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Dave Richard

Getting on the Defensive: Breakout players

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Sack leaders | INT leaders | Tackle leaders

One of the more interesting parts of an Individual Defensive Players league, or IDP league, is that the players who are well-known defenders aren't always good for Fantasy Football. For instance, quality NFL players like Marcus Trufant, Shaun Rogers, Derrick Johnson, Mike Peterson, Nate Clements and Nnamdi Asomugha are all guys you'd want to have on your NFL team, but through three weeks, they don't register as top-150 IDPs in leagues that count tackles!

Meanwhile, players who weren't previously sought after like Bryant McFadden, Freddie Keiaho, Mike Adams and Eric Weddle are all posting solid stats and rank as top 50 IDPs. The name of the game is stats, not household-name recognition, so going with the unknown over the impact player everyone knows is the right move -- so long as the unknown player can keep up the work.

Here's a look at some surprise defenders through three weeks of the NFL season:

Gaines Adams, DE, Buccaneers: Helped by an interception-return for a touchdown in Week 3, Adams has nice stats (two sacks, a pass defensed, seven total tackles) as he enters his second NFL season.
Can he keep it up? The INT-TD was such a joke of a play as Bears QB Kyle Orton threw the ball right to him, so stuff like that won't happen much for him. But the sack totals should rise as Adams is a big, physical and fast end who should emerge. Tackle production is the only question.

Chris Gamble, CB, Panthers: Gamble was a big hit in 2005 but trailed off in the two years thereafter. In 2008, he already has a touchdown, one interception, two fumble recoveries and 17 total tackles. It's no surprise that Gamble is in a contract year.
Can he keep it up? Gamble is helped by an improved front seven in Carolina. So long as Julius Peppers and Jon Beason put some pressure on opposing quarterbacks, he should roll.

Michael Griffin, SS, Titans: Tennessee's defense has come around thanks in part to Griffin, a second-year man who already has matched his rookie total of three interceptions. He's also pitched in a sack, three pass breakups and 15 total tackles.
Can he keep it up? The Titans sure hope so. This is the kind of player who can develop into an IDP stud for years to come. He should be starting in all leagues.

Freddie Keiaho, LB, Colts: Opportunity met talent, and that's why Keiaho is a decent stat producer. Through three games, he has 31 total tackles -- 23 solo -- as a member of the Colts' linebacking corps.
Can he keep it up? If the Colts can't contain the run, coach Tony Dungy is going to start reassigning roles to his players, and Keiaho might get moved or demoted. Use him while he's getting plenty of playing time.

Dhani Jones, LB, Bengals: The veteran, bow-tie wearing linebacker is about the only bright spot for Cincy's defense so far this year. He hasn't been a regular NFL starter for a couple of years now, and his tackle numbers suffered because of it. But with 32 total tackles through three games, Jones has re-emerged as a quality defender.
Can he keep it up? It helps that he's starting in the middle of the Bengals' woeful defense. He has the opportunity to keep those tackles coming.

Bryant McFadden, CB, Steelers: With DeShea Townsend injured for Pittsburgh, McFadden has picked up some playing time and done well with it, totaling two interceptions and five passes defensed. His play has helped the Steelers' secondary gain added momentum.
Can he keep it up? Maybe, if given the chance. This is essentially the Steelers' nickelback posting solid numbers, but what happens to his playing time when Townsend is healthy? He's a short-term Fantasy answer.

Fred Robbins, DL, Giants: Back-to-back weeks of quality play from Robbins has made him an interesting waiver-wire pick up. One of the benefits of playing defensive tackle for a blitzing team like the Giants is picking up some scrap sacks and additional stats. Robbins is enjoying that right now.
Can he keep it up? Defensive tackles aren't stat mavens, so consistency is a huge issue here. Think of him as a bye-week replacement at best.

LB matchups

Panthers vs. Falcons' run game: Atlanta is ranked in the top three in rushing attempts and the bottom three in pass attempts. Carolina will see a lot of Michael Turner and Jerious Norwood on Sunday.
LBs to check out: Jon Beason, Thomas Davis, Na'il Diggs

Vikings vs. Titans' run game: Usually it's the Vikings' defensive line expected to dominate, but the Titans' strength is their run game. Expect them to run at the Vikings more than most teams do. Between the slippery Chris Johnson and grinding LenDale White, the Vikings' linebackers will amass some tackles.
LBs to check out: E.J. Henderson, Chad Greenway, Ben Leber

Texans vs. Jaguars' run game: Between the success they had last week running the ball and their success against Houston in the past, look for the Jaguars to run Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor early and often.
LBs to check out: DeMeco Ryans, Zach Diles, Morlon Greenwood

Chargers vs. Raiders' run game: Oakland's passing offense is still developing, and they'll ride the run as long as they can. Containing an injured Darren McFadden and Michael Bush won't be tough for the Bolts, even on a short week.
LBs to check out: Matt Wilhelm, Shaun Phillips, Jyles Tucker, Derek Smith

DB matchups

Browns vs. Bengals' pass game: Cincinnati nearly pulled off an upset last week thanks to Carson Palmer hitting T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Antonio Chatman time and again. The Bengals will likely use that same formula against the Browns' awful secondary.
DBs to check out: Mike Adams, Nick Sorensen, Eric Wright, Brandon McDonald

Saints vs. 49ers' pass game: The Niners are more balanced than we're used to seeing from a Mike Martz-led offense, but they're going to try and take advantage of mismatches against the Saints' weak secondary in what should be a high-scoring game.
DBs to check out: Kevin Kaesviharn, Roman Harper, Tracy Porter

Redskins vs. Cowboys' pass game: Washington's pass defense has been excellent, holding the Giants, Saints and Cardinals all under 220 yards passing. They've yielded three passing TDs and picked off four passes. All that said, Dallas will still sling the ball at will. The Redskins' DBs might make them pay.
DBs to check out: LaRon Landry, Carlos Rogers, Shawn Springs

DL matchups

Bills vs. Rams' offensive line/run game: This should be a huge week for the Bills' D-line playing on turf against a sagging offensive line and a quarterback known just as much for the hard hits he's taken as his good arm in Trent Green. The Rams should also provide a heavy dose of Steven Jackson, and the Bills' front four should be up to the challenge of keeping him down.
DLs to check out: Aaron Schobel, Chris Kelsay, Marcus Stroud, Kyle Williams

Broncos vs. Chiefs' offensive line: The Chiefs have tried to pass the ball, and through their last two games they've been highly unsuccessful. Denver's defensive line isn't much, but they should be able to get to Tyler Thigpen.
DLs to check out: Elvis Dumervil, Ebenezer Ekuban, John Engelberger

Do you have an IDP question? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll post the best responses. Be sure to put Attn: IDP in the subject field. Include your name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
10:10 AM
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to."
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
9:39 AM
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
9:36 AM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
11:14 AM
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
9:53 AM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that if the Steelers have decided to release WR Hines Ward he is unaware of it. The NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012. However, a source close to Ward said no one from the Steelers has indicated to him the team plans to release him. Ward, who could not be reached for comment, issued a statement on his Facebook page after the NFL Network report that said, "I don't normally like to respond to rumors, but as I've said all along, I want to finish my career with the Pittsburgh Steelers. And as I've already told the organization, I am willing to work with them to restructure my contract to make sure this happens.'' Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
9:49 AM
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
9:46 AM
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

Benjamin Watson
Watson over concussions
Benjamin Watson, TE, CLE
9:43 AM
News: The Boston Herald reports that Browns TE Benjamin Watson, who was placed on season-ending injured reserve in Cleveland in December due to concussion problems, said he was doing fine, had no lingering effects, and was ready to move forward and prepare to tackle his ninth season in 2012. Watson played in 13 games, and suffered three concussions, including in the preseason. After the third, which occurred against Pittsburgh in Week 14, doctors decided it would be best for him to shut it down. “I’m great. Three or four days after the last incident, I felt normal. I past all my cognitive tests. I didn’t have any headaches. I didn’t have any nausea. I didn’t have any dizziness,” he said. “With three games left, they just erred on the side of caution and decided to end the season for me. You hate for that to happen, but that’s why the doctors are in place. As far as lingering symptoms, I didn’t have anything. I know some guys have headaches for weeks. That wasn’t my scenario, thankfully. So hopefully, it was just a bad luck year.”
Analysis: Watson hopes to remain with the Browns in 2012 in what will be a contract year. He will likely compete with Evan Moore for playing time, but Watson has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Ignore him in most formats on Draft Day.

Richard Seymour
Seymour gets bonus from Raiders
Richard Seymour, DT, OAK
2/12/2012
News: The Oakland Raiders have paid DL Richard Seymour his $7.5 million roster bonus, ensuring he'll stay with the Raiders next season. The Raiders could have released Seymour and his massive contract, but chose instead to keep him and not make wholesale changes to the roster.
Analysis: The 32-year-old Seymour played in all 16 games for the Raiders in 2011 as he recorded 29 tackles and six sacks. His six sacks were his highest total since notching eight in 2008 for New England. Seymour is just a low-end option when it comes to IDP formats in Fantasy play.

Rey Maualuga
Maualuga charged by police
Rey Maualuga, MLB, CIN
2/11/2012
News: Bengals LB Rey Maualuga has officially been charged by Cincinnati police with misdemeanor assault stemming from a bar fight last weekend. This report comes from The Associated Press. The Bengals had no comment.
Analysis: Maualuga is likely to be at least fined for this incident, especially after his 2010 DUI arrest cost him two game checks. He won't miss any playing time, though. Maualuga is just a low-end option in IDP formats heading into next season.

 
 
 
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