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Jamey Eisenberg

Post-preseason Stockwatch

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


The NFL preseason is over, and we now know how certain players should perform during the upcoming Fantasy season. The arrows indicate which way a player's stock is heading, but you'll have to read what we have to say to know whether a player's preseason performance will impact his status in Fantasy leagues coming into 2008.

Peyton Manning, QB, Indianapolis
Take a deep breath Fantasy owners because Manning's knee is ready and he will start in Week 1 against Chicago. There is some concern with center Jeff Saturday out for six weeks with a knee injury, but Manning will adjust like he did last year following left tackle Tarik Glenn's retirement. Manning might be a little rusty with the lack of preparation, but no one knows an offense better than Manning with the Colts. He should be fine and is in line for a great season with Marvin Harrison back from his knee problems last year.
Derek Anderson, QB, Cleveland
Anderson missed the final two preseason games with a concussion, and his stock has fallen coming into the season. It didn't help that the Browns offense has sputtered, and Braylon Edwards has been out with a foot injury. Anderson will likely be fine for the start of the year, but he might not finish as a Top 5 quarterback again. He's still worth starting in Week 1, but he could struggle early on with the lack of preparation. It might be a good idea to have a solid backup ready in Week 1 against Dallas in case you don't feel comfortable starting Anderson.
Brett Favre, QB, New York Jets
Favre seems to have fit in nicely in New York. After some uncertainty of how Favre would do coming from Green Bay, he has connected with Dustin Keller and Jerricho Cotchery. Once he develops a rapport with Laveranues Coles, who is still upset about losing Chad Pennington, Favre will be a solid Fantasy option. He's worth starting every week as a No. 1 quarterback, and if he can limit the interceptions, Favre will put up plenty of points. The concern in New York now should be the running game with Thomas Jones having a pedestrian preseason.
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, Seattle
It just keeps getting worse for Hasselbeck this offseason. He loses D.J. Hackett as a free agent to Carolina, Deion Branch to a knee injury and Bobby Engram to a shoulder injury. Hasselbeck injures his back, and now Ben Obomanu has a broken clavicle. Who is he going to throw to? And please don't say Nate Burleson and rookie tight end John Carlson, who are nice players, but come on. At this point, consider Hasselbeck a No. 2 Fantasy option and go with another quarterback to start the season.
Willie Parker, RB, Pittsburgh
Parker hasn't had to do much to prove he should be the every-down back for the Steelers. Rookie Rashard Mendenhall has had problems holding onto the ball with three fumbles in the final two preseason games. That could open the door for Parker to re-establish himself as the goal-line back, which was supposed to be Mendenhall's job. Parker remains a strong candidate for plenty of yards and was on the cusp of a starting Fantasy option coming into the year. Now, Parker should be considered a No. 2 Fantasy option for Week 1 against Houston and possibly the rest of the season.
Rudi Johnson, RB, Cincinnati
Johnson was cut by the Bengals, who obviously feel his best days are behind him. Johnson didn't play in any preseason games because of a hamstring problem, and the Bengals are confident in Chris Perry. Kenny Watson also played well for Johnson when he was hurt last year. Look for Johnson to land elsewhere, but at best, consider him a No. 4 Fantasy option right now. Don't plan on using him in Week 1 if he ends up with another team, and if Perry is on the waiver wire, add him immediately in all scoring formats.
Chris Johnson, RB, Tennessee
No rookie running back has improved his stock as much during the preseason as Johnson. He is now expected to share carries in a 50-50 split with LenDale White. Johnson is the Titans best offensive player at this point and should be considered a high-end No. 3 Fantasy running back. If you use a flex option, plan on starting Johnson in Week 1. With his speed and ability to catch the ball, he could score plenty of long touchdowns this year. The best thing Vince Young can do at this point is get the ball to Johnson as often as possible.
Julius Jones, RB, Seattle
Jones went from Dallas to Seattle this offseason with the chance to resurrect his career and return as a starting running back. Fantasy owners were counting on the same thing until Maurice Morris outplayed Jones and is now expected to start in Week 1. Jones should still be considered a No. 3 Fantasy option because he will get his share of carries. But don't plan on using Jones until your starter is on a bye week or if for some reason he starts out playing better than Morris. There also is the chance T.J. Duckett will get the majority of goal-line touches for the Seahawks.
Brandon Marshall, WR, Denver
Marshall had his suspension reduced from three games to one game. Any Fantasy owner who drafted him after Round 5 should be doing cartwheels. Marshall has the chance to be a Top 5 or even Top 3 Fantasy receiver this year based on his talent and potential. He was called a bust coming into training camp, but that label is gone. Make sure you have a solid backup for the first week of the season, but the next 15 games, Marshall should be a regular in your lineup. This will help Jay Cutler tremendously as well.
Chad Johnson, WR, Cincinnati
I guess we should call him Chad Javon Ocho Cinco now after he legally changed his name. That's not important to Fantasy owners. What is a concern is if Johnson can make it through the season with the torn labrum in his shoulder. You still have to draft Johnson as a starting Fantasy receiver based on his talent, but if you can get him as a No. 3 option, that's a safer bet. At some point this year he might have surgery, and that would ruin your team if he cost you a high draft pick. This could be a down season for Johnson. Sorry, Ocho Cinco.
Other "Stock Up" players: Matt Schaub, QB, Houston; Jay Cutler, QB, Denver; Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay; Chris Perry, RB, Cincinnati; Ricky Williams, RB, Miami; Ray Rice, RB, Baltimore; Maurice Morris, RB, Seattle; Andre Hall, RB, Denver; DeSean Jackson, WR, Philadelphia; Greg Jennings, WR, Green Bay; Robert Meachem, WR, New Orleans; Ted Ginn Jr., WR, Miami; Calvin Johnson, WR, Detroit

Other "Stock Down" players: Vince Young, QB, Tennessee; Tarvaris Jackson, QB, Minnesota; Jason Campbell, QB, Washington; Thomas Jones, RB, New York Jets; Willis McGahee, RB, Baltimore; Ryan Grant, RB, Green Bay; Jamal Lewis, RB, Cleveland; Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Pittsburgh; Steve Smith, WR, Carolina; Joey Galloway, WR, Tampa Bay; Ernest Wilford, WR, Miami; Todd Heap, TE, Baltimore; Bryant Johnson, WR, San Francisco

Do you have a player you're interested in finding out about from this preseason, or feel that we're missing someone from our Stockwatch? You can e-mail us at DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Stockwatch in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware we do not guarantee personal responses to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Matt Schaub
Schaub doing well in rehab
Matt Schaub, QB, HOU
1:03 PM
News: The Houston Chronicle reports Tuesday that Texans QB Matt Schaub, who finished the season on injured reserve following foot surgery, is doing well and his rehab is ahead of schedule. The report says Schaub works out almost every day.
Analysis: This is great news, and we expect Schaub to return at 100 percent in 2012. Continue to monitor what happens with Schaub, but he should be considered a low-end No. 1/high-end No. 2 Fantasy QB heading into the season. He is worth a mid-round pick in all leagues on Draft Day.

Lofa Tatupu
Tatupu visits Saints
Lofa Tatupu, LB, SEA
2:36 PM
News: Free agent LB Lofau Tatupu visited with the Saints on Monday, according to NFL.com. The 29-year-old Tatupu sat out the 2011 season. The former Pro Bowl MLB was asked to take a pay cut by the Seahawks after the lockout ended last summer, and subsequently asked for his release. Tatupu was scheduled to visit with the Raiders and Redskins in August, but didn't sign with anyone and fell off the radar for the remainder of the year while he reportedly dealt with a knee injury. Tatupu was scheduled to earn more than $4 million in 2011 before his release by Seattle. The six-year veteran was a second-round pick and has played in three Pro Bowls. But he also started to wear down from 2008-2010, including finishing 2009 on injured reserve with a knee injury. He did start all 16 games in 2010, but had surgery on both knees during the offseason.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Tatupu and where he plays in 2012. When healthy and active he could be a No. 3 Fantasy LB worth a late-round pick in IDP leagues.

Ravens
Flacco, Ravens to work on deal
Ravens, TQB BAL,
12:47 PM
News: The NFL Network reports that the Ravens are set to open contract extension talks with QB Joe Flacco's agent at the NFL Combine next week. The report says both sides aim for a long-term deal. Flacco is entering a contract year in 2012, and Ravens owner Steve Bisciotti recently said Flacco would be the team's starting quarterback for years to come.
Analysis: Flacco's won a lot of games for the Ravens but hasn't taken the next step statistically, even when the team added Anquan Boldin and Torrey Smith. Flacco has had between 3,610 and 3,622 passing yards and between 20 and 25 touchdowns in each of his last three seasons. But this year his completion percentage and yards per attempt dropped like a rock while his pass attempts hit a career high (542, breaking the previous mark of 499). Flacco fits the bill as a great No. 2 Fantasy QB; though he's finally outfitted with a quality receiving corps, he simply doesn't invoke much confidence as a starting option. Look for him late in drafts.

Jahvid Best
Best 'on pace' for offseason work
Jahvid Best, RB, DET
12:43 PM
News: The Detroit Free-Press reports that Lions RB Jahvid Best’s status remains uncertain because of concussion problems even though team president Tom Lewand is optimistic. Lewand said Best is "on pace" to be ready for offseason workouts, and he is looking forward to seeing Best and Mikel Leshoure play together. "Jahvid is a special player and he'll be even more dynamic when he can ... share the load with a guy like Mikel in the backfield."
Analysis: We hope Best can return at 100 percent, but he will likely be used as a change of pace rusher and a third-down back. Continue to monitor what happens with Best, but he should only be drafted with a late-round pick in standard leagues and a mid-round selection in PPR formats since he will likely be used in tandem with Leshoure and possibly Kevin Smith if he returns as a free agent.

Mikel Leshoure
Leshoure's recovery going well
Mikel Leshoure, RB, DET
12:40 PM
News: The Detroit Free-Press reports that Lions RB Mikel Leshoure, who tore his left Achilles tendon in the second week of training camp last year, is close to making a full recovery. At the Lions’ request, Leshoure just moved the final stages of his rehab back to Detroit from Arizona. He’s doing resistance work and light running and is expected to join OTA workouts at some point this offseason. Leshoure looked like he was going to be a key part of the Lions offense when injury struck last August, and the team is anxious to get a read on him this spring. RB Jahvid Best’s status remains uncertain because of concussion problems, and even if Best returns it’s clear he’s not an every-down back.
Analysis: Leshoure should be considered a great sleeper heading into 2012, and he is worth drafting as a No. 3 Fantasy RB as long as he's healthy. He has tremendous upside, and he could be a great weapon for the Lions, especially with Best struggling as an every-down back. Continue to monitor what happens with Leshoure, but he is worth drafting as early as Round 6 in 2012.

Mike Wallace
Steelers want to lock up Wallace
Mike Wallace, WR, PIT
12:17 PM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday the team wants to keep WR Mike Wallace "here for the long run." Wallace, their leading receiver last season, will become a restricted free agent March 13.
Analysis: Wallace played well in 2011 with 72 catches for 1,193 yards and eight touchdowns on 114 targets. He will remain in Pittsburgh in 2012, and hopefully he can sign a long-term deal. We consider Wallace a Top 10 Fantasy WR on Draft Day, and he should be selected in all leagues in Round 3.

Hines Ward
GM says no decision on Ward yet
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
12:13 PM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on whether WR Hines Ward will be back with the Steelers in 2012. "To this current point, no final decisions have been made," Colbert said. "We've had several discussions internally. We're right in the midst of our free agent evaluations of other teams' free agents. We'll meet on those [on the Steelers roster] starting Thursday and carry through Monday." A recent report on NFL Network said that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Brandon Lloyd
Pats could go after Lloyd
Brandon Lloyd, WR, STL
12:08 PM
News: The Boston Herald reports that the Patriots will be in the market for a WR this year, and one obvious possibility is Brandon Lloyd, who is an impending free agent, because of his ties to offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. The fact that Lloyd said “I’m tied to McDaniels” makes him a likely free agent target. Lloyd had 51 catches for 683 yards and five TDs last year in 11 games in St. Louis when McDaniels was the offensive coordinator makes him look pretty good after he amassed 77 catches for 1,448 yards and 11 scores with Denver when McDaniels was the coach.
Analysis: One holdup for Lloyd and the Patriots could be Lloyd's agent, Tom Condon, who has a rocky relationship with the Patriots. We'll see what plays out this offseason, but if Lloyd signs in New England he would be considered a low-end No. 2 Fantasy WR. He could still return to the Rams, where he would be a strong No. 3 option. Or he could shop himself around the league. Stay tuned, but either way Lloyd is worth a mid-round pick in all leagues.

Bills
Fitzpatrick finished season hurt
Bills, TQB BUF,
11:53 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick's second-half swoon in 2011 was mystifying to fans and media who concluded the front office badly miscalculated in handing the career journeyman a 10-year, $60 million contract extension. But now it appears Fitzpatrick played the final nine games last season with cracked ribs. "A lot of people don't know, but Fitz, during the Washington game, actually cracked a couple of ribs," WR David Nelson said. "So after that he was playing hurt." It showed. In Fitzpatrick's first seven games of the year, he threw for 1,739 yards, 14 touchdowns and seven interceptions. After the injury, he had 2,093 yards, 10 touchdowns and 16 picks. He finished the year with a league-high 23 interceptions. "It's hard to find the silver lining but as we evaluate the season and what went right and what went wrong I'm sure we'll find a lot of positives and a lot of things that we can carry into next year hopefully and continue to get better at it," Fitzpatrick said.
Analysis: Fitzpatrick obviously has 4,000-yard, 25-touchdown potential, but issues involving the personnel around him along with his own issues (accuracy, for one) make him risky for weekly use in Fantasy. Figure that he's worth a late-round pick as a good No. 2 Fantasy QB with potential to be a low-end starter. It should only help him if the Bills not only re-sign Steve Johnson this offseason, but also add talent at wide receiver.

Josh Scobee
Jags want Scobee back
Josh Scobee, K, JAC
11:47 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that Jacksonville has most of its top offensive players locked into contracts for the coming season with one notable exception - kicker Josh Scobee, who is an eight-year veteran. Scobee has been one of the league's most accurate kickers in his eight seasons with the Jaguars, converting better than 75 percent of his field-goal attempts in all but one season. Scobee led the team in scoring last year with 92 points, including 23 of 25 (92 percent) field-goal attempts, the second time in his career he's finished over 90 percent with his kicks. It isn't likely the Jaguars would use the franchise tag on him and probably won't have to. They'll make every attempt to sign him. For a team that was among the league's lowest scoring clubs, the Jaguars can ill afford to lose a player with Scobee's talents.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Scobee. He is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues, but he could be used as a bye-week replacement as long as he remains with the Jaguars.

 
 
 
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