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Jamey Eisenberg

A Fantasy read on the Green Bay Packers

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Aaron Rodgers is taking his new job seriously. Aside from extra workouts during the offseason, Rodgers got a new haircut to prove he's all grown up.

Rodgers is stepping out of Brett Favre's shadow this year. When Favre retired following last season, the spotlight on Rodgers became intense -- from Packers' fans and Fantasy owners.

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So Rodgers got rid of the shaggy haircut for a cleaner appearance and now looks "like he's about 13 years old," Green Bay linebacker A.J. Hawk said. Good thing Rodgers doesn't play that way.

Rodgers has a chance to be successful this year in his first season as a starter, mostly because of the supporting cast around him. He has the chance to be a Fantasy starter if things go his way.

The Packers have established a solid corps of wide receivers in Donald Driver, Greg Jennings, James Jones and tight end Donald Lee. They also have an excellent running game led by Ryan Grant and a stout offensive line.

Since Favre never missed much time -- he had the quarterback-record streak of consecutive games played at 275, including the playoffs -- Rodgers is unproven in three seasons. His most extensive action came last year in Week 13 against Dallas when Favre hurt his elbow.

Rodgers was 18-of-26 passing for 201 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions against the Cowboys. He displayed a strong arm and poise in the pocket.

Expectations are high for Aaron Rodgers, but Fantasy owners need to be realistic. (Getty Images)  
Expectations are high for Aaron Rodgers, but Fantasy owners need to be realistic. (Getty Images)  
But now he will have to show his skills for a full 16 games and prove to Fantasy owners he can be successful. As of now, you should go into the season with Rodgers as a No. 2 Fantasy quarterback with the chance to see his value rise -- quickly.

He might start off the season slowly playing with the nerves of a first-time starter -- kind of like a 13-year-old boy. But once he finds a comfort zone, Rodgers could end up being a Fantasy star.

Positives: The best thing for Rodgers is his receiving corps, which should help him make the transition to being a starter. When he got extensive action last year against Dallas, he showed his ability to move out of the pocket. There is no veteran presence to put pressure on him, with rookies Brian Brohm and Matt Flynn the only backups.

Negatives: He's injury prone. He hurt his hamstring last year and broke his foot in 2006, and that was with minimal playing time. He's never started a game before, so he could wilt under the pressure. With Favre retired, the Packers could become a run-heavy team.

Outlook: Rodgers should be one of first backup quarterbacks taken in all Fantasy leagues. The hope is he will thrive early in the season and then he can either start for Fantasy owners or be used as trade bait. If you draft Rodgers as a starting Fantasy QB then you will be disappointed if he fails to live up to playing in Favre's shadow.

Position battle: No. 2 running back

Brandon Jackson
Pro: Jackson finished the season strong after losing his starting job due to a shin injury in Week 3. He worked well down the stretch sharing carries with Grant and had 113 yards rushing in the season finale against Detroit. Jackson is a solid receiver and has the ability to start if Grant falters.
Con: When Jackson was the starter, he was terrible. He averaged only 2.6 yards per carry with one touchdown. Jackson is a smaller back and will lose touchdowns to DeShawn Wynn. And Vernand Morency might be a better receiver than Jackson.
DeShawn Wynn
Pro: Wynn filled in for the injured Jackson last year and played well, rushing for four touchdowns in seven games and averaging 4.1 yards per carry. He is a power back and has the ability to work well in short-yardage situations.
Con: He doesn't have great speed. He was put on injured reserve following a shoulder injury in Week 8, which opened the door for Grant. He is limited as a receiver with only nine catches last year.
Vernand Morency
Pro: Morency is a solid receiver out of the backfield, which should be helpful for Rodgers. Morency caught 30 passes for 199 yards last year in a limited role. He has great speed and should do well in a situational role.
Con: His size will limit his touchdowns, so don't expect him on the field in short-yardage situations. Morency had the chance to start last season but was limited with a knee injury. He is low on the depth chart in terms of carries.
Prediction: Jackson is the No. 2 option, Wynn plays in short-yardage situations and Morency sees time in passing downs. Jackson has the most value because he would start if something happens to Grant, who is entering the season with his contract in doubt. Consider taking Jackson with a late-round flier and leave Wynn and Morency on the waiver wire.

Position battle: No. 3 wide receiver

James Jones
Pro: Jones was fine in his rookie season with 47 catches for 676 yards and two touchdowns. He finished tied with Driver in touchdowns. He has good speed and size (6-foot-1).
Con: Jones was terrible down the stretch, with four catches for 43 yards the final four games. He also didn't score a touchdown after Week 8.
Ruvell Martin
Pro: The Packers like Martin's ability to work outside because of his size (6-foot-4). He had four touchdowns in the final eight games despite only 10 catches over that span.
Con: He only had two games in 2008 with more than one catch. Martin started the final three games, taking Jones' spot, but it was more because of his blocking ability than catching.
Jordy Nelson
Pro: The Packers drafted Nelson in the second round of the 2008 NFL Draft for a reason, and that's to get him on the field. He has good size (6-foot-3) and speed. Nelson is an eventual replacement for Driver once he leaves Green Bay.
Con: He's still a rookie, and rookie receivers sometimes take time to develop. He will likely spend more time on special teams than catching passes in his rookie season.
Prediction: Jones will remain the No. 3 option, but all three guys will see the field. Still, Jones has the most Fantasy value at this time and is the one worth drafting in standard leagues. Martin could be a good source of touchdowns in deeper leagues, and Nelson has value in rookie-only drafts in the middle rounds. Next year, look for Nelson to make an impact.
 
 
 
Player News
Mike Wallace
Steelers want to lock up Wallace
Mike Wallace, WR, PIT
12:17 PM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday the team wants to keep WR Mike Wallace "here for the long run." Wallace, their leading receiver last season, will become a restricted free agent March 13.
Analysis: Wallace played well in 2011 with 72 catches for 1,193 yards and eight touchdowns on 114 targets. He will remain in Pittsburgh in 2012, and hopefully he can sign a long-term deal. We consider Wallace a Top 10 Fantasy WR on Draft Day, and he should be selected in all leagues in Round 3.

Hines Ward
GM says no decision on Ward yet
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
12:13 PM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on whether WR Hines Ward will be back with the Steelers in 2012. "To this current point, no final decisions have been made," Colbert said. "We've had several discussions internally. We're right in the midst of our free agent evaluations of other teams' free agents. We'll meet on those [on the Steelers roster] starting Thursday and carry through Monday." A recent report on NFL Network said that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Brandon Lloyd
Pats could go after Lloyd
Brandon Lloyd, WR, STL
12:08 PM
News: The Boston Herald reports that the Patriots will be in the market for a WR this year, and one obvious possibility is Brandon Lloyd, who is an impending free agent, because of his ties to offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. The fact that Lloyd said “I’m tied to McDaniels” makes him a likely free agent target. Lloyd had 51 catches for 683 yards and five TDs last year in 11 games in St. Louis when McDaniels was the offensive coordinator makes him look pretty good after he amassed 77 catches for 1,448 yards and 11 scores with Denver when McDaniels was the coach.
Analysis: One holdup for Lloyd and the Patriots could be Lloyd's agent, Tom Condon, who has a rocky relationship with the Patriots. We'll see what plays out this offseason, but if Lloyd signs in New England he would be considered a low-end No. 2 Fantasy WR. He could still return to the Rams, where he would be a strong No. 3 option. Or he could shop himself around the league. Stay tuned, but either way Lloyd is worth a mid-round pick in all leagues.

Bills
Fitzpatrick finished season hurt
Bills, TQB BUF,
11:53 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick's second-half swoon in 2011 was mystifying to fans and media who concluded the front office badly miscalculated in handing the career journeyman a 10-year, $60 million contract extension. But now it appears Fitzpatrick played the final nine games last season with cracked ribs. "A lot of people don't know, but Fitz, during the Washington game, actually cracked a couple of ribs," WR David Nelson said. "So after that he was playing hurt." It showed. In Fitzpatrick's first seven games of the year, he threw for 1,739 yards, 14 touchdowns and seven interceptions. After the injury, he had 2,093 yards, 10 touchdowns and 16 picks. He finished the year with a league-high 23 interceptions. "It's hard to find the silver lining but as we evaluate the season and what went right and what went wrong I'm sure we'll find a lot of positives and a lot of things that we can carry into next year hopefully and continue to get better at it," Fitzpatrick said.
Analysis: Fitzpatrick obviously has 4,000-yard, 25-touchdown potential, but issues involving the personnel around him along with his own issues (accuracy, for one) make him risky for weekly use in Fantasy. Figure that he's worth a late-round pick as a good No. 2 Fantasy QB with potential to be a low-end starter. It should only help him if the Bills not only re-sign Steve Johnson this offseason, but also add talent at wide receiver.

Josh Scobee
Jags want Scobee back
Josh Scobee, K, JAC
11:47 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that Jacksonville has most of its top offensive players locked into contracts for the coming season with one notable exception - kicker Josh Scobee, who is an eight-year veteran. Scobee has been one of the league's most accurate kickers in his eight seasons with the Jaguars, converting better than 75 percent of his field-goal attempts in all but one season. Scobee led the team in scoring last year with 92 points, including 23 of 25 (92 percent) field-goal attempts, the second time in his career he's finished over 90 percent with his kicks. It isn't likely the Jaguars would use the franchise tag on him and probably won't have to. They'll make every attempt to sign him. For a team that was among the league's lowest scoring clubs, the Jaguars can ill afford to lose a player with Scobee's talents.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Scobee. He is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues, but he could be used as a bye-week replacement as long as he remains with the Jaguars.

Rams
Coaches excited about Bradford
Rams, TQB STL,
11:44 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that new Rams coach Jeff Fisher and offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer are excited to be working with QB Sam Bradford. Fisher has said on several occasions that Bradford's presence was a major factor that made the Rams' job attractive. "Sam was a big part of the decision," Fisher said. "We think he has a chance to be great. A lot of people around the league believe that. We are going to everything possible to make that happen." As Schottenheimer began watching tape of Bradford, he liked what he saw. "Obviously, he's extremely gifted, extremely talented," Schottenheimer said. "As I'm watching the film, getting the sense of how accurate he is with the football and how well he actually moves around and has made plays. That was one of the things that jumped off the film at me. It will be a fun process going through and looking at all the games and just getting a sense of where he's at. Obviously, I've been around a lot of young quarterbacks, but I think this guy's got a chance to be real special."
Analysis: We have high expectations for Bradford heading into 2012, but he still remains just a No. 2 Fantasy QB in the majority of leagues. The Rams need to give Bradford some weapons, but he is someone to draft with a late-round pick with the hope he can develop into a potential starting option in all formats.

Shaun Hill
Hill wants return to Lions
Shaun Hill, QB, DET
11:19 AM
News: The Detroit Free-Press reports that Lions backup QB Shaun Hill would like to return to Detroit in 2012. The Lions have told Hill, his representatives and others that they want him back as the primary backup to Matthew Stafford. Hill also wants to return to Detroit -- and might even take a slight discount to do so. The 32-year-old appeared in two games last year and attempted just three passes, but he made 10 starts in 2010, when Stafford missed 13 games with two separated throwing shoulders.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Hill, but unless he signs with a team and earns a starting job he would not be worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Jerricho Cotchery
Cotchery wants return to Steelers
Jerricho Cotchery, WR, PIT
11:15 AM
News: The Newark Star-Ledger reports that Steelers WR Jerricho Cotchery, who is an impending free agent, would like to return to Pittsburgh in 2012. “In exit meetings (with the Steelers), it was pretty much stated that they were very pleased with me, who I was on the field and off the field,” Cotchery said. “I’m everything that they thought I would be, so from their standpoint, they definitely would want me back. And I expressed the same desire, so we’ll see what happens.”
Analysis: Cotchery was coming off offseason back surgery last season and then missed the first three games with a hamstring injury. He finished with 16 catches for 237 yards, and he caught a 31-yard touchdown pass to force overtime against the Broncos in the wild-card playoff game. Keep an eye on what happens with Cotchery, but he has minimal Fantasy value heading into the year. He should not be drafted in most formats.

Cardinals
Kolb plans to be Cardinals starter
Cardinals, TQB ARI,
11:06 AM
News: The Arizona Republic reports that Cardinals QB Kevin Kolb is not worried about losing his job heading into 2012 with the speculation the team could sign Peyton Manning if he becomes a free agent. "I know how the NFL works," Kolb said, "anything is possible. I just try to keep my mind clear and do what I can on my end. I plan on having a great year and being a Cardinal for a long time." Kolb is due a $7 million bonus if he's on the roster March 17, and said "every indication on my end shows me that I'll be there." Kolb's first season with the Cardinals was hampered by a foot injury and concussion. He missed four games because of the foot and the last three games of the season with the concussion. "I feel good," Kolb said. "I'd say it took three to four weeks after the season was over to not have any symptoms. Once my mind cleared, I got back to working out."
Analysis: Kolb struggled in his first year with the Cardinals in 2011, and he was outplayed by John Skelton for most of the year. Kolb passed for 1,955 passing yards, nine touchdowns and eight interceptions, but he will likely be the starter in 2012 if the team doesn't bring in Manning. Keep an eye on what happens, but Kolb is only worth drafting as a No. 2 Fantasy QB in deeper leagues if he remains the starter with the Cardinals.

Matt Prater
Broncos could franchise Prater
Matt Prater, K, DEN
10:54 AM
News: The Denver Post reports that the Broncos could use the franchise tag on impending free agent kicker Matt Prater. The projected salary for a franchised kicker this year is less than $2.6 million — down 19 percent from $3.176 million in 2011. Prater said near season's end that after five seasons of kicking on year-to-year deals, he was hoping free agency would bring him the security of a long-term contract. Prater drew a $1.835 million salary as a restricted free agent in 2011, when he had four walkoff field goals for wins, including successful overtime kicks of 52 yards at Miami and 51 yards against the Bears.
Analysis: Prater had a solid year in 2011. He was 19 of 25 on field goals and made all 30 extra points. Keep an eye on what happens with him this offseason, but he could be worth drafting with a late-round pick in all leagues if he remains with the Broncos.

 
 
 
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