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Jamey Eisenberg

Four Downs: Can you say bad timing?

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Last week, Minnesota rookie running back Adrian Peterson ruined a lot of owners hopes for a Fantasy championship when he ran for three yards at San Francisco.

There was no way it could get any worse, right? Wrong.

For all those owners with Tom Brady who laughed when Peterson was stuffed by the lowly 49ers, they learned their lesson Sunday. The same goes for plenty of other Fantasy owners because it was a rough day for a lot of stars.

Brady ruined plenty of Fantasy league playoffs when he had zero touchdowns (that's not a misprint) against the Jets and less passing yards than Brodie Croyle, Matt Moore and Cleo Lemon with his 140-yard outing. It was the first game Brady didn't throw a touchdown this year, and it came at the wrong time.

Tom Brady picked a bad time to go without a TD for Fantasy owners. (US Presswire)  
Tom Brady picked a bad time to go without a TD for Fantasy owners. (US Presswire)  
Along with Brady's poor showing in the rain and wind -- which can be used as an excuse, if you want to make yourself feel better -- Randy Moss (five catches for 79 yards) and Wes Welker (three catches for 30 yards) also suffered. In Week 16, the pass-happy Patriots decided to run the ball with Laurence Maroney (26 carries for 104 yards and a touchdown).

Hey, thanks Bill Belichick.

But the Patriots weren't the only team to let Fantasy owners down. Dallas was just as bad. Against the Eagles, the No. 2 quarterback in most Fantasy leagues, Tony Romo, had 214 yards passing, no touchdowns and three interceptions. And Terrell Owens had only two catches for 37 yards.

That's no touchdowns combined for the top two quarterbacks and top two wide receivers during the Fantasy playoffs. For Owens, that's now five catches for 58 yards and no touchdowns in his past two games.

Joseph Addai, a top five Fantasy running back, also was down in the dumps with 77 total yards and no touchdowns. And Peyton Manning wasn't exactly stellar with 276 yards passing, one touchdown and an interception.

The one team who could legitimately use weather as an excuse was Cleveland, where Derek Anderson (137-yards passing and no touchdowns), Braylon Edwards (four catches for 64 yards and no touchdowns) and Kellen Winslow (two catches for 28 yards and no touchdowns) were far below their usual standards because of four inches of snow. And those are three of the top players at their respective positions.

Aside from the stars failing to play well, one player's decision might be the difference between a Fantasy championship and a loss. Philadelphia running back Brian Westbrook had an easy touchdown at the end of the game at Dallas but instead stopped at the 1-yard line to kill the clock.

"It was brilliant," Philadelphia coach Andy Reid said to the media after the game. "He used that Villanova education and transferred it to the football field."

Brilliant? Westbrook had 81 yards rushing and nine catches for 63 yards. Do you think Fantasy owners wouldn't take a touchdown on top of that?

I doubt anyone was yelling "brilliant" when they were throwing things at the TV.

First down

Old running backs continue to shine.

When the season started, Fred Taylor was being phased out in Jacksonville for Maurice Jones-Drew, and Jamal Lewis was just trying to hang on in Cleveland.

Not quite.

Taylor, who will turn 32 in January, had 25 carries for 147 yards and a touchdown at Pittsburgh and continues to get better as the season goes on. He now has 617 yards rushing and four touchdowns in his past six games, including over 100 yards in four straight, and should dominate next week against Oakland.

Lewis, meanwhile, ran for 163 yards against Buffalo. In his last five games, the 28-year-old Lewis has 604 yards rushing and five touchdowns, and next week he has a great matchup at Cincinnati.

I bet you never expected during the Fantasy playoffs you'd be counting on these elder statesmen. But they're playing well, so continue to ride them while they're hot.

Second Down

Brett Favre sets another record.

The Green Bay quarterback, who already passed Dan Marino for career touchdown passes this season, broke Marino's record for passing yards Sunday. Marino passed for 61,361 yards in 17 seasons. Favre, who now has 61,405 yards and counting, also in his 17th season, broke the record with 227 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions at St. Louis.

While that's a nice accomplishment, Fantasy owners should be pleased that Favre will keep throwing for at least two more weeks. Since Dallas lost, the Packers are now in the hunt for the No. 1 seed in the NFC, so Favre and Co. won't be taking it easy.

Continue to start all the usual suspects for Green Bay, which plays at Chicago next week.

Third Down

Backup running backs are leading the way.

It was another week where free agent Fantasy running backs were stars. Aaron Stecker had 95 yards rushing and two touchdowns. Justin Fargas had 89 yards rushing and a touchdown. Earnest Graham had 79 yards rushing and a touchdown. And Ryan Grant had 55 yards rushing and a touchdown.

All these players should continue to help your Fantasy team this season, but Fargas left the game with a sprained MCL in his knee. Keep an eye on his status because if Fargas is out, LaMont Jordan could be Fantasy relevant again.

Fourth Down

Congratulations to the Tampa Bay special teams unit and return man Michael Spurlock. It took 32 seasons and 1,865 tries, but the Bucs finally returned a kickoff for a touchdown Sunday against Atlanta. ... Congratulations to the Dolphins, who finally won a game this season. Miami was led by Cleo Lemon (315 yards passing and a touchdown), Samkon Gado (43 yards rushing and a touchdown) and backup wide receiver Greg Camarillo, who caught the game-winning touchdown and finished with three catches for 109 yards. ... Raise your hand if you thought David Garrard and Ben Roethlisberger would combine for six touchdown passes Sunday? I never expected that. ... Dallas tight end Jason Witten had eight catches for 113 yards against the Eagles and now has 23 catches for 251 yards and a touchdown the past two games. With the way he's played recently and throughout the season, has Witten become the best tight end in Fantasy Football? Let me know your thoughts as we start looking ahead to next year.

Do you have a question or comment for Jamey? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Four Downs in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Matt Schaub
Schaub doing well in rehab
Matt Schaub, QB, HOU
1:03 PM
News: The Houston Chronicle reports Tuesday that Texans QB Matt Schaub, who finished the season on injured reserve following foot surgery, is doing well and his rehab is ahead of schedule. The report says Schaub works out almost every day.
Analysis: This is great news, and we expect Schaub to return at 100 percent in 2012. Continue to monitor what happens with Schaub, but he should be considered a low-end No. 1/high-end No. 2 Fantasy QB heading into the season. He is worth a mid-round pick in all leagues on Draft Day.

Lofa Tatupu
Tatupu visits Saints
Lofa Tatupu, LB, SEA
2:36 PM
News: Free agent LB Lofau Tatupu visited with the Saints on Monday, according to NFL.com. The 29-year-old Tatupu sat out the 2011 season. The former Pro Bowl MLB was asked to take a pay cut by the Seahawks after the lockout ended last summer, and subsequently asked for his release. Tatupu was scheduled to visit with the Raiders and Redskins in August, but didn't sign with anyone and fell off the radar for the remainder of the year while he reportedly dealt with a knee injury. Tatupu was scheduled to earn more than $4 million in 2011 before his release by Seattle. The six-year veteran was a second-round pick and has played in three Pro Bowls. But he also started to wear down from 2008-2010, including finishing 2009 on injured reserve with a knee injury. He did start all 16 games in 2010, but had surgery on both knees during the offseason.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Tatupu and where he plays in 2012. When healthy and active he could be a No. 3 Fantasy LB worth a late-round pick in IDP leagues.

Ravens
Flacco, Ravens to work on deal
Ravens, TQB BAL,
12:47 PM
News: The NFL Network reports that the Ravens are set to open contract extension talks with QB Joe Flacco's agent at the NFL Combine next week. The report says both sides aim for a long-term deal. Flacco is entering a contract year in 2012, and Ravens owner Steve Bisciotti recently said Flacco would be the team's starting quarterback for years to come.
Analysis: Flacco's won a lot of games for the Ravens but hasn't taken the next step statistically, even when the team added Anquan Boldin and Torrey Smith. Flacco has had between 3,610 and 3,622 passing yards and between 20 and 25 touchdowns in each of his last three seasons. But this year his completion percentage and yards per attempt dropped like a rock while his pass attempts hit a career high (542, breaking the previous mark of 499). Flacco fits the bill as a great No. 2 Fantasy QB; though he's finally outfitted with a quality receiving corps, he simply doesn't invoke much confidence as a starting option. Look for him late in drafts.

Jahvid Best
Best 'on pace' for offseason work
Jahvid Best, RB, DET
12:43 PM
News: The Detroit Free-Press reports that Lions RB Jahvid Best’s status remains uncertain because of concussion problems even though team president Tom Lewand is optimistic. Lewand said Best is "on pace" to be ready for offseason workouts, and he is looking forward to seeing Best and Mikel Leshoure play together. "Jahvid is a special player and he'll be even more dynamic when he can ... share the load with a guy like Mikel in the backfield."
Analysis: We hope Best can return at 100 percent, but he will likely be used as a change of pace rusher and a third-down back. Continue to monitor what happens with Best, but he should only be drafted with a late-round pick in standard leagues and a mid-round selection in PPR formats since he will likely be used in tandem with Leshoure and possibly Kevin Smith if he returns as a free agent.

Mikel Leshoure
Leshoure's recovery going well
Mikel Leshoure, RB, DET
12:40 PM
News: The Detroit Free-Press reports that Lions RB Mikel Leshoure, who tore his left Achilles tendon in the second week of training camp last year, is close to making a full recovery. At the Lions’ request, Leshoure just moved the final stages of his rehab back to Detroit from Arizona. He’s doing resistance work and light running and is expected to join OTA workouts at some point this offseason. Leshoure looked like he was going to be a key part of the Lions offense when injury struck last August, and the team is anxious to get a read on him this spring. RB Jahvid Best’s status remains uncertain because of concussion problems, and even if Best returns it’s clear he’s not an every-down back.
Analysis: Leshoure should be considered a great sleeper heading into 2012, and he is worth drafting as a No. 3 Fantasy RB as long as he's healthy. He has tremendous upside, and he could be a great weapon for the Lions, especially with Best struggling as an every-down back. Continue to monitor what happens with Leshoure, but he is worth drafting as early as Round 6 in 2012.

Mike Wallace
Steelers want to lock up Wallace
Mike Wallace, WR, PIT
12:17 PM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday the team wants to keep WR Mike Wallace "here for the long run." Wallace, their leading receiver last season, will become a restricted free agent March 13.
Analysis: Wallace played well in 2011 with 72 catches for 1,193 yards and eight touchdowns on 114 targets. He will remain in Pittsburgh in 2012, and hopefully he can sign a long-term deal. We consider Wallace a Top 10 Fantasy WR on Draft Day, and he should be selected in all leagues in Round 3.

Hines Ward
GM says no decision on Ward yet
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
12:13 PM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on whether WR Hines Ward will be back with the Steelers in 2012. "To this current point, no final decisions have been made," Colbert said. "We've had several discussions internally. We're right in the midst of our free agent evaluations of other teams' free agents. We'll meet on those [on the Steelers roster] starting Thursday and carry through Monday." A recent report on NFL Network said that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Brandon Lloyd
Pats could go after Lloyd
Brandon Lloyd, WR, STL
12:08 PM
News: The Boston Herald reports that the Patriots will be in the market for a WR this year, and one obvious possibility is Brandon Lloyd, who is an impending free agent, because of his ties to offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. The fact that Lloyd said “I’m tied to McDaniels” makes him a likely free agent target. Lloyd had 51 catches for 683 yards and five TDs last year in 11 games in St. Louis when McDaniels was the offensive coordinator makes him look pretty good after he amassed 77 catches for 1,448 yards and 11 scores with Denver when McDaniels was the coach.
Analysis: One holdup for Lloyd and the Patriots could be Lloyd's agent, Tom Condon, who has a rocky relationship with the Patriots. We'll see what plays out this offseason, but if Lloyd signs in New England he would be considered a low-end No. 2 Fantasy WR. He could still return to the Rams, where he would be a strong No. 3 option. Or he could shop himself around the league. Stay tuned, but either way Lloyd is worth a mid-round pick in all leagues.

Bills
Fitzpatrick finished season hurt
Bills, TQB BUF,
11:53 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick's second-half swoon in 2011 was mystifying to fans and media who concluded the front office badly miscalculated in handing the career journeyman a 10-year, $60 million contract extension. But now it appears Fitzpatrick played the final nine games last season with cracked ribs. "A lot of people don't know, but Fitz, during the Washington game, actually cracked a couple of ribs," WR David Nelson said. "So after that he was playing hurt." It showed. In Fitzpatrick's first seven games of the year, he threw for 1,739 yards, 14 touchdowns and seven interceptions. After the injury, he had 2,093 yards, 10 touchdowns and 16 picks. He finished the year with a league-high 23 interceptions. "It's hard to find the silver lining but as we evaluate the season and what went right and what went wrong I'm sure we'll find a lot of positives and a lot of things that we can carry into next year hopefully and continue to get better at it," Fitzpatrick said.
Analysis: Fitzpatrick obviously has 4,000-yard, 25-touchdown potential, but issues involving the personnel around him along with his own issues (accuracy, for one) make him risky for weekly use in Fantasy. Figure that he's worth a late-round pick as a good No. 2 Fantasy QB with potential to be a low-end starter. It should only help him if the Bills not only re-sign Steve Johnson this offseason, but also add talent at wide receiver.

Josh Scobee
Jags want Scobee back
Josh Scobee, K, JAC
11:47 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that Jacksonville has most of its top offensive players locked into contracts for the coming season with one notable exception - kicker Josh Scobee, who is an eight-year veteran. Scobee has been one of the league's most accurate kickers in his eight seasons with the Jaguars, converting better than 75 percent of his field-goal attempts in all but one season. Scobee led the team in scoring last year with 92 points, including 23 of 25 (92 percent) field-goal attempts, the second time in his career he's finished over 90 percent with his kicks. It isn't likely the Jaguars would use the franchise tag on him and probably won't have to. They'll make every attempt to sign him. For a team that was among the league's lowest scoring clubs, the Jaguars can ill afford to lose a player with Scobee's talents.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Scobee. He is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues, but he could be used as a bye-week replacement as long as he remains with the Jaguars.

 
 
 
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