Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
Fantasy Football Today
Gameday Inactives
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Get Your Draft Board
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Playoff Challenge
Commissioner
Prize Leagues
Free
Office Pool Manager
Game Pick'em
Player Challenge
Fantasy Baseball Today
2014 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Prize Leagues
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 
 

Offseason Extra: Who's on the move?

by | Fantasy Writer
  •  

The NBA offseason is a time of certain uncertainty. What's Stan Van Gundy going to do with the Pistons' roster? Which young free agents will leave the nest? How's this much-hyped draft going to shake out?

But the biggest questions may boil down to a handful of not-exactly-satisfied stars and what uniform they'll be wearing by the end of next season. I'll run through a handful of Fantasy stalwarts, weighing in on whether they're on the move, staying put or possibly even teaming up with one another.

LeBron James

ADP Rank: No. 1 overall
2013-2014 season: Finished third in total Fantasy points

As expected, LeBron James opted out of his current deal, forgoing $20.6 million and becoming an unrestricted free agent. Whether this means James is looking for a new home or simply hoping to renovate his current one remains to be seen.

His future likely depends more on Dwyane Wade and what he chooses to do with his player option. If he opts in, James will probably look for a team with more to offer in terms of cap room and a younger, hungrier roster. If Wade opts out, then it likely means the big three is working to stay intact. Bosh will likely follow suit.

Regardless, for Fantasy purposes, consider LeBron on the downturn. He's basically played five seasons' worth of games in the last four years. It's clear that he's worn out and could use some help. Therefore, it would make sense that all the teams that attempt to woo him, including Miami, will sell him on how they'll ease his burden and relieve some of the pressure he felt in the quest for a threepeat. Talent-wise, Houston and the Clippers make the most sense, but they represent completely different Fantasy outlooks. In Houston, he'd be the central facilitator -- meaning it's not far-fetched to envision 10-plus assists per game. But with the Clippers, Chris Paul would still run the show and James would be forced to play with a true point guard for practically the first time in his life.

Still, the most realistic scenario is a return to Miami with a younger, more athletic supporting cast. If that's the case, expect near identical numbers and efficiency from James. Younger Fantasy studs like Stephen Curry, John Wall and Blake Griffin are nipping at his heels, but I've always taken more stock in a player's situation than his overall talent level. James' decision No. 2 will likely have a ripple effect that changes roles and rosters across the league, so wait until the dust has settled to start assessing draft stock.

Kevin Love

ADP Rank: No. 6 overall
2013-2014 season: Finished second in total Fantasy points

Kevin Love is as good as gone, but his destination isn't so clear. The Warriors came close, but talks stalled out. The Celtics have the picks, but Minnesota wants players too. Can Cleveland tempt them with the No. 1 pick? Will a draft-day trade ultimately decide his fate?

The thing to remember for Fantasy is that wherever Love ends up, he's not really going to be better statistically than he was last season. His usage rate in Minnesota this past season was in Blake Griffin/Al Jefferson territory, so he was already very much the focal point. The only thing to watch out for in reassessing his value is just how good the team around him will be. More All Stars equals fewer opportunities to dominate, which is great for a guy trying to make the playoffs for the first time in his career but not so great for his Fantasy value.

Right now he's a top-five pick, and he'll stay that way if he moves to Boston. But should the Celtics land other top free agents or Love get traded to a talented team like the Warriors or Rockets, you might consider dropping Love to top-ten range. I just can't see Love improving on, or even maintaining, 25-plus points, 12-plus rebounds and 4-plus assists per game in a crowded lineup. Only seven guys in the history of the league have achieved that line for a season. And of those seven, only Elgin Baylor and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar were able to do it in back-to-back seasons.

Boston seems like the best spot for Love as far as Fantasy is concerned. He'll have basically a more athletic Ricky Rubio at the helm in Rajon Rondo and will still be an extremely high-usage player, as opposed to in a more crowded lineup with the Warriors. Those looking to draft Love next season should hope he avoids any big three/super team scenarios as not to cut down on his astronomical production.

Carmelo Anthony

ADP Rank: No. 9 overall
2013-2014 season: Finished seventh in total Fantasy points

As the Knicks' sad, sad season was winding down, it seemed like a foregone conclusion that Anthony would choose to terminate his contract early and see what else is out there. Now he's done so, meaning he'll see what other teams can offer him before deciding whether or not to spend another highly lucrative waste of a year in New York.

Phil Jackson's already shown his inexperience in the front office by losing out on coaching candidate Steve Kerr (once thought to be a sure-thing) and by getting fined $25,000 in his pursuit of still-in-the-playoffs Derek Fisher. I'm still not convinced that Jackson actually cares about turning the Knicks around so much as he was bored and wanted back into the league without having to pinky whistle on the sidelines again. $12 million is a great cure for boredom.

If Anthony stays, look forward to another ultra-high usage season where he's asked to do everything every game -- great for Fantasy. If he bolts, it will likely to try and form another "super team" in Chicago, Boston or elsewhere, meaning he'll get to relax and worry more about developing chemistry than dragging his team into the playoffs.

One thing to watch when he does decide is whether he'll stick to the stretch four he's been playing or move back to the perimeter where he began his career. Having the paint mostly to himself allowed Anthony to snatch a career-high 8.1 rebounds per game this past season. Expect that number to go down if he moves back to the three.

Rajon Rondo

ADP Rank: No. 66 overall
2013-2014 season: Averaged 34.8 Fantasy points per game

If there's a blockbuster trade about to go down in the league, I'd put my money on the Celtics being a part of it. It's not just the plethora of first round picks in their back pocket. Rajon Rondo is no spring chicken anymore. At 28 years old and coming off knee surgery, he doesn't strike me as the patient type – especially considering he won an NBA Championship in his second year and continued to go deep into the playoffs for the next several years.

The East is weak, and Danny Ainge has the guile and assets to make major upgrades in the talent surrounding Rondo. Kevin Love makes the most sense, as we've already seen how productive he can be with a tall, pass-first point guard. Rondo is pretty much a more athletic Ricky Rubio. But rumor has it the Celtics could be gearing up to bring two big names to Boston this offseason. Carmelo Anthony maybe? Chandler Parsons possibly?

There's also a small chance that the blockbuster pendulum swings the other way and Rajon Rondo is dealt, pushing the Celtics to go all-in on the total rebuild. That doesn't seem like Ainge's style though, and something clearly has to give here. It just doesn't make sense to surround a 10-plus assist player with raw youngsters only to watch him walk away in 2015. That's why they'll value for him now by dealing him, or give him a reason to stay beyond next season by surrounding him with competitive talent.

Rondo was still awesome for Fantasy in the 30 games he gave us last season, but the frequent rest and the unpredictable teammates made conditions less than ideal. I'm hoping Ainge whips up some 2007 trade magic, allowing Rondo free lanes to the basket with ample targets to choose from. The waiting hands of Jared Sullinger, Jeff Green and Aaron Gordon won't be enough to keep Rondo or Fantasy owners happy.

Kyle Lowry

ADP Rank: No. 68 overall
2013-2014 season: Finished ninth in total Fantasy points

Considering where he ended the season compared to where he was drafted, Lowry was easily the biggest surprise in Fantasy. But that production might not have been enough for him to get paid like a top-tier point guard.

One of the biggest problems is there aren't a whole lot of other situations that make sense for him. There are only so many teams that might offer Lowry in the first place. When guys like Jameer Nelson, Jeff Teague, Brandon Jennings and George Hill are owed $8 million next season from their respective teams, it’s hard to find a franchise that would be willing to pay Lowry what he earned with last season’s production. Maybe the Lakers? Can the Heat afford him? Who knows?

Chandler Parsons

ADP Rank: No. 53 overall
2013-2014 season: Finished 45th in total Fantasy points

Speaking of restricted free agency, the Rockets are leaning toward declining the super affordable team option for Parsons' contract, meaning he too could be on the semi-open market. Since Houston has also been rumored to be searching for another All Star, declining the Parsons option seems like an insurance policy in case they don't land anyone big.

If they pick it up, they'll pay him a tiny amount next season, but that could open the door for a huge pay day in unrestricted free agency next summer. Instead, they'll likely give Parsons a more moderate raise sooner, even if it means allowing him to field offers from the rest of the league. But unlike point guard, forward is not so deep, meaning an ambitious team could end up with Parsons next season if it pushed his price high enough.

One thing the Rockets would miss out on is his 4.0 assists per game, specifically when it comes to entry passes to Dwight Howard. With no true point guard, Houston relied heavily on Parsons' ability to handle the ball at 6-foot-9 -- much like recent championship Lakers teams did with Lamar Odom. It will be very interesting to see if this translates to a less talented team – the kind of team that might be inclined to pay Parsons more than the Rockets next season.

The majority of restricted free agents end up staying put, but this one seems like it has the best chance of going the other way. Parsons' basketball value was magnified by how little Houston had to pay him. I can't say for sure that the money needed to shake him loose will be well spent. In the end his fate will likely be determined by how the higher-priced trade chips fall – those being the first three guys of this column.

  •  
 
 
CBSSports Facebook Google Plus
COMMENTS
Conversation powered by Livefyre
 
 
Player News
Report: Omri Casspi finalizing one-year deal with Kings
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(7/25/2014) After being released by the Pelicans earlier in the week, forward Omri Casspi cleared waivers and is expected to sign a one-year deal with the Kings, according to ESPN on Friday. Casspi will be receiving the league minimum, according to the report. He averaged 6.9 points, 3.7 assists and 1.2 rebounds in 18.1 minutes last season for the Rockets. 

Lakers finally choose Byron Scott to coach
by Joe Polito | CBSSports.com
(7/25/2014) In an expected and long-awaited move, the Los Angeles Lakers offered coaching candidate Byron Scott a head coaching position. According to ESPN, the two sides began negotiating Friday, meaning Scott will soon be named head coach. 

Scott spent his most recent coaching stint in Cleveland, where he led the Cavaliers to a 24-58 record two seasons ago. He'll now attempt to balance Kobe Bryant's playoff ambitions with the Lakers' inevitable rebuilding around rookie Julius Randle. 


Shelvin Mack inks three-year deal with Hawks
by Joe Polito | CBSSports.com
(7/25/2014) The Atlanta Hawks have re-signed guard Shelvin Mack to a three-year, $7.3 million contract. Mack announced the news on Twitter late Friday. 

Mack was useful in what limited opportunities he was afforded last season in Atlanta. Per 36 minutes he averaged 13.1 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game. Unfortunately, he only logged 30-plus minutes six times in 73 games. 


Bulls add Aaron Brooks on one-year deal
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(7/25/2014) The Bulls officially announced the signing of free agent guard Aaron Brooks Tuesday, to a one-year deal. The deal will pay Brooks just $915,243 for the 2014-15 season.

Brooks appeared in 72 games with the Rockets and Nuggets last season, averaging 9.0 points an 3.2 assists per game. He will likely serve as the team's third-string point guard.  


Bucks grab Kendall Marshall off waivers from Lakers
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(7/25/2014) The Bucks were awarded guard Kendall Marshall off waivers, after he was released by the Lakers.

Marshall emerged as a key part of the Lakers' rotation last year, averaging 29.0 minutes per game in 54 appearances. He averaged 8.0 points per game and would have finished third in the league with 8.8 assists per game had he qualified for the leaderboard. Marshall might end up starting for the Bucks at point guard.  


Rashard Lewis has contract voided, will require surgery
by Chris Towers | CBSSports.com
(7/25/2014) The Mavericks voided forward Rashard Lewis's contract Thursday, after he failed a physical due to an issue with his right knee.

At this point, it is not clear how serious the injury is, but Lewis will require surgery, the team announced. The 34-year-old was expected to sign a one-year deal with the Mavericks, but his next move is not yet known. 


Jameer Nelson finalize two-year contract with Mavs
by Igor Mello | CBSSports.com
(7/24/2014) The Mavericks and free agent point guard Jameer Nelson have finalized a two-year, $6 million deal with Dallas, ESPN reports. Nelson will make roughly $2.7 million his first season and $2.8 million his next season, which will be a player option year. Nelson had a productive year in Orlando last season, averaging 12.1 points and 7.0 assists per game. 

Cavs sign Andrew Wiggins, can't trade him for 30 days
by Joe Polito | CBSSports.com
(7/24/2014) Amid constant speculation about the Cavaliers possibly sending their No. 1 overall pick Andrew Wiggins to Minnesota in a deal for Kevin Love, Cleveland will have to wait at least 30 days to do so. The team announced Thursday that it had inked Wiggins to a rookie deal that starts at a $5.5 million annual salary.

Wiggins looked good in Summer League, averaging 15.5 points and 3.5 rebounds in four games at Las Vegas. 


Report: Jameer Nelson nearing a deal with Dallas
by Joe Polito | CBSSports.com
(7/23/2014) Free agent point guard Jameer Nelson looks to be headed to Dallas. According to ESPN sources, the Mavericks will ink Nelson to a $2.7 million-contract.

Nelson was waived by Orlando after the Magic traded for rookie point guard Elfrid Payton on draft night. Nelson had a productive year in Orlando last season, averaging 12.1 points and 7.0 assists per game. 


Report: Bulls offer three players for Kevin Love
by Joe Polito | CBSSports.com
(7/23/2014) A rumor surfaced early Wednesday that indicated the Chicago Bulls would be willing to give up three players to obtain forward Kevin Love. According to SheridanHoops.com, Chicago has offered the Timberwolves bench stud Taj Gibson, first-round pick Doug McDermott and recently signed Spanish star Nikola Mirotic for Love. 

It's been speculated that rumors including Chicago are merely smokescreens to coax the Cavaliers into adding more to their reported offer. The report suggests that should Cleveland sweeten the deal by including a second future first rounder in addition to Andrew Wiggins, Anthony Bennett and the initial future first round pick, that Cleveland would have a better chance of stealing Love away from the Bulls. 

The Timberwolves would be wise to do everything in their power to speed up this process, considering Love is set to become a free agent next season and has already said that he will test the market. 


 
 
 
Top Videos
Rankings