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Jamey Eisenberg

Week 1 Fantasy Stockwatch

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Each week, we'll survey the Fantasy Football landscape and provide you with a list of players whose Fantasy value has increased or decreased over the course of the past week. The arrows indicate which way a player's stock is heading, but you'll have to read what we have to say to know whether you should hold on to a player or make a move to trade him -- or trade for him.

Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay
Brett Favre who? OK, so Rodgers isn't going to make people forget about Favre, but he played well enough in Week 1 against Minnesota to warrant consideration as a possible Fantasy starter. With Tom Brady (knee) out for the year, Rodgers could be worth trading for if you need a starter and can't pick up Matt Cassel. Rodgers has great weapons in Greg Jennings and Donald Driver and showed against the Vikings he could make plays running as well.
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, Seattle
It went from bad to worse for Hasselbeck, who entered the season without Deion Branch (knee), Bobby Engram (shoulder) and Ben Obomanu (broken clavicle) and then lost Nate Burleson with a torn ACL in Week 1 at Buffalo. Hasselbeck could get Branch back soon, possibly for Week 2, but he has no one with experience to throw to right now. It also won't help that Maurice Morris (knee) could miss two weeks. Hasselbeck's value continues to plummet, so consider him a No. 2 option now.
Philip Rivers, QB, San Diego
Rivers made everyone forget in Week 1 that he suffered a torn ACL in the playoffs and still isn't fully recovered. He looked solid against Carolina with three touchdown passes and should be considered a low-end No. 1 Fantasy option at this point. Rivers had a great training camp and preseason, and he's comfortable in Norv Turner's system. Antonio Gates (toe) also showed he is 100 percent, so consider Rivers another good option to trade for if you lost Brady.
Marc Bulger, QB, St. Louis
Bulger and the entire Rams offense looked lost at Philadelphia in Week 1, which was expected since they were outdoors and facing an aggressive defense. That could continue in Week 2 against the Giants. Bulger now lost another target in wide receiver Drew Bennett (broken foot), and rookie Donnie Avery has been slowed with a sprained knee. Torry Holt could face even more coverage, so this could be a long year for Bulger. He should be considered a No. 2 Fantasy option for now.
DeAngelo Williams, RB, Carolina
Williams showed he's clearly the No. 1 running back for the Panthers right now by outplaying Jonathan Stewart in Week 1 at San Diego. Williams had 18 carries for 86 yards, while Stewart had 10 carries for 53 yards. Both will continue to share carries, but hopefully Williams will be more productive. If he is, try shopping him around since Stewart could eventually pass Williams on the depth chart. And we still don't know if Williams will get the short-yardage carries near the end zone.
Chris Perry, RB, Cincinnati
Perry struggled in his debut as the new starter with 18 carries for only 37 yards at Baltimore. The Ravens defense is solid, but Perry couldn't get anything going and now might be replaced by Shaun Alexander. The Bengals could sign Alexander, which would cut into Perry's carries. His quick ascent as a Fantasy option might be over. Don't release Perry even if Alexander signs, but try to trade Perry now while he still has some value as a starter.
Justin Fargas, RB, Oakland
The addition of Darren McFadden caused many Fantasy owners to shy away from Fargas, but he showed in Week 1 against Denver that he's still going to be a factor. Fargas had 97 yards rushing against the Broncos and outplayed McFadden (46 rushing yards), who left the game in the fourth quarter with a shoulder injury. McFadden should be fine for Week 2, but Fargas might be the better Fantasy option at this point. If you can, try shopping Fargas around your league because at some point McFadden will take over for the Raiders.
Laurence Maroney, RB, New England
If you follow the Patriots, what happened in Week 1 was a nightmare, and we're not talking about Brady's knee injury. Watching Sammy Morris (10 carries for 53 yards and a touchdown) outplay Maroney (10 carries for 51 yards) was horrible and could be a sign of things to come. With Brady out, the Patriots will likely lean on the ground game, and hopefully Maroney gets the majority of carries. If Morris continues to cut into Maroney's playing time, then Fantasy owners who drafted Maroney will be headed for a long year.
DeSean Jackson, WR, Philadelphia
Forget about Kevin Curtis and Reggie Brown, who are out with injuries. Forget about Greg Lewis and Hank Baskett, who played well in Week 1 against the Rams. Jackson is going to be the Eagles best wide receiver this year. He led the team with six catches for 106 yards against St. Louis, but he was targeted 10 times by Donovan McNabb. Since the Eagles love to throw, look for Jackson to be a staple in the game plan every week, which is great for Fantasy owners.
Chad Johnson, WR, Cincinnati
Again, whatever his name is, it doesn't really matter. What you care about is Johnson -- Ocho Cinco -- making plays. And right now he's not. He only had one catch for 22 yards in Week 1 at Baltimore, and along with the lack of production, there's a concern because of his injured shoulder. Johnson should get going as the season goes on as long as he doesn't need surgery. But right now Johnson is playing like Ocho Stinko and hurting Fantasy owners, who should keep him reserved.

Do you have a player you're interested in finding out about or feel that we're missing someone from our Stockwatch? You can e-mail us at DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Stockwatch in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state. Be aware we do not guarantee personal responses to all questions.

 
 
 
Player News
Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
10:10 AM
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to."
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
9:39 AM
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
9:36 AM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
11:14 AM
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
9:53 AM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that if the Steelers have decided to release WR Hines Ward he is unaware of it. The NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012. However, a source close to Ward said no one from the Steelers has indicated to him the team plans to release him. Ward, who could not be reached for comment, issued a statement on his Facebook page after the NFL Network report that said, "I don't normally like to respond to rumors, but as I've said all along, I want to finish my career with the Pittsburgh Steelers. And as I've already told the organization, I am willing to work with them to restructure my contract to make sure this happens.'' Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
9:49 AM
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
9:46 AM
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

Benjamin Watson
Watson over concussions
Benjamin Watson, TE, CLE
9:43 AM
News: The Boston Herald reports that Browns TE Benjamin Watson, who was placed on season-ending injured reserve in Cleveland in December due to concussion problems, said he was doing fine, had no lingering effects, and was ready to move forward and prepare to tackle his ninth season in 2012. Watson played in 13 games, and suffered three concussions, including in the preseason. After the third, which occurred against Pittsburgh in Week 14, doctors decided it would be best for him to shut it down. “I’m great. Three or four days after the last incident, I felt normal. I past all my cognitive tests. I didn’t have any headaches. I didn’t have any nausea. I didn’t have any dizziness,” he said. “With three games left, they just erred on the side of caution and decided to end the season for me. You hate for that to happen, but that’s why the doctors are in place. As far as lingering symptoms, I didn’t have anything. I know some guys have headaches for weeks. That wasn’t my scenario, thankfully. So hopefully, it was just a bad luck year.”
Analysis: Watson hopes to remain with the Browns in 2012 in what will be a contract year. He will likely compete with Evan Moore for playing time, but Watson has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Ignore him in most formats on Draft Day.

Richard Seymour
Seymour gets bonus from Raiders
Richard Seymour, DT, OAK
2/12/2012
News: The Oakland Raiders have paid DL Richard Seymour his $7.5 million roster bonus, ensuring he'll stay with the Raiders next season. The Raiders could have released Seymour and his massive contract, but chose instead to keep him and not make wholesale changes to the roster.
Analysis: The 32-year-old Seymour played in all 16 games for the Raiders in 2011 as he recorded 29 tackles and six sacks. His six sacks were his highest total since notching eight in 2008 for New England. Seymour is just a low-end option when it comes to IDP formats in Fantasy play.

Rey Maualuga
Maualuga charged by police
Rey Maualuga, MLB, CIN
2/11/2012
News: Bengals LB Rey Maualuga has officially been charged by Cincinnati police with misdemeanor assault stemming from a bar fight last weekend. This report comes from The Associated Press. The Bengals had no comment.
Analysis: Maualuga is likely to be at least fined for this incident, especially after his 2010 DUI arrest cost him two game checks. He won't miss any playing time, though. Maualuga is just a low-end option in IDP formats heading into next season.

 
 
 
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