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Rotisserie specials for Week 4

by Adam Moore | Fantasy Writer
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This will be the second shortened scoring period Fantasy owners will have to deal with this season, as the league did not schedule any games on Thanksgiving this year.

The entire league will now be off Thursday, which means each team will play one less game during Fantasy Week 4 (Nov. 19-26). We have once again listed the five options who may be a bit under the radar but who, we feel, will make a meaningful impact in Rotisserie formats this week. Conversely, we have also compiled a list of players who could do more harm than good this week.

Find a place for 'em

Ramon Sessions, G, Bobcats (MIL, TOR, ATL, @WAS): Sessions continues to serve as Kemba Walker's primary backup and has performed well in that role. He has scored in double figures in all eight of his games thus far and is averaging a healthy 15.8 points, 4.2 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game. While he is shooting just 41.7 percent from the field and a putrid 19 percent from the behind the arc, he looks to have a chance to improve on those numbers in the upcoming scoring period. The Bucks, Raptors, and Hawks all rank in the bottom half of the league in opponent field-goal percentage while the Wizards have surrendered an average of 95.3 points over their last six games. Despite his poor 3-point shooting and lack of steals thus far, Sessions has been productive and efficient enough to leave active in most formats and that trend should continue this week. Continue to roll with the 26-year-old in most category-based formats during the upcoming scoring period.(owned in 74 percent of leagues)

Jason Richardson, G, 76ers (TOR, @CLE, OKC, @PHI): Richardson did not get off to the best start in Philadelphia as he scored just 10 points in his season opener before missing the next four-plus games with an ankle injury. However, the veteran was able to return to the starting lineup last week and responded by posting 15.3 points, 5.5 rebounds. 2.0 assists and 1.8 steals over the four games since he came back. He is also shooting 42.6 percent from the field since his return, including an impressive 48.1 percent from downtown. While most figure the 31-year-old's best days are behind him, he remains one of the better 3-point shooters in the game and has received the green light by coach Doug Collins. Richardson is still capable of lighting up the scoreboard when he is on and looks to have a plethora of favorable matchups on tap this week. The Cavaliers, Suns and Raptors are allowing their opponents to shoot at least 46.4 percent from the field while Phoenix and Toronto are also allowing opponents to hit over 40 percent of their shots from behind the arc. Look for Richardson to come out firing this week and we would expect him to make more than he misses in the upcoming scoring period. (owned in 64 percent of leagues)

Kyle Korver, F, Hawks (ORL, WAS, @CHA, LAC): After shooting just 32 percent from the field and averaging 7.0 points over his first four games of the season, Korver has finally found his range for the Hawks. The 31-year-old is averaging 14.3 points per game over his past four games and has made 65 percent of his shots from the field, including 65 percent from behind the arc. He is also averaging a healthy 4.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists and 1.2 steals over that stretch and is seeing just over 30 minutes per game while splitting time at shooting guard and small forward. It seems Korver has finally readjusted himself to being a full-time starter for the first time since the 2005-06 season and now will face the defensively challenged Magic, Wizards and Bobcats in the upcoming scoring period. Even the Clippers are allowing opponents to shoot nearly 35 percent from the field from downtown, which bodes well for the free-shooting Korver. Fantasy owners should continue to ride his hot hand this week. (owned in 23 percent of leagues)

Metta World Peace, F, Lakers (BKN, @SAC, @MEM, @DAL): After almost completely disappearing from Fantasy relevancy the past two years, it appears World Peace is back. The veteran was a Rotisserie owners' dream during his better years as he offered solid mid-teen scoring numbers while filling up the stat sheet. However, he has seen his numbers and stock completely plummet during his two years in Los Angeles and entered this season as merely an afterthought to most owners. World Peace has found his scoring prowess again as he has scored in double figures in seven straight games and is averaging 15.7 points over that stretch. He is shooting 47 percent from the field -- including 38 percent from downtown -- to go along with 5.3 rebounds, 1.7 assists and 1.5 steals. While most don't think he will be able to maintain his current pace -- especially once new coach Mike D'Antoni takes over -- World Peace's production has been too hard to ignore. It will likely take D'Antoni a few weeks to get his system in place, which should allow World Peace to continue to chuck it up for a few more games. Fantasy owners should take advantage of his hot hand and leave the 33-year-old active for at least one more week. (owned in 52 percent of leagues)

Tristan Thompson, C, Cavaliers (PHI, ORL, MIA): While Kyrie Irving and Dion Waters have been getting all the attention in Cleveland of late, Thompson has very quietly been having a productive sophomore campaign. After going through some ups and downs early on in the year, the 21-year-old enters Week 4 averaging a solid 9.7 points and 8.5 rebounds per game. He has scored in double figures in six straight contests and is shooting 49 percent from the field during his run while also posting an assist and one steal over that stretch. While Thompson continues to see starts at power forward, he is also eligible at center and looks to have somewhat of a favorable schedule on tap this week. Despite the Magic, Heat and 76ers all holding their opponents to less than 100 points per game, all three teams are allowing clubs to make over 44 percent of their field goals, which is way above the league average. The one knock on Thompson thus far has been his lack of blocked shots; however, the fact that he is averaging nearly a double-double to go along with a steal and assist over his last six games is reason enough to leave him active in most category-based formats this week. (owned in 78 percent of leagues)

Put 'em on your bench

Jerryd Bayless, G, Grizzlies (DEN, LAL): After averaging 11.4 points per game with the Raptors a year ago, Bayless has been surprisingly quiet during his first year in Memphis. He has only scored in double figures in two of his nine games on the year and is averaging just 6.9 points, 2.9 assists and 1.3 rebounds. He is making 47 percent of his field-goal attempts and 50 percent of his shots from behind the arc, so his lack of production seems to be the result of a lack of playing time rather than because of poor shooting. Bayless is seeing an average of just 15.9 minutes per game thus far, which is well below the 22.7 minutes he saw during his final year in Toronto, and we don't see that changing this week. The Grizzlies are the hottest team in the league right now, so don't expect coach Lional Hollins to mess with his rotation much. Combine that with the fact that the Grizzlies only play twice this week against the Lakers and surprisingly stingy Nuggets, and we feel Bayless is best left on the bench for at least another week.(owned in 29 percent of leagues)

Austin Rivers, G, Hornets (NY, @IND, @PHO, @DEN): Rivers was one of the few rookies to enter the league this season expected to make an immediate impact. However, that has not been the case over the first three weeks of the season. The 20-year-old has struggled with injuries and the speed of the NBA game, which has resulted in him averaging 6.7 points, 2.7 assists and 1.9 rebounds thus far. He has only scored in double figures once over his first seven games -- which was 10 points -- and is shooting a dreadful 28 percent from the field and 23.1 percent from behind the arc. While the Hornets seem content to leave Rivers in the starting lineup and have him learn on the fly, we strongly recommend owners do not follow suit. New Orleans will face some of the leagues' better defensive teams in the upcoming scoring period as the Knicks and Pacers rank in the top 10 in opposition field-goal percentage. Even the Nuggets have been stingier than expected on defense thus far, so Fantasy owners should leave Rivers sidelined for at least one more scoring period. (owned in 45 percent of leagues)

Gerald Green, F, Pacers (@WAS, NO, SA): Green got himself off to a fairly productive start this season, but like the rest of the Pacers, he has hit a wall of late. The 26-year-old was moved to the bench after beginning the year in the starting lineup and as a result has seen a dip in production. He is averaging 8.3 points on 37.5 percent shooting from the field -- including 33 percent from downtown -- to go along with 5.8 rebounds. His numbers have been lacking in the steals and blocks departments, and he has just one block and no steals over his last five games. While Green's ability to fill up the stat sheet and post a decent field goal (49 percent) and 3-point (39 percent) percentages made him a popular pickup in deeper category-based formats last season, he has been more of a liability in those leagues so far this year. Even with the lowly Hornets and Wizards on the schedule, Green is not worth activating in most formats for the upcoming scoring period. (owned in 37 percent of leagues)

Taj Gibson, F, Bulls, (@HOU, @MIL): Gibson had high expectations entering the season as the departure of Omer Asik was supposed to open up more minutes and elevated production for the 27-year-old, But so far neither of those two things have happened. Coach Tom Thibodeau has kept his minutes right around the 20-per game mark and as a result, Gibson is actually averaging over a point less than he did a season ago, thanks to his 41 percent field goal shooting from the field. He is also averaging the same number of shot attempts this season as he did last year, so even if he starts knocking down more shots, his numbers aren't likely to increase from what they were last year. The only thing Gibson has been thriving at is blocking shots as he is averaging just under two per contest (1.9). However, that isn't enough to stand on its own, especially when he is putting up just 6.4 points and 4.6 rebounds per game. With the Bulls only slated to play twice in Week 4 and no hint at any extra minutes in the near future, owners may want to sit Gibson down for a week. (owned in 47 percent of leagues)

Brandan Wright, C, Mavericks, (GS, NY, LAL): Wright got off to a red-hot start this season and as a result became a very popular pick off the waiver wire. But as in all aspects of life, things change and so has Wright's Fantasy value. After posting a solid 12.0 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.8 blocks over his first six games, he is averaging 5.3 points, 2.3 rebounds and 0.3 blocks over his next five contests. His recent lack of production has landed him in the doghouse with coach Rick Carlisle, who benched him because of poor effort and has since reduced his role to that of a benchwarmer. Wright is only averaging 12.5 minutes over his last five contests and most of that has been in mop-up time. To be fair, the return of Shawn Marion and Chris Kaman would have reduced his playing time anyway, but not to where it is right now. Until Wright is able to get back in Carlisle's good graces, he should be left on the bench in all Rotisserie formats this week. (owned in 33 percent of leagues)

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Player News
Sam Young
Young exist Game 2 with sprained ankle
Sam Young, SF, IND
5/24/2013
News: Pacers forward Sam Young left Friday's Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Heat with a sprained left ankle. Young left the game in the third quarter and did not return. He finished with one point and two rebounds in a 97-93 win.
Analysis: Young may have been held out as a precaution, especially since he logged just 10 minutes in each of the first two games of the series. We'll continue to monitor his status moving forward. Young averaged 2.8 points and 2.2 rebounds per game this season and is considered a marginal contributor in Fantasy. He should be ignored on Draft Day.

Mario Chalmers
Chalmers back in action vs. Pacers
Mario Chalmers, PG, MIA
5/24/2013
News: Heat guard Mario Chalmers, who left Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals with a shoulder injury, returned to action in Game 2 Friday against the Pacers. Chalmers scored six points on 2 of 6 shooting and dished out five assists in a 97-93 defeat.
Analysis: Chalmers seemed shaken up during a few sequences on Friday, but was healthy enough to stay on the floor. We'll continue to keep an eye on his status throughout the postseason. Chalmers shot 40.9 percent from three-point range this season, and that is where his Fantasy value will always come from. This injury is unlikely to linger into the offseason, so it should not change his Fantasy value for next season. He remains useful in deeper Rotisserie Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Aaron Gray
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Aaron Gray, C, TOR
5/23/2013
News: TSN.ca reported last week that Raptors forward Linas Kleiza and center Aaron Gray picked up their player options for the 2013-14 season. Kleiza's option will pay him $4.6 million, while Gray will make $2.6 million, in the final years of both of their deals.
Analysis: Gray averaged just 2.8 points per game over the course of 42 games, and he saw his role dramatically reduced as the team leaned on younger options. He will likely assume a similar role for Toronto this season, and should be ignored in most Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Linas Kleiza
Kleiza picks up option
Linas Kleiza, SF, TOR
5/23/2013
News: TSN.ca reported last week that Raptors forward Linas Kleiza and center Aaron Gray picked up their player options for the 2013-14 season. Kleiza's option will pay him $4.6 million, while Gray will make $2.6 million, in the final years of both of their deals.
Analysis: Kleiza did not play after Dec. 28, thanks in part to lingering issues with his surgically-repaired knee. He averaged just 7.4 points on 33.3 percent shooting in the 20 games he appeared in, and is unlikely to be worth targeting in any Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Carl Landry
Landry torn on opt-out decision
Carl Landry, PF, GS
5/23/2013
News: Warriors forward Carl Landry would like to return to Golden State, but he has an opt-out clause for next season's $4 million contract. He has yet to choose whether to do so, and he told the Contra Costa Times Wednesday that it is the hardest decision he has faced in his career. “The Warriors are home whether I opt in or out," he said. "Hopefully, I can spend the rest of my career here because this is a very special place. Everything here is what you want: the city, the fans, the front office, the coach, the teammates. You can’t ask for anything more.”
Analysis: Landry would probably be underpaid at $4 million next season, so he would likely be turning down millions of dollars to remain on what is essentially a one-year deal. Landry averaged 10.8 point and 6.0 rebounds per game for the Warriors in just 23.2 minutes per game, and he could get a much bigger role on another roster. We will keep an eye on his free agency as it moves forward, but Landry is likely to be more of a late-round Fantasy option on Draft Day no matter where he ends up.

Charlie Villanueva
Villanueva picks up fifth-year option
Charlie Villanueva, PF, DET
5/23/2013
News: Predictably, Pistons forward Charlie Villanueva picked up his option for the 2013-14 season, a deal that will pay him $8.5 million. Villanueva is entering the final year of a five-year, $37.7 million contract.
Analysis: Villanueva appeared in 69 games this season, averaging a career-low 6.8 points and 3.5 rebounds per game. With the Pistons continuing to rebuild, it is unlikely that he sees a larger role than that this season, so Fantasy owners should ignore him in most Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Anderson Varejao
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Anderson Varejao, C, CLE
5/23/2013
News: Cavaliers center Anderson Varejao has been taken off blood thinners, a sign that he has recovered from the blood clot issue that ended his season. According to The Plain Dealer, Varejao is expected to be ready for the start of training camp.
Analysis: Varejao was in the midst of the best season of his career, before quad surgery and the ensuing developments with a blood clot. He averaged 14.1 points and 14.4 rebounds per game prior to the injury, both of which are by far career highs. Varejao has emerged as a very solid Fantasy option over the last few years, however he has also missed 149 games over the last three seasons. He is a major injury risk heading into the season, but he should still be gone by the middle rounds in most Fantasy leagues on Draft Day.

Pablo Prigioni
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Pablo Prigioni, PG, NY
5/23/2013
News: Knicks guard Pablo Prigioni becomes a free agent after his rookie season, and he reportedly wants to stay in the NBA rather than return to the Spanish League. It might just depend on what his wife says, according to the New York Post. Prigioni is set to become a free agent July 1, and is expected to look for a one-year contract worth around $2 million.
Analysis: Prigioni ended up moving into the starting lineup for the Knicks, but he did not have much of an impact this season. He averaged 3.5 points and 3.0 assists per game in 16.2 minutes. After showing what he can do, he might be able to get a bigger role next season, but he should probably still be ignored until the very end of most Fantasy formats.

Bradley Beal
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Bradley Beal, SG, WAS
5/23/2013
News: Wizards guard Bradley Beal has yet to be cleared for basketball activities, nearly two months after being shut down due to an ankle and right leg injury. According to the Washington Post, Beal is still a week or so away from getting back on the court. “It’s always frustration,” Beal said Thursday. “But at the same time, I have to stay positive, make sure I’m doing what I’m supposed to do. Making sure I’m able to take care of myself and just stay on top of it. Basically just being patient and when I get out there, I’ll get out there.” Beal is lifting weights, riding a bike and swimming, but it mostly limited to free throws on the court for now. He is expected to be ready to go by the time the team opens training camp.
Analysis: Beal became just the seventh player to make the all-rookie first team as a teenager, a pretty good indication of the kind of upside he has when healthy. He missed 26 games due to a variety of ailments, mostly related to his ankles. He finished the season averaging 13.9 points per game on 41.0 percent shooting, however he improved dramatically as the season went on. Beal shot 47.1 percent from the field and 45.5 percent from three-point range after the All-Star break, with 16.5 points per game. If that is any sign of what Beal can do when healthy, Fantasy owners should be very excited to see him in his second season. Plan on targeting Beal in the middle rounds on Draft Day, with plenty of upside.

Amar'e Stoudemire
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Amar'e Stoudemire, PF, NY
5/23/2013
News: According to his agent, Knicks forward Amar'e Stoudemire was not happy with how the season ended, as he was barely able to contribute in the team's six-game loss to the Pacers in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. “You know Amar’e, he’s going to work as hard as he can during the offseason,” Happy Walters, Stoudemire’s agent, told the New York Daily News. “It was a tough year, but Amar’e is already looking forward to next season. He’ll be ready.” Knicks coach Mike Woodson would not comment on whether he thinks Stoudemire will return to the starting lineup next season, after the Knicks enjoyed great success with Carmelo Anthony at power forward. Stoudemire came off the bench in all 29 of his regular season games this season, after doing so just 17 times in his previous 10 seasons.
Analysis: Despite eventually needing two knee surgeries, Stoudemire was actually quite productive for the Knicks, when he played. He averaged 14.2 points and 5.0 rebounds per game in just 23.5 minutes, while shooting 57.7 percent from the field, his best mark since 2007-08. Stoudemire may be best suited coming off the bench on the Knicks' current roster, but that probably limits how much playing time he can get on a nightly basis. Given injury concerns and questions about his role on the Knicks, Stoudemire is a risky Fantasy option heading into next season. He should be left for the middle rounds at the earliest on Draft Day.

 
 
 
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