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Week 16 Start 'Em and Sit 'Em

Fantasy Writer
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This season has not gone how the Timberwolves would have hoped, and injuries are the primary reason why.

When healthy, the Wolves have looked like a playoff team for extended stretches, however things just keep getting worse for the team, especially in the backcourt. Luke Ridnour recently joined Ricky Rubio on the sidelines with an ankle injury, leaving oft-injured Jose Juan Barea as the team's primary (and for all intents and purposes, only) option to run the point.

This is bad news for the Wolves, who all of a sudden have absolutely no depth, however it is great news for any Fantasy owner who has room for Barea in the lineup, as the Wolves continue to be a high-octane offense that relies heavily on its point guards to create.

A few times already this year, Ridnour and Rubio have been featured here, so it is only right that the third and final point guard option on the team take his place as the Start of the Week for Week 16 (April 9-15), as he should have ample opportunities to put up solid numbers.

In his first start of the season on Wednesday, Barea showed what he can do in this larger role, as he put up 15 points, eight assists and six rebounds against the Warriors. Barea has dealt with his own injuries this season, however right now he is simply the healthiest option for the team.

Sleepers for Week 16
Player % Started
1. Glen Davis, F, Magic 9
2. Shannon Brown, G, Suns 11
3. Greivis Vasquez, G, Hornets 14
4. Jan Vesely, F, Wizards 1
5. Jason Smith, F, Hornets 8
6. Alec Burks, G, Jazz 1
7. Marreese Speights, F, Grizzlies 12
8. Mario Chalmers, G, Heat 28
9. Brandon Rush, F, Warriors 18
10. Ekpe Udoh, F, Bucks 9

Coach Rick Adelman's offense puts an emphasis on production from the point, which is why each of the Wolves' guards has been a valuable Fantasy option at some point this season. Barea is less of a true point guard than Ridnour or Rubio, however he does not lack for playmaking abilities, so as long as he is receiving big minutes, he should have little trouble keeping his production up.

The Wolves play four times in Week 16, with none of their games coming against top-10 NBA defenses. As long as Barea does not suffer any sort of setback from the thigh injury he has been dealing with, Fantasy owners should be able to rely on the pesky point guard.

Guards

Start 'Em

Kemba Walker, Bobcats (WAS, @CLE, DET, @MIA, BOS): The concerns about Walker's game translating to the professional game have not gone away through his first 50-plus games, however the Bobcats look like they are going to hand him the reins at point guard for the rest of the season anyways, as D.J. Augustin continues to deal with knee issues. Walker has not been great this season, however he is playing better recently, hitting 47.5 percent of his shots for 11.0 points and 5.4 assists per game over the last five games. With five more on the schedule for Week 16 and the chance to run the team consistently, Walker should put up better numbers.

Alonzo Gee, Cavaliers (CHA, IND, @IND, @WAS, ORL): Gee has been struggling with his shot for a while, however the Cavaliers are relying on two D-League call ups in their starting backcourt right now because of injuries, so Gee is going to continue to find opportunities to score. He is averaging 9.9 points per game over the last 10, barely acceptable for a low-end Fantasy option, however with the Cavaliers facing a five-game stretch this week without many other options, Gee has the ability to produce better numbers than that. We expect him to.

Sleeper Alert: Terrence Williams, Kings (@DAL, @NO, @OKC, POR): Williams, a former lottery pick who has spent time with three teams in his three years in the NBA, seems to have found some sort of comfort with the Kings, as he is averaging 9.6 points per game over the last 10. With Marcus Thornton dealing with a groin injury and Francisco Garcia suffering a concussion, Williams has been seeing more minutes recently as well, so the talented-but-inconsistent guard should continue to find playing time and scoring chances in Week 16.

Sit 'Em

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C.J. Watson, Bulls (NY, MIA, @DET): Watson deserves credit for helping to keep the Bulls more than afloat in Derrick Rose's extended absence. However Rose is expected to return to the floor from a groin injury by the time that Week 16 starts, which will move Watson back to the bench. Even if Rose wasn't returning and sending Watson back to a reserve role, it would be tough to recommend him with just three games on the schedule for Week 16, especially when all three teams rank above the league's average for points allowed.

Marshon Brooks, Nets (PHI, @PHI, BOS): Brooks began the season as a pleasant rookie surprise, as he put up points in bunches and provided the Nets with a second option on the perimeter. However, given his recent performance (8.0 points on 35.0 percent shooting over the last 10 games) he has been harder and harder to count on for Fantasy owners. In most weeks he is a borderline-starting candidate, but with a brutal three-game stretch on the horizon in Week 16 against two of the league's top-three defensive teams, Fantasy owners should steer clear of the rookie.

Bust Alert: Jarrett Jack, Hornets (LAL, SAC, UTA, MEM): Jack has been a surprisingly excellent Fantasy option this season when healthy, as he averaging 15.6 points and 6.3 assists per game on solid shooting all-around. Unfortunately, health has been something of an issue with him this season, and he is now dealing with a foot and ankle injury that has cost him two games and puts his status for the immediate future in doubt. The Hornets have yet to see the Jack/Eric Gordon backcourt in action this season, so there is the added question mark of whether Gordon will negatively impact Jack's production. There are simply too many question marks surrounding Jack right now to rely on him.

Forwards

Start 'Em

Kevin Seraphin, Wizards (@CHA, ORL, @NY, CLE): Seraphin continues to be a revelation in the absence of both Nene and Trevor Booker for the Wizards. The second-year forward has now played in six straight games with at least 30 minutes and 14 points, stepping up in a big way in the starters' absences. He has also had at least seven rebounds in all but one of those games. The end of the season is often when team's find potential diamonds in the rough, and the Wizards appear to have one here. The same goes for Fantasy owners in Week 16, as he should remain in his role with the other two out.

Tayshaun Prince, Pistons (@ORL, @CHA, MIL, CHI): It took the veteran a while to get going, but he has found his shot in the second half of this season and he seems to keep getting better, an impressive feat given this hectic schedule. Prince is shooting 49.3 percent from the field over the last five games for 15.4 points per game. In Week 16, he faces off against two top-10 defenses and two bottom-10 defenses, so expect the veteran to keep riding high with his current production for the scoring period.

Sleeper Alert: Brandon Bass, Celtics (@MIA, ATL, @TOR, @NJ, @CHA): The Celtics start the week with a brutal back to back against two top defenses in Miami and Atlanta, so Bass may have to do most of his damage in the second half of the scoring period, when they face a trio of weak defensive squads. Bass has upped his played lately, averaging 14.2 points and 6.4 rebounds per game over the last five, and he has been getting to the free throw line often, putting in free points in bunches. The Celtics are rolling and Bass has been a big part of that, so don't expect it to end just yet.

Sit 'Em

Amar'e Stoudemire, Knicks (@CHI, @MIL, WAS, MIA): On Sunday's nationally-televised matchup against the Bulls, footage was shown of Stoudemire warming up prior to the game and he looked pretty good. Maybe not his typically explosive self, but good enough that Fantasy owners may be willing to sneak him into the lineup on the optimistic notion that he will make it for his Friday prediction and give them a couple of solid games here at the end of the season. That is too risky a proposition, however, given the inconsistency Stoudemire has dealt with this season even when healthy. Even if his balky back is feeling better by Friday, there is no guarantee that the Knicks will play him right away. Don't be too overly optimistic about this situation; Stoudemire has a history of injuries, and it is better to be safe than risk getting nothing at all from him.

James Johnson, Raptors (@IND, PHI, BOS, ATL): Johnson has been one of a number of Raptors to contribute over the course of the season, however in a strange turn of events, coach Dwayne Casey has had him benched over the last two games heading into Sunday. At this point, there's not much in the way of concrete details to go on, but it is starting to look like Johnson has gotten in his coach's doghouse. This comes at a tough time for Johnson, as he had been averaging 10.6 points per game over the previous 10 games. At this point, we have no idea if Johnson is going to be brought back into the fold, and given this uncertainty you have to bench Johnson for this week.

Bust Alert: Ryan Anderson, Magic (DET, @WAS, ATL, @CLE): Anderson has been a tremendously valuable Fantasy option all season long with his unique collection of talents: His combination of rebounding and three-point shooting is topped only by Kevin Love. However he has been unable to play for the last week after suffering an ankle injury last Sunday, and Glen Davis has stepped up in his absence in a big way; he is averaging 21.5 points and 11.3 rebounds per game over the last four. While Anderson has a chance of returning by Monday in Week 16, he might be slowed by the injury and see his minutes limited with Davis' emergence, making him a risky start.

Centers

Start 'Em

Byron Mullens, Bobcats (WAS, @CLE, DET, @MIA, BOS): Mullens appeared here last week as a sleeper, but he was so phenomenal in Week 15, that he simply had to make a return appearance. The lanky big man continues to show a fantastic scoring touch, and he has been crashing the boards hard as well, putting up a pair of double-doubles in the first three games of the last scoring period. Mullens went off for the best game of his career on Friday as well, putting 31 points and 14 rebounds against the Bucks, and with a slew of injuries limiting the Bobcats' options, as well as five chances to put up numbers in Week 16, Fantasy owners should feel confident in his abilities.

Sleeper Alert: Tristan Thompson, Cavaliers (CHA, IND, @IND, @WAS, ORL): Despite moving into the starting lineup as a center, Thompson has not emerged as anything close to a must-start Fantasy option, as his production continues to be too inconsistent to rely on week in and week out. That being said, it is hard to look away from him during a scoring period when he plays five times, even if three of the games come against stout defensive frontlines. Thompson has emerged as a low-end Fantasy option, so if you have another player who won't have as many opportunities, Thompson could top them.

Sit 'Em

Zaza Pachulia, Hawks (@BOS, @ORL, TOR): Pachulia has played a big part in keeping the Hawks in contention since Al Horford's injury, and he has also broken out as a useful Fantasy player, especially when matcuups are right. However, his scoring has been slipping recently, as he is averaging only 5.2 points over the last five games. Combined that slip with a less-than-favorable schedule for the week, and Pachulia does not look like a good play. He'll be good for some rebounds and steals out of the center position, but not much more than that.

Bust Alert: Nene, Wizards (@CHA, ORL, @NY, CLE): Nene is part of the reason that Seraphin was listed earlier, as he continues to struggle with a bout of plantar fasciitis that has cost him five games in a row. The team has not indicated when they expect the veteran to return, however it seems unlikely that he will do so for all of Week 16, making him an incredibly risky start. He remains one of the most skilled big men in the league, and he has shown plenty of chemistry with John Wall in limited time in Washington, however with this lingering issue, Fantasy owners will want to keep him reserved.

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Player News
David West
West limited in practice
David West, PF, IND
5/20/2013
News: The Pacers official team website reports Monday that forward David West was limited in practice due to a strained right calf. The report said when asked if it would be an issue, West said "Nah." The Pacers play at the Heat in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Wednesday.
Analysis: West did not miss any action because of the calf in the semifinal series against the Knicks. He should be able to suit up against the Heat, but keep an eye on him prior to Wednesday. When healthy and active, West is a must-start Fantasy option in all leagues.

Carmelo Anthony
Anthony to have shoulder checked
Carmelo Anthony, SF, NY
5/20/2013
News: Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony first injured his left shoulder in Game 5 of the first-round series against the Celtics, and after that, repeatedly seemed to have issues with it. On Sunday, a Knicks official told reporters that Anthony is going to have his shoulder examined by a doctor. The club is hopeful that Anthony's injury is not serious and that it will improve with rest and therapy and won't require surgery. After the Game 5 injury, Anthony repeatedly grimaced and grabbed the shoulder on court, and was seen having it treated on the sideline multiple times. The Knicks were eliminated Saturday night 4-2 by the Pacers in Indianapolis.
Analysis: It's good that Anthony's having the shoulder looked at now. If surgery is necessary, he could be back on the floor by the middle of the summer and still be healthy enough to court free agents should the Knicks need him to woo anyone. Keep an eye on what happens with Anthony, and hopefully he's ready for the start of next year without any issues. When healthy and active, Anthony is a first-round pick in the majority of formats.

Dwyane Wade
Wade ready for Pacers
Dwyane Wade, SG, MIA
5/20/2013
News: The South Florida Sun-Sentinel reports good news from Heat practice Sunday for guard Dwyane Wade. His hobbled knee limited him in the first-round series against the Bucks, and he aggravated it in Game 4 vs. the Bulls, but then returned to help close out the Bulls in Games 4 and 5. Going forward, it's not that Wade can or cannot play, it's to what level he can be effective. Facing a physical, bruising defense in Indiana in the Eastern Conference Finals, Wade's going to be even more banged up. Luckily, he still has another two days to see if he can get even a little bit better. But for the most part, this is kind of standard operating procedure for Wade. Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers is Wednesday in Miami.
Analysis: It sounds like Wade will be fine for Game 1 against the Pacers, and hopefully he doesn't suffer a setback with his knee moving forward in the playoffs. When healthy and active, Wade is a standout Fantasy option in all leagues, and we hope this knee problem is rectified during the offseason so he's back to 100 percent for the start of next season.

Dwight Howard
Howard might sign with Rockets
Dwight Howard, C, LAL
5/20/2013
News: With the Lakers hoping for a swift decision from Dwight Howard on his free agency this summer, the All-Star center has given no indication he will rush the process and has privately indicated he plans to give strong consideration to multiple teams, league sources told CBSSports.com NBA Insider Ken Berger. Though Howard is adamant his free agency not be marred by the circus-like environment that surrounded his departure from Orlando last summer, word already has spread to multiple levels of his support staff that Howard re-signing with the Lakers is far from a done deal. With six weeks to go before Howard becomes an unrestricted free agent, the team that is said to intrigue him the most is the Rockets, according to multiple people briefed on internal conversations surrounding Howard's free-agent decision. The Rockets have a young star, James Harden, who has proved himself worthy of playing the leading role for the franchise; a budding 3-point shooting threat in Chandler Parsons; a defensive-minded coach in Kevin McHale; and Omer Asik, the kind of 7-footer Howard is believed to want next to him in the frontcourt.
Analysis: The Mavericks represent another franchise that intrigues Howard, and Dallas is a minor transaction or two away from having enough room to sign Howard outright as an unrestricted free agent. Howard plans to explore all such options, and a person briefed on his plans told CBSSports.com that there are "several" teams the free-agent center is "going to take a hard look at." The Lakers still have a strong chance of signing Howard, especially from a financial standpoint, so keep an eye on what develops. No matter where Howard plays this season he would remain a No. 1 Fantasy center in all leagues and worth at least a pick in Round 2.

J.R. Smith
Smith likely staying with Knicks
J.R. Smith, SG, NY
5/20/2013
News: Knicks shooting guard J.R. Smith should be ready to cash in this offseason. After making a little more than $5 million over his last two years with theKnicks, he has a player option for next season that he will undoubtedly forgo in hopes of signing a more lucrative contract. After winning Sixth Man of the Year he should have plenty of suitors in need of a scorer lining up to pay him for his services. However, he stated within the past week that he wants to retire as a Knick. This could be a ploy to drive up the negotiating price for Smith, or he could be sincere. The New York Post Smith is expected to opt out of his contract and re-sign with the Knicks in a four-year deal starting at about $5 million because the Knicks own his early-Bird rights rules.
Analysis: Smith averaged a career-high 18.1 points and 5.3 rebounds while shooting 42.2 percent from the field and 35.6 percent from 3-point range. He beat out Jamal Crawford and Jarrett Jack for the 2012-13 Sixth Man of the Year award, the first of his career. Keep an eye on what he does this offseason, but no matter where he signs he would be worth at least a mid-round pick, with his best value staying with the Knicks based on the way he played this past season.

Kawhi Leonard
Leonard drops 18 in Game 1
Kawhi Leonard, SF, SA
5/19/2013
News: Spurs forward Kawhi Leonard (knee) returned to the starting lineup for Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals against the Grizzlies. Leonard logged 30 minutes as he scored 18 points on 7 of 10 shooting from the field, including 4 of 5 from beyond the arc. He also chipped in with two rebounds, two steals, one assist and a blocked shot in a 105-83 victory.
Analysis: Leonard's knee problems were a "mild cause of concern" for the Spurs heading into the conference finals. Leonard averaged 12.0 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1.7 steals per game on the season, while shooting 49.6 percent from the field. His role will only continue to grow, so Fantasy owners have to like Leonard's development patter. He will be a big-time breakout candidate heading into next season, worth a mid-round pick on Draft Day.

Tyson Chandler
Chandler scores two in elimination game
Tyson Chandler, C, NY
5/19/2013
News: Knicks center Tyson Chandler worked his way around a back issue as he returned to action in Game 6 against the Pacers Saturday night. Chandler was held to just two points on 1 of 4 shooting. He also chipped in with six rebounds in a 106-99 defeat.
Analysis: Chandler will have the entire offseason to recover from his back issue. The 7-footer averaged 10.4 points and 10.7 rebounds over 66 games -- marking the second time he has averaged a double-double. He also shot 63.8 percent from the field, but only averaged 20.1 Fantasy points per week as injuries really hampered his production down the stretch. Fantasy owners should plan on scooping him up in the earlier rounds in draft formats next fall.

George Hill
Hill returns to action
George Hill, PG, IND
5/19/2013
News: Pacers point guard George Hill, who missed Game 5 with a concussion, returned to the starting lineup Game 6 against the Knicks. Hill scored 12 points on 2 for 10 shooting. He grabbed five boards and dished out four assists in a 106-99 win.
Analysis: Hill seems to be healthy enough to play and will now earn a three days of rest before the Eastern Conference Finals. Hill posted career highs in points (14.2), assists (4.7), rebounds (3.7) and steals (1.1) during his first full year as a starter and finish as the 27th highest scoring guard, in terms of Fantasy points, in all standard formats. Fantasy owners should plan on targeting him in the middle rounds of most draft formats next fall.

Kevin Garnett
Ainge has no answers for Garnett
Kevin Garnett, PF, BOS
5/17/2013
News: The Boston Globe reports that Celtics forward Kevin Garnett has two years left on his contract but is considering retirement. He turns 37 Sunday. “I don’t think I have the answers that Kevin will want,” Celtics president of basketball operations Danny Ainge said. “So I’ve got to figure there’s a lot to do [before we talk], and I think there’s a lot of questions in Kevin’s mind, as there is every year, to determine whether he’s coming back.I’m not ready to answer everything that he will want to know.”
Analysis: Garnett had another productive year, averaging 14.8 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists while shooting 49.6 percent from the field and 78.6 percent from the foul line. He will likely return if the Celtics keep Paul Pierce, but that's just speculation. Keep an eye on what happens with the Celtics, and if Garnett is back consider him a solid No. 2 Fantasy center worth a mid-round pick.

Paul Pierce
Pierce, Celtics could part ways
Paul Pierce, SF, BOS
5/17/2013
News: The Boston Globe reports the Celtics have to decide by June 30 whether to buy out Paul Pierce’s contract at $5 million. Celtics president of basketball operations Danny Ainge said the sides have not had discussions, but an NBA source said Pierce’s family is already beginning to prepare for relocation from Boston, assuming the Celtics will execute the buyout or trade his expiring contract in the offseason.Pierce struggled mightily during the playoffs, and Ainge was asked whether the longtime Celtic was injured. “Paul’s always battling little things,” said Ainge. “I think Paul’s healthy, but he played so hard and carried such a heavy load. Paul had a terrific year this year, but in the playoffs, New York did a good job of taking away his strengths and taking advantage of some of our weaknesses. But I thought Paul had a terrific year.”
Analysis: This report makes it seems as though Pierce could be gone, but we'd be surprised if that happens. That said, the Celtics do need to start rebuilding at some point. Keep an eye on what happens with Pierce and where he ends up. He would remain a quality starting option in all leagues no matter where he plays, but we'd like him best if he returned to Boston.

 
 
 
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