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Week 11 Start 'Em and Sit 'Em

Fantasy Writer
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The Mavericks have what might be the best single-week Fantasy schedule of the season coming up in Week 11 (March 5-11). The Mavericks are the only team in the NBA to play five times in the week, as they have a back-to-back to start the week and their back-to-back-to-back later, ending on Saturday.

But what makes it especially attractive from a Fantasy perspective is not just that their players will have an extra opportunity to put up numbers on their fellow players, but also who they get to do so against. The Mavericks play an above average defensive team just once in the week, the 13th-ranked Knicks. Other than that, they face the 19th-ranked Thunder and then a paper-bag of a back-to-back-to-back with road games against the Rockets, Kings and Warriors, numbers 20, 30 and 26 in the NBA in defense respectively.

Even without the attractive schedule, I might have tabbed Mavericks guard Roddy Beaubois as a solid starting option this week, as he has been reinserted into the starting lineup after the All-Star break and has responded with 52 points in just three games as he looks newly reinvigorated following an extended layoff.

With the incredibly favorable matchups he faces in the week along with the hot streak, Beaubois makes an attractive choice for our Start of the Week for Week 11, so add him in all Fantasy formats and expect a solid week from the talented Frenchman.

Guards

Start 'Em

Iman Shumpert, Knicks (@DAL, @SA, @MIL, PHI): The Knicks have a mixed bag of opponents in Week 11, however Shumpert should be able to thrive as he continues to play off the ball for the Knicks in their new-look offense. He had struggled some prior to the All-Star break, however that seems to have been the result of a knee injury sapping him of some of his trademark explosiveness. In his first game after the All-Star break, Shumpert scored 12 points in just 21 minutes and most importantly, defended Cavaliers guard Kyrie Irving in crunch time. With a slew of elite point guards on the way in Week 11, Shumpert should continue to see crunch-time minutes as the Knicks' main defensive stopper, ensuring that he will continue to get solid minutes.

Sleepers for Week 11
Player % Started
1. Tristan Thompson, F, Cavaliers 29
2. Gordon Hayward, F, Jazz 18
3. Derrick Williams, F, T'Wolves 16
4. Mike Dunleavy, G, Bucks 10
5. Randy Foye, G, Clippers 18
6. Carlos Delfino, F, Bucks 41
7. Goran Dragic, G, Rockets 2
8. Gary Neal, G, Spurs 2
9. Kosta Koufos, C, Nuggets 4
10. Ekpe Udoh, F, Warriors 10

O.J. Mayo, Grizzlies (@GS, @PHO, @DEN): Mayo is the rare Memphis player who does not show a significant split in his home and road production, averaging right around 12 points per game no matter where he's playing. That is good news for this week, as the Grizzlies encounter a trio or porous defenses on the road, all three of which rank in the bottom 10 of the NBA in points allowed. Consistency has been a big issue for Mayo, however he should find plenty of opportunities to put up some nice numbers against these opponents, especially if his teammates struggle as they usually do on the road, as he attempts more shots per game on the road than at home.

Sleeper Alert: Jimmer Fredette, Kings (@DEN, NO, DAL, ATL): Fredette is starting to see his role grow ever-so-slightly here after the All-Star break, as he has found his shooting stroke. The rookie played 21 minutes on Friday night against the Lakers, his most extensive playing time in over two weeks, as he has made 6 of 10 from three-point range in his last three games. Fredette has scored in double digits in consecutive games for the first time since January and is starting to look less hesitant with his jump shot. Fredette has four opportunities in Week 11 to shoot threes, making him an appealing option in deeper Rotisserie formats.

Sit 'Em

Evan Turner, 76ers (@MIL, BOS, UTA, @NY): Turner started the season with some flashes that suggested he may have turned the corner on a disappointing rookie season, and yet here we are in March and his numbers are almost indistinguishable from last year's. Turner hit an extended cold streak that lasted almost the entire month of February, as he reached double digits in scoring just once in the month. Turner has scored just 12 points in three games since the All-Star break and with a handful of tough, grind-it-out matchups on the horizon in Week 11, it doesn't look like he's about to break out anytime soon.

Mario Chalmers, Heat (NJ, ATL, IND): This isn't an indictment on Chalmers, who is having an excellent year emerging as Miami's true fourth option on offense and a useful Fantasy player with his ability to hit the three-point shot at a high rate. However, in Week 11, the Heat plays just three times, with two games coming against teams in Indiana and Atlanta that guard the line at an above average rate. Fantasy owners will be able to rely on Chalmers for consistent threes the rest of the way, but with only three games this week; he might not be able to accumulate the stats necessary to make him a starting option.

Bust Alert: D.J. Augustin, Bobcats (ORL, UTA, NJ, @OKC): The Bobcats are in a terrible situation for Fantasy players, as they don't have one or two dominant offensive players who put up most of their points, forcing Fantasy owners to hold on to marginal, inconsistent options like Augustin. Augustin has completely lost his shot since returning from injury. In his six games since his return, Augustin has made just 31.0 percent of his shots after a 1 of 9 performance on Friday against San Antonio. Even with a fairly attractive schedule, Augustin has been struggling too much to consider using him this week.

Forwards

Start 'Em

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Josh Howard, Jazz (@CLE, @CHA, @PHI, @CHI): It didn't appear to make much sense to insert the struggling veteran into the starting lineup when the team was down, however Howard has made coach Tyrone Corbin look like a genius in the five games since. Howard is averaging 13.8 points and 7.2 rebounds per game over that time frame, looking more like a viable Fantasy option than he has in years. The Jazz have an up-and-down Week 11 on the horizon, with two easy matchups leading into two extremely tough ones, however if recent history is any indication, Howard will be a solid force for them the whole time.

James Johnson, Raptors (ORL, HOU, @DET, MIL): Johnson is very quietly putting together a decent second season in Toronto, and he has been stepping his performance up recently. Over the last five games, Johnson has scored in double digits four times and is averaging 12.8 points and 6.4 rebounds per game, as the Raptors have been leaning on him a little more heavily. He is the latest Raptor to step up as the team tries to find some stability, and while his role is robust and he is playing well, don't be afraid to rely on him too.

Sleeper Alert: Kenneth Faried, Nuggets (SAC, CLE, NO, MEM): Complicating this selection somewhat is the fact that Nuggets starting center Nene is expected to return for the game against the Kings on Monday. However, Faried has been too good recently to lose his role, especially with coach George Karl saying he doesn't expect Nene to return to a full-time role this season and with Timofey Mozgov suffering another ankle injury on Friday. Faried's high-energy style fits in with Karl's running philosophy, and he has three double-doubles in the last five games without seeing huge minutes. Faried should stay in his 20-minutes-per-game role, where he has thrived, so he should be able to produce enough to be useful in that role.

Sit 'Em

Corey Brewer, Nuggets (SAC, CLE, NO, MEM): On the flip side of Faried is his teammate Brewer, who likely will lose significant minutes due to the return of a different injured teammate; this one is Danilo Gallinari, who is expected to return from a fractured ankle in Week 11. Brewer has been a nice fill in for Gallinari, however Brewer had scored in double figures just five times prior to Gallinari's injury, as he was barely a part of the team's rotation. And while Brewer has been excelling, the team has scuffled in a big way, meaning there's not really any reason not to go back to the rotation that was working. Gallinari will be worked back into the rotation, but his minutes will almost certainly come at Brewer's cost, making him a questionable option moving forward.

Richard Jefferson, Spurs (NY, LAC): The Spurs are the first team to play only twice in a week in some time, as the schedule has tightened up in a big way recently. They'll get back to a regular load next week, but for Week 11, you won't want to rely on any of their more marginal options like Jefferson in weekly leagues. Jefferson continues to redefine himself as an elite spot-up shooter in his later years with the Spurs, making him a useful low-end Fantasy option, however with only two games, you'll want to look for better options.

Bust Alert: David West, Pacers (@CHI, ATL, @MIA, @ORL): West has been turning things around recently, as he is starting to reach the one-year mark from his major knee injury last season. That might take a detour in Week 11, as the Pacers have to run through a gauntlet of the Eastern Conference's toughest defenses in the week, with three coming on the road. Against the four teams he faced in Week 11, West is averaging just 11.25 points and 4.75 rebounds, as they have been able to hold him below his season averages. Expect West to struggle some as the East's elite defenses go to work.

Centers

Start 'Em

Brendan Haywood, Mavericks (@OKC, NY, @PHO, @SAC, @GS): Haywood seems to be past the back issues that had bothered him some last week, and so he should be worth starting this week. Unlike his teammate Beaubois, who would likely have been worth starting no matter the matchups, Haywood is only worth starting because he'll have so many opportunities to play against inferior competition. Haywood is averaging just 5.8 points and 6.9 rebounds per game this season, however with five chances, he should be able to rack up enough counting stats to make him a viable Fantasy start this week.

Sleeper Alert: Chris Wilcox, Celtics (HOU, @PHI, POR, @LAL): With news of Jermaine O'Neal likely missing the next two weeks with a wrist injury, Wilcox becomes the only natural center on the Celtics' roster. Wilcox isn't starting, however he has seen his minutes go up over the last few games, and he has responded accordingly by averaging 8.8 points and 10.3 rebounds over the last three games backing up Kevin Garnett. Wilcox likely won't maintain a double-double pace, but with how weak the center position is, he could be a useful No. 2 in deeper Fantasy leagues.

Sit 'Em

DeJuan Blair, Spurs (NY, LAC): This has been an odd season for Blair, as he is averaging a career high in scoring and a career low in rebounding. That trend hasn't been showing signs of reversing recently, but that isn't why Blair is here. He's here for the same reasons Jefferson is, and that is because the Spurs play just twice this week. Only five other teams in the NBA play as few as three times this week, meaning if you're relying on Blair or any of the other low-end Spurs options, you're putting your team in a hole this week that you might not be able to dig out of.

Bust Alert: Javale McGee, Wizards (GS, LAL, POR): There are plenty of criticisms to make of McGee's game, however he has been a useful Fantasy option for most of the season. Recently his various foibles have proven too much for Wizards coach Randy Wittman, who has begun tinkering with his rotation, going so far as to bench McGee for a game last week. He put him back in the starting lineup on Saturday, however McGee was not back to his usual minutes, playing just 24 and sitting out crunch time. Wittman clearly does not trust McGee at this time and until he earns his trust and minutes back, Fantasy owners will want to be careful about relying on a guy who struggles with consistency even when receiving good minutes.

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Player News
David West
West limited in practice
David West, PF, IND
5/20/2013
News: The Pacers official team website reports Monday that forward David West was limited in practice due to a strained right calf. The report said when asked if it would be an issue, West said "Nah." The Pacers play at the Heat in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Wednesday.
Analysis: West did not miss any action because of the calf in the semifinal series against the Knicks. He should be able to suit up against the Heat, but keep an eye on him prior to Wednesday. When healthy and active, West is a must-start Fantasy option in all leagues.

Carmelo Anthony
Anthony to have shoulder checked
Carmelo Anthony, SF, NY
5/20/2013
News: Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony first injured his left shoulder in Game 5 of the first-round series against the Celtics, and after that, repeatedly seemed to have issues with it. On Sunday, a Knicks official told reporters that Anthony is going to have his shoulder examined by a doctor. The club is hopeful that Anthony's injury is not serious and that it will improve with rest and therapy and won't require surgery. After the Game 5 injury, Anthony repeatedly grimaced and grabbed the shoulder on court, and was seen having it treated on the sideline multiple times. The Knicks were eliminated Saturday night 4-2 by the Pacers in Indianapolis.
Analysis: It's good that Anthony's having the shoulder looked at now. If surgery is necessary, he could be back on the floor by the middle of the summer and still be healthy enough to court free agents should the Knicks need him to woo anyone. Keep an eye on what happens with Anthony, and hopefully he's ready for the start of next year without any issues. When healthy and active, Anthony is a first-round pick in the majority of formats.

Dwyane Wade
Wade ready for Pacers
Dwyane Wade, SG, MIA
5/20/2013
News: The South Florida Sun-Sentinel reports good news from Heat practice Sunday for guard Dwyane Wade. His hobbled knee limited him in the first-round series against the Bucks, and he aggravated it in Game 4 vs. the Bulls, but then returned to help close out the Bulls in Games 4 and 5. Going forward, it's not that Wade can or cannot play, it's to what level he can be effective. Facing a physical, bruising defense in Indiana in the Eastern Conference Finals, Wade's going to be even more banged up. Luckily, he still has another two days to see if he can get even a little bit better. But for the most part, this is kind of standard operating procedure for Wade. Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers is Wednesday in Miami.
Analysis: It sounds like Wade will be fine for Game 1 against the Pacers, and hopefully he doesn't suffer a setback with his knee moving forward in the playoffs. When healthy and active, Wade is a standout Fantasy option in all leagues, and we hope this knee problem is rectified during the offseason so he's back to 100 percent for the start of next season.

Dwight Howard
Howard might sign with Rockets
Dwight Howard, C, LAL
5/20/2013
News: With the Lakers hoping for a swift decision from Dwight Howard on his free agency this summer, the All-Star center has given no indication he will rush the process and has privately indicated he plans to give strong consideration to multiple teams, league sources told CBSSports.com NBA Insider Ken Berger. Though Howard is adamant his free agency not be marred by the circus-like environment that surrounded his departure from Orlando last summer, word already has spread to multiple levels of his support staff that Howard re-signing with the Lakers is far from a done deal. With six weeks to go before Howard becomes an unrestricted free agent, the team that is said to intrigue him the most is the Rockets, according to multiple people briefed on internal conversations surrounding Howard's free-agent decision. The Rockets have a young star, James Harden, who has proved himself worthy of playing the leading role for the franchise; a budding 3-point shooting threat in Chandler Parsons; a defensive-minded coach in Kevin McHale; and Omer Asik, the kind of 7-footer Howard is believed to want next to him in the frontcourt.
Analysis: The Mavericks represent another franchise that intrigues Howard, and Dallas is a minor transaction or two away from having enough room to sign Howard outright as an unrestricted free agent. Howard plans to explore all such options, and a person briefed on his plans told CBSSports.com that there are "several" teams the free-agent center is "going to take a hard look at." The Lakers still have a strong chance of signing Howard, especially from a financial standpoint, so keep an eye on what develops. No matter where Howard plays this season he would remain a No. 1 Fantasy center in all leagues and worth at least a pick in Round 2.

J.R. Smith
Smith likely staying with Knicks
J.R. Smith, SG, NY
5/20/2013
News: Knicks shooting guard J.R. Smith should be ready to cash in this offseason. After making a little more than $5 million over his last two years with theKnicks, he has a player option for next season that he will undoubtedly forgo in hopes of signing a more lucrative contract. After winning Sixth Man of the Year he should have plenty of suitors in need of a scorer lining up to pay him for his services. However, he stated within the past week that he wants to retire as a Knick. This could be a ploy to drive up the negotiating price for Smith, or he could be sincere. The New York Post Smith is expected to opt out of his contract and re-sign with the Knicks in a four-year deal starting at about $5 million because the Knicks own his early-Bird rights rules.
Analysis: Smith averaged a career-high 18.1 points and 5.3 rebounds while shooting 42.2 percent from the field and 35.6 percent from 3-point range. He beat out Jamal Crawford and Jarrett Jack for the 2012-13 Sixth Man of the Year award, the first of his career. Keep an eye on what he does this offseason, but no matter where he signs he would be worth at least a mid-round pick, with his best value staying with the Knicks based on the way he played this past season.

Kawhi Leonard
Leonard drops 18 in Game 1
Kawhi Leonard, SF, SA
5/19/2013
News: Spurs forward Kawhi Leonard (knee) returned to the starting lineup for Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals against the Grizzlies. Leonard logged 30 minutes as he scored 18 points on 7 of 10 shooting from the field, including 4 of 5 from beyond the arc. He also chipped in with two rebounds, two steals, one assist and a blocked shot in a 105-83 victory.
Analysis: Leonard's knee problems were a "mild cause of concern" for the Spurs heading into the conference finals. Leonard averaged 12.0 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1.7 steals per game on the season, while shooting 49.6 percent from the field. His role will only continue to grow, so Fantasy owners have to like Leonard's development patter. He will be a big-time breakout candidate heading into next season, worth a mid-round pick on Draft Day.

Tyson Chandler
Chandler scores two in elimination game
Tyson Chandler, C, NY
5/19/2013
News: Knicks center Tyson Chandler worked his way around a back issue as he returned to action in Game 6 against the Pacers Saturday night. Chandler was held to just two points on 1 of 4 shooting. He also chipped in with six rebounds in a 106-99 defeat.
Analysis: Chandler will have the entire offseason to recover from his back issue. The 7-footer averaged 10.4 points and 10.7 rebounds over 66 games -- marking the second time he has averaged a double-double. He also shot 63.8 percent from the field, but only averaged 20.1 Fantasy points per week as injuries really hampered his production down the stretch. Fantasy owners should plan on scooping him up in the earlier rounds in draft formats next fall.

George Hill
Hill returns to action
George Hill, PG, IND
5/19/2013
News: Pacers point guard George Hill, who missed Game 5 with a concussion, returned to the starting lineup Game 6 against the Knicks. Hill scored 12 points on 2 for 10 shooting. He grabbed five boards and dished out four assists in a 106-99 win.
Analysis: Hill seems to be healthy enough to play and will now earn a three days of rest before the Eastern Conference Finals. Hill posted career highs in points (14.2), assists (4.7), rebounds (3.7) and steals (1.1) during his first full year as a starter and finish as the 27th highest scoring guard, in terms of Fantasy points, in all standard formats. Fantasy owners should plan on targeting him in the middle rounds of most draft formats next fall.

Kevin Garnett
Ainge has no answers for Garnett
Kevin Garnett, PF, BOS
5/17/2013
News: The Boston Globe reports that Celtics forward Kevin Garnett has two years left on his contract but is considering retirement. He turns 37 Sunday. “I don’t think I have the answers that Kevin will want,” Celtics president of basketball operations Danny Ainge said. “So I’ve got to figure there’s a lot to do [before we talk], and I think there’s a lot of questions in Kevin’s mind, as there is every year, to determine whether he’s coming back.I’m not ready to answer everything that he will want to know.”
Analysis: Garnett had another productive year, averaging 14.8 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists while shooting 49.6 percent from the field and 78.6 percent from the foul line. He will likely return if the Celtics keep Paul Pierce, but that's just speculation. Keep an eye on what happens with the Celtics, and if Garnett is back consider him a solid No. 2 Fantasy center worth a mid-round pick.

Paul Pierce
Pierce, Celtics could part ways
Paul Pierce, SF, BOS
5/17/2013
News: The Boston Globe reports the Celtics have to decide by June 30 whether to buy out Paul Pierce’s contract at $5 million. Celtics president of basketball operations Danny Ainge said the sides have not had discussions, but an NBA source said Pierce’s family is already beginning to prepare for relocation from Boston, assuming the Celtics will execute the buyout or trade his expiring contract in the offseason.Pierce struggled mightily during the playoffs, and Ainge was asked whether the longtime Celtic was injured. “Paul’s always battling little things,” said Ainge. “I think Paul’s healthy, but he played so hard and carried such a heavy load. Paul had a terrific year this year, but in the playoffs, New York did a good job of taking away his strengths and taking advantage of some of our weaknesses. But I thought Paul had a terrific year.”
Analysis: This report makes it seems as though Pierce could be gone, but we'd be surprised if that happens. That said, the Celtics do need to start rebuilding at some point. Keep an eye on what happens with Pierce and where he ends up. He would remain a quality starting option in all leagues no matter where he plays, but we'd like him best if he returned to Boston.

 
 
 
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