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Playing the Waiver Wire: React and overreact

Jamey Eisenberg
Senior Fantasy Writer
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The last time the Patriots lost a quarterback in the middle of a game was 2001 when Drew Bledsoe was knocked out. Tom Brady came off the bench, and the rest has been magical for New England and Fantasy owners.

Can the same thing happen again with Matt Cassel?

Cassel came on for Brady in Week 1 against Kansas City after Brady suffered a torn ACL. Cassel passed for 152 yards and a touchdown and will now be the starter for the immediate future.

Matt Ryan was all smiles after Week 1, but slow down, he's just a rookie. (US Presswire)  
Matt Ryan was all smiles after Week 1, but slow down, he's just a rookie. (US Presswire)  
Fantasy owners should add Cassel immediately -- even if you don't own Brady. You always want to have the quarterback throwing to Randy Moss and Wes Welker, and those receivers should help Cassel be successful.

Now, don't go overboard with Cassel, whose ownership has grown to 15 percent of leagues on CBSSports.com as of Tuesday a.m. His start in Week 2 at the Jets will be his first since high school after he played behind Carson Palmer and Matt Leinart at Southern Cal and Brady in the NFL.

And even though the Patriots told Tim Rattay and Chris Simms their services weren't needed, it doesn't mean they won't add someone in the next couple of weeks, especially if Cassel struggles against the Jets. (Please don't start the Daunte Culpepper rumors either).

Cassel could be the next great Fantasy star, so take the chance to pick him up. But if you miss on him, there are other quarterbacks available.

Trent Edwards (32 percent ownership), Tarvaris Jackson (29 percent), J.T. O'Sullivan (33 percent), Chad Pennington (30 percent ownership) and Matt Ryan (27 percent) could be available if you're trying to replace Brady. Edwards and Jackson played well in Week 1, O'Sullivan has the most upside and Pennington is a steady veteran. Ryan could struggle, but he might be worth the gamble.

And with Vince Young (knee) and Brodie Croyle (shoulder) out, Kerry Collins (not owned) and Damon Huard (1 percent) are worth keeping an eye on. Huard would be the better option of these two passers.

In case you haven't noticed ... It's time to add Broncos wide receiver Eddie Royal. The rookie had a tremendous NFL debut on Monday night at Oakland with nine catches for 146 yards and a touchdown, and he's only owned in 34 percent of leagues. He was Denver's best receiver in Week 1 with Brandon Marshall suspended for the game. Marshall returns in Week 2, which will lower Royal's value, but he's still worth adding at this time. Jay Cutler will continue to look in Royal's direction since he's starting opposite Marshall, and at worst Royal can be a valuable reserve receiver.

Each Tuesday we will highlight players who might be available in your league and whether you should consider picking them up off waivers based on their recent performances. The players chosen are based on the percentage of ownership in CBSSports.com leagues.

Add 'Em

Deion Branch, WR, Seattle
Owned: 24 percent of leagues
Week 1: Did not play at Buffalo.
Analysis: Branch is trying to come back from a torn ACL and nearly surprised owners in Week 1 by almost playing against the Bills. Now, with Nate Burleson (knee) out along with Bobby Engram (shoulder) and Ben Obomanu (broken clavicle), Branch might come back in Week 2 if he can. The Seahawks need receivers, and it appears Branch could be a savior for the team and Fantasy owners.

Anthony Fasano, TE, Miami
Owned: 9 percent of leagues
Week 1: Caught eight passes for 84 yards and a touchdown against the Jets.
Analysis: Fasano led the Dolphins in receiving against the Jets, and that could happen most weeks with Miami's lack of talent at receiver. Chad Pennington doesn't throw outside much, so when he looks over the middle of the field, Fasano will likely be his main target. And Fasano appears to be a solid red zone threat.

Tim Hightower, RB, Arizona
Owned: 29 percent of leagues
Week 1: Had eight carries for 13 yards and a touchdown and caught three passes for 21 yards at San Francisco.
Analysis: Hightower is the No. 2 running back for the Cardinals behind Edgerrin James, but Hightower is going to be the goal-line back. That was evident in the preseason and it happened in Week 1 also. Last year, the Cardinals went to a goal-line package with Marcel Shipp, but Hightower will fill the role now. And with James an older running back, it's worth grabbing Hightower in case James gets hurt or falters.

Sammy Morris, RB, New England
Owned: 13 percent of leagues
Week 1: Had 10 carries for 53 yards and a touchdown and caught five passes for 34 yards against Kansas City.
Analysis: Here we go again with the Patriots running backs. Morris split time with Laurence Maroney (10 carries for 51 yards), but Morris had the better game against the Chiefs. We'll see how it plays out now that Tom Brady is out, but it appears New England is content to rotate running backs. That means add Morris in case this type of production continues.

Avoid 'Em

Hank Baskett, WR, Philadelphia
Owned: 3 percent of leagues
Week 1: Caught two pass for 102 yards and a touchdown against St. Louis.
Analysis: Baskett played well against a bad Rams team, but he did most of his damage on a 90-yard pass following a missed tackle. The Eagles will rotate their receivers with Kevin Curtis (hernia) and Reggie Brown (hamstring) out, but Baskett wasn't thrown at enough to be considered a good Fantasy receiver. You want to find players involved in the offense on a regular basis, and Baskett isn't that guy right now.

David Martin, TE, Miami
Owned: 0 percent of leagues
Week 1: Caught four passes for 53 yards and a touchdown against the Jets.
Analysis: The Dolphins are going to depend on their tight ends since Chad Pennington doesn't have the arm strength to throw outside to his receivers on a regular basis. But Anthony Fasano is the starter for Miami, and Martin won't be on the field as often as Fasano. If you need a tight end, go with the Dolphins starter and not the No. 2 guy.

Le'Ron McClain, RB, Baltimore
Owned: 0 percent of leagues
Week 1: Had 19 carries for 86 yards and two catches for 24 yards against Cincinnati.
Analysis: McClain took advantage of Willis McGahee (knee) being out and played better than Ray Rice against the Bengals. But McClain is third on the depth chart when everyone is healthy and should not be used going forward. The Ravens still like Rice at No. 2, and McGahee is going to start once he's 100 percent recovered from his injury.

Others to monitor ...

Shaun Alexander, RB, free agent
Owned: 16 percent
Week 1: Did not play.
Analysis: Alexander could sign with Cincinnati, which would help the Bengals and owners who spent a late-round pick on Alexander. If this move happens, don't expect Alexander to return to prominence, but he could be better than Chris Perry and Kenny Watson. Remember, the Bengals talked to Alexander this offseason and could be ready to add him with the hopes he will improve their running game.

Michael Pittman, RB, Denver
Owned: 6 percent of leagues
Week 1: Had seven carries for 13 yards and two touchdowns at Oakland.
Analysis: Pittman was moved to fullback in training camp, but when he signed with the Broncos this offseason, it was thought he would be the goal-line back. That played out against the Raiders. Don't expect Pittman to score like this on a regular basis, but if he continues to get goal-line carries, he should be added immediately. For now, just see how Mike Shanahan uses Pittman in a committee with Selvin Young and Andre Hall.

Dante Rosario, TE, Carolina
Owned: 0 percent of leagues
Week 1: Caught seven passes for 96 yards and a touchdown at San Diego.
Analysis: Jake Delhomme needed someone to throw to with Steve Smith suspended, and Rosario stepped up in Week 1. He should play well again in Week 2, and if he does, add him. But for now, let's see how Rosario performs for another week without Smith. The Panthers will need a second receiving threat once Smith returns, and Rosario could be that player.

Do you have a question? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll post the best responses. Be sure to put Attn: Waiver Wire in the subject field. Include your name, hometown and state.

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Player News
Mike Gillislee
Excitement building over Gillislee
Mike Gillislee, RB, MIA
2:12 PM
News: The Miami Herald reports that even though the Dolphins "love" Lamar Miller and have Daniel Thomas, who "sees himself as the successor to (Reggie) Bush," the darkhorse candidate to carry the running game is rookie Mike Gillislee. The report says "there is an internal excitement about him. There is hope he can factor and perhaps even surprise everyone." Gillislee was drafted in the fifth round this year out of Florida.
Analysis: We fully expect Miller to start, but he has limited experience. And Thomas, as much as he expects to win the starting job, could easily fall to third on the depth chart. The South Florida Sun Sentinel previously suggested Gillislee will compete for the starting job, and we can see him being a factor this season. Put him on your sleeper list and draft him with a late-round flier. In rookie-only formats take a chance on Gillislee with a second-round pick.

Anthony McCoy
McCoy has torn Achilles
Anthony McCoy, TE, SEA
2:10 PM
News: NFL Network reported Seahawks tight end Anthony McCoy had surgery to repair a partially torn Achilles suffered during the Seahawks' recent OTA practices. Per the report, McCoy tore the Achilles while running.
Analysis: This should seal Zach Miller as the Seahawks' most threatening tight end and rookie Luke Wilson as his backup. McCoy was never a consideration for Fantasy in the first place and might be done for the year if the Seahawks don't want to wait for him to come back from his rehab.

Roy Helu
Helu out during OTAs
Roy Helu, RB, WAS
2:28 PM
News: The Washington Post reports that Redskins running back Roy Helu is sitting out OTA workouts this week as he continues to recover from last year's toe injury. The report says Helu also is dealing with an Achilles injury.
Analysis: Helu has work to do if he wants to earn the No. 2 job behind Alfred Morris. He will face competition from rookie Chris Thompson for third-down work, and Evan Royster is also in the mix to be the top backup. Keep an eye on Helu's recovery, and he would only be worth a late-round flier at best if he's back at 100 percent by training camp.

Randy Moss
49ers haven't contacted Moss
Randy Moss, WR, SF
2:21 PM
News: CBSSports.com NFL Insider Mike Freeman reports that the 49ers haven't contacted free agent receiver Randy Moss following the injury to Michael Crabtree (Achilles). Freeman reports that Moss left the 49ers on good terms following his one season there in 2012.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Moss and if a team will be willing to take a chance on him. If he signs with the 49ers or somewhere else, his Fantasy value will be determined on his role and his quarterback. He could be worth a late-round pick, but Moss' best days are definitely behind him.

Aaron Dobson
Dobson draws favorable comparison
Aaron Dobson, WR, NE
2:16 PM
News: The Boston Globe reports that NFL Films senior producer Greg Cosell "is a big fan" of Patriots rookie receiver Aaron Dobson, who was drafted in the second round out of Marshall. “This is going to sound crazy, but I thought that his size/hand combination, at times, reminded me of Larry Fitzgerald,” Cosell said. “He’s not Larry Fitzgerald, obviously, but he’s a big kid who can move very well with really good hands.”
Analysis: Dobson is 6-foot-3, 203 pounds and made plenty of highlight-reel catches at Marshall. In each of his last three seasons in colege, Dobson had at least 44 catches and 668 yards receiving. He had 12 touchdown catches in 2011. His 24 career touchdown receptions tie former Patriot Troy Brown for fourth most in Marshall history. If Dobson earns a starting job he would be worth a late-round flier in all leagues. He's worth at least a second-round pick in rookie-only formats.

Mike Goodson
Goodson says he'll practice next week
Mike Goodson, RB, NYJ
11:00 AM
News: The New York Daily News reports Jets running back Mike Goodson expects to practice next week. He didn't practice this week in the wake of being arrested on drug and weapons charges. A hearing is scheduled for June 12.
Analysis: Maybe the Jets are planning to have Goodson as part of their plan for 2013 after all. Between the courts and the league there's no guarantee that Goodson will play for all of the 2013 season. For now owners shouldn't have him on their radars, though if his attorney is as innocent as he suggests, that would change before the majority of people hold their Fantasy drafts.

Joe Morgan
Morgan hopes for No. 3 role
Joe Morgan, WR, NO
10:57 AM
News: The New Orleans Times-Picayune reports Saints receiver Joe Morgan is trying to prove himself this season. After missing his rookie year in 2011, Morgan had just 10 catches for 379 yards and three touchdowns last season, but entering his third year he could be in line for a bigger role. With Devery Henderson gone, Morgan could be third on the depth chart. Since he was predominately a deep threat last season, Morgan is trying to improve his intermediate routes this offseason if he hopes to earn the No. 3 wide receiver role. "You've seen the highlight plays, so that means all the other 31 teams have seen the highlight reel plays," Morgan said. "They're not going to keep letting me run up and down the field. Eventually guys are going to start playing softer coverage and play back me back a little bit."
Analysis: Morgan will continue to be the deep threat for the Saints, but if he improves his route running that will only enhance his ability. We like Morgan with a late-round flier in standard leagues, and hopefully his third season in the NFL will lead to a breakout campaign.

Ricardo Lockette
Lockette in step with Kap
Ricardo Lockette, WR, SF
11:17 AM
News: The San Jose Mercury News wrote about 49ers receiver Ricardo Lockette and what he might be able to bring to San Francisco after the team lost veteran Michael Crabtree to a torn Achilles. The report says, "Lockette, 27, has spent the past eight months getting round-the-clock tutoring from Kaepernick, including two months this offseason as they trained in Atlanta with teammates A.J. Jenkins and Chad Hall. Kaepernick also has found creative ways to help Lockette assimilate with the 49ers' vast and complex playbook, and that includes word association for breaking down plays."
Analysis: We took a peek at Lockette's two catches in 2011 with the Seahawks. He's got nice size to go with terrific speed. One of his catches went for a touchdown where he bobbled the ball before reeling it in. The other was a fade route where he had a defender on his hip and he still made the catch. But he also had a dropped pass and ultimately wasn't consistent enough for the Seahawks to keep him. The Niners seemingly waited for a chance to use him and this could be it. We're not drafting him just yet but we're definitely watching him in training camp.

Danario Alexander
Alexander says he's at 'full speed'
Danario Alexander, WR, SD
10:57 AM
News: U-T San Diego speculated that Danario Alexander could be a trade target for the 49ers in the wake of losing Michael Crabtree but the Chargers are high on their young, tall talent. The team is reportedly excited about Alexander after he clicked in a big way with Philip Rivers last season. Alexander has looked good in spring OTAs, making back-shoulder catches on Monday. "This is a great opportunity for me to just get better without worrying about any injuries," Alexander said. "I was trying to ease into it last year, trying to keep my feet under me. But, now, I'm full speed all the way."
Analysis: A year ago he was struggling with a hamstring injury in St. Louis, so Alexander's come a long way. He's entering a contract year and has much to prove. We suspect the Chargers will lean toward a pass-happy approach and that would favor Alexander. He's got a track record of serious knee issues (five surgeries) but obviously has upside after catching 37 passes for a ridiculous 658 yards (17.8 yards per catch) and seven touchdowns including two at Pittsburgh in an improbable upset victory. With the Chargers, Alexander is worth drafting as a low-end No. 3 Fantasy WR with a mid-round pick -- and some pretty strong upside.

Andrew Luck
Luck OK with running more
Andrew Luck, QB, IND
10:42 AM
News: According to the team's official website, the Colts ran the ball just 39.7 percent of the time last season. While that sat well with Andrew Luck last season, the truth is the Colts' coaching staff wants to be more balanced. As the team moves into a new offense with more West Coast offense principles (Luck's familiar with it), Luck said it's OK for him to hand off more often. "Obviously, all quarterbacks have a little syndrome in which we like to think we can throw the ball every play, every game and win," said Luck. "I think we realize that running the ball is going to help our passing game. If we can have a balanced attack, I think that will really, really help the team."
Analysis: While we don't expect the Colts to run the ball even 50 percent of the time in 2013, we do think they will think of running the ball a bit more often than they did last year. Luck attempted 627 passes last season but completed under 55 percent of them. If he throws only, say, 550 passes but completes 60 percent of them then he'd have roughly the same amount of completions as he had as a rookie. While the new system might mean more short- and mid-range passes from Luck, he should still be productive for Fantasy owners. He's worth a pick starting in Round 6 as a starter in standard seasonal leagues.

 
 
 
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