in each of his first three seasons in the NBA, but there are some warning flags around him this year that could be a sign of that trend could come to an end. Much of the concern has to do with Will Bynum, who threatens to cut into Stuckey's playing time and overall value this year. Coach John Kuester has been toying with the idea of playing Stuckey off the bench this year and is committing to Bynum getting a good deal of playing time. That certainly will not help Stuckey's numbers.

Manu Ginobili, G, SA (Avg. Draft Position: 64): Ginobili's name may carry more weight than it should in Fantasy. The 33-year-old is still a very solid contributor in Fantasy, averaging a 16-5-4 stat line last season. But he is going ahead of players like Trevor Ariza (15-5-4), Eric Gordon (17-3-3) and Jamal Crawford (18-3-3), who are more likely at this stage in their careers to increase their production than Ginobili is given his constant injury risk due to his gritty style of play and age.

Luis Scola, F, HOU (Avg. Draft Position: 76): Scola put up career numbers last season, emerging as a breakout player while Yao Ming was sidelined. This season, Yao's return threatens to take away some of Scola's touches both on the offensive end and on the glass. He averaged 12.7 points and 8.7 rebounds alongside Yao in 2008-09, about four points fewer per game. Meanwhile, Scola is being drafted ahead of a player like Michael Beasley, with tons of upside and hope for improvement.

Anthony Randolph, F, NY (Avg. Draft Position: 90): Randolph, seemingly a perennial sleeper, entered the preseason as a popular sleeper pick again this year after coming over to the Knicks, but he has not gotten off to a great start with new coach Mike D'Antoni. At several times during the preseason, D'Antoni has not held back in his criticism of Randolph and his inability to pick up his system. Timofey Mozgov is now likely to start ahead of him and it could be a while before Fantasy owners get any real payoff from Randolph. Meanwhile, he is being selected ahead of teammate Wilson Chandler in many drafts, despite Chandler's prominent role and more established track record.

Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter . You can e-mail us your Fantasy Basketball questions to DMFantasyHoops@cbs.com . Be sure to put Undervalued/Overvalued in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state.

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Player News
Al Jefferson strains plantar fascia in Game 1
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(4/20/2014) Bobcats center Al Jefferson suffered a strained left plantar fascia in Game 1 of the opening round of the playoffs Sunday against Miami. 

Jefferson made a quick trip to the locker room in the opening quarter of the game before returning in the second quarter and struggling the rest of the way. He was seen with walking boot after a 99-88 defeat to the Heat.

"I've got to suck it up. I'll be fine for the remainder of the playoffs," Jefferson told the Charlotte Observer after the game.

Game 2 is Wednesday in Miami.


Danny Granger limited to three points in playoff opener
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(4/19/2014) Clippers forward Danny Granger was eased back into action on Saturday, and did little with his 12 minutes off the bench in his team's 109-105 Game 1 loss to the Warriors in the opening round of the playoffs.

Granger scored just three points on 1 of 6 from the field, including 0 of 2 from downtown, and 1 of 1 from the free throw line. He also chipped in with two rebounds and one assist in his first game back from a hamstring strain.

Andre Iguodala does little in return to starting lineup
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(4/19/2014) Warriors guard Andre Iguodala (knee) got the start in his team's 109-105 victory over the Clippers in Game 1 of the first round of the playoff on Saturday.

Iguodala was the only Golden State starter held under 10 points, finishing with just eight on 3 of 6 from the floor, including 0 of 1 from 3-point land, and 2 of 2 from the free throw line. He also chipped in with three assists and one rebound while logging 20 minutes of game action.

Nets trio proves healthy as postseason opens
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(4/19/2014) The Nets rested a slew of starters late in the regular season, and they were healthy enough to play in Saturday's postseason opener against the Raptors Saturday as a result.

Guards Joe Johnson, Deron Williams and Shaun Livingston were all in the starting lineup and playing their usual roles Saturday, after getting time off to rest their various maladies. Johnson led the trio with 45 minutes played, but Williams logged 39 and Livingston played 29 minutes of his own in the 94-87 win.

Williams and Johnson tied for the team lead with 24 points scored, though Johnson was more efficient, shooting 8 of 13 from the field compared to Williams' 8-for-20 mark. Livingston brought up the rear with 10 points on 4 of 6 shooting as well.

With extra time off, the Nets should be able to keep their sometimes fragile roster healthy in the postseason. Johnson led the team with 79 games played this season, while Livingston appeared in 75 games and Williams play 64. 


Nick Calathes hit with 20-game suspension prior to postseason
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(4/18/2014) Grizzlies guard Nick Calathes will begin serving a 20-game suspension when the team's first-round playoff series begins against the Thunder Saturday, reports Yahoo.com.

Calathes was hit with the suspension for violating the league's Anti-Drug policy, though his failed test reportedly si not due to testosterone or PED use. According to the report, Calathes tested positive for Tamoxifen, part of an over-the-counter athletic supplement Calathes was using.

Calathes appeared in 71 games for the Grizzlies, and his loss will be felt, as he was the team's primary reserve at point guard. He finished his rookie season averaging 4.9 points, 1.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists in 16.5 minutes per game.  


Victor Oladipo will see time in summer league
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2014) Magic guard Victor Oladipo maybe be one of the frontrunners for Rookie of the Year, but that doesn't mean he doesn't have room to improve. Magic general manager Rob Hennigan told the Orlando Sentinel in Thursday's exit interview Oladipo will take part in the summer league yet again, but may not be used in every game this time around.

Oladipo ended up playing in 80 games for the Magic, and finished in the top-five in most major categories among rookies. He averaged 13.8 points, 4.1 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game. He also played the most minutes total among rookies. 


Danny Granger expects to play in first postseason game
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2014) Clippers forward Danny Granger took part in practice Thursday and plans to be available for the start of the team's first round playoff matchup against the Warriors Saturday.

Granger missed the final nine games of the regular season with a hamstring strain, and ended up playing just 41 regular season games. He averaged 8.0 points and 2.3 rebounds per game for the Clippers.  

 


Tyreke Evans could push Eric Gordon to bench
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2014) Pelicans guard Tyreke Evans closed his season out strong after a slow start, and the impetus was a move to the starting lineup March. After he found success as a starter, the team might make the move permanent next season.

From March 1 on, he averaged 20.0 points, 6.5 assists and 5.5 rebounds per game, while starting 21 of the team's final 22 games. His success could lead the team to consider a full-time switch next season, and coach Monty Williams told the team's official website that is something they will consider, especially with incumbent shooting guard Eric Gordon's inability to stay healthy yet again.

Evans ended up finishing fifth on the team in scoring at 14.5 points per game, while adding 4.7 rebounds and 5.0 assists, and appearing in the third-most games. 


Steve Nash plans to get healthy in offseason
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2014) Lakers guard Steve Nash was rarely healthy while appearing in just 15 games this season, but he told reporters in exit interviews Thursday he is in better shape than he was at this point a year ago.

Nash said he could be fully healthy in three-to-four weeks, after it took him five months last offseason. Despite this, he isn't sure if he will be able to maintain his health by the start of training camp. He plans to be at training camp, but will need to evaluate his health before the start of next season, after being extremely limited by ongoing nerve issues.

Nash finished the season averaging 6.8 points and 5.7 assists per game in his 15 appearances, but has maintained he is not planning to retire. He is under contract for one more season, and will be paid $9.7 million next year. 


Andre Drummond puts finishing touches on one-of-a-kind season
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(4/17/2014) Pistons center Andre Drummond is a unique talent; anyone can see that. He finished one of the most unique seasons in modern league history Wednesday in typical fashion, as he snared his 57th double-double in a loss to the Thunder.

Drummond finished the game with 22 points and 13 rebounds, including eight offensive rebounds to push his league-leading total to 440. That represents the eighth-highest total since 1979-80, and it isn't the only place where Drummond's season stands out.

Though he shot 62.3 percent from the field, Drummond remained the league's worst free-throw shooter. He became just the third play since 1979-80 to play 2500 total minutes while shooting below 42.0 percent from the free-throw line, as his 4-for-8 performance Wednesday raised his average to 41.8 percent.

Drummond improved his production across the board in his second season, averaging 13.5 points, 13.2 rebounds, 1.2 steals and 1.6 blocks per game while appearing in 81 games.  


 
 
 
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