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Week 3 Start 'Em and Sit 'Em

Fantasy Writer
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There are a lot of reasons for a player to exceed expectations and at this point it is difficult to definitively say which reason makes the most sense. After less than two weeks of games, most teams have played just five or six times, so we are still very much in the stage of the season where it is too early to draw too many conclusions -- unless you're running the Lakers, apparently.

Having said that, there is nothing wrong with looking at early season trends and seeing whether they can be sustained. One of the most notable trends so far has been Carl Landry's tremendous play for the Warriors. With the exception of one subpar performance against the Kings, Landry has been one of the most productive forwards in the league on a per-minute basis so far. He ranks 20th in standard Fantasy scoring formats among forwards, despite averaging just 25.5 minutes per game.

Landry is shooting at a totally unsustainable rate, which does need to be taken into account. A year ago with the Hornets he shot 50.3 percent from the field, but he finished Friday's game against the Lakers making 59.0 percent of his attempts. As a result, Landry is averaging 15.2 points per game on just 10.2 attempts from the field. That might come down, but we have long known that Landry is an effective offensive player; he scored 18.0 points per game as a starter for the Kings in 2009-10.

However, Landry's performance so far points to a comfort level in the Warriors offense that could sustain itself. Landry has attempted 53 percent of his shots within five feet of the rim, as compared to 40.5 percent over his previous two seasons. Landry is a below-the-rim player, but he is more effective as a scorer the closer he gets to the rim.

The Warriors play three times in Week 3 (Nov. 12-18), against the Hawks, Timberwolves and Thunder. Those three teams have been above average defensively so far, but with an injury to Andrew Bogut opening up more minutes in the frontcourt, we like Landry to keep his performance up.

Guards

Start 'Em

Jose Calderon, Raptors (UTA, @IND, @BOS, ORL): There was considerable concern this season about how Calderon would adapt to a backup point guard role with the team's acquisition of Kyle Lowry. So far, Calderon's numbers are down across the board, as he is playing just 22.8 minutes per game. Still, there is hope for him yet, as Lowry is dealing with an ankle injury that could force the Raptors to limit his minutes in Week 3. Calderon put up 11 points and six assists without a turnover in the team's lone game without Lowry this season. The Raptors face a pair of tough defenses this week, but Calderon should be able to get more comfortable with his role moving forward, so consider him a worthy risk.

Ray Allen, Heat (@HOU, @LAC, @DEN, @PHO): Entering the season as, at best, the fourth option was supposed to limit Allen's impact in his age-37 season. However, with Miami's Big Three drawing all of the defense's attention this season, Allen has gotten off to an unbelievably hot start. Allen is averaging 14.7 points on just 8.5 shot attempts per game, as he is shooting incredibly well. The Heat will be on the road for all of Week 3, where Allen is averaging just 11.0 points per game. None of Miami's opponents look likely to pose much of a defensive threat to Allen's continued success, so he should be active.

Sleeper Alert: Vince Carter, Mavericks (MIN, WAS, @IND, @CLE): Carter suffered a hip flexor injury Friday against the Knicks, which is always a concern for players at an advanced state in their career like Carter. Fortunately, he downplayed the injury's severity after the game, so we don't think it will be an issue. Carter seemed to be finding his shooting stroke in the early part of the season, as he has 11 three-pointers made through six games. That is helping him average 13.5 points per game. The Wolves have been decent on the defensive side of the ball, but each of the Mavericks' other three opponents has had issues of varying degrees this season. Carter should continue his solid offensive play in the scoring period and should remain somewhat useful as a low-end option.

Sit 'Em

Eric Bledsoe, Clippers (MIA, CHI): Bledsoe is about as electric as any backup point guard in the league, for his ability to confound on the defensive end and get to the rim on the other side. Unfortunately, he might not have much chance to put those skills to use in Week 3, against a pair of teams that don't rely on their point guards on offense and feature smothering defenses themselves. With just two chances to put up numbers, leave Bledsoe for more effective options.

Jared Dudley, Suns (DEN, CHI, @LAL, MIA): Of all of the Suns players returning this season, Dudley seems to be missing Steve Nash's presence the most. All of those wide-open threes Dudley had gotten used to shooting with Nash running the point have been much more tightly defended, and it is wreaking havoc on his efficiency. Dudley is shooting just 34.2 percent from the field and 22.2 percent from three-point range for 6.8 points per game. Matchups against tough Heat and Bull defenses won't help Dudley out, but he needs to figure himself out before worrying about the opposing defense.

Bust Alert: Rodney Stuckey, Pistons (OKC, @PHI, ORL, BOS): The good news for Stuckey is that he really can only improve from here. In a chat Monday on our site, I implored readers to give Stuckey time to right the ship when asked whether he was worth hanging on to. I stand by those words, but that does not mean Stuckey is worth putting in the starting lineup. Even after a 15-point outburst Friday in a blowout loss to the Thunder, Stuckey is still shooting just 22 percent on 9.8 shot attempts per game. The Pistons face three above-average defensive teams in the upcoming week, so keep Stuckey in reserve until he gets out of his offensive malaise.

Forwards

Start 'Em

Dorrell Wright, 76ers (MIL, DET, UTA, CLE): Wright has struggled to find his shot so far, making just 32.1 percent of his attempts through the first five games of the season. Despite that poor shooting, he is still being productive overall, scoring 12.2 points per game. If Wright's shot starts falling at anywhere close to his career norms, he could explode in a big way. With a bunch of subpar defensive teams on the schedule for Week 3, we like Wright's chances to start turning things around.

Patrick Patterson, Rockets (MIA, NOH, @POR, @LAL): Patterson was forced to miss the first game of the season with a quad injury, but he has been productive since then. Patterson has scored in double figures in three of the first four games, and he seems to have added a long-ball to his offensive repertoire in the offseason. The third-year big man has hit three three-pointers in four games, after hitting none through the first two seasons of his career. We're not quite ready to say that this is a staple of his game, but the team seems to be encouraging him on offensive so far next to the offensively inept Omer Asik in the frontcourt. The Rockets play four times, including twice against bottom-tier defensive clubs, so Patterson could keep his pace up in Week 3.

Sit 'Em

Kris Humphries, Nets (CLE, BOS, @SAC): Humphries was a pretty good bet to post a double-double on any given night a year ago, as he finished with 29 in 62 contests. For his hard work on a lottery-bound team, Humphries has seen his minutes cut in a big way now that the Nets have some talent; through four games, he has failed to top 24 minutes in any game. He played at least 25 minutes in 57 games last season. His production has, predictably, declined with his drop in minutes, as he has just one double-double in four games while averaging 6.5 points and 7.0 rebounds per game. There is not sign that Humphries is going to see an uptick in minutes as the season moves on, which makes him difficult to rely on for Week 3.

Thomas Robinson, Kings (POR, ATL, BKN): The book on Robinson entering the league after three years at the University of Kansas was that he should be a mature player who could contribute right away. The Kings expected him to form a dynamic frontcourt duo with DeMarcus Cousins, but Robinson has yet to adapt to the NBA game. He is averaging just 4.4 points and 3.6 rebounds in 13.6 minutes per game, and he seemed to show some frustration when he elbowed Pistons' forward Jonas Jerebko in the throat in a recent game. Robinson earned a two-game suspension for that action, and will likely have to earn his coach's trust again.

Centers

Start 'Em

Kevin Seraphin, Wizards (@CHA, @DAL, UTA): Seraphin has not been the starter at the pivot or big forward spot for the Wizards this season, which means minutes have been somewhat inconstant through the first week-plus of games. Still, he showed late last season that he can be a productive member of the front court when given the chance, and he is backing that up so far. He is averaging 13.0 points per game on 51.5 percent shooting from the field. Seraphin is probably the Wizards' best offensive option down low, and none of their Week 3 opponents feature big-time defensive presences in the post. The 22-year-old is still developing, but he has a chance to stay productive.

Sleeper Alert: Zaza Pachulia, Hawks (@POR, @GSW, @SAC): Pachulia proved his worth a year ago in filling in capably for Al Horford when he went down for much of the season with a torn pectoral muscle. Now, Pachulia is learning how to co-exist with Horford, and the results have been pretty promising so far. Hawks coach Larry Drew has shown a willingness to stick with both Horford and Pachulia in the same lineup more than in years past, and the big man from Georgia is working with Horford to make it a useful lineup option. Pachulia is averaging 8.3 points and 9.3 rebounds per game through three contests. The Hawks face a trio of mediocre defensive frontcourts in Week 3, so Pachulia could at least approach double figures on the boards for the week.

Sit 'Em

Samuel Dalembert, Bucks (@PHI, IND, NOH): We're not entirely sure what has happened to Sam Dalembert this season, but it has been a bit shocking to watch. From 2009 through 2012, Dalembert developed a reputation as a reliable low-end Fantasy option, averaging 7.5 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.7 blocks per game. Through the first four games for the Bucks, however, he has struggled to even find much playing time; he ranks eighth on the team in minutes played, behind a pair of other centers. He has started each game for the Bucks, but has been ineffective, averaging 2.0 points and 3.5 rebounds per game. He needs to get things going before Fantasy owners will want to rely on him.

Bust Alert: DeAndre Jordan, Clippers (MIA, CHI): Jordan has played legitimately well on the offensive end of the court this season -- honest! Jordan scored 20 points in back to back games for the first time in his career during Week 2, in back to back nights against the Spurs and Trail Blazers. Unfortunately, he might have some trouble keeping that up in Week 3, as the Clippers play just two times. Both games come against two of the toughest defenses in the league, so it would be a surprise if Jordan can get going.

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Player News
Wizards' John Wall to seek another opinion for 'really bad' wrist sprain
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:49 am ET) Wizards guard John Wall told reporters he's dealing with a "really bad sprain" in his wrist, which has given him trouble dribbling the ball the way he is accustomed to, per the team's official website.

Wall's injury stemmed from a nasty fall in Game 1 against Atlanta. He consulted with team doctors and opted to sit out Game 2. In his absence, Ramon Sessions got the start and scored a playoff career-high 21 points, but it wasn't enough as Washington dropped Game 2, 106-90.

According to David Aldridge of TNT and NBA.com, Wall reiterated that his wrist isn't broken, and that he is expected to get another opinion back in Washington before the team determines a course of treatment.

The Wizards have until Saturday before determining his status for a pivotal Game 3 in Washington. The series is tied 1-1 through two games.


Grizzlies' Conley drops 22 in a triumphant Game 2 win over Warriors
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(1:35 am ET) Multiple facial fractures didn't hold Grizzlies guard Mike Conley back Tuesday night against Golden State. The point guard played with a clear mask and led his team with a triumphant 22-point performance to top the Warriors 97-90 in Game 2 of the Western Conference Semifinals.

Conley went 8 of 12 from the field, including 3 of 6 from downtown, and 3 of 4 from the charity stripe. He added three assists while logging 27 minutes of game action. Conley's 22 points was his highest scoring effort in a playoff game since scoring 24 in Game 4 of the 2013 Western Conference Semifinals (May 13, 2013).


Grizzlies' Mike Conley will suit up, wear protective mask vs. Warriors
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(5/5/2015) Grizzlies guard Mike Conley will suit up for Game 2 of the Western Conference Semifinals against the Warriors, according to Marc J. Spears of Yahoo! Sports.

Conley suffered a facial fracture in the opening round of the playoffs against Portland and will wear a clear mask for additional protection. He also told reporters that his sprained right foot is still bothering him, though he'll try to play through the pain.

Conley averaged 14.6 points and 6.1 assists in 80 regular-season games.

Memphis is a 10-point underdog at Golden State, VegasInsider.com.


Rockets' Dwight Howard not worried about lack of touches down the stretch
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(5/5/2015) Rockets center Dwight Howard didn't take a shot in the final seven minutes of the team's Game 1 loss. He's not worried about his lack of scoring opportunities, however. 

"I can’t focus on that," Howard said, per the Houston Chronicle. "I got to continue to be a presence on the defensive end, get more blocked shots, get more rebounds, run the floor more, do all the things I can do, not focus so much on if I’m getting the ball or not."


Wizards' John Wall a late scratch, Bradley Beal will play Game 2
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(5/5/2015) Wizards guard John Wall was a late scratch Tuesday night in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals against the Hawks, per the Washington Post. Bradley Beal, who suffered a sprained ankle during the Game 1, will play against Atlanta.

Ramon Sessions will start in Wall's place.

Wall landed on his wrist in Game 1 and initially feared he may have broken it. Coach Randy Wittman told reporters that the decision to play Wall was out of his hands and up to the medical staff.

"He's one of the toughest guys I've been around," Wittman said.

Wall has doubled up in four consecutive postseason games, and is averaging 17.4 points, 12.6 assists and 4.6 rebounds per game in the playoffs, while shooting 39.7 percent from the field and 23.1 percent from downtown in five games.

Washington was considered a 6-point underdog before the team deemed Wall out for the game.

The Wizards have a 1-0 series lead.


Clippers list Chris Paul as doubtful for Game 2 in Houston
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(5/5/2015) Although Clippers coach Doc Rivers labeled point guard Chris Paul as "50-50," the team officially deemed him as doubtful for Game 2 of the Western Conference Semifinals against the Rockets on Wednesday, per the Los Angeles Times.

Paul played through a hamstring injury and scored the winning bucket to lift his club past San Antonio in Game 7 of the opening round of the playoffs. Rivers held Paul out on Monday and started his son, Austin Rivers in Game 1.

Los Angeles is a 7-point underdog at Houston, per VegasInsider.com.


Clippers' Blake Griffin steps up as vocal leader with Chris Paul out
by Shawn Krest | CBSSports.com
(5/5/2015) Clippers forward Blake Griffin doesn't usually talk much on the court, when his teammates need correction.

"I’m not ever one of those guys that’s going to yell at guys," Griffin said, per InsideHoops.com. "It’s about helping them out."

Griffin was content to leave the yelling to teammate Chris Paul, a fiery on-court leader. But with Paul out for Game 1 and "50/50" for Game 2, according to coach Doc Rivers, Griffin is stepping out of his comfort zone. 

He could be heard verbally leading his teammates during Game 1 and intends to do the same if Paul is sidelined for Game 2.




Clippers G Chris Paul (hamstring) may play in Game 2
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5/5/2015) Clippers guard Chris Paul is listed as questionable for Game 2 on Wednesday at Houston, reports ESPN.

Paul missed the Game 1 win over the Rockets after suffering a hamstring injury during the Game 7 win over the Spurs in the opening round. Guard Austin Rivers started in place of Paul.

The Clippers are 1-point underdogs at Houston on Wednesday.


Grizzlies' Conley (face) upgraded to questionable for Game 2
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(5/5/2015) Grizzlies guard Mike Conley has been upgraded to questionable for Game 2 of the Western Conference Semifinals against the Warriors, the Bay Area News Group reports.

Conley has yet to practice in contact drills, but it appears his chances of playing in Game 2 Tuesday have increased. He's working his way back from a facial fracture suffered in his team's first-round series. The Grizzlies will evaluate the guard before the game before making a final decision on his status.

The Grizzlies are 10-point underdogs Tuesday.


Cavaliers star LeBron James vows more aggression in Game 2
by Marty Gitlin | CBSSports.com
(5/5/2015) Cavaliers superstar LeBron James has declared that he needs to change his mindset from Game 1 to Game 2 of the team's second-round series against Chicago.

James is claiming he must pick up his aggressiveness, per The Associated Press. His original motivation was setting up his teammates, but the loss of Kevin Love (injury) and J.R. Smith (suspension) leaves only Kyrie Irving as a viable offensive force. James now figures he will be needed to attack the basket and score.

With the Cavaliers' outside threats lessened, the Bulls packed the inside in their Monday win and made it difficult for James and Irving to drive.


 
 
 
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