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Jamey Eisenberg

A Fantasy read on the Carolina Panthers

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Last year started off great for Carolina quarterback Jake Delhomme. He was on pace for a career season and one of the best years in NFL history before hurting his elbow.

In the three games Delhomme started in 2007, he passed for 624 yards, eight touchdowns and one interception. Project that over a full season, and Delhomme would have passed for 3,339 yards, 43 touchdowns and five interceptions. He would have finished second to New England's Tom Brady (50) in touchdown passes.

But we'll never know if Delhomme would have reached such heights because the elbow injury ended his season. He needed Tommy John surgery and is trying to make a comeback.

Heading into training camp, Delhomme appears in good shape. He has done well in the offseason with his rehab and is on schedule to start the season.

But Fantasy owners are going to be skeptical with Delhomme this year after what happened in 2007, and for good reason. It's unknown if his arm will rebound to the same form or if he will suffer a setback. Delhomme is also 33 and could start to see a decline in his production even if he was healthy.

Delhomme, however, does have plenty of positive aspects heading into 2008. He plays with one of the best receivers in the NFL in Steve Smith, who saw his stats steeply decline when Delhomme was injured. Smith is excited Delhomme is back.

The Panthers also revamped the receiving corps, adding D.J. Hackett and Muhsin Muhammad as free agents. Along with the development of second-year receiver Dwayne Jarrett and tight end Jeff King, Delhomme has more weapons than ever before in his five seasons as Carolina's starter.

And the Panthers enhanced the offensive line with rookie tackle Jeff Otah and improved the running game with rookie Jonathan Stewart. If Stewart is as good as advertised, Delhomme should have plenty of success with his play-action passing.

Delhomme could be one of the best sleepers in 2008. He will be drafted as a No. 2 Fantasy option, but if his elbow holds up and he returns to form, he'll be starting in all leagues before the year is over.

Positives: His receiving corps could be the best in the NFL. Delhomme has an elite player in Smith and solid complementary options in Hackett, Muhammad and Jarrett. That will help Delhomme's overall play since now opposing defenses can't just focus on Smith. When healthy, Delhomme has been a quality quarterback. He averaged 3,333 passing yards, 22 touchdowns and 15 interceptions from 2003-06.

Negatives: The elbow. He had Tommy John surgery last season and is still not 100 percent. He will also be on a "pitch count" in training camp to limit the number of passes he attempts. He is expected to be fine for the start of the season, but the unknown will scare Fantasy owners. He also doesn't run much since he has only three rushing touchdowns with the Panthers.

Outlook: Take Delhomme as one of the first backup Fantasy options. The uncertainty with his elbow makes him a risky starting option, but if he returns to form with the revamped receiving corps, he has the chance to shine. Look for Delhomme to pass for about 3,500 yards, 25 touchdowns and 12 interceptions in 2008.

Position battle: No. 1 running back

Jonathan Stewart
Pro: The Panthers drafted Stewart in the first round of the NFL Draft for a reason. He is the type of running back coach John Fox covets because he's big, fast and runs with authority. Look for Stewart to get yards and touchdowns, and he has the chance to finish the season as the No. 1 rookie running back.
Con: He has been slowed this offseason because of a toe injury, which could leave him as a reserve to start the season. If he struggles with blitz protection, he might not see the field as much as expected.
DeAngelo Williams
Pro: Williams has been waiting for an opportunity to start after sitting behind DeShaun Foster the past two seasons. Williams is a speed back, which could help him break long runs. He has good hands, so even if he's the third-down back, he will still make plays.
Con: Williams couldn't beat out Foster the past two seasons even though Foster struggled. The Panthers are ready to get back to smash-mouth football, which favors Stewart. Williams will get touches, but Stewart will see the majority of carries.
Prediction: Stewart starts and is worth drafting as a low-end No. 2 Fantasy option. But Williams will also be a solid Fantasy running back as a No. 3 option. Look for Stewart to surprise many Fantasy owners, and he compares favorably to former Carolina power runner Stephen Davis.

Position battle: No. 2 wide receiver

Muhsin Muhammad
Muhammad is returning to Carolina, where he spent the first nine years of his career. He had the best season of his career in 2004 with the Panthers when he had 93 catches for 1,405 yards and 16 touchdowns. He will do well in this offense again with Delhomme and playing opposite Smith. During minicamp, Muhammad was the starter.
Con: He will be 35 this season and was terrible last year with Chicago. He has only 12 touchdowns in his past three seasons. He's a good possession receiver at this point in his career, but he will likely have trouble finding the end zone.
D.J. Hackett
Pro:Hackett was told he'd be the No. 2 receiver when he signed with the Panthers. In six games last year with Seattle, Hackett had 32 catches for 384 yards and three touchdowns. Project that for a full season, and Hackett would have had 85 catches for 1,024 yards and eight touchdowns. If he can do that opposite Smith then he would shine this year.
Con: He's injury prone, having never finished a full season in four years. He's already been hurt this offseason with a knee problem. In minicamp, Hackett has been the No. 3 option behind Muhammad.
Prediction: Muhammad might win the No. 2 job, but Hackett is the better Fantasy option. Look for both to see plenty of action, and Hackett will likely miss some time with injuries, but Hackett has more upside. Consider both receivers with late-round picks in all leagues.
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Player News
Kellen Winslow
Winslow a 'rotational player?'
Kellen Winslow, TE, SEA
5/25/2012
News: Kellen Winslow became a Seahawk recently, and he's spoken highly of his new team. But it remains how they'll use him and how often they'll use him. According to SiriusXM NFL Radio, a league personnel executive believes that Winslow's best days are behind him. "We talked to the Bucs before the draft and talked about (Winslow) further internally," said the source. "We just didn't think he could be more than a rotational player at this point (in his career) after examining his tape and performance."
Analysis: Winslow had 75 receptions for 763 yards and two TDs in 2011 and has caught at least 66 passes in each of his last three years while not missing a game. There is definitely a perception that he's old and over the hill, which his receiving average (10.2 yards per catch last year) supports. And he joins a crowded tight end corps in Seattle, but should be a fairly regular player in the offense. Problem is, he hasn't been productive enough to be considered reliable for Fantasy use week after week. He's fine as a No. 2 Fantasy TE worth a late pick, but don't expect him to put up huge numbers.

Jamaal Charles
Charles to rest until camp
Jamaal Charles, RB, KC
5/25/2012
News: The Kansas City Star reports that the Chiefs will rest running back Jamaal Charles until training camp in late July. He is not expected to participate in their minicamp as he continues to rehab and work his way back from a torn ACL suffered last September. Head coach Romeo Crennel hopes Charles will be cleared in time for camp.
Analysis: Charles has been vocal about being ready for the season, calling himself hungry and passionate to return to form. But the fact remains that he's coming off of a major injury and isn't promised to have any of the explosiveness he had before he got hurt. Tack on the Chiefs' addition of Peyton Hillis (Charles thinks Hillis will get the tough yards and goal-line work like Thomas Jones was supposed to previously), and there's a limit to Charles' 2012 expectations. So long as Charles proves that he's ready to roll, Fantasy owners should be optimistic. Assuming he's fine, Charles will be worth taking in the early rounds on Draft Day, but more as a No. 2 Fantasy RB. Plan on drafting Charles between 25th and 35th overall in all leagues.

Hakeem Nicks
Source: Nicks could return before camp
Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG
5/25/2012
News: ESPN reports that a source familiar with the broken bone in Hakeem Nicks' foot says the receiver might miss four-to-six weeks recovering from the injury and not the 12-week timeframe the Giants said on Thursday. Nicks fractured the fifth metatarsal of his right foot during an OTA practice. The team is hoping to have him back at some point during training camp and the preseason.
Analysis: Unless the diagnosis on Nicks' foot changes, we're not believers that he'll be ready in six weeks and thus long before the start of training camp. Nicks' teammate, Prince Amukamara, took 15 weeks before he was comfortable practicing last year according to the Newark Star-Ledger and he had the same injury. Nicks has had all sorts of issues with hamstrings, knees and his feet over the years. So long as he is healthy for the start of the season and gets some work in camp and a preseason game or two, the injury is more of a reminder that he's injury prone and less of a factor on his 2012 season. We'll see if this lasts into late August and the regular season; for now expect his stock to slip in drafts. He'll be a Round 3-4 choice as a low-end No. 1/high-end No. 2 Fantasy receiver.

Ben Roethlisberger
Roethlisberger admits to issues with new playbook
Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT
5/25/2012
News: Ben Roethlisberger's transition to new offensive coordinator Todd Haley's playbook is not going as smoothly as Steelers fans had hoped. Roethlisberger said Thursday that so far it's been "frustrating at times" but that he's going to put in "extra work" to understand what Haley wants him to do. "I think coach (Haley) really wants to challenge us," Big Ben said on a radio interview, per the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. "Me, maybe, in particular, I think he felt like I was real comfortable with the old offense, which ... I don't know why that's a bad thing. But I'm not the head coach."
Analysis: There's all sorts of talk that Haley wants Roethlisberger to stay in the pocket to avoid excess hits and that Haley wants to run the ball more. We're not sure how this is going to play out, but we do think there's a chance Roethlisberger could attempt a ton of passes given that Rashard Mendenhall is out and Isaac Redman, while talented, might not be a 20-touch back from week to week. Much of the offense might fall on Roethlisberger's shoulders. We consider Big Ben a low-end No. 1 Fantasy QB in all leagues well worth a mid-round pick.

Sam Bradford
Bradford's ankle 'getting there'
Sam Bradford, QB, STL
5/25/2012
News: Rams quarterback Sam Bradford said his left ankle, injured in October at Green Bay, is nearly 100 percent. "It's getting there," he said. "It feels better every week -- less soreness, more things I can do. It's definitely on the right track."
Analysis: There's no questioning his arm as several Rams receivers, including their rookies, have been in awe over his passing skills. Bradford is continuing to learn the Rams' new offense and says it's close to the West Coast offense he ran two season ago. But with a so-so offensive line and an unproven receiving corps, now's not the time to call Bradford a breakout candidate. He should have some good games, but no one should consider him either a Fantasy starter or a blue chip prospect. For now we're resigned to calling him a late-round pick as a good, not great, No. 2 quarterback.

Matt Hasselbeck
Titans' Palmer breaks down QB battle
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, TEN
5/25/2012
News: It's no secret that the Titans will have a competition for the starting quarterback job between veteran Matt Hasselbeck and second-year gunslinger Jake Locker. What remains to be seen is when they'll name a starter. Offensive coordinator Chris Palmer told the media Thursday that the job is up for grabs, that no preseason starts have been promised and that the coaching staff will pick a winner based on who can lead the team to wins, starting in Week 1 against the Patriots. Palmer said that while Locker's mobility is very appealing, Hasselbeck's experience and body of work from last season also gives him a chance to remain the starter. "Jake may not give all the other guys the opportunity to make plays like Matt does, but Jake can make plays with his legs," Palmer concluded. "When you add up how many plays Matt can make with the team and how many plays Jake can make with the team then you kind of have an idea who's going to give us the best chance to win."
Analysis: Hasselbeck started every game for the Titans in 2011 and threw for 3,571 yards with 18 scores and 14 interceptions. But when Locker did play, he did well, passing for four touchdowns with no interceptions and rushing for 56 yards on eight carries with a touchdowns run. Locker's completion percentage continued to be an eyesore (34 of 66 passing for 51.5 pct.), but the stats speak for themselves. Unless Locker can really prove that he's progressed as a passer, Hasselbeck is likely to take this job -- though there's no promise he'll start every game. Neither Titans QB should be drafted with anything more than a late-round pick. We'll keep you posted on the battle.

Brandon Lloyd
Lloyd already up to speed with Pats
Brandon Lloyd, WR, NE
5/25/2012
News: New Patriots receiver Brandon Lloyd has been impressive during the team's OTAs, but many people expected that. After all, Lloyd is on his third stop with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels and knows the playbook and play calls like the back of his hand. Lloyd has been so impressive that the Boston Globe reports that Patriots quarterbacks have been looking for him all week because he's been exactly where he needs to be on every play. Lloyd was coy when it came to his role and his goals for this season but gave a pretty simple explanation on why he wanted to follow McDaniels to New England. "You find something good, you stick with it," he said. "I think that's the case for everybody, with everything in life."
Analysis: Lloyd had 51 catches for 683 yards and five scores last year in 11 games in St. Louis when McDaniels was the offensive coordinator, and that came on the heels of a 77-catch, 1,448-yard, 11-touchdown season with McDaniels in Denver. He'll probably see a dip in opportunities because he'll share the field with so many other great weapons there. But he should still be about as productive as a No. 3 Fantasy receiver and should be drafted as such with a mid-round pick.

Ronnie Hillman
Tamme: Hillman looks good
Ronnie Hillman, RB, DEN
5/25/2012
News: In an interview with Moving The Chains on SiriusXM NFL Radio, new Broncos tight end Jacob Tamme gave an encouraging scouting report on rookie rusher Ronnie Hillman. "He seems to have a lot of quickness," Tamme said. "I've got to see him carry a few and catch some passes, he seems like a guy who can really move and sort of be a threat from the scatback-type position."
Analysis: Yep, that sounds like Hillman, who averaged over 130 total yards per game in 2011 with 20 total touchdowns while breaking some of Marshall Faulk's records at San Diego State. Hillman isn't a big back (5-foot-9, 200 pounds) but definitely plays bigger than he is. He's done good work between the tackles but is better known for his lateral agility and breakaway speed. Landing in Denver is nice since he won't be stuck behind a young back for long -- Willis McGahee will turn 31 in October and Knowshon Moreno is coming off of a torn ACL. We could see Hillman contribute this season, especially if he can perfect his pass blocking and receiving skills. Expect him to be taken late in all seasonal drafts as well as with a mid-to-late pick in dynasty/keeper leagues and a second-round pick in rookie-only formats.

Jacob Tamme
Tamme talks offense, role
Jacob Tamme, TE, DEN
5/25/2012
News: In an interview with Moving The Chains on SiriusXM NFL Radio, new Broncos tight end Jacob Tamme sounded very excited to follow quarterback Peyton Manning to Denver from Indy, adding that he "looks great." Tamme's also excited about the direction of the new offense, calling it a mix of what he did with Manning with the Colts and what offensive coordinator Mike McCoy wants to do. On the topic of his specific role with the Broncos, Tamme didn't want to give away much but did offer what he thinks is great about being a tight end. "I'm comfortable in slot and love that, but I would say I lined up on the line of scrimmage more than everywhere else [with the Colts]," Tamme said. " ... We should be able to move around and what we're going to do offensively, hopefully, we'll be able to move around some. I think that's what's great about playing tight end these days, you get to do everything. It's what makes the position a lot of fun."
Analysis: If we're reading between the lines, the Broncos could use Tamme as a tight end, slot receiver and H-back this season, all roles he's capable of playing as evidenced by his time in Indianapolis. Being comfortable with Manning is also built-in thanks to their relationship back in Indiana. Tamme had just 177 yards on 19 catches in 2011 with one score, but he worked behind starter Dallas Clark in a Manning-less Colts offense. In 10 games without Dallas Clark in 2010, Tamme caught 67 passes for 631 yards and four touchdowns. Expect him to have some Clark-like potential and thus get swiped with a middle- to late-round pick in drafts this summer as a borderline No. 1/No. 2 TE.

Stephen Hill
Hill lines up as starter in OTAs
Stephen Hill, WR, NYJ
5/25/2012
News: Jets rookie receiver Stephen Hill lined up opposite Santonio Holmes with the first-team offense during their recent OTAs. He caught a 75-yard touchdown pass from Mark Sanchez, burning cornerback Kyle Wilson in the process, according to the Newark Star-Ledger.
Analysis: The Jets aren't going to have a dominant pass attack, so that could limit Hill's production. But he does have the chance for plenty of playing time, which is a plus. He's worth a late-round pick in seasonal formats, a middle- to late-round pick in dynasty/keeper leagues and a Top 20 pick in rookie-only drafts.

 
 
 
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