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Jamey Eisenberg

Draft prep: No Brown-out in Cleveland in '08

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Editor's note: This is a series of 10 predictions of things that will happen in 2008 Fantasy Football leagues according to Senior Fantasy Writer Jamey Eisenberg

The Browns have had a rough offseason.

It started with Kellen Winslow upset with his contract, and there were concerns about his knee. Joe Jurevicius had several knee surgeries and could miss the season. Donte Stallworth stepped on Braylon Edwards' foot, and Edwards needed stitches and two weeks to recover. And then Derek Anderson got a concussion in the second preseason game against the Giants.

Braylon Edwards could easily be the league's most productive receiver in 2008. (US Presswire)  
Braylon Edwards could easily be the league's most productive receiver in 2008. (US Presswire)  
Oh yeah, and the Browns paid Jamal Lewis. More on that later.

The Browns turned into an offensive juggernaut last year with Anderson, Edwards and Winslow having coming-out parties, and Lewis looking rejuvenated in his first year in Cleveland. By adding Stallworth this offseason, the offense should continue to shine.

The Browns have become a new home for many Fantasy owners since Anderson, Edwards, Winslow and Lewis are starting options, and Stallworth is a key reserve. The Browns have the right elements you look for in an offense, with an innovative coordinator in Rob Chudzinski and an excellent offensive line. But some Fantasy owners are skeptical if the Browns can repeat their offensive dominance in 2008. The answer is yes -- with the exception of Lewis.

Anderson will be fine from the concussion and should remain a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback if not a Top 5 option. He passed for 3,787 yards, 29 touchdowns and 19 interceptions last year and also ran for a touchdown in his first season as a starter.

With the weapons around him, Anderson should shine. He also has the motivation to live up to last year's performance and solidify himself as the quarterback of the future with Brady Quinn waiting patiently for the job. You can draft Anderson in Round 3 in all leagues and count on another great year.

The reason for Anderson's success is Edwards and Winslow could become the best players at their respective positions. Last year, Edwards stepped up in his third season with 80 catches for 1,289 yards and 16 touchdowns, all career highs.

In a standard-scoring Fantasy league, Edwards was the No. 2 receiver behind Randy Moss. Edwards' foot should be fine for the start of the season, which means he should be drafted as a Top 3 option in all formats, right behind Moss and Terrell Owens. But don't be surprised if Edwards passes those guys and finishes at No. 1 by season's end.

Winslow also is a Top 3 option with the chance to pass Jason Witten and Antonio Gates this year. Winslow finished fourth in standard-scoring leagues behind Witten, Gates and Tony Gonzalez last year, but it was close with Winslow catching 82 passes for 1,106 yards and five touchdowns. Those stats will increase this year.

Will Jamal Lewis remain motivated after signing a long-term deal this offseason? (US Presswire)  
Will Jamal Lewis remain motivated after signing a long-term deal this offseason? (US Presswire)  
The addition of veteran Stallworth should improve the passing game as well. He struggled in New England last year with only 46 catches for 697 yards and three touchdowns and was outplayed by Moss, Wes Welker and No. 4 receiver, Jabar Gaffney. Stallworth should be better with the Browns and could return to how he played with New Orleans in 2005 when he caught 70 passes for 945 yard and seven touchdowns. Stallworth is worth drafting as a No. 4 Fantasy option.

Cleveland's passing game will likely carry the offense since Lewis could struggle. Last year, Lewis was outstanding with 1,304 rushing yards and nine touchdowns and 30 catches for 248 yards and two touchdowns.

It was Lewis' best year since 2003, and he was motivated to earn a new contract after playing on a one-year deal. But now that he has a three-year deal and will be 29 when the season starts, those minor aches and pains could go from one week injuries to three weeks.

Last year, Lewis fought through a foot injury, which kept him out one week. He has a hamstring injury in training camp now, so we'll see how long that lingers. It could be a good indication as to whether or not he should be considered an injury risk this season.

But there's a risk involved with giving aging running backs long-term contracts. It's why most NFL teams shy away from doing it, and recent examples of aging running backs breaking down after receiving long-term deals are Shaun Alexander in 2006 and Ahman Green last year.

You should still draft Lewis as a No. 2 Fantasy option because he will excel for several weeks. But don't reach for him before the third round. And if you're looking for a late-round sleeper, take a chance on Lewis' backup, Jason Wright.

The Browns are going to score points in 2008. Make sure you draft the right players from their offense to help your Fantasy team this year.

Do you have a Draft Prep question? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll get to as many as we can. Be sure to put Attn: Draft Prep in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Peyton Manning
Report: More surgery for Peyton?
Peyton Manning, QB, IND
3:25 PM
News: Peyton Manning reportedly underwent a fourth surgery at some point between May and September of last year, and might need another surgery in the future. Sports Illustrated reports that Manning may have developed bone spurs just above the point of where he had fusion surgery and the feeling from the Colts organization is that he'll need surgery to fix that, if not another fusion surgery. The report did go on to say that Manning tried to show the Colts coaches that he was able to play in advance of Week 16 vs. Houston, taking part in team drills and throwing to a number of receivers. However, team trainers did not clear him for action.
Analysis: What we've been saying all along continues to be the case here as far as Fantasy is concerned: Manning has to prove he's healthy before being considered a quality No. 1 QB. Once he does that, then he'll warrant a selection alongside the likes of Matt Ryan and Ben Roethlisberger. Until then, the guy can't be trusted. Manning is expected to be released by the Colts before March 8, the date when he is due a $28 million roster bonus. His future seems to be very much in the air.

Ben Roethlisberger
Big Ben working on health
Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT
12:16 PM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger is "working out already." He began training at the Steelers facility days after he returned from an extended Pro Bowl stay in Hawaii. He talked to coach Mike Tomlin about where he is in his career and about the future. Roethlisberger is set to turn 30 in March. "I'm hoping that I'm just starting in my prime," he said. "I've never worked out this early. It's not like high-intensity, out killing myself, but I'm working out, I want to come to camp lighter than I've ever come, in better shape, because as you get to a certain point, a certain age in this football thing, your body doesn't recover like it used to." Roethlisberger sustained a number of injuries in 2011, including those to his foot and right shoulder as well as a broken right thumb and high left ankle sprain. He said his ankle feels fine, but he is working on healing his right shoulder, which needs to be strengthened because of the injury. "I'm just waiting on my shoulder, it's the only thing left to get healed up," Roethlisbeger said. "That's the last thing."
Analysis: Despite his various injuries, Roethlisberger threw for 4,077 yards, second most in his career. His 90.1 passer rating marked the sixth time in his eight seasons he has been in the 90s or higher. He should return at 100 percent in 2012, and he should be poised for a big year. We consider Big Ben a low-end No. 1 Fantasy QB in all leagues, and he should be drafted with a mid-round pick.

Peyton Hillis
Freeman: Browns torn on Hillis
Peyton Hillis, RB, CLE
9:49 AM
News: CBSSports.com NFL Insider Mike Freeman reports the Browns remain uncertain exactly how to handle RB Peyton Hillis, who is an impending free agent. Freeman reports that some in the organization want to try and keep him, while others want to part ways and draft Alabama's Trent Richardson. Freeman says "I think the draft option will win out, but no one knows for certain just yet." The Cleveland Plain Dealer recently reported that the Browns would bring back Hillis for the right price.
Analysis: Hillis had 161 carries for 587 yards (3.6 avg.) with three rushing scores and 22 catches for 130 yards in nine starts last season. The year was overshadowed when he left the team with strep throat symptoms just before kickoff in Week 3 and then hurt his hamstring twice over the course of the season. Keep an eye on what happens with Hillis and where he ends up. If he returns to the Browns and can remain the starter he could be considered a low-end No. 2 Fantasy RB. But if he leaves Cleveland and is part of a timeshare situation then his value would decline.

Randy Moss
Freeman: Moss hurting himself
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
9:45 AM
News: CBSSports.com NFL Insider Mike Freeman reports that WR Randy Moss could be ruining his chances at a comeback effort with his recent rant on UStream on Monday. Freeman reports that "everyone is watching, including NFL team executives," and one said "he has seen the Moss videos and believes Moss is utterly obliterating his chances of returning to the NFL." Freeman reports that the executive said his franchise was once considering Moss, but after watching the video stream, the team is no longer doing so. So while Moss might be creating buzz for a future show, he might also be utterly destroying any comeback chance.
Analysis: Moss will likely draw interest from some team in need of life at the receiver spot (St. Louis, Jacksonville or Chicago for example), but he ultimately has to prove he can play again after sitting out this past season. Continue to monitor what happens with Moss, who last played with the Titans in 2010, but if he signs with a team he would be worth a late-round pick in the majority of leagues on the off chance he still has the ability to play at a high level.

Tom Brady
Brady hurt left shoulder
Tom Brady, QB, NE
9:40 AM
News: According to CSN New England, Patriots QB Tom Brady did aggravate his injured left shoulder in the Super Bowl loss to the Giants. He was injured in the third quarter on a hit by Giants DL Justin Tuck. Brady initially bruised the shoulder against Miami in Week 16. He missed some practice time in the weeks after the injury but also threw six touchdowns in a Divisional Playoff win over the Broncos. His offseason work will not be impacted by the injury.
Analysis: We expect Brady to be 100 percent for the start of the 2012 season, and he remains a No. 1 Fantasy QB in all formats on Draft Day. Look for him to come off the board in Round 2 after Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees are selected.

Albert Haynesworth
Bucs punt on Haynesworth
Albert Haynesworth, DT, TB
12:43 PM
News: The first transaction of the Greg Schiano era in Tampa Bay involves a big player but isn't a big surprise. Defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth was released. "I appreciate Albert playing for us after some key injuries this past season," said GM Mark Dominik. "He was very professional and we now wish him all the best as he moves forward."
Analysis: Haynesworth might land another contract before the end of his career, but until he regains his form -- mentally and physically -- from his big days in Tennessee, the guy isn't worth owning.

Buccaneers
Bucs punt on DT Haynesworth
Buccaneers, DST TB,
12:41 PM
News: The first transaction of the Greg Schiano era in Tampa Bay involves a big player but isn't a big surprise. Defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth was released. "I appreciate Albert playing for us after some key injuries this past season," said GM Mark Dominik. "He was very professional and we now wish him all the best as he moves forward."
Analysis: Tampa Bay's defense is considered iffy heading into 2012, and that would be the case if Haynesworth were on the roster. At the most, we could see the Bucs DST as a one-week replacement option during the season.

David Garrard
Garrard close to return
David Garrard, QB, JAC
12:20 PM
News: The NFL Network reports that QB David Garrard expects to be fully healed from back surgery in mid-March/early-April and is intent on playing in 2012, his agent said. "He is open to all teams and any situation that makes since for him and the team," said Garrard's agent, Albert Irby. His agent also indicated Garrard would be open to being a backup. Garrard did not play in 2011 after being cut by the Jaguars prior to the season.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Garrard lands, but it is unlikely he will open the season as a starter. He would only be a No. 2 Fantasy QB at best in deeper leagues.

Nick Miller
Report: Miller to be suspended
Nick Miller, WR, STL
9:57 AM
News: According to 101sports.com in St. Louis, Rams WR Nick Miller has been suspended for the first four games of the season. It has not been confirmed yet whether Miller was suspended for violating the policy on performance enhancing substances. Miller played six games for the Rams in 2011 and had the team’s only kick return for a touchdown. He returned a punt 88 yards for a score on Nov. 27 against Arizona. For the season with the Rams, he had eight punt returns for 128 yards (16.0-yard average), two kickoff returns for 43 yards and one reception for 8 yards.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Miller, but he has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Matt Schaub
Schaub doing well in rehab
Matt Schaub, QB, HOU
2/14/2012
News: The Houston Chronicle reports Tuesday that Texans QB Matt Schaub, who finished the season on injured reserve following foot surgery, is doing well and his rehab is ahead of schedule. The report says Schaub works out almost every day.
Analysis: This is great news, and we expect Schaub to return at 100 percent in 2012. Continue to monitor what happens with Schaub, but he should be considered a low-end No. 1/high-end No. 2 Fantasy QB heading into the season. He is worth a mid-round pick in all leagues on Draft Day.

 
 
 
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