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Week 2 Roto Fact Sheet

by | Fantasy Writer
  •  

It's still very early in a long Fantasy season, but some statistical trends are starting to take shape. For those of you in category-specific formats, here are some notable factoids that might help you gain an edge in areas of need. Obviously, the information at this point is based on small sample sizes, but we'll continue to validate and debunk trends on a weekly basis in this column going forward.

(All stats up to date through Nov. 5 games. Info provided by NBA.com and Teamrankings.com)

Points

The Clippers, Lakers, Wizards, 76ers and Mavericks are giving up the most points per game so far this year -- all allowing opponents to score at least 106 points per contest. ... Aaron Afflolo could be in line for a nice scoring game Wednesday night against the Clippers, who've given up 26 to Xavier Henry, 38 to Stephen Curry and 29 to Isaiah Thomas already. ... The third and fifth worst defensive teams play each other next week, which should give players on the Wizards and Mavericks a slight scoring boost November 12. ... Trevor Ariza is averaging 17.7 points per game but has never averaged more than 14.9 for an entire season. His unusually high scoring can be attributed to the fact that he's averaging 15 field goal attempts per game -- tied for 27th in the league with Chris Paul. ... Alec Burks' 16.8 points per game seem much more sustainable -- and available, being a free agent in 29 percent of leagues. He'll still have a role in the offense when Trey Burke returns, but you should grab him now to maximize his value.

Field goal percentage

Carlos Boozer has been on fire to start the season, averaging nine made field goals per game while shooting 65.9 percent from the field. Only LaMarcus Aldridge is making more field goals per game, but Boozer is still making 13 percent more of his attempts than Aldridge. ... The Wizards are allowing a league-leading 55.3 points in the paint per game -- good news if you're thinking of starting a post player from the 76ers, Nets or Thunder this week. ... Dion Waiters is shooting an abysmal 33 percent from the field, while only averaging 9.5 points, 1.8 rebounds and 1 assist per game. He's owned in 80 percent of leagues, but he's hard to start in Roto if he's not delivering in the one area you'd hope he would. ... Conversely, Andre Miller (34 percent owned) continues to be an intriguing Roto play. He's shooting 63.2 percent from the field while averaging 9.3 points, 4.0 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He's only played in three games, but his value could rise if Ty Lawson misses any time with injury or if the Nuggets decide to end the Nate Robinson experiment (shooting 32.3 percent from the field), in which case that assist number will go up. ... Lance Stephenson has been a Roto beast so far, shooting 53.1 percent from the field and averaging 16.8 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists and 2.8 made threes per game. Not sure he can maintain this lights-out efficiency, but you have to start him while he's this hot.

Rebounds

Omri Casspi showed off immense Roto potential Monday night, grabbing nine rebounds to go along with 19 points (including a trio of three-pointers), four assists and two steals while shooting 50 percent from the floor. He's averaging close to six rebounds per game and is only owned in 11 percent of leagues. Casspi's short-term value gets a boost in weekly formats, as the Rockets play four times this week and next. ... P.J. Tucker is another three-point specialist who's been rebounding well in the early going. He's averaging 5.0 per game, making him a strong option if you have a need in both categories. ... When you're in desperate need for rebounds, take a look at fringe options whose schedules include the Heat or the Bucks, who have the worst rebounding rate so far. ... At the same time, you might want to avoid the Raptors as only Al Horford has been able to grab double-digit rebounds against them. They currently lead the league in rebounding percentage and are second in offensive rebounds per game.

Assists

Josh McRoberts has been sneakily productive so far, starting for the Bobcats. If you don't count LeBron James, which we hardly ever do for earthly comparisons, McRoberts is third among power forwards at 3.7 assists per game. Cody Zeller will eventually take his minutes, so make use of McBob's skillset while he's still seeing the floor. ... Bucks rookie Nate Wolters is currently 16th in assists per game averaging 6.7 a night. His horrid shooting percentage is keeping him off rosters right now, but if he can somehow find his stroke, he'll be able to help out until Brandon Knight returns (which could be tonight). ... Mario Chalmers' 5.2 assists per game would be a career-best if he keeps it up. Combine that with his 3.0 steals and 2.2 made threes per game, and you might find yourself snagging Rio with the hope that he can somehow maintain these numbers. ... Greivis Vasquez has been a disappointment so far, averaging only 3.8 assists per game. This number should pick up as he becomes more comfortable with his new team, but it's safe to assume he probably won't get close to leading the NBA in total assists like he did last year.

Free throw percentage

Zaza Pachulia is not only leading the Bucks in scoring, he's also their best free throw shooter so far. Of centers averaging more than three free throw attempts per game, he's first in the NBA in percentage having gone a perfect 11 for 11 from the line. ... Carlos Boozer is also perfect from the charity stripe, despite averaging 4.3 attempts per game. ... John Wall, Michael Carter-Williams and Kyle Lowry have all been off at the line so far – shooting and 71, 70 and 60 percent respectively – among the worst at the point guard position.

Three pointers

Again, don't expect Trevor Ariza to keep this up. He's currently fifth in the league averaging 3.3 made threes per game. This number is inflated by the improbable six he made in the Wizards' opener. ... Francisco Garcia, on the other hand, is actually known for this aspect of his game. He's making the most of the spot left behind by Carlos Delfino by averaging 2.8 made threes and 11.8 points per game for the Rockets. ... The 76ers, Lakers and Bulls are each giving up at least 10 made threes per game, so keep that in mind when shopping for spot-start shooters. Meanwhile, the Celtics and Bucks are each allowing fewer than five made threes per game so far. ... Andre Iguodala is averaging 2.5 made threes per game after averaging only 1.1 last year. His percentage won't be great, but it's not a stretch to think this pace can be maintained as the Warriors lead the NBA in three point attempts per game and likely will for the rest of the year. Golden state is putting up almost ten more threes per game than Denver did last year, so Iguodala could be a nice surprise in the long range column this season.

Blocks

Nobody wants to pick up Kris Humphries, but blocks are hard to come by, and he's averaging 2.0 per game to go with 8.0 points, 9.0 rebounds and a 75% field goal percentage. You could do worse -- maybe. ... The Magic and the Bobcats are getting blocked more than eight times per game each, so look for shot blockers who play them to try and catch up in that category. ... Andrew Bynum's only averaging 12.5 minutes per game, but he's still found a way to block 1.7 shots a contest. Maybe it's time to throw him out there if you're behind in the swattage department. ... Wesley Johnson is first among shooting guards, and ahead of DeAndre Jordan, Dwight Howard and Joakim Noah overall with 1.8 blocks per game to start the season.

Steals/turnovers

Michael Carter-Williams flirted with a quadruple-double by securing nine steals in his NBA debut. The 76ers look like they're poised to play lots of zone defense this year, which Carter-Williams thrived in last year at Syracuse. When you combine his speed and wingspan with Philadelphia's need to get out and run, Carter-Williams should be a good source of steals all season long. ... It's safe to say that Derrick Rose's point guard skills are a tad rusty, as he's currently averaging more turnovers (5.7) than assists (4.3) per contest. It might be smart to pair him with J.J. Reddick (71 percent owned), who's scoring 17.3 points per game and has only turned the ball over twice in four games. ... The Celtics, Warriors, Jazz, Pacers, Rockets and 76ers are all averaging at least 19 turnovers per game, making them prime targets if you're playing catchup in steals. ... DeJuan Blair is first among centers with 2.8 steals per game to go along with his 9.5 points, 7.3 rebounds, 0.8 blocks and 1.3 turnovers per game. Not too shabby for a guy only getting 20 minutes a night.

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Player News
Warriors guard Klay Thompson needs to pass concussion protocol
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5/28/2015) Former NBA player Mychal Thompson, the father of Warriors guard Klay Thompson, said his son is feeling better Thursday, but he needs to pass the league's concussion protocol before he can play again, reports the Associated Press.

The younger Thompson sustained a knee to his head during the Game 5 win over the Rockets on Wednesday. He suffered concussion-like symptoms after the contest.

Game 1 of the NBA Finals is scheduled for June 4 and Mychal said Klay is on track to play. 


Dwyane Wade's agent on contract talks with Heat: It's early
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5/28/2015) With the recent report indicating the Heat and Dwyane Wade are significantly apart in contract negotiations, Wade's agent said Thursday that there is still plenty of time to reach an agreement, reports the Sun Sentinel.

"It's relatively early," Wade's agent, Henry Thomas said. "He's had a tremendous career [with the Heat] and we're just trying to see whether or not there's room to continue that."

Wade has until late June to decide on whether to opt out of his contract, which would pay him $16.1 million during the 2015-16 season. He has spent his entire 12-year career with the Heat.


Hawks F Elton Brand undecided on retirement plans
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5/28/2015) Hawks forward Elton Brand will take his time before deciding whether to return for his 17th NBA season, reports the Atlanta Journal-Constitution.

"I'll see if I have another year of trying to get prepared and what it takes to be on an NBA roster," Brand said Thursday. "There is a lot of work you have to put in… After two or three weeks, I'll know. See if I have that itch. This team I might not and just lay back on the couch. We'll see."

Brand, 36, averaged 2.7 points and 2.8 rebounds in 36 games this season.


Lakers G Wayne Ellington says his shoulder is healed
by Sean d'Oliveira | CBSSports.com
(5/28/2015) After missing the last two weeks of the season with a separated shoulder, Lakers guard Wayne Ellington said Thursday the injury has healed, reports the Los Angeles Daily News.

Ellington was able to play in 65 games before suffering the season-ending injury. He averaged 10.0 points, 1.6 assists and 3.2 rebounds.


Lakers F Julius Randle cleared for half-court workouts
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/28/2015) Lakers forward Julius Randle has been cleared for full-contact half-court sessions, according to ESPN LA 710

Randle, who broke his leg in the first game of the 2014-15 season, can now participate in half-court sessions of 2-on-2 and 3-on-3. As part of a gradual progression in his recovery, the next step will be for Randle to be approved to take part in 4-on-4 games. 

Randle is hoping to re-join his team for the NBA summer league. Though he broke his leg, Randle still hit the gym and lost 18 pounds during the season. 


Surgery not needed for Hawks F Paul Millsap (shoulder)
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/28/2015) Hawks forward Paul Millsap will not need surgery on his injured shoulder, according to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Injuries took a toll on the Hawks in the Eastern Conference finals as Millsap, Kyle Korver (ankle), Shelvin Mack (shoulder) and DeMarre Carroll (knee, toe) all experienced them. For Millsap, it's a good sign that surgery isn't required as he now has plenty of time to let his shoulder heal on its own. 

Millsap is expected to explore plenty of options in free agency. He finished the year with averages of 16.7 points, 7.8 rebound and 3.1 assists per game. 


Report: Hawks' DeMarre Carroll interested in playing for Knicks
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/28/2015) Hawks forward DeMarre Carroll has interest in joining the Knicks this offseason, according to a report from the New York Post

Carroll used to work out with Knicks coach Derek Fisher in Southern California, which is the reason for the interest. Carroll, in a contract year, had the best NBA season of his career, posting averages of 12.6 points and 5.3 rebounds per game. 

He also built a reputation has being a strong defender. Carroll is coming off knee and turf toe injuries that he played through during this past NBA Eastern Conference finals. 


Rockets' James Harden sets playoff record with 13 turnovers
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/28/2015) Rockets guard James Harden committed an NBA playoffs record 13 turnovers in Wednesday night's 104-90 loss to the Warriors in Game 5 of the Western Conference finals. 

The loss eliminated the Rockets from the postseason and advanced the Warriors to the NBA finals. 

"Unacceptable," Harden said, via NBA.com.

Harden, who was brilliant in a 45-point effort in Game 4, struggled throughout Wednesday's elimination game. He scored 14 points but only went 2-of-11 shooting from the field. He made 10 of 11 free throws and missed all three of his three-point attempts. 


Warriors' Thompson develops postgame concussion-like symptoms
by R.J. White | CBSSports.com
(5/28/2015) The Warriors announced that guard Klay Thompson developed concussion-like symptoms after the team's Game 5 win over the Rockets, CBSSports.com NBA Insider Ken Berger reports.

Thompson "began to not feel well" after the game. The team also said that the guard was evaluated for a concussion after taking a knee to the head but did not exhibit concussion-like symptoms at the time. Thompson will have to pass concussion testing before being cleared for action in the NBA Finals.

Thompson scored 20 points on 8 of 14 shooting in his team's series-clinching win over the Rockets on Wednesday. Game 1 of the NBA Finals is scheduled for June 4.


Warriors F Harrison Barnes scores 24 in Game 5 win over Rockets
by Jason Butt | CBSSports.com
(5/28/2015) Warriors forward Harrison Barnes played one of his best games of the season in Thursday's 104-90 win over the Rockets in Game 5 of the Western Conference finals. 

Barnes scored 24 points on 10-of-20 shooting from the field, which included going 2 for 5 from behind the arc. He also made both of his free-throw attempts. Barnes got a lot of looks around the rim late in the game, scoring 13 of his points in the fourth quarter. 

This marked the most points Barnes has scored this postseason and the second-highest he's scored all year. His season high is 25, scored against the Hawks in a win on March 18. 


 
 
 
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