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Jamey Eisenberg

Waiver Wire: This Bear anything but down

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Sometimes you have to admit when you're wrong. And it looks like I've been wrong on Kyle Orton.

I still think at some point the real Orton is going to show himself and return to being a mediocre quarterback. But right now the Bears starter is hot, and he could be a viable starting option for Fantasy owners given the state of quarterbacks around the league.

You can bet Kyle Orton will be a popular man off the waiver wire entering Week 6. (US Presswire)  
You can bet Kyle Orton will be a popular man off the waiver wire entering Week 6. (US Presswire)  
Since we're in the middle of bye weeks, finding a good backup Fantasy quarterback -- or for some owners a starter -- isn't easy if you had a bad draft or are dealing with injuries. Ben Roethlisberger is on a bye in Week 6, and other potential starting options in Matt Schaub (illness), Brian Griese (elbow) and Jon Kitna (back) could miss this week. Trent Edwards (concussion) also got hurt, but the Bills are on a bye in Week 6, which should give Edwards time to recover.

If you factor in Derek Anderson, David Garrard, Matt Hasselbeck and Carson Palmer, who all have more interceptions than touchdowns, and Marc Bulger, who has also struggled, finding a good Fantasy quarterback has been difficult. That's where Orton comes in.

He is only owned in 41 percent of Fantasy leagues on CBSSports.com, but he has been solid the past three weeks. He had 268 passing yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions in a loss against Tampa Bay in Week 3 and 199 passing yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions in a win against Philadelphia in Week 4. He also rushed for 42 yards in those two games.

On Sunday, Orton set a career high with 334 passing yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions at Detroit. This week, Orton will face Atlanta, which came into Week 5 at No. 13 in pass defense and then allowed Aaron Rodgers to pass for 313 yards, three touchdowns and one interception, so Orton could continue his hot streak.

He also has games against Detroit, Green Bay and St. Louis in November and New Orleans, Green Bay and Houston in December, so we could be talking about Orton a lot this season. Following his win against the Lions, Orton is currently the No. 11 quarterback in a standard-scoring league, ahead of Roethlisberger, Peyton Manning, Palmer, Anderson, Hasselbeck and Garrard.

And he is doing it with a suspect receiving corps of Marty Booker, Brandon Lloyd, Devin Hester, Rashied Davis and tight end Greg Olsen. Running back Matt Forte has also been a solid receiver out of the backfield.

It's hard to explain why Orton is playing this well, but he has put up good games against top defenses in Tampa Bay and Philadelphia and took advantage of a favorable matchup in Detroit. Now we'll find out if it continues, but it's time to add Orton if you're looking for help on your Fantasy team.

If you miss on Orton, some other quarterbacks who could help you this week are Garrard (73 percent) at Denver, Matt Cassel (70 percent) at San Diego or Chad Pennington (38 percent) at Houston. If Schaub is out again, which would be a surprise, Sage Rosenfels (5 percent) could be added against Miami.

JaMarcus Russell (39 percent) at New Orleans and Gus Frerotte (21 percent) against Detroit also have favorable matchups in Week 6. And if Jeff Garcia (12 percent) starts against Carolina with Griese hurt, he would be a decent last-minute replacement.

Also, don't be afraid to add Bulger (47 percent) again now that he's back as the starter. He has a tough matchup in Week 6 at Washington, but he could get going later this season.

In case you haven't noticed ... It's time to add Cardinals running back Tim Hightower. He remains one of the best Fantasy running backs this year because of his ability to score touchdowns, yet he's only owned in 71 percent of leagues. For the season, Hightower has 36 carries for 110 yards and five touchdowns and 10 catches for 92 yards. He is the No. 24 running back in a standard-scoring league, and he will remain in that range since he plays in a dynamic offense and is rewarded with goal-line carries. If Edgerrin James gets hurt, Hightower's Fantasy value would rise.

Each Monday we will highlight players who might be available in your league and whether you should consider picking them up off waivers based on their recent performances. The players chosen are based on the percentage of ownership in CBSSports.com leagues.

Add 'Em

Cedric Benson, RB, Cincinnati
Owned: 30 percent of leagues
Week 5: Had 10 carries for 30 yards at Dallas.
Analysis: Benson signed before the Cowboys game to give the Bengals depth at running back. Since Chris Perry has struggled, and he fumbled against the Cowboys for the fifth time this year, Benson could end up starting for the Bengals at some point in the near future. It's hard to imagine that Benson could play a role on your Fantasy team, but he's worth adding in case the Bengals increase his carries. Perry only had 13 carries for 31 yards at Dallas.

Steve Breaston, WR, Arizona
Owned: 48 percent of leagues
Week 5: Caught seven passes for 77 yards against Buffalo.
Analysis: We told you to add him last week after Anquan Boldin (head) got hurt at the Jets, and now Boldin is out indefinitely following surgery. Breaston played well against the Bills and started opposite Larry Fitzgerald. Even when Boldin returns, which should be relatively soon, Breaston will remain the No. 3 receiver for the Cardinals. He is a good Fantasy reserve in a No. 3 role, and when he's starting for Arizona, he could do the same for your Fantasy team.

Bobby Engram, WR, Seattle
Owned: 69 percent of leagues
Week 5: Caught eight passes for 61 yards at the Giants.
Analysis: Engram returned after missing the start of the season with a shoulder injury and played well in a blowout loss for the Seahawks. He was targeted 12 times, which shows he was immediately involved in the offense again. Last year, Engram was the best receiver for the Seahawks, and he has a great rapport with Matt Hasselbeck. If you're looking for a solid No. 3 Fantasy receiver, add Engram now. Seattle's offense will improve, so look for Engram to continue to play an important role.

Mewelde Moore, RB, Pittsburgh
Owned: 41 percent of leagues
Week 5: Had 17 carries for 99 yards and three catches for 17 yards at Jacksonville.
Analysis: Moore started against the Jaguars with Willie Parker (knee) out and Rashard Mendenhall (shoulder) lost for the year. Parker is expected to return in Week 7 after the Steelers bye week, but Moore is now the No. 2 option and also the third-down back. Since Parker missed the end of last year with a broken leg and has been bothered with the knee injury this season, Moore could continue to see action. And he proved against the Jaguars that he can run against a tough defense.

Avoid 'Em

Najeh Davenport, RB, Pittsburgh
Owned: 17 percent of leagues
Week 5: Had one carry for 3 yards at Jacksonville.
Analysis: With Willie Parker (knee) expected back following the bye in Week 6, Davenport could be released again. The Steelers will go with Parker, Mewelde Moore and Carey Davis (ankle) ahead of Davenport when all are healthy. Even if Davenport remains with the team, he won't see much playing time, so ignore Davenport unless Parker or Davis suffer a setback.

Chris Henry, WR, Cincinnati
Owned: 30 percent of leagues
Week 5: Had no catches at Dallas.
Analysis: Henry returned from his four-game suspension against the Cowboys but didn't factor into the game plan. That may change, but don't run out to pick him up just yet. Antonio Chatman has played well for the Bengals in the No. 3 role, and T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Chad Johnson remain the starters. Cincinnati also might start looking at Jerome Simpson and Andre Caldwell if the losses continue to mount, so don't expect much from Henry on a weekly basis going forward.

Mike Walker, WR, Jacksonville
Owned: 0 percent of leagues
Week 5: Caught six passes for 107 yards against Pittsburgh.
Analysis: The Jaguars passing game needed a performance like this, but don't expect Walker to develop into a good Fantasy option. Jerry Porter is still getting healthy, Matt Jones has been a solid contributor and the Jaguars still rely on Reggie Williams and Dennis Northcutt. David Garrard has also struggled this year, so the passes will be spread around, including Maurice Jones-Drew out of the backfield. Walker does have 11 catches in his past two games, but it's not enough to add him at this time.

Others to monitor ...

Greg Camarillo, WR, Miami
Owned: 2 percent of leagues
Week 5: Had six catches for 68 yards and a touchdown against San Diego.
Analysis: Camarillo leads the Dolphins with 17 catches for 214 yards and should continue to be a good source of catches. He's not going to post overwhelming stats most weeks, but he could be a decent bye-week replacement. The Dolphins obviously want to be a running team, but Camarillo has emerged from the pack as the best receiving option. If he continues to find the end zone, add him immediately.

Domenik Hixon, WR, Giants
Owned: 25 percent of leagues
Week 5: Had four catches for 102 yards and a touchdown and one carry for 15 yards against Seattle.
Analysis: With Plaxico Burress suspended for the Seattle game, Hixon stepped up to lead the Giants in receiving before leaving with a concussion. If Burress has any more disciplinary problems, Hixon could be a solid replacement again. But when everyone is on the field, Hixon will be the No. 3 receiver at best behind Burress and Amani Toomer. Still, with Burress' track record, he could miss another game sometime this season, and if he does add Hixon immediately.

Brandon Stokley, WR, Denver
Owned: 11 percent of leagues
Week 5: Had six catches for 52 yards and a touchdown against Tampa Bay.
Analysis: If Eddie Royal (ankle) is expected to miss a significant amount of time, consider adding Stokley immediately. Stokley has 13 catches for 132 yards in his past two games, and Jay Cutler is starting to look in his direction more often. The Broncos passing game is one of the best in the NFL this year, so it's never a bad idea to have one of their top options. And Stokley has proven he can play well in a dynamic offense going back to his days with the Colts.

Do you have a question? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll post the best responses. Be sure to put Attn: Waiver Wire in the subject field. Include your name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Rashard Mendenhall
PUP list in Mendenhall's future
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
2/13/2012
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Mendenhall tore his right ACL in Week 17 of last season; recovery time for such injuries is anywhere from nine months to a year.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He'll likely get the first crack at starting in place of Mendenhall. There's still a lot of time between now and the regular season, but for now it's probably safe to expect Mendenhall to not be at even close to 100 percent to start the year, which will absolutely impact his Fantasy value. By August, you might be drafting Mendenhall as a middle- to late-round sleeper you'll have to sit on for a while. We'll keep you posted on Mendenhall as best as we can.

Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
2/13/2012
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to." NFL Network reports that teams have already been calling his agent following the news.
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
2/13/2012
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
2/13/2012
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Isaac Redman
Redman in line to start for Steelers?
Isaac Redman, RB, PIT
2/13/2012
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. That would open the door for Isaac Redman to be the starting rusher entering training camp.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He's also stepped up while working with Mendenhall and without him, though his one other start in 2011 was a flop (61 total yards, no touchdowns vs. Tennessee). By August we might recommend drafting Redman with a pick in Round 6 or 7 as a good early-season starting option with potential to be a quality Fantasy choice for the entire season. We'll see how the Steelers' run game shakes out.

Steve Slaton
Slaton, Dolphins likely parting ways
Steve Slaton, RB, MIA
2/13/2012
News: The Palm Beach Post reports that RB Steve Slaton is not expected to return to the Dolphins in 2012. Slaton played in three games this season with zero starts after being picked up on waivers before Week 4. He had 17 carries for 64 yards (3.8 average) with one touchdown and a long of 28 and also returned three kickoffs for 85 yards. Slaton was signed as insurance early in the season when both Reggie Bush (groin) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) battled injuries.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Slaton plays in 2012, but he likely has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
2/13/2012
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
2/13/2012
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on the future of Hines Ward. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported previously that if the Steelers did decide to release Ward, he was unaware of it. NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report. Ward's 2012 salary is high and he's expected to at least take a significant pay cut, if not get released altogether. Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
2/13/2012
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
2/13/2012
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

 
 
 
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