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Week 19 Start 'Em and Sit 'Em

Fantasy Writer
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When looking at the team has put together this season, you really have to applaud Rockets general manager Daryl Morey's 'Moneyball' approach to roster construction. Despite being in the thick of a playoff hunt, Morey made a move for the future prior to the trade deadline, shipping solid starting power forward Patrick Patterson to Sacramento for Thomas Robinson, the No. 5 pick in last year's draft.

Most assumed that the trade would hurt Houston in the short term, putting them in a precarious position with as they hold on to the eighth seed in the Western Conference after not making the playoffs in any of the previous three seasons. As usual, however, Morey was ahead of the curve. He saved long-term money, got a recent lottery pick, and may end not missing a beat down the stretch anyways.

Morey made the trade because knew he had a replacement for Patterson ready and waiting to be unleashed, in the form of Lithuanian big man Donatas Motiejunas. Motiejunas was a draft-and-stash prospect from the 2011 draft, and he came to the NBA with a pretty polished game, after spending five years playing professionally in Europe.

The Rockets kept Motiejunas under wraps for most of the first half of the season, but finally unleashed him post trade, and he has looked more than capable of filling a key role. In five games since the trade, Motiejunas has averaged 10.4 points per game in just 18.0 minutes, while displaying an advanced offensive game.

Motiejunas is a true stretch power forward for the Rockets, averaging 1.0 three-pointers per game over the last five while shooting 38.5 percent from long range. As he gets more comfortable in the offense and sees his role increase, his production has followed – he has scored 11, 13 and 17 points in the last three games. His continued improvement and a solid schedule on the way has earned Motiejunas the nod as my Start of the Week for Week 19 (March 4-10).

Motiejunas still has some work to do to get used to the Rockets' fast-paced style of play, as he seems to run out of gas when playing long stretches. However, he has already emerged as the team's top option at power forward in traditional lineups, while also seeing time in smaller lineups at center. The Rockets face three of the worst defenses in the league in Week 19, as the Rockets head to Dallas, Golden State and Phoenix. Each team ranks in the bottom-11 overall in points allowed per game, so Fantasy owners should not be surprised if Motiejunas keeps making his impact felt.

Guards

Start 'Em

Mike Dunleavy, Bucks (UTA, @LAC, @GSW, @SAC): The Bucks' acquisition of J.J. Redick crowded the back court and threatened to push a holdover out of their usual role. Dunleavy was one of the players to see his role shift, but is has not necessarily been in a negative way. Dunleavy has been able to maintain his usual 25 minute per night role despite the trade, and he has increased his scoring to 12.7 points per game in three games since the trade. The Bucks as a team have been scoring more since the trade, and face three subpar defenses in Week 19, including the league-worst Kings. Dunleavy has long been a useful Fantasy option when hot, so get him in the lineup.

Luke Ridnour, Timberwolves (MIA, WAS, @DEN, DAL): Ridnour got off to a slow start to he season that scared some Fantasy owners off, but Ricky Rubio's return to prominence has helped Ridnour level off. He averaged 13.6 points per game in January and 12.9 in February, right around what we have come to expect from him. His shooting still leaves plenty to be desired, though that has consistently been a team-wide issue, as Eye On Basketball's Zach Harper has been chronicling in his aptly-named “Infinite Sorrow” series at AWolfAmongWolves.com. (http://www.awolfamongwolves.com/tag/infinite-sorrow/) Ridnour could get hot in Week 19, as the Wolves face three of the 10-worst defenses in the NBA at defending the three-point line.

Sleeper Alert: Patrick Beverley, Rockets (@DAL, @GSW, @PHX): Beverley is another unheralded player who has been quietly contributing for the Rockets recently. Beverley took three years to make his NBA debut after being a second-round pick in 2009, but he very quickly usurped Toney Douglas' backup point guard role. His role is limited for the Rockets on most nights, but he is starting to figure more into their plans, playing close to 20 minutes per game for the Rockets over the last 10 games. Beverley has gotten hot recently, entering Week 9 averaging 10.0 points, 3.3 assists and 2.5 three-pointers per game over the team's previous four games. With a solid schedule on the way against some of the worst defenses in the league, Beverley could fill in a pinch in deeper Fantasy formats.

Sit 'Em

Manu Ginobili, Spurs (CHI, POR): We received news of Tony Parker's diagnosis Saturday and it was not good; the dominant point guard will miss up to four weeks with a left ankle sprain. That news casts plenty of doubt on the well-oiled machine that is the Spurs' offense, as Parker has emerged as the main cog that moves things along. The Spurs will need to find some way to pick up he slack in Parker's absence, and Ginobili seems as good a bet as any. Despite being well past his prime and looking pretty rickety this season, Ginobili ran the offense perfectly Friday after Parker suffered the injury, dishing out 15 assists in just 23 minutes. Moving forward, Ginobili looks like a good bet to pick up his play, but Week 19 would not be when I want to rely on him. The Spurs play just twice this week, and one of the games comes against a dominant Bulls' defense. Fantasy owners are likely going to plug Ginobili into the starting lineup this week anyways, but you could be in for a disappointing showing.

Ramon Sessions, Bobcats (@POR, BKN, OKC, @WAS): For a while there, Sessions was playing consistently well, averaging 15.9 points per game in the month of January and 14.1 in February. Unfortunately, as with most things Bobcats related, the good times would not last. Sessions began slumping towards the end of February, averaging just 10.8 points per game over six games since the All-Star break. Sessions' Fantasy value is derived almost exclusively from his ability to score the ball, so when things are going poorly, it makes relying on him tough. The Bobcats face three above-average defenses in Week 19, so Sessions' slide could continue.

Bust Alert: Brandon Jennings, Bucks (UTA, @LAC, @GSW, @SAC): This is an incredibly risky call, but Jennings' value has taken a hit since the Bucks' acquisition of Redick. Jennings, who had posted consecutive 30-plus point games prior to he trade, has totaled just 38 points over the team's first four games, while playing just the third-most minutes on the team. Jennings has been one of the best Fantasy guards all season long and has kept his assist totals up in this stretch, even if he is a bit unreliable on a nightly basis, so it would take a very brave Fantasy owner to sit him. His recent play might be enough to force your hand, if you have better options.

Forwards

Start 'Em

Gordon Hayward, Jazz (@MIL, @CLE, @CHI, @NYK): In what is proving to be a trend in his career, Hayward is peaking yet again late in the season. He dealt with injuries in the weeks before the All-Star break, but has been phenomenal since, averaging 18.2 points per game on just 12.0 field-goal attempts over the last five games. The Jazz have been hit hard by injuries in recent days, so much so that Hayward was actually forced to act as the team's second-team center in practice recently. I don't expect Hayward to start banging down low with he likes of Joakim Noah and Tyson Chandler anytime this week, but it speaks to his unique physical gifts, at the very least. With Hayward playing a big role in the team's plans and four games on the way, Hayward deserves to be in your starting lineup this week.

Derrick Williams, Timberwolves (MIA, WAS, @DEN, DAL): There have been reports that Kevin Love is starting to make some progress in his recovery from a broken hand, but he remains a few weeks away, most likely. That means that Williams will remain the man at power forward for the Timberwolves, and he should keep carrying a big load on offense due to the numerous injuries in the front court. Even though he is a work in progress on both sides of the ball, coach Rick Adelman has been forced to rely heavily on the second-year man. The Timberwolves are so depleted by injury that they have been unable to practice or even have full shoot arounds before games in recent days, and things don't look to be getting any better. Williams is averaging 17.0 points and 9.0 rebounds per game over the last five, and with a pair of bottom-five defenses on the way and four games overall he should be starting in Week 19.

Sleeper Alert: Tobias Harris, Magic (@NOH, @MIA, IND, PHI): Fantasy owners have definitely taken note of Harris' performance since being traded to Orlando, so “sleeper” might not be the best choice of words. Harris has been the most-added player in CBSSports.com leagues over the last week and will almost certainly get a full write-up in my upcoming waiver-wire analysis column. Prior to that, however, Fantasy owners who have already snagged Harris probably have to get him in the lineup for Week 19, with four matchups on the way. He is averaging 20.0 points and 7.3 assists per game since joining the Magic. While he almost certainly will not continue to shoot 69.6 percent from the field, Harris has already become a big part of the rotation, averaging 29.5 minutes per game. At this point, he deserves to be active if you've got him.

Sit 'Em

Danny Granger, Pacers (BOS, @ORL, @MIL): Granger has shown brief flashes of life in four games since returning from a season-long knee injury, but he has been much more bad than good so far. Granger had a solid 12 points in just 19 minutes against the Clippers Thursday, but was able to play just 10 minutes the next night. Granger looks extremely tentative coming off knee tendinosis, and he will almost certain continue to be eased in. Granger is still owned in 96 percent of all leagues, but he is clearly not worth starting yet, especially with just three games this week.

Martell Webster, Wizards (@MIN, @BKN, CHA): Webster has played well for the Wizards this season, finally living up to some of the potential he has long shown. Webster has been an excellent three-point shooter for a team that has badly need offense, and has remained pretty consistent overall. Unfortunately, things are getting crowded on the perimeter now that Bradley Beal and Trevor Ariza are healthy, meaning Webster is finding consistent touches a bit tougher to come by. He has failed to reach double figures in scoring in four of his last eight games, as the team has struggled to juggle some similar players. With just three games on the schedule in Week 19, Webster is tough to rely on.

Bust Alert: Luis Scola, Suns (TOR, @SAC, HOU): Making sense of the Suns' season has been a chore for Fantasy owners, as the team can barely decide on a weekly basis whether they are trying to win now or going with a youth movement. Lately, the pendulum has swung away from the veterans, with Scola a main loser. Scola is averaging just 19.6 minutes per game over the last five, as his spot in the rotation has been given over to other players. Scola is still averaging 10.4 points per game in that span, but his rebounding has cratered to 4.6 per game, and he has not scored more than 15 in any game. Scola is clearly no longer the player he once was, and is simply hanging on as a volume scorer with dwindling opportunities. Even with some solid matchups, I would not rely on him.

Centers

Start 'Em

Robin Lopez, Hornets (ORL, LAL, @MEM, POR): The Hornets were hit with a double whammy of injury news this week, as big men Jason Smith and Anthony Davis both went down with shoulder injuries. Davis' is less serious than Smith's, who will miss the remainder of the season, but both injuries should open up a bigger role for Lopez. The Hornets now have just three healthy big men, so Lopez should be able to play as long as he stays out of foul trouble. The team's schedule in Week 19 is hit or miss, with the Grizzlies representing the top defense in the league, but also the only opponent not ranking among the10 worst defenses. Lopez has been a worthy Fantasy option at times this season, and he has the opportunity to play big minutes this week. He is averaging 11.0 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.7 blocks per game over the last 10.

Sleeper Alert: Enes Kanter, Jazz (@MIL, @CLE, @CHI, @NYK): Kanter's dominance of the Bobcats Friday just served to underscore how puzzling the Jazz's trade deadline inactivity was. They have a pair of young studs ready to be unleashed in bigger roles, with Derrick Favors also around, but they only get the chance to show off when injury strikes. Kanter played 44 minutes and had 23 points and 22 rebounds with Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap out Friday, and it looks like Jefferson's injury might linger, as he was spotted in a walking boot after the game. If Jefferson sits out, Kanter can be a worthy replacement.

Sit 'Em

Byron Mullens, Bobcats (@POR, BKN, OKC, @WAS): Mullens' season has been incredibly inconsistent, which is to be expected when a reserve-level talent is forced into big minutes and a big role on a bad team. Mullens is averaging 12.5 points per game on the season and 14.6 per game over the last 10 games, but just 9.2 over the last five. He has fallen into a deep funk since the All-Star break. Mullen is shooting just 31.7 percent from the field over the last five games, and might struggle to get going as well in Week 19, with three of the 13 best scoring defenses in the league on the way. Mullens is going to try to shoot himself out of this slump regardless of whether the shots are falling, and he could kill your chances of winning as he does.

Bust Alert: Chris Kaman, Mavericks (HOU, @DET, @MIN): I have spent much of the season at odds with a lot of the Fantasy owners I come in contact with about Chris Kaman's value. He has had some solid stretches of play, but I was never a fan of his potential to help you. Kaman missed quiet a bit of time over the last few weeks while dealing with the aftereffects of a concussion, but he has been back in the starting lineup since his return. Fantasy owners might be inclined to get him in their own starting lineups, but he has put up just 14 points and eight rebounds in his first two starts since returning. I would not advise getting Kaman active until he proves he is worth it; he has not at this point.

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Player News
David West
No sign of injury for West
David West, PF, IND
12:41 AM
News: Pacers forward David West showed no signs of the calf injury that limited him in practice leading up to Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals Wednesday in Miami. West scored 26 points in the game on 11 of 17 shooting, including 4 of 8 from the free-throw line. West added five rebounds and an assist, while turning the ball over four times in a 103-102 loss.
Analysis: West is dealing with a strained left calf, but it obviously is not going to keep him off the floor. West is averaging 35.4 minutes per game over the course of the postseason, but that is up to 37.6 over the last five games. West averaged 17.1 points and 7.7 rebounds per game in the regular season, and is about to be a free agent. He should command plenty of interest on the market, and will be a solid Fantasy option in all formats on Draft Day. Plan on targeting him after the first few rounds are over on Draft Day.

Mario Chalmers
Chalmers exits Game 1
Mario Chalmers, PG, MIA
12:24 AM
News: Heat guard Mario Chalmers took a hard screen in the third quarter of Wednesday's Eastern Conference Finals against the Pacers, suffering a left shoulder injury. He would not return to the game, finishing with 10 points on 4 of 7 shooting in 21 minutes. His status moving forward in the series is not yet known, but the injury was diagnosed as just a bruise.
Analysis: Chalmers is averaging 7.3 points per game in the postseason, after putting up 8.6 points per game in the regular season. This injury might not be a big concern, but it will be something for Miami to keep an eye on in the next few days heading into Game 2. Chalmers shot 40.9 percent from three-point range this season, and that is where his Fantasy value will always come from. This injury is unlikely to linger into the offseason, so it should not change his Fantasy value for next season. He remains useful in deeper Rotisserie Fantasy formats on Draft Day.

Carmelo Anthony
Anthony diagnosed with labrum tear
Carmelo Anthony, SF, NY
12:15 AM
News: Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony shot just 41.6 percent from the field after suffering a shoulder injury in Game 5 of the first round of the playoffs against the Celtics, and now we know why. Despite playing at least 35 minutes in each game from that point on, Anthony was dealing with a torn labrum in his left shoulder, according to a New York Daily News report Wednesday. The team hopes that Anthony will not need surgery, but that determination will not been made until he rests for at least three weeks. If Anthony does need surgery it could keep him sidelined three to four months, potentially bumping up against the start of the regular season.
Analysis: Anthony struggled throughout the playoffs with his shot, but he was clearly limited by the injury. When healthy this season, Anthony was tremendous, averaging 28.7 points per game en route to his first scoring title. We will keep an eye on his recovery throughout the offseason, as there appears to be an outside chance this could impact his availability for the start of next season. Fantasy owners will want to keep an eye on this injury heading into Draft Day, but Anthony should still be a first-round Fantasy option in all formats.

Dwyane Wade
Wade ready for Pacers
Dwyane Wade, SG, MIA
5/20/2013
News: The South Florida Sun-Sentinel reports good news from Heat practice Sunday for guard Dwyane Wade. His hobbled knee limited him in the first-round series against the Bucks, and he aggravated it in Game 4 vs. the Bulls, but then returned to help close out the Bulls in Games 4 and 5. Going forward, it's not that Wade can or cannot play, it's to what level he can be effective. Facing a physical, bruising defense in Indiana in the Eastern Conference Finals, Wade's going to be even more banged up. Luckily, he still has another two days to see if he can get even a little bit better. But for the most part, this is kind of standard operating procedure for Wade. Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers is Wednesday in Miami.
Analysis: It sounds like Wade will be fine for Game 1 against the Pacers, and hopefully he doesn't suffer a setback with his knee moving forward in the playoffs. When healthy and active, Wade is a standout Fantasy option in all leagues, and we hope this knee problem is rectified during the offseason so he's back to 100 percent for the start of next season.

Dwight Howard
Howard might sign with Rockets
Dwight Howard, C, LAL
5/20/2013
News: With the Lakers hoping for a swift decision from Dwight Howard on his free agency this summer, the All-Star center has given no indication he will rush the process and has privately indicated he plans to give strong consideration to multiple teams, league sources told CBSSports.com NBA Insider Ken Berger. Though Howard is adamant his free agency not be marred by the circus-like environment that surrounded his departure from Orlando last summer, word already has spread to multiple levels of his support staff that Howard re-signing with the Lakers is far from a done deal. With six weeks to go before Howard becomes an unrestricted free agent, the team that is said to intrigue him the most is the Rockets, according to multiple people briefed on internal conversations surrounding Howard's free-agent decision. The Rockets have a young star, James Harden, who has proved himself worthy of playing the leading role for the franchise; a budding 3-point shooting threat in Chandler Parsons; a defensive-minded coach in Kevin McHale; and Omer Asik, the kind of 7-footer Howard is believed to want next to him in the frontcourt.
Analysis: The Mavericks represent another franchise that intrigues Howard, and Dallas is a minor transaction or two away from having enough room to sign Howard outright as an unrestricted free agent. Howard plans to explore all such options, and a person briefed on his plans told CBSSports.com that there are "several" teams the free-agent center is "going to take a hard look at." The Lakers still have a strong chance of signing Howard, especially from a financial standpoint, so keep an eye on what develops. No matter where Howard plays this season he would remain a No. 1 Fantasy center in all leagues and worth at least a pick in Round 2.

J.R. Smith
Smith likely staying with Knicks
J.R. Smith, SG, NY
5/20/2013
News: Knicks shooting guard J.R. Smith should be ready to cash in this offseason. After making a little more than $5 million over his last two years with theKnicks, he has a player option for next season that he will undoubtedly forgo in hopes of signing a more lucrative contract. After winning Sixth Man of the Year he should have plenty of suitors in need of a scorer lining up to pay him for his services. However, he stated within the past week that he wants to retire as a Knick. This could be a ploy to drive up the negotiating price for Smith, or he could be sincere. The New York Post Smith is expected to opt out of his contract and re-sign with the Knicks in a four-year deal starting at about $5 million because the Knicks own his early-Bird rights rules.
Analysis: Smith averaged a career-high 18.1 points and 5.3 rebounds while shooting 42.2 percent from the field and 35.6 percent from 3-point range. He beat out Jamal Crawford and Jarrett Jack for the 2012-13 Sixth Man of the Year award, the first of his career. Keep an eye on what he does this offseason, but no matter where he signs he would be worth at least a mid-round pick, with his best value staying with the Knicks based on the way he played this past season.

Kawhi Leonard
Leonard drops 18 in Game 1
Kawhi Leonard, SF, SA
5/19/2013
News: Spurs forward Kawhi Leonard (knee) returned to the starting lineup for Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals against the Grizzlies. Leonard logged 30 minutes as he scored 18 points on 7 of 10 shooting from the field, including 4 of 5 from beyond the arc. He also chipped in with two rebounds, two steals, one assist and a blocked shot in a 105-83 victory.
Analysis: Leonard's knee problems were a "mild cause of concern" for the Spurs heading into the conference finals. Leonard averaged 12.0 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1.7 steals per game on the season, while shooting 49.6 percent from the field. His role will only continue to grow, so Fantasy owners have to like Leonard's development patter. He will be a big-time breakout candidate heading into next season, worth a mid-round pick on Draft Day.

Tyson Chandler
Chandler scores two in elimination game
Tyson Chandler, C, NY
5/19/2013
News: Knicks center Tyson Chandler worked his way around a back issue as he returned to action in Game 6 against the Pacers Saturday night. Chandler was held to just two points on 1 of 4 shooting. He also chipped in with six rebounds in a 106-99 defeat.
Analysis: Chandler will have the entire offseason to recover from his back issue. The 7-footer averaged 10.4 points and 10.7 rebounds over 66 games -- marking the second time he has averaged a double-double. He also shot 63.8 percent from the field, but only averaged 20.1 Fantasy points per week as injuries really hampered his production down the stretch. Fantasy owners should plan on scooping him up in the earlier rounds in draft formats next fall.

George Hill
Hill returns to action
George Hill, PG, IND
5/19/2013
News: Pacers point guard George Hill, who missed Game 5 with a concussion, returned to the starting lineup Game 6 against the Knicks. Hill scored 12 points on 2 for 10 shooting. He grabbed five boards and dished out four assists in a 106-99 win.
Analysis: Hill seems to be healthy enough to play and will now earn a three days of rest before the Eastern Conference Finals. Hill posted career highs in points (14.2), assists (4.7), rebounds (3.7) and steals (1.1) during his first full year as a starter and finish as the 27th highest scoring guard, in terms of Fantasy points, in all standard formats. Fantasy owners should plan on targeting him in the middle rounds of most draft formats next fall.

Kevin Garnett
Ainge has no answers for Garnett
Kevin Garnett, PF, BOS
5/17/2013
News: The Boston Globe reports that Celtics forward Kevin Garnett has two years left on his contract but is considering retirement. He turns 37 Sunday. “I don’t think I have the answers that Kevin will want,” Celtics president of basketball operations Danny Ainge said. “So I’ve got to figure there’s a lot to do [before we talk], and I think there’s a lot of questions in Kevin’s mind, as there is every year, to determine whether he’s coming back.I’m not ready to answer everything that he will want to know.”
Analysis: Garnett had another productive year, averaging 14.8 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists while shooting 49.6 percent from the field and 78.6 percent from the foul line. He will likely return if the Celtics keep Paul Pierce, but that's just speculation. Keep an eye on what happens with the Celtics, and if Garnett is back consider him a solid No. 2 Fantasy center worth a mid-round pick.

 
 
 
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