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Waiver Wire: Early avenues to success

Fantasy Writer
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Even though it is very early in the season, there is nothing wrong with taking stock of your team and trying to make improvements where possible. You want to be patient and let slow starters get their legs under them, but you also need to know when to cut bait or start plugging holes.

The most important thing you want to look for when searching for waiver wire additions are players who will likely have a solid, consistent role in their offense, which makes a backup an odd choice for a player to highlight. But Golden State does not view guard Jarrett Jack as a true backup, despite his spot on the bench at tip off.

Jack has been a major part of the Warriors' crunch time lineups in the early going and he has largely picked up his solid play from where he left off a year ago. Jack splits ball-handling duties with Stephen Curry when both are on the floor, with Klay Thompson moving to the small forward position in most configurations. What that means is Jack is spending important chunks of his time on the floor surrounded by two total dead-eye shooters on the wings.

Jack is averaging 26.5 minutes per game so far this season, though he has topped that in three of four games. He had at least six assists in each of the first three games of the season and is averaging a career-high assist rate on a per-minute basis. Fantasy owners know all too well how valuable assists can be, so Jack could be great as a reserve and occasional starter, especially being owned in just 67 percent of CBSSports.com leagues.

Guards

Add 'Em

E'Twaun Moore, Magic: Admittedly, we did not expect much from Moore, a former second-round pick who averaged just 2.9 points per game for the Celtics a year ago, in his first stint in Orlando. The fact that he opened the season by scoring in double figures in four games in a row probably already qualifies his season as a success. He scored in double figures exactly one time as a rookie. The Magic continue to give Moore minutes with Jameer Nelson dealing with an injury and he has probably earned a role even upon Nelson's return. Moore is a possible breakout candidate given his hot start, and is worth a flier in deeper formats. Owned: 27 percent

Mike Dunleavy, Bucks: Dunleavy had one of his best seasons in a while last season and he has picked right up where he left off. Dunleavy gives the Bucks a sane option in a backcourt that often needs a calming influence. And the fact that he can also switch to the small-forward spot when the team needs it helps him find the floor. He exploded for 29 points on just 12 shots in his second game of the season, a feat he is unlikely to repeat. But he is a proven scorer who sees enough points to be a consistent contributor of about a dozen points per game and is worth owning when he gets hot. Owned: 59 percent

Avoid 'Em

MarShon Brooks, Nets: Brooks is supposed to be an instant-offense option off the bench for Brooklyn, but he has struggled to really find many chances in that role so far. He has actually started the season out hot, but when Gerald Wallace went down with an ankle injury and forced the Nets to play Joe Johnson at small forward, it was Keith Bogans who stepped into the starting lineup and C.J. Watson who saw a bump in minutes. Brooks is simply a volume scorer and it is difficult to get that volume with less than 20 minutes per night. Until his role really changes, it is hard to justify stashing him. Owned: 33 percent

Aaron Brooks, Kings: Brooks has actually seen some of the Kings' crunch time minutes and he is playing the point in some lineups, though the numbers don't seem to indicate that. He is predictably struggling with the transition back to the NBA game after a year off and is averaging just 1.5 assists and 7.5 points per game through the first week of the season. While the Kings may choose to increase his role as he becomes acclimated to the pace of the game again, he is far removed from his 19-points-per-game heyday in Houston. Brooks is not worth your attention at this time. Owned: 26 percent

Forwards

Add 'Em

Brandan Wright, Mavericks: Wright's numbers have been pretty impressive through the first week of the season. He is scoring 12.3 points per game, fueled by an outrageous 78.6 percent shooting mark through four games. There is simply no way he will be able to keep that pace up, but Wright did shoot 61.8 percent from the field a year ago. He sees a big bump in future value for two reasons: he will earn center eligibility Wednesday as he starts his fifth game at that position and he seems to be the only player who can stay healthy in the Dallas frontcourt. He should not see his place in the rotation diminish and could sustain something close to the double-digit scoring we have seen so far. Owned: 34 percent

Corey Brewer, Nuggets: In 59 games a season ago, Brewer made just 33 three-point attempts, which is perfectly in line with his career averages. Brewer is an energy guy who gets by on active off-ball cutting, after all. One of the big shocks of the first week of the NBA season, then, is that Brewer ranks in a tie for 10th place in the league with noted-gunners/sharpshooters like Danny Green and Kobe Bryant in three-pointers made, with nine in four games. He is making them at a 34.6 percent clip and the Nuggets seem to be encouraging this shot selection. He averaged four three-point attempts per game in the preseason. The Nuggets are in need of players who are willing to take threes when they are open and Brewer is accepting the challenge. As a result, he has seen his scoring bump to its highest level since 2009-10, despite playing similar minutes. Consider taking a flier on Brewer, especially in Roto leagues if he keeps firing away. Owned: 4 percent

Avoid 'Em

Harrison Barnes, Warriors: Barnes' talent was enough for him to earn a spot in the lottery in the draft, but it has not guaranteed him a full-time role just yet. He scored in double figures once in the first four games and the Warriors have opted to go with smaller lineups rather than using Barnes late in close games. He is athletic and has a good looking offensive game, but he is still figuring out how to put all of the pieces together. The Warriors are surprisingly deep for a team that picked in the lottery last season, so they are able to move Barnes along slowly. He is worth stashing in deeper leagues, but Fantasy owners who need the roster spot in yearly formats can consider dropping him. Owned: 59 percent

Larry Sanders, Bucks: Entering this season, Sanders had never scored in double figures in back to back games, so this has been one of the more productive weeks of his NBA career. He has scored at least 10 in each of the first three games, while filling the box score up with rebounds, blocks and steals. His performance has been very promising so far, but this is a situation where we have to take a step back and exercise a bit of caution. Maybe Sanders is figuring things out, but we need a bit more than a three-game sample size to say for sure. Sanders' physical ability is impressive, but he hasn't put things together consistently in the past and is not quite worth adding in standard leagues -- yet. Owned: 27 percent

Centers

Add 'Em

Nikola Vucevic, Magic: Vucevic was largely ineffective as a rookie and his first year as the Magic's starting center has featured some hits and misses. He has a pair of double-doubles to go along with two very poor games through the first week of the season, so you probably won't be able to rely on the 22-year-old regularly. Still, he has minutes and a role -- that is more than you can say for most players who are barely owned in half of all leagues. The Magic acquired him in the Dwight Howard deal and seem intent on giving him as many chances as possible to prove himself worthy of that starting job. Vucevic was a first-round pick a year ago, so there's some upside here that makes him worthy of adding. Owned: 57 percent

Robin Lopez, Hornets: Lopez has been an unexpected force through the first few games of the season. He has been starting for the Hornets and is averaging 14.3 points and 6.8 rebounds per game, with 2.5 blocks as well. The Hornets drafted Anthony Davis and signed Ryan Anderson in addition to acquiring Lopez, but they are still pretty shallow in the frontcourt. Lopez is averaging more than 30 minutes per game and his high-intensity style is a good fit with coach Monty Williams. Lopez has long posted solid per-minute numbers and he is getting a chance to show that he can sustain it in a larger load. He is worth adding as a third center in most Fantasy formats. Owned: 56 percent

Avoid 'Em

Tyler Zeller, Cavaliers: Zeller was well on his way to a breakout performance Monday against the Clippers, as he scored 15 points and had seven rebounds before taking an elbow to the face that forced him out of the game. He was diagnosed with a non-displaced fracture of the left orbital socket, which will probably cause him to miss a few games and will hurt any momentum he might have been gaining. The Cavs' youth movement will resume in earnest once Zeller returns to the floor, but any Fantasy owners who might have seen a big line from him and thought about a waiver-wire claim will want to be patient. Owned: 28 percent

Andray Blatche, Nets: There was a lot of hope entering the season that a re-invigorated Blatche might be able to get back into shape and return to Fantasy relevance in Brooklyn. While it is too early to pull the curtains on his comeback campaign, the early returns are obviously not promising. Blatche is shooting just 33.3 percent from the field for the first week of the season and is struggling to carve out big minutes -- even Reggie Evans is getting comparable minutes. It was not all that long ago that Blatche was a legitimate Fantasy contributor, but that time is not getting any nearer with his recent play. Owned: 15 percent

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Player News
David West
West limited in practice
David West, PF, IND
5/20/2013
News: The Pacers official team website reports Monday that forward David West was limited in practice due to a strained right calf. The report said when asked if it would be an issue, West said "Nah." The Pacers play at the Heat in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Wednesday.
Analysis: West did not miss any action because of the calf in the semifinal series against the Knicks. He should be able to suit up against the Heat, but keep an eye on him prior to Wednesday. When healthy and active, West is a must-start Fantasy option in all leagues.

Carmelo Anthony
Anthony to have shoulder checked
Carmelo Anthony, SF, NY
5/20/2013
News: Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony first injured his left shoulder in Game 5 of the first-round series against the Celtics, and after that, repeatedly seemed to have issues with it. On Sunday, a Knicks official told reporters that Anthony is going to have his shoulder examined by a doctor. The club is hopeful that Anthony's injury is not serious and that it will improve with rest and therapy and won't require surgery. After the Game 5 injury, Anthony repeatedly grimaced and grabbed the shoulder on court, and was seen having it treated on the sideline multiple times. The Knicks were eliminated Saturday night 4-2 by the Pacers in Indianapolis.
Analysis: It's good that Anthony's having the shoulder looked at now. If surgery is necessary, he could be back on the floor by the middle of the summer and still be healthy enough to court free agents should the Knicks need him to woo anyone. Keep an eye on what happens with Anthony, and hopefully he's ready for the start of next year without any issues. When healthy and active, Anthony is a first-round pick in the majority of formats.

Dwyane Wade
Wade ready for Pacers
Dwyane Wade, SG, MIA
5/20/2013
News: The South Florida Sun-Sentinel reports good news from Heat practice Sunday for guard Dwyane Wade. His hobbled knee limited him in the first-round series against the Bucks, and he aggravated it in Game 4 vs. the Bulls, but then returned to help close out the Bulls in Games 4 and 5. Going forward, it's not that Wade can or cannot play, it's to what level he can be effective. Facing a physical, bruising defense in Indiana in the Eastern Conference Finals, Wade's going to be even more banged up. Luckily, he still has another two days to see if he can get even a little bit better. But for the most part, this is kind of standard operating procedure for Wade. Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers is Wednesday in Miami.
Analysis: It sounds like Wade will be fine for Game 1 against the Pacers, and hopefully he doesn't suffer a setback with his knee moving forward in the playoffs. When healthy and active, Wade is a standout Fantasy option in all leagues, and we hope this knee problem is rectified during the offseason so he's back to 100 percent for the start of next season.

Dwight Howard
Howard might sign with Rockets
Dwight Howard, C, LAL
5/20/2013
News: With the Lakers hoping for a swift decision from Dwight Howard on his free agency this summer, the All-Star center has given no indication he will rush the process and has privately indicated he plans to give strong consideration to multiple teams, league sources told CBSSports.com NBA Insider Ken Berger. Though Howard is adamant his free agency not be marred by the circus-like environment that surrounded his departure from Orlando last summer, word already has spread to multiple levels of his support staff that Howard re-signing with the Lakers is far from a done deal. With six weeks to go before Howard becomes an unrestricted free agent, the team that is said to intrigue him the most is the Rockets, according to multiple people briefed on internal conversations surrounding Howard's free-agent decision. The Rockets have a young star, James Harden, who has proved himself worthy of playing the leading role for the franchise; a budding 3-point shooting threat in Chandler Parsons; a defensive-minded coach in Kevin McHale; and Omer Asik, the kind of 7-footer Howard is believed to want next to him in the frontcourt.
Analysis: The Mavericks represent another franchise that intrigues Howard, and Dallas is a minor transaction or two away from having enough room to sign Howard outright as an unrestricted free agent. Howard plans to explore all such options, and a person briefed on his plans told CBSSports.com that there are "several" teams the free-agent center is "going to take a hard look at." The Lakers still have a strong chance of signing Howard, especially from a financial standpoint, so keep an eye on what develops. No matter where Howard plays this season he would remain a No. 1 Fantasy center in all leagues and worth at least a pick in Round 2.

J.R. Smith
Smith likely staying with Knicks
J.R. Smith, SG, NY
5/20/2013
News: Knicks shooting guard J.R. Smith should be ready to cash in this offseason. After making a little more than $5 million over his last two years with theKnicks, he has a player option for next season that he will undoubtedly forgo in hopes of signing a more lucrative contract. After winning Sixth Man of the Year he should have plenty of suitors in need of a scorer lining up to pay him for his services. However, he stated within the past week that he wants to retire as a Knick. This could be a ploy to drive up the negotiating price for Smith, or he could be sincere. The New York Post Smith is expected to opt out of his contract and re-sign with the Knicks in a four-year deal starting at about $5 million because the Knicks own his early-Bird rights rules.
Analysis: Smith averaged a career-high 18.1 points and 5.3 rebounds while shooting 42.2 percent from the field and 35.6 percent from 3-point range. He beat out Jamal Crawford and Jarrett Jack for the 2012-13 Sixth Man of the Year award, the first of his career. Keep an eye on what he does this offseason, but no matter where he signs he would be worth at least a mid-round pick, with his best value staying with the Knicks based on the way he played this past season.

Kawhi Leonard
Leonard drops 18 in Game 1
Kawhi Leonard, SF, SA
5/19/2013
News: Spurs forward Kawhi Leonard (knee) returned to the starting lineup for Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals against the Grizzlies. Leonard logged 30 minutes as he scored 18 points on 7 of 10 shooting from the field, including 4 of 5 from beyond the arc. He also chipped in with two rebounds, two steals, one assist and a blocked shot in a 105-83 victory.
Analysis: Leonard's knee problems were a "mild cause of concern" for the Spurs heading into the conference finals. Leonard averaged 12.0 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1.7 steals per game on the season, while shooting 49.6 percent from the field. His role will only continue to grow, so Fantasy owners have to like Leonard's development patter. He will be a big-time breakout candidate heading into next season, worth a mid-round pick on Draft Day.

Tyson Chandler
Chandler scores two in elimination game
Tyson Chandler, C, NY
5/19/2013
News: Knicks center Tyson Chandler worked his way around a back issue as he returned to action in Game 6 against the Pacers Saturday night. Chandler was held to just two points on 1 of 4 shooting. He also chipped in with six rebounds in a 106-99 defeat.
Analysis: Chandler will have the entire offseason to recover from his back issue. The 7-footer averaged 10.4 points and 10.7 rebounds over 66 games -- marking the second time he has averaged a double-double. He also shot 63.8 percent from the field, but only averaged 20.1 Fantasy points per week as injuries really hampered his production down the stretch. Fantasy owners should plan on scooping him up in the earlier rounds in draft formats next fall.

George Hill
Hill returns to action
George Hill, PG, IND
5/19/2013
News: Pacers point guard George Hill, who missed Game 5 with a concussion, returned to the starting lineup Game 6 against the Knicks. Hill scored 12 points on 2 for 10 shooting. He grabbed five boards and dished out four assists in a 106-99 win.
Analysis: Hill seems to be healthy enough to play and will now earn a three days of rest before the Eastern Conference Finals. Hill posted career highs in points (14.2), assists (4.7), rebounds (3.7) and steals (1.1) during his first full year as a starter and finish as the 27th highest scoring guard, in terms of Fantasy points, in all standard formats. Fantasy owners should plan on targeting him in the middle rounds of most draft formats next fall.

Kevin Garnett
Ainge has no answers for Garnett
Kevin Garnett, PF, BOS
5/17/2013
News: The Boston Globe reports that Celtics forward Kevin Garnett has two years left on his contract but is considering retirement. He turns 37 Sunday. “I don’t think I have the answers that Kevin will want,” Celtics president of basketball operations Danny Ainge said. “So I’ve got to figure there’s a lot to do [before we talk], and I think there’s a lot of questions in Kevin’s mind, as there is every year, to determine whether he’s coming back.I’m not ready to answer everything that he will want to know.”
Analysis: Garnett had another productive year, averaging 14.8 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists while shooting 49.6 percent from the field and 78.6 percent from the foul line. He will likely return if the Celtics keep Paul Pierce, but that's just speculation. Keep an eye on what happens with the Celtics, and if Garnett is back consider him a solid No. 2 Fantasy center worth a mid-round pick.

Paul Pierce
Pierce, Celtics could part ways
Paul Pierce, SF, BOS
5/17/2013
News: The Boston Globe reports the Celtics have to decide by June 30 whether to buy out Paul Pierce’s contract at $5 million. Celtics president of basketball operations Danny Ainge said the sides have not had discussions, but an NBA source said Pierce’s family is already beginning to prepare for relocation from Boston, assuming the Celtics will execute the buyout or trade his expiring contract in the offseason.Pierce struggled mightily during the playoffs, and Ainge was asked whether the longtime Celtic was injured. “Paul’s always battling little things,” said Ainge. “I think Paul’s healthy, but he played so hard and carried such a heavy load. Paul had a terrific year this year, but in the playoffs, New York did a good job of taking away his strengths and taking advantage of some of our weaknesses. But I thought Paul had a terrific year.”
Analysis: This report makes it seems as though Pierce could be gone, but we'd be surprised if that happens. That said, the Celtics do need to start rebuilding at some point. Keep an eye on what happens with Pierce and where he ends up. He would remain a quality starting option in all leagues no matter where he plays, but we'd like him best if he returned to Boston.

 
 
 
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