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Week 3 Start 'Em and Sit 'Em

Fantasy Writer
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There are a lot of reasons for a player to exceed expectations and at this point it is difficult to definitively say which reason makes the most sense. After less than two weeks of games, most teams have played just five or six times, so we are still very much in the stage of the season where it is too early to draw too many conclusions -- unless you're running the Lakers, apparently.

Having said that, there is nothing wrong with looking at early season trends and seeing whether they can be sustained. One of the most notable trends so far has been Carl Landry's tremendous play for the Warriors. With the exception of one subpar performance against the Kings, Landry has been one of the most productive forwards in the league on a per-minute basis so far. He ranks 20th in standard Fantasy scoring formats among forwards, despite averaging just 25.5 minutes per game.

Landry is shooting at a totally unsustainable rate, which does need to be taken into account. A year ago with the Hornets he shot 50.3 percent from the field, but he finished Friday's game against the Lakers making 59.0 percent of his attempts. As a result, Landry is averaging 15.2 points per game on just 10.2 attempts from the field. That might come down, but we have long known that Landry is an effective offensive player; he scored 18.0 points per game as a starter for the Kings in 2009-10.

However, Landry's performance so far points to a comfort level in the Warriors offense that could sustain itself. Landry has attempted 53 percent of his shots within five feet of the rim, as compared to 40.5 percent over his previous two seasons. Landry is a below-the-rim player, but he is more effective as a scorer the closer he gets to the rim.

The Warriors play three times in Week 3 (Nov. 12-18), against the Hawks, Timberwolves and Thunder. Those three teams have been above average defensively so far, but with an injury to Andrew Bogut opening up more minutes in the frontcourt, we like Landry to keep his performance up.

Guards

Start 'Em

Jose Calderon, Raptors (UTA, @IND, @BOS, ORL): There was considerable concern this season about how Calderon would adapt to a backup point guard role with the team's acquisition of Kyle Lowry. So far, Calderon's numbers are down across the board, as he is playing just 22.8 minutes per game. Still, there is hope for him yet, as Lowry is dealing with an ankle injury that could force the Raptors to limit his minutes in Week 3. Calderon put up 11 points and six assists without a turnover in the team's lone game without Lowry this season. The Raptors face a pair of tough defenses this week, but Calderon should be able to get more comfortable with his role moving forward, so consider him a worthy risk.

Ray Allen, Heat (@HOU, @LAC, @DEN, @PHO): Entering the season as, at best, the fourth option was supposed to limit Allen's impact in his age-37 season. However, with Miami's Big Three drawing all of the defense's attention this season, Allen has gotten off to an unbelievably hot start. Allen is averaging 14.7 points on just 8.5 shot attempts per game, as he is shooting incredibly well. The Heat will be on the road for all of Week 3, where Allen is averaging just 11.0 points per game. None of Miami's opponents look likely to pose much of a defensive threat to Allen's continued success, so he should be active.

Sleeper Alert: Vince Carter, Mavericks (MIN, WAS, @IND, @CLE): Carter suffered a hip flexor injury Friday against the Knicks, which is always a concern for players at an advanced state in their career like Carter. Fortunately, he downplayed the injury's severity after the game, so we don't think it will be an issue. Carter seemed to be finding his shooting stroke in the early part of the season, as he has 11 three-pointers made through six games. That is helping him average 13.5 points per game. The Wolves have been decent on the defensive side of the ball, but each of the Mavericks' other three opponents has had issues of varying degrees this season. Carter should continue his solid offensive play in the scoring period and should remain somewhat useful as a low-end option.

Sit 'Em

Eric Bledsoe, Clippers (MIA, CHI): Bledsoe is about as electric as any backup point guard in the league, for his ability to confound on the defensive end and get to the rim on the other side. Unfortunately, he might not have much chance to put those skills to use in Week 3, against a pair of teams that don't rely on their point guards on offense and feature smothering defenses themselves. With just two chances to put up numbers, leave Bledsoe for more effective options.

Jared Dudley, Suns (DEN, CHI, @LAL, MIA): Of all of the Suns players returning this season, Dudley seems to be missing Steve Nash's presence the most. All of those wide-open threes Dudley had gotten used to shooting with Nash running the point have been much more tightly defended, and it is wreaking havoc on his efficiency. Dudley is shooting just 34.2 percent from the field and 22.2 percent from three-point range for 6.8 points per game. Matchups against tough Heat and Bull defenses won't help Dudley out, but he needs to figure himself out before worrying about the opposing defense.

Bust Alert: Rodney Stuckey, Pistons (OKC, @PHI, ORL, BOS): The good news for Stuckey is that he really can only improve from here. In a chat Monday on our site, I implored readers to give Stuckey time to right the ship when asked whether he was worth hanging on to. I stand by those words, but that does not mean Stuckey is worth putting in the starting lineup. Even after a 15-point outburst Friday in a blowout loss to the Thunder, Stuckey is still shooting just 22 percent on 9.8 shot attempts per game. The Pistons face three above-average defensive teams in the upcoming week, so keep Stuckey in reserve until he gets out of his offensive malaise.

Forwards

Start 'Em

Dorrell Wright, 76ers (MIL, DET, UTA, CLE): Wright has struggled to find his shot so far, making just 32.1 percent of his attempts through the first five games of the season. Despite that poor shooting, he is still being productive overall, scoring 12.2 points per game. If Wright's shot starts falling at anywhere close to his career norms, he could explode in a big way. With a bunch of subpar defensive teams on the schedule for Week 3, we like Wright's chances to start turning things around.

Patrick Patterson, Rockets (MIA, NOH, @POR, @LAL): Patterson was forced to miss the first game of the season with a quad injury, but he has been productive since then. Patterson has scored in double figures in three of the first four games, and he seems to have added a long-ball to his offensive repertoire in the offseason. The third-year big man has hit three three-pointers in four games, after hitting none through the first two seasons of his career. We're not quite ready to say that this is a staple of his game, but the team seems to be encouraging him on offensive so far next to the offensively inept Omer Asik in the frontcourt. The Rockets play four times, including twice against bottom-tier defensive clubs, so Patterson could keep his pace up in Week 3.

Sit 'Em

Kris Humphries, Nets (CLE, BOS, @SAC): Humphries was a pretty good bet to post a double-double on any given night a year ago, as he finished with 29 in 62 contests. For his hard work on a lottery-bound team, Humphries has seen his minutes cut in a big way now that the Nets have some talent; through four games, he has failed to top 24 minutes in any game. He played at least 25 minutes in 57 games last season. His production has, predictably, declined with his drop in minutes, as he has just one double-double in four games while averaging 6.5 points and 7.0 rebounds per game. There is not sign that Humphries is going to see an uptick in minutes as the season moves on, which makes him difficult to rely on for Week 3.

Thomas Robinson, Kings (POR, ATL, BKN): The book on Robinson entering the league after three years at the University of Kansas was that he should be a mature player who could contribute right away. The Kings expected him to form a dynamic frontcourt duo with DeMarcus Cousins, but Robinson has yet to adapt to the NBA game. He is averaging just 4.4 points and 3.6 rebounds in 13.6 minutes per game, and he seemed to show some frustration when he elbowed Pistons' forward Jonas Jerebko in the throat in a recent game. Robinson earned a two-game suspension for that action, and will likely have to earn his coach's trust again.

Centers

Start 'Em

Kevin Seraphin, Wizards (@CHA, @DAL, UTA): Seraphin has not been the starter at the pivot or big forward spot for the Wizards this season, which means minutes have been somewhat inconstant through the first week-plus of games. Still, he showed late last season that he can be a productive member of the front court when given the chance, and he is backing that up so far. He is averaging 13.0 points per game on 51.5 percent shooting from the field. Seraphin is probably the Wizards' best offensive option down low, and none of their Week 3 opponents feature big-time defensive presences in the post. The 22-year-old is still developing, but he has a chance to stay productive.

Sleeper Alert: Zaza Pachulia, Hawks (@POR, @GSW, @SAC): Pachulia proved his worth a year ago in filling in capably for Al Horford when he went down for much of the season with a torn pectoral muscle. Now, Pachulia is learning how to co-exist with Horford, and the results have been pretty promising so far. Hawks coach Larry Drew has shown a willingness to stick with both Horford and Pachulia in the same lineup more than in years past, and the big man from Georgia is working with Horford to make it a useful lineup option. Pachulia is averaging 8.3 points and 9.3 rebounds per game through three contests. The Hawks face a trio of mediocre defensive frontcourts in Week 3, so Pachulia could at least approach double figures on the boards for the week.

Sit 'Em

Samuel Dalembert, Bucks (@PHI, IND, NOH): We're not entirely sure what has happened to Sam Dalembert this season, but it has been a bit shocking to watch. From 2009 through 2012, Dalembert developed a reputation as a reliable low-end Fantasy option, averaging 7.5 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.7 blocks per game. Through the first four games for the Bucks, however, he has struggled to even find much playing time; he ranks eighth on the team in minutes played, behind a pair of other centers. He has started each game for the Bucks, but has been ineffective, averaging 2.0 points and 3.5 rebounds per game. He needs to get things going before Fantasy owners will want to rely on him.

Bust Alert: DeAndre Jordan, Clippers (MIA, CHI): Jordan has played legitimately well on the offensive end of the court this season -- honest! Jordan scored 20 points in back to back games for the first time in his career during Week 2, in back to back nights against the Spurs and Trail Blazers. Unfortunately, he might have some trouble keeping that up in Week 3, as the Clippers play just two times. Both games come against two of the toughest defenses in the league, so it would be a surprise if Jordan can get going.

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Player News
Hawks F Paul Millsap doubles up in elimination game loss
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(12:04 am ET) Hawks forward Paul Millsap fought through an injured shoulder to post a double-double in Tuesday night's 118-88 loss to the Cavaliers in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals. 

The loss gave the Cavs a series sweep and advanced them to the NBA finals. 

Millsap scored 16 points on 5-of-13 shooting from the field and 6-of-8 shooting from the free-throw line. Millsap also brought down 10 rebounds and dished out five assists. 

A report from Bleacher Report before Tuesday night's game stated Millsap may need surgery to repair his sprained right shoulder. Millsap's postseason concludes with the veteran averaging 15.1 points and 8.6 rebounds per game. 


LeBron James scores 23, leads Cavs to NBA finals
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/26/2015) Cavaliers forward LeBron James scored 23 points in Tuesday night's 118-88 victory over the Hawks, which gave Cleveland a series sweep in the Eastern Conference finals. 

James and the Cavs have now advanced to the NBA finals. 

James made 10 of 20 shots from the field, which included going 2 of 6 from behind the arc. Though he was the game's leading scorer, James also contributed nine rebounds and seven assists. 

This marked James' third game in a row where he had at least nine rebounds. 

James will now advance to an NBA finals for the fifth year in a row. He won two of the past four championships with the Heat. He also reached an NBA finals early in his career during his first stint with the Cavs. 


Cavs G Kyrie Irving to start Game 4 of Eastern Conference finals
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/26/2015) Cavaliers guard Kyrie Irving has been cleared and will start in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Hawks, the team announced. 

However, Irving will be limited in terms of minutes on the court, according to Yahoo! Sports

Irving has been dealing with knee tendinitis that forced him to miss the previous two games against the Hawks. He will be placed on a 25-minute restriction. This means Matthew Dellavedova should still see plenty of playing time. 


NBA confirms Flagrant 1 call for Rockets C Dwight Howard
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/26/2015) The NBA has confirmed that Rockets center Dwight Howard's foul on Andrew Bogut in Game 4 of the Western Conference finals was a Flagrant 1.

This means Howard will not be subject to any further discipline and will not be suspended. 

Howard fouled Bogut with what appeared to be an elbow above the shoulders. Howard is averaging 16.2 points and 13.9 rebounds during the playoffs. He's recorded three consecutive double-doubles.


Report: Hawks' Paul Millsap might need shoulder surgery
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(5/26/2015) Hawks forward Paul Millsap may need shoulder surgery during the offseason, according to a report by Bleacher Report.

Millsap is battling a sprained right shoulder. It kept him out of five games during the regular season and has slowed him during the playoffs. 

Millsap averaged 16.7 points and 7.8 rebounds this year. 


Report: Cavs G Kyrie Irving will play in Game 4
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/26/2015) It appears likely that Cavaliers guard Kyrie Irving will suit up and play in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Hawks on Tuesday, according to Yahoo! Sports

Irving has missed the past two games due to left knee tendinitis. However, the Cavaliers have been able to overcome the loss of Irving and hold a 3-0 lead over the Hawks. 

Irving has been considered a game-time decision. 


Hawks G Kyle Korver to have surgery on injured ankle
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/26/2015) Hawks guard Kyle Korver is set for ankle surgery on Wednesday, according to TNT NBA analyst David Aldridge. 

Korver suffered a severe high ankle sprain in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Cavaliers and will not be able to return to the postseason. This season, Korver averaged 12.1 points per game. 

The Hawks trail the Cavaliers 3-0 in the series. 


GM: Cavaliers PF Kevin Love cleared to travel with team
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(5/26/2015) Cavaliers general manager David Griffin has announced that Cavaliers injured forward Kevin Love has gained permission from medical personnel to travel with the team, per ESPN.

Love, who is out for the remainder of the postseason with a shoulder injury sustained in the first round of the playoffs against Boston, received the clearance after having it re-evaluated. He has shed the sling used to stablize the shoulder.

He rejoined the team Sunday for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals in Cleveland.


Rockets not expecting further punishment for Dwight Howard foul
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(5/26/2015) Rockets coach Kevin McHale doesn't believe center Dwight Howard will see further punishment for his flagrant foul on Andrew Bogut on Monday, according to the Houston Chronicle.

Howard fouled Bogut hard in Game 4 above the shoulders and was given a Flagrant 1.

"He just tried to get off a hold," McHale said. "The second foul always gets called. He swiped his arm back, it's not like he turned on him. It's been that way forever in this league. The second one always gets called."

Howard is averaging 16.2 points and 13.9 rebounds per game in the playoffs and has recorded three consecutive double-doubles.


Rockets guard Jason Terry will return next season
by Brandon Wise | CBSSports.com
(5/26/2015) Rockets veteran guard Jason Terry is planning to return to basketball next season, according to ESPN.com.

Terry, who is set to become a free agent this offseason, was asked after the game if he is considering playing again in 2015-16.

"One hundred percent," Terry said before Monday's tipoff.

Terry averaged 7.0 points and 1.9 assists per game in the regular season.


 
 
 
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