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2011 Draft Prep Guide
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Dave Richard

Draft Prep: Keeping up with the keepers

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Fantasy Football just keeps evolving. It hasn't been all that long since the internet helped make Fantasy more fun and less of a stat-keeping chore. NFL players are now more knowledgeable and open to the idea of Fantasy Football and understand that their production makes millions of people around the world happy (or unhappy if you're losing because of their performance). Nowadays, people are expanding their rosters to include defensive players.

It was only a matter of time until rabid Fantasy owners got to the point where they're keeping players on a yearly basis. More and more people are turning to keeper leagues to get their Fantasy fix. Not only does it boost the intensity of the game, but it also improves the camaraderie among owners in a league.

True story: I have played in the same league since 1997 (back when having an e-mail address was considered "high-tech"). In 2001, we decided to make it a keeper league for a number of reasons. Everyone in the league was friends and/or relatives with each other, and we loved to bust each other's chops. We had all moved away from each other, and the league helped us all stay in touch. We all wanted to have the satisfaction of knowing that every NFL season, we had a league we would be in no matter what. And, it was a league where we could latch on a player and keep them for a long time. In short, it was, and still is, a reliable Fantasy league I enjoy playing in every year.

So if you know you're going to be in a league with the same friends each season, you might as well make it a keeper league. If you play on CBS SportsLine, you can get more information on setting up and maintaining a keeper league by watching this video hosted by yours truly.

How do you keep up?

If you're just starting a keeper league, you need to think about how you'll hold on to your players from year to year. Will they cost you anything, or is the league designed to let you keep whomever you want at any time? Here are some suggestions for ways to maintain your best Fantasy performers.

Just keep 'em: Pick the players you want to hold over and get them on your roster the following year. This is the easiest way to run a keeper league.

Keep a player, lose a pick: Most keeper leagues will let you keep a certain amount of players, but you'll lose draft picks in exchange. For instance, you can keep a player, but it will cost a first-round pick.

Keeping youngsters like Joseph Addai will help your Fantasy team in the long run. (Getty Images)  
Keeping youngsters like Joseph Addai will help your Fantasy team in the long run. (Getty Images)  
Some leagues take it a step further and let you keep a player for the round he was initially picked in, which made owners who took Maurice Jones-Drew with a 14th-round pick very, very happy. In my league, you must forfeit a pick two rounds higher than the round you originally took him in (so in that instance, Jones-Drew would cost a 12th). There are variations of all these systems, so whatever you and your fellow owners can decide is fine.

Pay for play: Other leagues will charge a fee for owners to keep players, be it in the form of actual money, auction dollars or a predetermined salary cap where each player earns a fictional salary in the league. Granted, this is a more complicated way to do business, but it could add to the "reality" of Fantasy Football.

Getting down to business

So we've talked about starting a keeper league and maintaining your guys over the long-term. Now, let's discuss some nuances owners need to consider involving players.

We're often asked keeper-league questions where an opinion is wanted on Player A vs. Player B. Assuming the players are near-equals on our rank list, we will always take the younger guy assuming he can be kept longer. Holding on to running backs who are 29 or older, receivers who are taking on a lesser role in the offense or quarterbacks expected to struggle to keep their job are never a good idea.

For instance: Shaun Alexander or Joseph Addai? If you can keep Addai for several seasons to come, keep him over Alexander. Ahman Green or DeAngelo Williams? Same thing. So long as the dropoff in talent isn't very steep, it's always worth it to take the younger alternative. The only instance we could see doing otherwise is if your other keepers are young and you just need a veteran whose production you can count on.

Another factor to consider when figuring out your keepers is whether or not you'll be able to get a player you let go in your draft (if you draft). For example, if I'm picking between Laveranues Coles and Santonio Holmes, which one would I most likely be able to get with a reasonable draft pick? Does anyone in my league have a man-crush on one of these players and would he/she swipe them before I get a chance? These factors come into play, especially if you covet two players and can only keep one.

Finally, if you can give up a late draft pick for a younger player with upside vs. an early draft pick for a good -- not great -- player with limitations, it's almost always better to take the younger player. Jerious Norwood for a 10th-round pick is better than Edgerrin James with a second-round pick, especially if you know you can get a comparable back to James in a draft or via trade. James may help you more this year, but Norwood is younger, fresher and presumably will be on your roster a lot longer.

Rookie watch

There aren't many of you out there, but several keeper leagues use rookie-only drafts to help fill out rosters from year to year. But even if you're not in a rookie-only draft, you can still benefit from this list of how we rank the 2007 rookie class. This is how we'd expect the first two rounds of a standard-scoring keeper league rookie-only draft without IDPs to look like:

1 Marshawn Lynch, RB, BUF 13 Brady Quinn, QB, CLE
2 Calvin Johnson, WR, DET 14 Michael Bush, RB, OAK
3 Adrian Peterson, RB, MIN 15 Robert Meachem, WR, NO
4 Chris Henry, RB, TEN 16 Lorenzo Booker, RB, MIA
5 Brandon Jackson, RB, GB 17 Craig Davis, WR, SD
6 JaMarcus Russell, QB, OAK 18 Sidney Rice, WR, MIN
7 Dwayne Jarrett, WR, CAR 19 Kenny Irons, RB, CIN
8 Anthony Gonzalez, WR, IND 20 Zach Miller, TE, OAK
9 Dwayne Bowe, WR, KC 21 Brian Leonard, RB, STL
10 Greg Olsen, TE, CHI 22 Kenneth Darby, RB, TB
11 Ted Ginn Jr., WR, MIA 23 John Beck, QB, MIA
12 Steve Smith, WR, NYG 24 Jason Snelling, RB, ATL

And if that's not enough, here are five more "sleeper" rookies to lean on:

• Tony Hunt, RB, Philadelphia
• Antonio Pittman, RB, New Orleans
• Laurent Robinson, WR, Atlanta
• Mike Walker, WR, Jacksonville
• Garrett Wolfe, RB, Chicago

So there's a look at keeper leagues in a nutshell. As always, you can drop us a line to talk about your specific keeper-league situation at DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com . Be sure to put Attn: Keepers in the subject field, but be aware we do not guarantee personal responses to all questions.

The popularity of keeper leagues is on the rise, but if it ever comes down to Joe Average sending Peyton Manning a check as a signing bonus, then we've officially gone too far.

 
 
 
Player News
Matt Schaub
Schaub doing well in rehab
Matt Schaub, QB, HOU
1:03 PM
News: The Houston Chronicle reports Tuesday that Texans QB Matt Schaub, who finished the season on injured reserve following foot surgery, is doing well and his rehab is ahead of schedule. The report says Schaub works out almost every day.
Analysis: This is great news, and we expect Schaub to return at 100 percent in 2012. Continue to monitor what happens with Schaub, but he should be considered a low-end No. 1/high-end No. 2 Fantasy QB heading into the season. He is worth a mid-round pick in all leagues on Draft Day.

Lofa Tatupu
Tatupu visits Saints
Lofa Tatupu, LB, SEA
2:36 PM
News: Free agent LB Lofau Tatupu visited with the Saints on Monday, according to NFL.com. The 29-year-old Tatupu sat out the 2011 season. The former Pro Bowl MLB was asked to take a pay cut by the Seahawks after the lockout ended last summer, and subsequently asked for his release. Tatupu was scheduled to visit with the Raiders and Redskins in August, but didn't sign with anyone and fell off the radar for the remainder of the year while he reportedly dealt with a knee injury. Tatupu was scheduled to earn more than $4 million in 2011 before his release by Seattle. The six-year veteran was a second-round pick and has played in three Pro Bowls. But he also started to wear down from 2008-2010, including finishing 2009 on injured reserve with a knee injury. He did start all 16 games in 2010, but had surgery on both knees during the offseason.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Tatupu and where he plays in 2012. When healthy and active he could be a No. 3 Fantasy LB worth a late-round pick in IDP leagues.

Ravens
Flacco, Ravens to work on deal
Ravens, TQB BAL,
12:47 PM
News: The NFL Network reports that the Ravens are set to open contract extension talks with QB Joe Flacco's agent at the NFL Combine next week. The report says both sides aim for a long-term deal. Flacco is entering a contract year in 2012, and Ravens owner Steve Bisciotti recently said Flacco would be the team's starting quarterback for years to come.
Analysis: Flacco's won a lot of games for the Ravens but hasn't taken the next step statistically, even when the team added Anquan Boldin and Torrey Smith. Flacco has had between 3,610 and 3,622 passing yards and between 20 and 25 touchdowns in each of his last three seasons. But this year his completion percentage and yards per attempt dropped like a rock while his pass attempts hit a career high (542, breaking the previous mark of 499). Flacco fits the bill as a great No. 2 Fantasy QB; though he's finally outfitted with a quality receiving corps, he simply doesn't invoke much confidence as a starting option. Look for him late in drafts.

Jahvid Best
Best 'on pace' for offseason work
Jahvid Best, RB, DET
12:43 PM
News: The Detroit Free-Press reports that Lions RB Jahvid Best’s status remains uncertain because of concussion problems even though team president Tom Lewand is optimistic. Lewand said Best is "on pace" to be ready for offseason workouts, and he is looking forward to seeing Best and Mikel Leshoure play together. "Jahvid is a special player and he'll be even more dynamic when he can ... share the load with a guy like Mikel in the backfield."
Analysis: We hope Best can return at 100 percent, but he will likely be used as a change of pace rusher and a third-down back. Continue to monitor what happens with Best, but he should only be drafted with a late-round pick in standard leagues and a mid-round selection in PPR formats since he will likely be used in tandem with Leshoure and possibly Kevin Smith if he returns as a free agent.

Mikel Leshoure
Leshoure's recovery going well
Mikel Leshoure, RB, DET
12:40 PM
News: The Detroit Free-Press reports that Lions RB Mikel Leshoure, who tore his left Achilles tendon in the second week of training camp last year, is close to making a full recovery. At the Lions’ request, Leshoure just moved the final stages of his rehab back to Detroit from Arizona. He’s doing resistance work and light running and is expected to join OTA workouts at some point this offseason. Leshoure looked like he was going to be a key part of the Lions offense when injury struck last August, and the team is anxious to get a read on him this spring. RB Jahvid Best’s status remains uncertain because of concussion problems, and even if Best returns it’s clear he’s not an every-down back.
Analysis: Leshoure should be considered a great sleeper heading into 2012, and he is worth drafting as a No. 3 Fantasy RB as long as he's healthy. He has tremendous upside, and he could be a great weapon for the Lions, especially with Best struggling as an every-down back. Continue to monitor what happens with Leshoure, but he is worth drafting as early as Round 6 in 2012.

Mike Wallace
Steelers want to lock up Wallace
Mike Wallace, WR, PIT
12:17 PM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday the team wants to keep WR Mike Wallace "here for the long run." Wallace, their leading receiver last season, will become a restricted free agent March 13.
Analysis: Wallace played well in 2011 with 72 catches for 1,193 yards and eight touchdowns on 114 targets. He will remain in Pittsburgh in 2012, and hopefully he can sign a long-term deal. We consider Wallace a Top 10 Fantasy WR on Draft Day, and he should be selected in all leagues in Round 3.

Hines Ward
GM says no decision on Ward yet
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
12:13 PM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on whether WR Hines Ward will be back with the Steelers in 2012. "To this current point, no final decisions have been made," Colbert said. "We've had several discussions internally. We're right in the midst of our free agent evaluations of other teams' free agents. We'll meet on those [on the Steelers roster] starting Thursday and carry through Monday." A recent report on NFL Network said that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Brandon Lloyd
Pats could go after Lloyd
Brandon Lloyd, WR, STL
12:08 PM
News: The Boston Herald reports that the Patriots will be in the market for a WR this year, and one obvious possibility is Brandon Lloyd, who is an impending free agent, because of his ties to offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. The fact that Lloyd said “I’m tied to McDaniels” makes him a likely free agent target. Lloyd had 51 catches for 683 yards and five TDs last year in 11 games in St. Louis when McDaniels was the offensive coordinator makes him look pretty good after he amassed 77 catches for 1,448 yards and 11 scores with Denver when McDaniels was the coach.
Analysis: One holdup for Lloyd and the Patriots could be Lloyd's agent, Tom Condon, who has a rocky relationship with the Patriots. We'll see what plays out this offseason, but if Lloyd signs in New England he would be considered a low-end No. 2 Fantasy WR. He could still return to the Rams, where he would be a strong No. 3 option. Or he could shop himself around the league. Stay tuned, but either way Lloyd is worth a mid-round pick in all leagues.

Bills
Fitzpatrick finished season hurt
Bills, TQB BUF,
11:53 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick's second-half swoon in 2011 was mystifying to fans and media who concluded the front office badly miscalculated in handing the career journeyman a 10-year, $60 million contract extension. But now it appears Fitzpatrick played the final nine games last season with cracked ribs. "A lot of people don't know, but Fitz, during the Washington game, actually cracked a couple of ribs," WR David Nelson said. "So after that he was playing hurt." It showed. In Fitzpatrick's first seven games of the year, he threw for 1,739 yards, 14 touchdowns and seven interceptions. After the injury, he had 2,093 yards, 10 touchdowns and 16 picks. He finished the year with a league-high 23 interceptions. "It's hard to find the silver lining but as we evaluate the season and what went right and what went wrong I'm sure we'll find a lot of positives and a lot of things that we can carry into next year hopefully and continue to get better at it," Fitzpatrick said.
Analysis: Fitzpatrick obviously has 4,000-yard, 25-touchdown potential, but issues involving the personnel around him along with his own issues (accuracy, for one) make him risky for weekly use in Fantasy. Figure that he's worth a late-round pick as a good No. 2 Fantasy QB with potential to be a low-end starter. It should only help him if the Bills not only re-sign Steve Johnson this offseason, but also add talent at wide receiver.

Josh Scobee
Jags want Scobee back
Josh Scobee, K, JAC
11:47 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that Jacksonville has most of its top offensive players locked into contracts for the coming season with one notable exception - kicker Josh Scobee, who is an eight-year veteran. Scobee has been one of the league's most accurate kickers in his eight seasons with the Jaguars, converting better than 75 percent of his field-goal attempts in all but one season. Scobee led the team in scoring last year with 92 points, including 23 of 25 (92 percent) field-goal attempts, the second time in his career he's finished over 90 percent with his kicks. It isn't likely the Jaguars would use the franchise tag on him and probably won't have to. They'll make every attempt to sign him. For a team that was among the league's lowest scoring clubs, the Jaguars can ill afford to lose a player with Scobee's talents.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Scobee. He is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues, but he could be used as a bye-week replacement as long as he remains with the Jaguars.

 
 
 
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