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Sergio Gonzalez

Draft Prep: Sleepers and Busts

By | Fantasy Writer

The NBA is almost ready to resume play and it's time to start getting ready for some Fantasy Basketball. That's right, we want you to forget about the gridiron boys for just a moment and start to prepare for some hard court action.

Don't worry, we promise to let you know if there is any breaking news about Terrell Owens during the time it takes you to read this piece.

If you need a little something to get you back in a round ball state of mind, we've got you covered. We're taking a look at six players who Fantasy owners should keep in mind as they near their Draft Day. To go with our top three sleepers heading into the season, we'll also warn you about players that Fantasy owners tend to overvalue.

Sleepers

Brandon Roy, G, Portland Trailblazers

We don't often push rookies -- as a matter of fact we usually urge you to stay clear of them, but this kid is no ordinary player and he'll be in a perfect storm for immediate contribution in his first NBA season. He'll be in serious competition with Charlotte's Adam Morrison this season for Rookie of the Year honors and is a lock to be among the top three scorers in the first-year class.

With no serious playoff aspirations in Portland, the Blazers will do everything they can to develop the young man who made Coney Island phenom Sebastian Telfair expendable this offseason. He averaged 19 ppg at the Vegas Summer League, where he shot a whopping 64.7 percent from the floor and showed great court vision and aggressiveness on the boards as well.

He will fall to the middle rounds because of his inexperience, but if you can slot him in as your No. 3 or 4 guard to start the season, consider yourself lucky. He has the goods to develop into a No. 2 Fantasy guard as the season progresses.

Ryan Gomes, F, Boston Celtics

Ryan Gomes showed potential late last season. (Getty Images)  
Ryan Gomes showed potential late last season. (Getty Images)  
Fantasy owners got a glimpse of what this young forward could do last season when injuries allowed him to shine when given regular playing time. He became a Fantasy darling, averaging 12.4 ppg and 7.9 rpg during the month of March.

He has the potential to post a 15 and 10 season at some point in his career, but the presence of Al Jefferson will be a bit of a roadblock in his development. However, the Celtics have been very fragile in the front court and the young Celtics will look to get Gomes in their regular rotation right from the start.

The nice thing about Gomes is that he will go in the later rounds on Draft Day and you will likely already have your starting forwards set by the time you select him. He may start the season on your bench, but could become a regular in your active lineup by November.

Nazr Mohammed, C, Detroit

Pedestrian numbers while with the Spurs will help make Mohammed a very nice value to Fantasy owners this season. He averaged just 6.2 ppg and 5.2 rpg while splitting time with Rasho Nesterovic last year, but still has the ability to contribute on the offensive end in bunches.

In one game last season, he dropped 30 points on the Suns while picking up 16 boards. Those aren't numbers that Fantasy owners should expect from him, but it goes to show what he is capable of if needed. He will see more minutes in Detroit and will be a presence in the paint as the Pistons rely on their perimeter scorers heavily. When they miss, he'll be there to clean up the mess.

Reliable centers are hard to come by in Fantasy Basketball, so grabbing a guy like Mohammed in the middle-to-late rounds on Draft Day could provide a big boost for your squad.

Busts

Jason Terry, G, Dallas Mavericks

Let me start by saying that I am not predicting a horrible statistical season from Terry. In fact, I think he'll come close to last season's numbers (17.1 ppg, 3.8 apg). The problem is that Fantasy owners have begun to look at Terry as a No. 1 guard because of the exposure he received during the Mavericks run to the Finals last season.

Don't buy into the hype. His numbers simply aren't good enough to be considered a No. 1 Fantasy guard in any format and the truth is that you can get similar numbers for a much better value. A guy like Chicago's Ben Gordon, for instance, can be had later in the draft and he posted numbers comparable to those of Terry last season (16.9 ppg, 3.0 apg).

Terry will continue to be a very nice option in Fantasy leagues this season, but he's best used as a No. 2 or 3 guard. Getting him at that price could become very difficult this year, however.

Ron Artest, F, Sacramento Kings

There is no question about how much Artest meant to the Kings' turnaround last season. In fact, it could be directly traced to his arrival in Sacramento via trade in late January. With Artest, however, Fantasy owners tend to attach extra merit to his name and the fact is that there are players that offer similar numbers that don't go as high in drafts.

Guys like Rashard Lewis and Gerald Wallace don't get the same amount of recognition as Artest in Fantasy circles, but they are just as productive as Artest and they come with half the headache.

Artest is certainly a player worth owning in any league, but drafting him usually comes at much too high a price for a player that has played just 63 games over the last two seasons.

Zaza Pachulia, C, Atlanta Hawks

Maybe it's the hair, maybe it's the cool name, but for some reason, Fantasy owners have made Zaza Pachulia a trendy choice heading into this season. A couple of offseason moves by the Hawks, however, don’t bode well for his chances to post an overly productive campaign.

The Hawks signed free agent Lorenzen Wright in the offense, creating somewhat of a logjam that should limit Pachulia's production. They also drafted Shelden Williams and and will look to get him in the mix early and often.

Under the current circumstances, it's hard to see how Pachulia could match his numbers from 2005-06 (11.7 ppg, 7.9 rpg). He certainly should not be considered a No. 1 Fantasy center heading into the season and Fantasy owners can do better even at No. 2.

You can e-mail your Fantasy Basketball questions to DMFantasyHoops@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Fantasy Basketball in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware, due to the large volume of submissions received, we cannot guarantee personal responses to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Carmelo Anthony
Anthony may return this weekend
Carmelo Anthony, SF, NY
6:20 PM
News: According to NBA.com, Knicks coach Mike D'Antoni is expecting forward Carmelo Anthony to return to the lineup by the end of the week. New York hosts New Orleans on Friday night and then face the Mavericks and Nets on Sunday and Monday. Anthony has not played since Feb. 6 when he suffered his groin injury. Anthony did some running on Wednesday to test his injury.
Analysis: Fantasy owners are definitely not happy with Anthony not playing, but hopefully he returns 100 percent. He was originally expected to miss one to two weeks. Anthony is averaging a team-high 22.3 points per game this season. He's also averaging 6.0 boards and 4.2 assists per game, but with Jeremy Lin playing well, Anthony may see his point totals go up. When healthy, Anthony is a must-start forward option so stay tuned for when he returns.

Derrick Rose
Rose gets treatment Wednesday
Derrick Rose, PG, CHI
3:09 PM
News: Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau told the media Wednesday that guard Derrick Rose is getting treatment and rehabbing with a back specialist off-site. The team still doesn't know his status for Thursday's game against the Celtics. "He’s still not quite ready," Thibodeau said. "We’ll see where he is. Each day he’s gotten better. So we’re encouraged by that." Rose has missed the last three games and is day to day. C.J. Watson has started in his absence.
Analysis: Rose said Tuesday that he expects to be past the back pain in a few days, but only time will tell if that happens. The Bulls need Rose for the long run, so don't be surprised if they are a little cautious with their star player. We will keep you posted on Rose's status, but keep him reserved in Fantasy until further notice.

Danny Granger
Granger ruled out for Wednesday
Danny Granger, SF, IND
11:18 AM
News: Pacers F Danny Granger has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Cavs because he sprained his right ankle Tuesday. Dahntay Jones got the start in his place. After Tuesday's game against Miami, coach Frank Vogel said Granger would likely sit out Wednesday. "Yeah, that's my anticipation," Vogel said Tuesday. "I don't think he can play (Wednesday at Cleveland)."
Analysis: Granger is averaging a season-high 19.5 points per game in February, so this is a tough time for him to go down with an injury. Sprained ankles can definitely be problematic, so there is no telling how long Granger will be sidelined. No word yet on how long he is expected to be out so daily league owners should keep an eye on his status going forward. When healthy, Granger should be considered a must-start Fantasy forward.

Kyrie Irving
Irving cleared to play for Cavs
Kyrie Irving, PG, CLE
11:12 AM
News: The Cavs received some good news prior to their game Wednesday against the Pacers. Rookie guard Kyrie Irving has been cleared to return after missing three games with a concussion. He is in the lineup for Wednesday's game. "It is good to see him out here, especially yesterday he was in great spirits and he really missed being on the floor with his teammates," coach Byron Scott said. "Today was no different, just going through everything and getting his shots up and everything, it seemed like he was back to normal."
Analysis: Most Fantasy owners decided to take Irving out of their lineup for Week 8 (Feb. 13-19) not knowing if he would return to action. But for those Fantasy owners in weekly formats that took the gamble, then it seems it will pay off. Irving is a viable Fantasy start when healthy, so start putting him back into active lineups.

Brook Lopez
Nets to take it slow with Lopez
Brook Lopez, C, NJ
7:40 PM
News: Nets coach Avery Johnson said on Wednesday that while C Brook Lopez has started practicing again, the team will take it slow with the 23-year-old. Lopez has yet to play this season after having surgery on his foot in December. ”He’s just getting back in shape," Johnson said. "Obviously he’s not in game shape but he’s stronger. We’ll just keep working him out and at some point down the line see if we can get him in the game.”
Analysis: Lopez has been on track with his recovery thus far but it looks as though he will not be able to return until after the All-Star break at the earliest. “There’s a chance,' Johnson said. "But we just want to keep working him out, see how he recovers, because we don’t want any setback.” Keep an eye on his progress going forward to see when he might be able to make it back on the court. Until then, keep Lopez reserved in all Fantasy formats.

Jason Terry
Terry missing some time
Jason Terry, SG, DAL
7:16 PM
News: The Mavericks reported that guard Jason Terry would miss Wednesday's game with a right quad strain and Friday's outing versus the 76ers due to a personal matter. Coach Rick Carlisle made the announcement prior to Wednesday's outing versus the Nuggets.
Analysis: Terry had been dealing with a hip issue earlier in the week too, so the veteran is definitely feeling the strain of the condensed season. He's been averaging 13.2 points, 3.6 assists and 3.4 boards per game over his last five outings. Fantasy owners that started him in Week 8 (Feb. 13-19) didn't get much out of him as he'll play in just two of his four games. When healthy, Terry is a viable guard option in the majority of formats. Keep tabs on him to make sure he doesn't miss more than just two games this week.

Thabo Sefolosha
Sefolosha not back for Thunder
Thabo Sefolosha, SF, OKC
7:52 PM
News: According to NBA.com, Thunder guard Thabo Sefolosha missed his 10th straight game on Wednesday night with a nagging foot injury. The team is still considering him day to day.
Analysis: Sefolosha has missed a lot of time and his team really isn't missing him too much. he 27-year-old is averaging just 5.2 points and 2.7 rebounds per game this season and should not be considered a worthwhile Fantasy at this stage of the season.

Jordan Farmar
Farmar sits with groin strain
Jordan Farmar, PG, NJ
7:49 PM
News: Nets G Jordan Farmar did not play in Wednesday's game against the Grizzlies due to a right groin strain. He is averaging 11.1 points with 3.6 assists and 1.7 rebounds through 27 games this season.
Analysis: Farmar has been playing better of late so hopefully this injury will not keep him out for long. He is averaging 15.6 points with 4.2 assists in his last five games, and is shooting 50 percent over that span. When healthy, Farmar should be considered a viable option in deeper Fantasy formats.

Emeka Okafor
Okafor out again
Emeka Okafor, C, NO
7:35 PM
News: New Orleans C Emeka Okafor missed his second-straight game on Wednesday against the Bucks with a knee injury. Okafor had played in the team's 27 games prior to missing the last two.
Analysis: Okafor had played in all 27 games for the Hornets this season, posting averages of 9.9 points and 7.9 rebounds per game. The 29-year-old has improved his scoring recently and posted double figures during four of his six games this month. However, he has not recorded a double-double since Jan. 21, although he has just missed hitting that mark recently. Fantasy owners should monitor his status moving forward, as he's a useful No. 2 Fantasy center when healthy.

Timofey Mozgov
Mozgov to miss a few more games
Timofey Mozgov, C, DEN
7:35 PM
News: Nuggets coach George Karl said on Wednesday that C Timofey Mozgov will likely miss a few more games as he continues to deal with an ankle injury. "He’s going to return in the near future, just not in the next three-or-four-day future," said Karl. Kosta Koufos is expected to start in Mozgov's absence.
Analysis: Mozgov is averaging 5.7 points with 4.5 rebounds and 1.2 blocks so far this season and usually starts for Denver. The Nuggets might elect to keep him out until after the All-Star break to make sure he is 100 percent healthy so keep an eye on his status going forward. Mozgov should be considered a low-end Fantasy C when active.

 
 
 
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