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Week 3 Start 'Em and Sit 'Em

Fantasy Writer
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There are a lot of reasons for a player to exceed expectations and at this point it is difficult to definitively say which reason makes the most sense. After less than two weeks of games, most teams have played just five or six times, so we are still very much in the stage of the season where it is too early to draw too many conclusions -- unless you're running the Lakers, apparently.

Having said that, there is nothing wrong with looking at early season trends and seeing whether they can be sustained. One of the most notable trends so far has been Carl Landry's tremendous play for the Warriors. With the exception of one subpar performance against the Kings, Landry has been one of the most productive forwards in the league on a per-minute basis so far. He ranks 20th in standard Fantasy scoring formats among forwards, despite averaging just 25.5 minutes per game.

Landry is shooting at a totally unsustainable rate, which does need to be taken into account. A year ago with the Hornets he shot 50.3 percent from the field, but he finished Friday's game against the Lakers making 59.0 percent of his attempts. As a result, Landry is averaging 15.2 points per game on just 10.2 attempts from the field. That might come down, but we have long known that Landry is an effective offensive player; he scored 18.0 points per game as a starter for the Kings in 2009-10.

However, Landry's performance so far points to a comfort level in the Warriors offense that could sustain itself. Landry has attempted 53 percent of his shots within five feet of the rim, as compared to 40.5 percent over his previous two seasons. Landry is a below-the-rim player, but he is more effective as a scorer the closer he gets to the rim.

The Warriors play three times in Week 3 (Nov. 12-18), against the Hawks, Timberwolves and Thunder. Those three teams have been above average defensively so far, but with an injury to Andrew Bogut opening up more minutes in the frontcourt, we like Landry to keep his performance up.

Guards

Start 'Em

Jose Calderon, Raptors (UTA, @IND, @BOS, ORL): There was considerable concern this season about how Calderon would adapt to a backup point guard role with the team's acquisition of Kyle Lowry. So far, Calderon's numbers are down across the board, as he is playing just 22.8 minutes per game. Still, there is hope for him yet, as Lowry is dealing with an ankle injury that could force the Raptors to limit his minutes in Week 3. Calderon put up 11 points and six assists without a turnover in the team's lone game without Lowry this season. The Raptors face a pair of tough defenses this week, but Calderon should be able to get more comfortable with his role moving forward, so consider him a worthy risk.

Ray Allen, Heat (@HOU, @LAC, @DEN, @PHO): Entering the season as, at best, the fourth option was supposed to limit Allen's impact in his age-37 season. However, with Miami's Big Three drawing all of the defense's attention this season, Allen has gotten off to an unbelievably hot start. Allen is averaging 14.7 points on just 8.5 shot attempts per game, as he is shooting incredibly well. The Heat will be on the road for all of Week 3, where Allen is averaging just 11.0 points per game. None of Miami's opponents look likely to pose much of a defensive threat to Allen's continued success, so he should be active.

Sleeper Alert: Vince Carter, Mavericks (MIN, WAS, @IND, @CLE): Carter suffered a hip flexor injury Friday against the Knicks, which is always a concern for players at an advanced state in their career like Carter. Fortunately, he downplayed the injury's severity after the game, so we don't think it will be an issue. Carter seemed to be finding his shooting stroke in the early part of the season, as he has 11 three-pointers made through six games. That is helping him average 13.5 points per game. The Wolves have been decent on the defensive side of the ball, but each of the Mavericks' other three opponents has had issues of varying degrees this season. Carter should continue his solid offensive play in the scoring period and should remain somewhat useful as a low-end option.

Sit 'Em

Eric Bledsoe, Clippers (MIA, CHI): Bledsoe is about as electric as any backup point guard in the league, for his ability to confound on the defensive end and get to the rim on the other side. Unfortunately, he might not have much chance to put those skills to use in Week 3, against a pair of teams that don't rely on their point guards on offense and feature smothering defenses themselves. With just two chances to put up numbers, leave Bledsoe for more effective options.

Jared Dudley, Suns (DEN, CHI, @LAL, MIA): Of all of the Suns players returning this season, Dudley seems to be missing Steve Nash's presence the most. All of those wide-open threes Dudley had gotten used to shooting with Nash running the point have been much more tightly defended, and it is wreaking havoc on his efficiency. Dudley is shooting just 34.2 percent from the field and 22.2 percent from three-point range for 6.8 points per game. Matchups against tough Heat and Bull defenses won't help Dudley out, but he needs to figure himself out before worrying about the opposing defense.

Bust Alert: Rodney Stuckey, Pistons (OKC, @PHI, ORL, BOS): The good news for Stuckey is that he really can only improve from here. In a chat Monday on our site, I implored readers to give Stuckey time to right the ship when asked whether he was worth hanging on to. I stand by those words, but that does not mean Stuckey is worth putting in the starting lineup. Even after a 15-point outburst Friday in a blowout loss to the Thunder, Stuckey is still shooting just 22 percent on 9.8 shot attempts per game. The Pistons face three above-average defensive teams in the upcoming week, so keep Stuckey in reserve until he gets out of his offensive malaise.

Forwards

Start 'Em

Dorrell Wright, 76ers (MIL, DET, UTA, CLE): Wright has struggled to find his shot so far, making just 32.1 percent of his attempts through the first five games of the season. Despite that poor shooting, he is still being productive overall, scoring 12.2 points per game. If Wright's shot starts falling at anywhere close to his career norms, he could explode in a big way. With a bunch of subpar defensive teams on the schedule for Week 3, we like Wright's chances to start turning things around.

Patrick Patterson, Rockets (MIA, NOH, @POR, @LAL): Patterson was forced to miss the first game of the season with a quad injury, but he has been productive since then. Patterson has scored in double figures in three of the first four games, and he seems to have added a long-ball to his offensive repertoire in the offseason. The third-year big man has hit three three-pointers in four games, after hitting none through the first two seasons of his career. We're not quite ready to say that this is a staple of his game, but the team seems to be encouraging him on offensive so far next to the offensively inept Omer Asik in the frontcourt. The Rockets play four times, including twice against bottom-tier defensive clubs, so Patterson could keep his pace up in Week 3.

Sit 'Em

Kris Humphries, Nets (CLE, BOS, @SAC): Humphries was a pretty good bet to post a double-double on any given night a year ago, as he finished with 29 in 62 contests. For his hard work on a lottery-bound team, Humphries has seen his minutes cut in a big way now that the Nets have some talent; through four games, he has failed to top 24 minutes in any game. He played at least 25 minutes in 57 games last season. His production has, predictably, declined with his drop in minutes, as he has just one double-double in four games while averaging 6.5 points and 7.0 rebounds per game. There is not sign that Humphries is going to see an uptick in minutes as the season moves on, which makes him difficult to rely on for Week 3.

Thomas Robinson, Kings (POR, ATL, BKN): The book on Robinson entering the league after three years at the University of Kansas was that he should be a mature player who could contribute right away. The Kings expected him to form a dynamic frontcourt duo with DeMarcus Cousins, but Robinson has yet to adapt to the NBA game. He is averaging just 4.4 points and 3.6 rebounds in 13.6 minutes per game, and he seemed to show some frustration when he elbowed Pistons' forward Jonas Jerebko in the throat in a recent game. Robinson earned a two-game suspension for that action, and will likely have to earn his coach's trust again.

Centers

Start 'Em

Kevin Seraphin, Wizards (@CHA, @DAL, UTA): Seraphin has not been the starter at the pivot or big forward spot for the Wizards this season, which means minutes have been somewhat inconstant through the first week-plus of games. Still, he showed late last season that he can be a productive member of the front court when given the chance, and he is backing that up so far. He is averaging 13.0 points per game on 51.5 percent shooting from the field. Seraphin is probably the Wizards' best offensive option down low, and none of their Week 3 opponents feature big-time defensive presences in the post. The 22-year-old is still developing, but he has a chance to stay productive.

Sleeper Alert: Zaza Pachulia, Hawks (@POR, @GSW, @SAC): Pachulia proved his worth a year ago in filling in capably for Al Horford when he went down for much of the season with a torn pectoral muscle. Now, Pachulia is learning how to co-exist with Horford, and the results have been pretty promising so far. Hawks coach Larry Drew has shown a willingness to stick with both Horford and Pachulia in the same lineup more than in years past, and the big man from Georgia is working with Horford to make it a useful lineup option. Pachulia is averaging 8.3 points and 9.3 rebounds per game through three contests. The Hawks face a trio of mediocre defensive frontcourts in Week 3, so Pachulia could at least approach double figures on the boards for the week.

Sit 'Em

Samuel Dalembert, Bucks (@PHI, IND, NOH): We're not entirely sure what has happened to Sam Dalembert this season, but it has been a bit shocking to watch. From 2009 through 2012, Dalembert developed a reputation as a reliable low-end Fantasy option, averaging 7.5 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.7 blocks per game. Through the first four games for the Bucks, however, he has struggled to even find much playing time; he ranks eighth on the team in minutes played, behind a pair of other centers. He has started each game for the Bucks, but has been ineffective, averaging 2.0 points and 3.5 rebounds per game. He needs to get things going before Fantasy owners will want to rely on him.

Bust Alert: DeAndre Jordan, Clippers (MIA, CHI): Jordan has played legitimately well on the offensive end of the court this season -- honest! Jordan scored 20 points in back to back games for the first time in his career during Week 2, in back to back nights against the Spurs and Trail Blazers. Unfortunately, he might have some trouble keeping that up in Week 3, as the Clippers play just two times. Both games come against two of the toughest defenses in the league, so it would be a surprise if Jordan can get going.

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Player News
Lakers SF Nick Young scores team-high 21 vs. Suns
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:06 am ET) Lakers small forward Nick Young scored a team-high 21 points on 7 of 15 shooting, including 4 of 6 shooting from three-point range, in his team's 116-107 loss to the Suns Sunday.

Young made just six of his 22 shots in his previous two games before Sunday's quality effort. He kicked in two assists and one rebound in 25 minutes off the bench in the loss, his team's third straight. The Lakers will match up with the Nuggets Tuesday.


Suns SG Goran Dragic scores team-high 24 vs. Lakers
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12:03 am ET) Suns shooting guard Goran Dragic scored a team-high 24 points on 9 of 16 shooting, including 4 of 6 shooting from three-point range, in his team's 116-107 win over the Lakers Sunday.

The Suns have won six straight games since Dragic was sidelined for two games with a lower back strain in mid-December, ending a six-game losing streak upon his return. He kicked in two rebounds, two assists and one steal in 34 minutes Sunday. The Suns will square off with the Pelicans Tuesday.


Nuggets PF Kenneth Faried doubles up vs. Raptors
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12/28/2014) Nuggets power forward Kenneth Faried scored 17 points on 8 of 19 shooting while racking up 19 rebounds in his team's 116-102 loss to the Raptors Sunday.

Faried came off a monster 26-25 line in Friday's win over the Timberwolves and followed it up with another quality performance, his third straight double-double. He also added two assists in 38 minutes of action in the loss. Faried will square off with the Lakers Tuesday.


Raptors SG Lou Williams scores team-high 31 vs. Nuggets
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12/28/2014) Raptors shooting guard Lou Williams scored a team-high 31 points on 11 of 18 shooting, including 4 of 7 shooting from behind the arc, in his team's 116-102 win over the Nuggets Sunday.

Williams played a season-high 34 minutes with Landry Fields out and capitalized on the opportunity, topping 10 made shots for the first time this season. He added five rebounds, two assists and one steal in the win. The Raptors will square off with the Blazers Tuesday.


Raptors PG Kyle Lowry doubles up vs. Nuggets Sunday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12/28/2014) Raptors point guard Kyle Lowry scored 30 points on 12 of 20 shooting, including 3 of 5 shooting from three-point range, while dishing out 11 assists in his team's 116-102 win over the Nuggets Sunday.

Lowry's double-double was his sixth in the month of December, but his 60 percent success rate from the field represented his best performance of the month. He also racked up seven rebounds, one steal and one block in 38 minutes. The Raptors will look for their third-straight win Tuesday in Portland.


Blazers SG Wesley Matthews scores team-high 28 vs. Knicks
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12/28/2014) Trail Blazers shooting guard Wesley Matthews scored a team-high 28 points on 10 of 21 shooting, including 6 of 15 shooting from three-point range, in his team's 101-79 win over the Knicks Sunday.

Matthews set a season high with 14 three-point attempts Friday and topped it one game later, though he wasn't as efficient on his attempts from behind the arc in Sunday's blowout win. He also recorded five assists, four rebounds and one block in 32 minutes. The Blazers take a three-game winning streak into Tuesday's matchup with the Raptors.


Knicks C Cole Aldrich doubles up vs. Blazers
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12/28/2014) Knicks center Cole Aldrich scored 12 points on 6 of 16 shooting while racking up a career-high 19 rebounds in his team's 101-79 loss to the Blazers Sunday.

Aldrich easily topped his previous season high of 10 rebounds while posting his second double-double of the season Sunday, adding a season-high four steals, two assists and one block in 34 minutes of action, which also represented a new season high. The Knicks take an eight-game losing streak into Wednesday's game against the Clippers.


Knicks SF Carmelo Anthony (knee) will not return Sunday
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12/28/2014) Knicks small forward Carmelo Anthony will not return to Sunday's game against the Blazers due to a sore left knee, the team announced.

Anthony scored 13 points on 5 of 14 shooting in 19 minutes and grabbed five rebounds before leaving Sunday's game for good. The knee issue has persisted for weeks, causing the small forward to miss two of his team's last nine games. He played 43 minutes Thursday and 46 minutes Saturday before having to come out of Sunday's game.

The Knicks have a few days off before facing the Clippers Wednesday.


Mavericks PF Dirk Nowitzki scores team-high 30 vs. Thunder
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12/28/2014) Mavericks power forward Dirk Nowitzki scored a team-high 30 points on 8 of 13 shooting in his team's 112-107 win over the Thunder Sunday.

Nowitzki, who made the rare start at center with Tyson Chandler sidelined, made all 12 of his free-throw attempts to help buoy his point total in the win, and his 30-point effort matches late-November performance as his best of the season. He also added five rebounds, two assists, two blocks and one steal in 29 minutes in the win. Nowitzki will match up with the Wizards Tuesday.


Thunder PF Serge Ibaka scores season-high 26 vs. Mavericks
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(12/28/2014) Thunder power forward Serge Ibaka scored a season-high 26 points on 11 of 14 shooting, including 3 of 4 shooting from behind the arc, while racking up 10 rebounds in his team's 112-107 loss to the Mavericks Sunday.

Ibaka has posted back-to-back double-doubles for just the second time this season, but the big news was his efficient shooting performance, which matches an 11-for-14 effort from early November as his best shooting night of the season. He's made three three-pointers in three straight games. Ibaka will square off with the Suns Wednesday.


 
 
 
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