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Week 17 Start 'Em and Sit 'Em

Fantasy Writer
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Fantasy owners have written off forward Metta World Peace as a viable Fantasy option since the end of his first season in Los Angeles; over the last two seasons, he has averaged 8.5 and 7.2 points per game while shooting below 40.0 percent from the field and is owned in just 15 percent of all CBSSports.com leagues.

Sleepers for Week 17
Player % Started
1. Nate Robinson, G, Warriors 26
2. Donald Sloan, G, Cavaliers 4
3. Michael Beasley, F, Timberwolves 30
4. Gerald Green, G, Nets 16
5. Jan Vesely, F, Wizards 1
6. Avery Bradley, G, Celtics 6
7. Nikola Vucevic, C, 76ers 3
8. James Singleton, F, Wizards 1
9. J.R. Smith, G, Knicks 21
10. Sebastian Telfair, G, Suns 1

Known more, at this point, for his on the court defensive toughness (as well as his off-the-court personality,) the 12-year veteran had been left for dead in Fantasy leagues for the first three months of the season, which makes his recent play one of the more surprising developments of the season.

World Peace has played eight games in April as of Saturday, and has put together arguably his best stretch in three years, as he is averaging 14.6 points on 52.4 percent shooting, while looking more like the terrific all-around player that used to be considered one of the best in the league. Part of his resurrection has been the absence of Kobe Bryant, which has forced the Lakers to shift their offensive responsibilities around.

The Lakers play just five times in Week 17 (April 16-26), however with Bryant's status still murky at best, World Peace is a solid bet to provide Fantasy owners with nice value here at the end of the season. He is certainly not an elite option anymore, however given his recent play and the Lakers' need for scoring from him he is our choice for Start of the Week for the season's final scoring period.

Guards

Start 'Em

Lester Hudson, Cavaliers (@DET, PHI, NYK, @SAS, @MEM, WAS, @CHI): One of the truly great things about the end of the NBA season is watching guys on 10-day contracts make a name for themselves and earn longer looks based solely on the merit of their play. Hudson has become this season's poster boy for that, as he has gone on some kind of run since the beginning of April, scoring in double figures in five of seven games and averaging 17.3 points per game on the month. He may not be a particularly efficient scoring, however he has provided the Cavs with a huge boost off the bench and is not at all afraid of the moment. With the Cavs still dealing with plenty of injuries and with nothing to play for, Hudson is going to keep having opportunities to put up numbers.

Eric Gordon, Hornets (@CHA, @MEM, HOU, LAC, GSW, @HOU): Gordon has proven that he is a phenomenal offensive player when healthy, however that has been his main problem for the fourth-year guard this season. Gordon is averaging 20.5 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per game on the season, numbers that would make him an absolute must-start Fantasy option in all formats if he could sustain it. The problem here is that Gordon has played just six times this season as he has dealt with a number of injuries. Luckily for those Fantasy owners who have held on to him, he looks healthy now and should be able to put up huge numbers of the last scoring period, as he plays just two teams that have above-average defenses on the season. Owners disappointed with his injury-plagued season should at least end up happy if he can give them this late season boost.

Sleeper Alert: Gerald Henderson, Bobcats (NOH, CHI, MEM, SAC, @WAS, @ORL, NYK): This season has been an abject failure for the Bobcats, who are on a historically terrible pace and have an outside shot to finish with the worst winning percent in NBA history. One bright spot, however, has been the emergence of Gerald Henderson as a scoring option, as the former lottery pick is averaging 14.3 points per game on the year. With Corey Maggette suffering a season-ending Achilles' injury last week, Henderson should find scoring opportunities even more plentiful than before in the season's waning moments, so Fantasy owners should be willing to rely on him.

Sit 'Em

Stephen Jackson, Spurs (@GSW, @LAL, @SAC, LAL, CLE, POR, @PHX, @GSW): There was some hope that Jackson would experience a resurgence when the Spurs re-acquired him at the deadline this season, however that has not come to pass, as his struggles have continued and even worsened since the Spurs acquired him. Jackson's scoring has gone down to just 8.2 per game since joining the Spurs, and it is not showing signs of improving. Despite the Spurs playing eight times I the week, more than any team in the NBA, don't expect Jackson to find his way at the end of the season. When he was asked how he thought coach Gregg Popovich would manage his minutes over the last two weeks, Jackson summed it up perfectly: "You never know what Obi-Wan is going to do.”

Ray Allen, Celtics (@NYK, ORL, @ATL, MIA, MIL): Allen has been dealing with an ankle injury at different parts of this season, and most recently it has resulted in him losing his spot in the starting lineup with Avery Bradley's emergence. Allen has missed eight of the team's last 13 games, and while he is expected to return sometime during the final scoring period of the season, it is fair to assume that the team is going to do whatever it can to limit Allen's minutes here at the end of the season, now that they have the look of a contender in the postseason. Allen averaged 11.4 points per game in the five games he played in between the injury flaring up, so he has not been playing at a high level anyways. Fantasy owners should be wary of relying on the veteran right now.

Bust Alert: Kobe Bryant, Lakers (SAS, @GSW, @SAS, OKC, @SAC): Given his age and the fact that he has dealt with injuries of some sort for most of the season, the fact that Bryant is just now missing his first extended time this season is incredibly impressive. Still, the shin injury he is currently dealing with sounds pretty serious, as he has only been cleared to run at this time. It seems like he may be able to return before the playoffs, however it would be safe to assume that Bryant is going to miss at least some time in this final scoring period, making him a very risky start, especially if he is not 100 percent healthy.

Forwards

Start 'Em

J.J. Hickson, Trail Blazers (@PHX, UTA, @MEM, @SAS, @UTA): Hickson has already emerged as a consistently-useful Fantasy option in most leagues, however with the recent news of LaMarcus Aldridge's season-ending hip surgery, Hickson has to be considered almost a must-start Fantasy option. The 23-year old is averaging 14.3 points and 8.6 rebounds per game over his last 10 games, however that has come in just 31.4 minutes per game. In the two games since Aldridge has been out, Hickson is averaging 40.5 minutes per game, and he has responded with a pair of double-doubles and an 18.0-point, 11.5-rebound per game average. He should be a nightly threat for a double-double and a starting Fantasy option in all formats.

Jason Smith, Hornets (@CHA, @MEM, HOU, @LAC, @GSW, @HOU): Ever since returning from a 20-game absence due to a concussion, Smith has been a huge part of the Hornets' efforts; the seven-footer is averaging 12.9 points per game over the last 13 games, while scoring in double figures in nine of them. He is also averaging 6.1 rebounds per game in that time span, while earning high praise from his coaches and a consistent spot in the starting lineup. Only Memphis and Los Angeles look to provide any sort of defensive resistance over the season's final six games, and with Smith playing for a role on next season's team, expect him to keep his strong play up.

Sleeper Alert: Anthony Randolph, Timberwolves (@IND, MEM, @DET, GSW, DEN): Anthony Randolph's late-season ascension to Fantasy relevance is starting to become a yearly tradition. With Kevin Love seemingly sideline for the remainder of the season with concussion issues and a strained neck, Randolph has seen a tremendous rise in his minutes recently, as he has topped 25 in each of his last three games. In those three games he is now averaging 22.0 points and 8.7 rebounds per game. One day Randolph is going to have to turn this late-season success into sustained production, however for Fantasy owners looking for a boost in the last scoring period, the talented, but inconsistent big man should be a good target.

Sit 'Em

Trevor Ariza, Hornets (@CHA, @MEM, HOU, @LAC, @GSW, @HOU): Ariza has dealt with some ankle issues recently, however he has been considered healthy for the last few games. Despite that, he has been unable to find the floor over the last three games, as Hornets coach Monty Williams has admitted to moving his focus towards the future. As a result, Ariza has been benched in favor of younger players, with Williams saying he already knows what Ariza can give him for the future. Ariza's role on the team next year seems safe, however his time as a productive Fantasy player this season seems over.

Al Harrington, Nuggets (@HOU, LAC, @PHX, ORL, @OKC, @MIN): Harrington revealed last week that he has suffered a torn meniscus in his right knee and that he would keep trying to play through it, with the Nuggets still in the thick of a playoff hunt. He followed that revelation up with 11 and 18 points in his next two games, showing that he can still be effective with the tear as a scorer. However his rebounding took a major hit, and coach George Karl has made it clear that he expects to limit Harrington's minutes moving forward, so Fantasy owners might want to limit their expectations for him and go with a healthier option for the week.

Bust Alert: Drew Gooden, Bucks (@WAS, @IND, NJN, TOR, PHI, @BOS): There was a point this season when Gooden was a must-start Fantasy option, as he broke out in Andrew Bogut's absence. However, after suffering a back injury at the end of February, Gooden has struggled with consistency. That has especially been an issue recently, as the big man has failed to reach double-figures in scoring in 10 of the last 15 games. He is averaging just 10.5 points and 4.6 rebounds in just 20.7 minutes per game in the month of April. He is still capable of the occasional big game, however he has also had moments where he has been removed from games entirely due to ineffectiveness. He is too unreliable at this point to be started with how important the games are now.

Centers

Start 'Em

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Glen Davis, Magic (PHI, @BOS, @UTA, @DEN, CHA, @MEM): This has been an understandably frustrating season for Davis, who spent the first three months almost exclusively off the bench. However he has been released over the last few weeks, starting in the place of both Ryan Anderson and now Dwight Howard as they dealt with injuries. He has been downright dominant since entering the starting lineup, averaging 18.7 points and 11.4 rebounds in seven games in the month of April while trying desperately to keep the Magic afloat. He may not be helping them win too many games, Davis has shown the ability to carry your Fantasy team in this role.

Sleeper Alert: Greg Stiemsma, Celtics (@NYK, ORL, @ATL, MIA, MIL): Stiemsma has played professionally in Turkey, Korea, and the D-League prior to making his debut with the Celtics this season, so the fact that he is even in the league is pretty impressive, let alone that he is making an impact on a contender. The 26-year-old has emerged as a low-end Fantasy contributor in Rotisserie leagues, mostly for his ability to fill up the stat sheet. He almost never tops double-digits in scoring or rebounding, however as he did on Saturday, he does just enough everywhere to make him an OK option in a pinch – he finished the game with six points, nine rebounds, two blocks and two steals. Stiemsma is far from an elite contributor, however he has gone from a mere curiosity to a legitimate low-end option for the final scoring period.

Sit 'Em

DeJuan Blair, Spurs (@GSW, @LAL, @SAC, LAL, CLE, POR, @PHX, @GSW): The Spurs play the most games of anyone in this scoring period, as they have a back-to-back-to-back to start things off before playing five more games in the next nine days. Normally, that would be a sure-fire reason to play a borderline guy, however in Blair's case, it does not bode well. As discussed in Stephen Jackson's part, Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is highly unpredictably when it comes to when he will give guys off and when he will lean on them heavily. And unfortunately for Blair, Popovich seems to have lost faith in him, as he has dropped his minutes to just 18.8 per game over the last 10. Blair has been replaced quite often by Boris Diaw, and with the schedule condensing at the end, he could see some extra time off before the playoffs.

Bust Alert: Dwight Howard, Magic (PHI, @BOS, @UTA, @DEN, CHA, @MEM): Prior to two weeks ago, Howard had missed just seven games in his entire seven-year NBA career, so you can excuse him for taking six of the last eight games off with a herniated disc in his back. Howard has been a model of consistency, but with news breaking on Sunday that he would miss at least the next 10 days, Fantasy owners simply cannot rely on him in this final scoring period. The best case scenario for him is that he returns for the last two games, however coach Stan Van Gundy is already preparing to head into the playoffs without him.

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Player News
George Hill
Hill dealing with concussion
George Hill, PG, IND
5/17/2013
News: ESPN reports that Pacers point guard George Hill missed Game 5 against the Knicks because of a concussion. There's no definite timetable for his return. Under the guidelines of the NBA's concussion protocol, it seems highly unlikely Hill returns in time for Game 6 on Saturday against the Knicks. He may not be back for Game 7 on Monday, either, if it is necessary. Hill was diagnosed with a concussion on Thursday afternoon -- about three hours before tipoff of Game 5. He will need to go through a lengthy series of tests before he returns to the floor. Per the NBA's concussion policy, which was implemented at the beginning of the 2011-12 season, Hill first needs to show that he is symptom-free.
Analysis: Keep an eye on Hill's status, and hopefully he can return for Game 6 and doesn't have any concussion issues moving forward. When healthy and active, Hill is a quality Fantasy option in the majority of leagues.

Kevin Garnett
Ainge has no answers for Garnett
Kevin Garnett, PF, BOS
5/17/2013
News: The Boston Globe reports that Celtics forward Kevin Garnett has two years left on his contract but is considering retirement. He turns 37 Sunday. “I don’t think I have the answers that Kevin will want,” Celtics president of basketball operations Danny Ainge said. “So I’ve got to figure there’s a lot to do [before we talk], and I think there’s a lot of questions in Kevin’s mind, as there is every year, to determine whether he’s coming back.I’m not ready to answer everything that he will want to know.”
Analysis: Garnett had another productive year, averaging 14.8 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists while shooting 49.6 percent from the field and 78.6 percent from the foul line. He will likely return if the Celtics keep Paul Pierce, but that's just speculation. Keep an eye on what happens with the Celtics, and if Garnett is back consider him a solid No. 2 Fantasy center worth a mid-round pick.

Paul Pierce
Pierce, Celtics could part ways
Paul Pierce, SF, BOS
5/17/2013
News: The Boston Globe reports the Celtics have to decide by June 30 whether to buy out Paul Pierce’s contract at $5 million. Celtics president of basketball operations Danny Ainge said the sides have not had discussions, but an NBA source said Pierce’s family is already beginning to prepare for relocation from Boston, assuming the Celtics will execute the buyout or trade his expiring contract in the offseason.Pierce struggled mightily during the playoffs, and Ainge was asked whether the longtime Celtic was injured. “Paul’s always battling little things,” said Ainge. “I think Paul’s healthy, but he played so hard and carried such a heavy load. Paul had a terrific year this year, but in the playoffs, New York did a good job of taking away his strengths and taking advantage of some of our weaknesses. But I thought Paul had a terrific year.”
Analysis: This report makes it seems as though Pierce could be gone, but we'd be surprised if that happens. That said, the Celtics do need to start rebuilding at some point. Keep an eye on what happens with Pierce and where he ends up. He would remain a quality starting option in all leagues no matter where he plays, but we'd like him best if he returned to Boston.

Joakim Noah
Bulls hope Noah avoids surgery
Joakim Noah, C, CHI
5/17/2013
News: The Chicago Sun-Times reports that Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau said that the plantar fasciitis in center Joakim Noah’s right foot could require surgery, but that Noah would try rehabilitation first. “That hasn’t been determined,’’ Thibodeau said of Noah undergoing surgery. “Obviously, we’d like to avoid the surgery. He has responded a lot better. He has found something that has worked. "We want him to get completely healthy That will be the focus, getting him back to 100 percent. He needs some rest, as most of the guys do."
Analysis: We hope whatever Noah decides to do with his foot will get him back to being 100 percent for the start of next season. When healthy and active, Noah is an elite Fantasy center in the majority of leagues. He is worth drafting as early as Round 3 or 4 in most formats.

J.J. Redick
Redick likely leaving Bucks
J.J. Redick, SG, MIL
5/17/2013
News: The Racine Journal-Times reports that Bucks guard J.J. Redick could be departing this summer. Redick loved Orlando, and was very upset when he was traded. It's not likely that he would return to the Magic, considering their rebuilding condition, but he'll finally be in a position to make his own choices for his career. Redick could want to sign with a contender for less money, or an up-and-coming team for more. Redick averaged 12 points and three assists on just 40 percent shooting in Milwaukee after averaging 15 points and four assists per game with Orlando before the trade deadline.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Redick ends up, and hopefully he lands with a team where he can get playing time and post quality stats. He is worth drafting with a late-round pick in the majority of leagues depending on where he signs.

Tyson Chandler
Chandler hurt in Game 5
Tyson Chandler, C, NY
5/17/2013
News: The New York Post reports that Knicks center Tyson Chandler hurt his back and knee with a late tumble Thursday night against the Pacers and left the court in the final minute for the locker room. He said he’s sore, but will play Saturday in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference semifinals at Indiana. “I probably won’t get the best night’s sleep," Chandler said.
Analysis: We hope Chandler can play against the Pacers and that he doesn't have any issues going forward with his back or knee. When healthy and active, Chandler is a solid Fantasy center in the majority of leagues.

Kawhi Leonard
Leonard's knee something to watch
Kawhi Leonard, SF, SA
5/17/2013
News: The San Antonio Express-News reports that Spurs forward Kawhi Leonard's knee is a "storyline for the next round" after San Antonio beat Golden State in the Western Conference semifinals. The Spurs will next face Memphis in the conference finals. The report says the knee is bothering him and "mild cause for concern."
Analysis: We expect Leonard to play against the Grizzlies in the next round, but keep an eye on what develops with his knee. When healthy and active, Leonard is a developing Fantasy option in the majority of leagues.

Jarrett Jack
Jack open to Warriors return
Jarrett Jack, PG, GS
5/17/2013
News: The Contra Costa Times reports that guard Jarrett Jack would like to return to the Warriors next season. Golden State was eliminated from the playoffs by San Antonio in the Western Conference semifinals. “Usually before I would do any media, I would make sure I was dressed a certain way," he said. "I brought one of my best suits. But looking down at this jersey, it’s just a sense of pride I don’t think I’ve ever felt as a professional. … Nothing in my closet is better than what I have on now.” His future with the Warriors is uncertain. Jack, who made $5 million this season, will become an unrestricted free agent on July 1. He played a pivotal role in the Warriors’ success as the backup point guard and the late-game ball-handler. So much so, Golden State reached out for extension talks back in January, but Jack declined before talks could get going so he could focus on the season.
Analysis: Based on his performance with the Warriors, Jack is expected to get several opportunities and lots of money on the free agent market. Whether he takes the more lucrative offer elsewhere, or whether the Warriors make a competitive offer to keep him, that will all be figured out this summer. But Jack was never more clear about for whom he wants to play: Golden State. Keep an eye on where he ends up next season. He should remain a late-round flier no matter where he signs.

Kurt Thomas
Thomas open to keep playing
Kurt Thomas, C, NY
5/17/2013
News: The New York Daily News reports that Kurt Thomas is undecided about whether to regain his title as the NBA’s oldest player next season. “Honestly, I haven’t thought much about it,” the former Knick said. “I’m just concentrating on getting healthy.” Thomas is recovering from right foot surgery and is two weeks from being off crutches. The 40-year-old is a free agent after the Knicks released him last month in order to add a player to the postseason roster. “I definitely miss being around the guys,” Thomas said over the telephone from his home in Dallas. “I miss being a part of the playoffs. And I just miss being around basketball. I love the game.”
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Thomas heading into next season, but even if he plays somewhere he would have minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Nate Robinson
Robinson closes postseason strong
Nate Robinson, PG, CHI
5/16/2013
News: After being held scoreless in Game 4, Bulls guard Nate Robinson bounced back in Wednesday's elimination game against the Heat. Unfortunately, despite scoring 21 points on 6 of 15 shooting, Robinson's season came to a close in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. Robinson added six rebounds and five rebounds, while turning the ball over four times in 47 minutes, in a 94-91 loss. He finished the postseason averaging 16.3 points per game in 12 contests.
Analysis: Robinson had his finest regular season since 2008-09, averaging 13.1 points and 4.4 assists in just 25.4 minutes per game. Robinson has clearly grown as a player, and he enters free agency at a good time. Coming off a successful year in the Bulls' elite defense will help his value on the market as well. Robinson is unlikely to get a starting role, but an increase in minutes would not be terribly surprising coming off his postseason successes. Robinson should be worth targeting in the mid-to-late rounds on Draft Day in most Fantasy formats.

 
 
 
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