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Fantasy Writer

Week 3 Start 'Em and Sit 'Em

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There are a lot of reasons for a player to exceed expectations and at this point it is difficult to definitively say which reason makes the most sense. After less than two weeks of games, most teams have played just five or six times, so we are still very much in the stage of the season where it is too early to draw too many conclusions -- unless you're running the Lakers, apparently.

Having said that, there is nothing wrong with looking at early season trends and seeing whether they can be sustained. One of the most notable trends so far has been Carl Landry's tremendous play for the Warriors. With the exception of one subpar performance against the Kings, Landry has been one of the most productive forwards in the league on a per-minute basis so far. He ranks 20th in standard Fantasy scoring formats among forwards, despite averaging just 25.5 minutes per game.

Landry is shooting at a totally unsustainable rate, which does need to be taken into account. A year ago with the Hornets he shot 50.3 percent from the field, but he finished Friday's game against the Lakers making 59.0 percent of his attempts. As a result, Landry is averaging 15.2 points per game on just 10.2 attempts from the field. That might come down, but we have long known that Landry is an effective offensive player; he scored 18.0 points per game as a starter for the Kings in 2009-10.

However, Landry's performance so far points to a comfort level in the Warriors offense that could sustain itself. Landry has attempted 53 percent of his shots within five feet of the rim, as compared to 40.5 percent over his previous two seasons. Landry is a below-the-rim player, but he is more effective as a scorer the closer he gets to the rim.

The Warriors play three times in Week 3 (Nov. 12-18), against the Hawks, Timberwolves and Thunder. Those three teams have been above average defensively so far, but with an injury to Andrew Bogut opening up more minutes in the frontcourt, we like Landry to keep his performance up.

Guards

Start 'Em

Jose Calderon, Raptors (UTA, @IND, @BOS, ORL): There was considerable concern this season about how Calderon would adapt to a backup point guard role with the team's acquisition of Kyle Lowry. So far, Calderon's numbers are down across the board, as he is playing just 22.8 minutes per game. Still, there is hope for him yet, as Lowry is dealing with an ankle injury that could force the Raptors to limit his minutes in Week 3. Calderon put up 11 points and six assists without a turnover in the team's lone game without Lowry this season. The Raptors face a pair of tough defenses this week, but Calderon should be able to get more comfortable with his role moving forward, so consider him a worthy risk.

Ray Allen, Heat (@HOU, @LAC, @DEN, @PHO): Entering the season as, at best, the fourth option was supposed to limit Allen's impact in his age-37 season. However, with Miami's Big Three drawing all of the defense's attention this season, Allen has gotten off to an unbelievably hot start. Allen is averaging 14.7 points on just 8.5 shot attempts per game, as he is shooting incredibly well. The Heat will be on the road for all of Week 3, where Allen is averaging just 11.0 points per game. None of Miami's opponents look likely to pose much of a defensive threat to Allen's continued success, so he should be active.

Sleeper Alert: Vince Carter, Mavericks (MIN, WAS, @IND, @CLE): Carter suffered a hip flexor injury Friday against the Knicks, which is always a concern for players at an advanced state in their career like Carter. Fortunately, he downplayed the injury's severity after the game, so we don't think it will be an issue. Carter seemed to be finding his shooting stroke in the early part of the season, as he has 11 three-pointers made through six games. That is helping him average 13.5 points per game. The Wolves have been decent on the defensive side of the ball, but each of the Mavericks' other three opponents has had issues of varying degrees this season. Carter should continue his solid offensive play in the scoring period and should remain somewhat useful as a low-end option.

Sit 'Em

Eric Bledsoe, Clippers (MIA, CHI): Bledsoe is about as electric as any backup point guard in the league, for his ability to confound on the defensive end and get to the rim on the other side. Unfortunately, he might not have much chance to put those skills to use in Week 3, against a pair of teams that don't rely on their point guards on offense and feature smothering defenses themselves. With just two chances to put up numbers, leave Bledsoe for more effective options.

Jared Dudley, Suns (DEN, CHI, @LAL, MIA): Of all of the Suns players returning this season, Dudley seems to be missing Steve Nash's presence the most. All of those wide-open threes Dudley had gotten used to shooting with Nash running the point have been much more tightly defended, and it is wreaking havoc on his efficiency. Dudley is shooting just 34.2 percent from the field and 22.2 percent from three-point range for 6.8 points per game. Matchups against tough Heat and Bull defenses won't help Dudley out, but he needs to figure himself out before worrying about the opposing defense.

Bust Alert: Rodney Stuckey, Pistons (OKC, @PHI, ORL, BOS): The good news for Stuckey is that he really can only improve from here. In a chat Monday on our site, I implored readers to give Stuckey time to right the ship when asked whether he was worth hanging on to. I stand by those words, but that does not mean Stuckey is worth putting in the starting lineup. Even after a 15-point outburst Friday in a blowout loss to the Thunder, Stuckey is still shooting just 22 percent on 9.8 shot attempts per game. The Pistons face three above-average defensive teams in the upcoming week, so keep Stuckey in reserve until he gets out of his offensive malaise.

Forwards

Start 'Em

Dorrell Wright, 76ers (MIL, DET, UTA, CLE): Wright has struggled to find his shot so far, making just 32.1 percent of his attempts through the first five games of the season. Despite that poor shooting, he is still being productive overall, scoring 12.2 points per game. If Wright's shot starts falling at anywhere close to his career norms, he could explode in a big way. With a bunch of subpar defensive teams on the schedule for Week 3, we like Wright's chances to start turning things around.

Patrick Patterson, Rockets (MIA, NOH, @POR, @LAL): Patterson was forced to miss the first game of the season with a quad injury, but he has been productive since then. Patterson has scored in double figures in three of the first four games, and he seems to have added a long-ball to his offensive repertoire in the offseason. The third-year big man has hit three three-pointers in four games, after hitting none through the first two seasons of his career. We're not quite ready to say that this is a staple of his game, but the team seems to be encouraging him on offensive so far next to the offensively inept Omer Asik in the frontcourt. The Rockets play four times, including twice against bottom-tier defensive clubs, so Patterson could keep his pace up in Week 3.

Sit 'Em

Kris Humphries, Nets (CLE, BOS, @SAC): Humphries was a pretty good bet to post a double-double on any given night a year ago, as he finished with 29 in 62 contests. For his hard work on a lottery-bound team, Humphries has seen his minutes cut in a big way now that the Nets have some talent; through four games, he has failed to top 24 minutes in any game. He played at least 25 minutes in 57 games last season. His production has, predictably, declined with his drop in minutes, as he has just one double-double in four games while averaging 6.5 points and 7.0 rebounds per game. There is not sign that Humphries is going to see an uptick in minutes as the season moves on, which makes him difficult to rely on for Week 3.

Thomas Robinson, Kings (POR, ATL, BKN): The book on Robinson entering the league after three years at the University of Kansas was that he should be a mature player who could contribute right away. The Kings expected him to form a dynamic frontcourt duo with DeMarcus Cousins, but Robinson has yet to adapt to the NBA game. He is averaging just 4.4 points and 3.6 rebounds in 13.6 minutes per game, and he seemed to show some frustration when he elbowed Pistons' forward Jonas Jerebko in the throat in a recent game. Robinson earned a two-game suspension for that action, and will likely have to earn his coach's trust again.

Centers

Start 'Em

Kevin Seraphin, Wizards (@CHA, @DAL, UTA): Seraphin has not been the starter at the pivot or big forward spot for the Wizards this season, which means minutes have been somewhat inconstant through the first week-plus of games. Still, he showed late last season that he can be a productive member of the front court when given the chance, and he is backing that up so far. He is averaging 13.0 points per game on 51.5 percent shooting from the field. Seraphin is probably the Wizards' best offensive option down low, and none of their Week 3 opponents feature big-time defensive presences in the post. The 22-year-old is still developing, but he has a chance to stay productive.

Sleeper Alert: Zaza Pachulia, Hawks (@POR, @GSW, @SAC): Pachulia proved his worth a year ago in filling in capably for Al Horford when he went down for much of the season with a torn pectoral muscle. Now, Pachulia is learning how to co-exist with Horford, and the results have been pretty promising so far. Hawks coach Larry Drew has shown a willingness to stick with both Horford and Pachulia in the same lineup more than in years past, and the big man from Georgia is working with Horford to make it a useful lineup option. Pachulia is averaging 8.3 points and 9.3 rebounds per game through three contests. The Hawks face a trio of mediocre defensive frontcourts in Week 3, so Pachulia could at least approach double figures on the boards for the week.

Sit 'Em

Samuel Dalembert, Bucks (@PHI, IND, NOH): We're not entirely sure what has happened to Sam Dalembert this season, but it has been a bit shocking to watch. From 2009 through 2012, Dalembert developed a reputation as a reliable low-end Fantasy option, averaging 7.5 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.7 blocks per game. Through the first four games for the Bucks, however, he has struggled to even find much playing time; he ranks eighth on the team in minutes played, behind a pair of other centers. He has started each game for the Bucks, but has been ineffective, averaging 2.0 points and 3.5 rebounds per game. He needs to get things going before Fantasy owners will want to rely on him.

Bust Alert: DeAndre Jordan, Clippers (MIA, CHI): Jordan has played legitimately well on the offensive end of the court this season -- honest! Jordan scored 20 points in back to back games for the first time in his career during Week 2, in back to back nights against the Spurs and Trail Blazers. Unfortunately, he might have some trouble keeping that up in Week 3, as the Clippers play just two times. Both games come against two of the toughest defenses in the league, so it would be a surprise if Jordan can get going.

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Player News
76ers PF Nerlens Noel: 'I'm feeling a lot more confident'
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:34 am ET) 76ers power forward Nerlens Noel delivered season highs of 17 points and 12 rebounds Saturday and expressed confidence in his play after the game.

''I am really starting to feel like my legs are under me now,'' Noel told the Associated Press. ''(After) not playing basketball in so long, I am already starting to feel my timing is a lot better and I'm feeling a lot more confident.''

''That was Nerlens' best game. So everybody in Philadelphia is seeing what we're seeing. It's slow but it's coming,'' coach Brett Brown said.

Noel will look to build on the excellent outing Monday when the 76ers host the Blazers.


Jazz PG Trey Burke scores season-high 20 vs. Pelicans
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:25 am ET) Jazz point guard Trey Burke scored a season-high 20 points on 8 of 12 shooting, including 2 of 5 shooting from three-point range, in his team's 106-94 loss to the Pelicans Saturday.

Burke was just 1 of 8 from the field in a two-point outing Friday but bounced back big on night later. He also managed to tally four assists and one block in 34 minutes Saturday. Burke will try and build on the excellent performance Monday against the Bulls.


Spurs SF Danny Green scores season-high 21 vs. Nets
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:20 am ET) Spurs small forward Danny Green scored a season-high 21 points on 8 of 10 shooting, including 5 of 7 shooting from behind the arc, in his team's 99-87 win over the Nets Saturday.

Green also set a season-high scoring mark Friday by putting up 18 points in Minnesota but topped that performance Saturday, making a season-best 80 percent of his shots and sinking five three-pointers for the first time this season. He also racked up seven rebounds, three blocks and two assists in 33 minutes off the bench. Green will look to stay hot Wednesday against the Pacers.


Rockets G Patrick Beverley (hamstring) expects to play Monday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:09 am ET) Rockets guard Patrick Beverley said after suffering a hamstring injury Saturday that he expects to play Monday, the team announced.

"Tweaked it a little bit, I didn't wanna push it like I did the Miami game," Beverley said of his hamstring.

Beverley returned from a hamstring issue on Nov. 4 to play 30 minutes against the Heat but had to miss another four games while recovering after aggravating the injury. He was able to play four games before being struck by another hamstring injury Saturday.


Wizards C Marcin Gortat notches double-double vs. Bucks
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:06 am ET) Wizards center Marcin Gortat scored 10 points on 5 of 12 shooting while grabbing 13 rebounds in his team's 111-100 win over the Bucks Saturday.

Gortat has been able to put together a string of good scoring totals, but Saturday's double-double was his fourth of the season, with his 13 boards matching a season high. He matched another season high by blocking three shots while also kicking in two assists in 35 minutes of action. Gortat's next matchup will come Tuesday against the Hawks.


Timberwolves C Gorgui Dieng doubles up vs. Kings
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:01 am ET) Timberwolves center Gorgui Dieng scored 12 points on 5 of 10 shooting while grabbing 10 rebounds in his team's 113-101 loss to the Kings Saturday.

It was just the second double-double of the season for Dieng, though he did manage 10 rebounds Friday as well while scoring nine points. His 12 points and 10 rebounds both matched season highs. Dieng also managed two steals, two blocks and one assist in 39 minutes Saturday. He'll look to build on the solid performance Wednesday against Milwaukee.


Kings guard Ben McLemore scores season-high 22 vs. Minnesota
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(11/22/2014) Kings guard Ben McLemore scored a season-high 22 points on 9 of 17 shooting, including 4 of 9 shooting from three-point range, in his team's 113-101 win over the Timberwolves Saturday.

McLemore had managed just 21 points in his previous three games combined before exploding Saturday. He nearly notched his first double-double by racking up a season-high nine rebounds while also tallying three assists and one steal in 41 minutes. The Kings will look for three wins in a row when they face the Pelicans Tuesday.


Timberwolves C Nikola Pekovic to be evaluated Monday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(11/22/2014) Timberwolves coach Flip Saunders said Saturday that center Nikola Pekovic will be evaluated Monday, the Associated Press reports.

Pekovic is dealing with wrist and foot injuries. If it's determined that he'll need at least 10 more days before returning, the team could receive a roster exception to add another player. Pekovic has averaged 11.9 points and 8.1 rebounds while shooting 42.2 percent in nine games.


Kevin Love's 23 points not enough for Cavaliers
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(11/22/2014) Cavaliers forward Kevin Love scored a team-high 23 points in a 110-93 loss to the Raptors Saturday.

Love also added seven rebounds, but he is still trying to find a rhythm in the offense. For the season, he has recorded six double-doubles. The Cavaliers next play Monday against Orlando.


Jazz SF Gordon Hayward scores team-high 31 vs. Pelicans
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(11/22/2014) Jazz small forward Gordon Hayward scored a team-high 31 points on 9 of 16 shooting, including 2 of 3 shooting from three-point range, in his team's 106-94 loss to the Pelicans Saturday.

Hayward did a fantastic job on the offense end while also making 11 of his 14 free-throw attempts, but his night was overshadowed by a career-best 43-point performance from Pelicans forward Anthony Davis. However, Hayward did manage eight rebounds, three assists, two steals and one block in 39 minutes while posting his third 30-point performance of the season. He'll look to keep rolling Monday against the Bulls.


 
 
 
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