Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
2011 Draft Prep Guide
Fantasy Football Today
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Draft Analyzer
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Office Pool Manager
Playoff Challenge
2011 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Weekly Planner
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 

Scott White

Tradeoff: Funny what one week will do

By | Fantasy Writer


The Tradeoff gives our Scott White a chance to react to actual trades made in CBSSports.com Fantasy leagues, declaring a winner for each trade after weighing the pros and cons for each side.

You more likely had Matt Schaub starting this week than Aaron Rodgers.

Kind of hurts, doesn't it?

But you know you made the right move. Rodgers might not have played at all with a sprained shoulder, and news of Schaub's illness didn't break until Sunday morning, when many of you still had your heads buried in your pillows, resting up from a night on the town.

Hey, some people get busy over the weekend -- not me, but some people.

So while Rodgers spent his Sunday afternoon throwing three touchdown passes, Schaub spent it simply throwing up. And you spent it throwing breakable objects around your living room.

But instead of dwelling on all those lost points from this past Sunday, stop and look at what Rodgers' performance means for future Sundays. He just had close to his best game at a time when his stock was falling. Sure, he got off to that hot start at the beginning of the season, but over the last two weeks, he had 165 yards passing in one game and zero touchdown passes in the other. He needed a performance like Sunday's to once and for all solidify his place among the top Fantasy quarterbacks. And the fact his performance came with a sore shoulder makes it all the more impressive.

So I think we can come to a hands-down agreement on Rodgers now: Throwing multiple touchdowns in three of five games elevates him to top-five status. But of greater relevance to this column, what does it do to his trade value?

As with all the teams featured in this column, the names have been changed to protect the ignorant:

Trade No. 1: Come on ... someone has to need a quarterback
The Stage Hands get: Aaron Rodgers
The Toothaches get: Maurice Jones-Drew

If I had to guess, I'd say the owner of the Toothaches had Rodgers rotting on his bench, tried to trade him for weeks, and after those three touchdowns Sunday, finally got his wish -- or so he thinks.

Let's face it: Steve Slaton would be a second-round pick if you held a draft today. (US Presswire)  
Let's face it: Steve Slaton would be a second-round pick if you held a draft today. (US Presswire)  
Here's the problem: That tricky Jones-Drew might just end up doing him more harm than good.

Because now that he has him, he'll feel obligated to start him, which leaves him vulnerable to numbers so scant he might as well not have started anybody.

Jones-Drew is a gimmick. He's not the Jaguars primary rusher, and he's obviously not their primary receiver. He enters the backfield in certain formations or certain situations and can occasionally string together enough big plays to have a big game. But so far, he's only had one such game in five chances, collecting no more than 50 yards in any of the other four.

I understand the upside. I understand -- and to a certain extent, believe -- he might pick up his play down the stretch. But I'd only trade for him now if I could afford to stash him on my bench and pray for a turnaround, and unless the owner of the Toothaches can look me in the eye and say that's exactly what he plans to do, I have to advise against him trading Rodgers for that particular running back.

Of course, the Jaguars play the Broncos in Week 6, so maybe the Toothaches shouldn't bench Jones-Drew just yet.

See!? That's the problem!

Winner: The Stage Hands for getting a top-five Fantasy quarterback with a piece that has done nothing for them so far.

But notice I said that particular running back. Let's try another, shall we?

Trade No. 2: Three more touchdowns? Time to unload
The Netherlands get: Aaron Rodgers
The Scrabble Tiles get: Steve Slaton

You know who isn't a gimmick? Slaton.

He's the guy -- not just a cog in the Texans offense, but a whole half of it. He's started each of the last three games and totally looked the part, piling up four touchdowns over that span and collecting no fewer than 96 yards in any one game.

So forget his draft position. Forget he opened the season as Ahman Green's backup and forget he's a rookie. He deserves to start every week in Fantasy, and if you redid your league's draft today, he'd probably go in the second round.

Would Rodgers go in the second round? Check again where Drew Brees and Tony Romo went. It might surprise you.

The Scrabble Tiles probably drafted Rodgers as their backup, but even if they didn't and this trade leaves them with a combination of Jason Campbell and Matt Schaub to lead their offense, the opportunity to get a consistent 100-yard running back makes this trade worth making.

Winner: The Scrabble Tiles for using an extra quarterback to get a breakout, must-start running back.

Trade No. 3: Live and die by Addai
The Nine Lives get: Ronnie Brown, Lee Evans and Steve Slaton
The Training Wheels get: Joseph Addai and Jerricho Cotchery

I haven't quit on Addai. He still scores touchdowns, averages a good 3.5 yards per carry -- OK, it'll improve -- and, most importantly, gets pretty much every touch out of the Colts' backfield.

But by now, I have to think Brown and Slaton have equaled him in terms of value, if not surpassed him. Brown looked like the best running back in football last year before hurting his knee, so his 238 yards rushing and five touchdowns over the last two weeks don't come without precedent and will likely, at least to some degree, continue. Do I expect as much from Addai? I'm not so sure.

But because of the lingering concerns about Brown's knee, I wouldn't trade him straight-up for Addai, which is where Slaton enters the equation. I pretty much made my case for him in Trade No. 2, saying he looks like a safe bet for 100 yards more often than not. Again, I wouldn't trade him straight-up for Addai because he doesn't have much of a track record, but when coupled with Brown, I wouldn't think twice about pulling the trigger.

And when you throw in Evans, who actually has more points than Cotchery so far, you could argue the trade works even more in the Nine Lives' favor. Personally, I might prefer Cotchery because I think he'll end up with more catches as Brett Favre finds his footing, which means more opportunities for yards and touchdowns (Evans can't possibly sustain his averages), but I wouldn't let that preference break a deal that would potentially land me two full-time running backs.

Winner: The Nine Lives for perhaps doubling Addai's output with two lesser-known backs.

Trade No. 4: A rolling Moss gathers lots of trade offers
The Good Times get: Randy Moss
Various other teams get: LaDainian Tomlinson OR Earnest Graham OR Clinton Portis OR Reggie Bush OR Steve Slaton

Bet you wish you waited to trade Moss, don't you?

Look what you could have gotten. Look at all you could have gotten after just one game like the 16 he had last year.

The Patriots have too many smart coaches for you to think they wouldn't find a way to get the football to their most explosive player. They turned the reigns loose on Matt Cassel this past week, and look what happened: Moss suddenly had a huge role again, picking up 111 yards on five catches. I've held steadfast to the belief you shouldn't trade Moss, but if that one performance can snag you a running back like the ones listed above, go for it.

Because the fact remains he doesn't have Tom Brady throwing to him anymore. He won't have 100-yard games every week. He'll have them sometimes, enough that you'll want to keep him active and not trade him for some dopey player like Thomas Jones or Jonathan Stewart, but not enough that he'll finish as one of the top five receivers in Fantasy Football.

But the fire sale on Moss has its limits for me. Elsewhere, someone traded Moss for Phillip Rivers. In that case, I'd just stick with Moss.

Winner: All those other teams for waiting until Moss regained his value to trade him, thereby getting something significant in return.

Trade No. 5: You mean he can't have three touchdowns every week?
The Iconic Arrangements of Grunge Metal get: Torry Holt and Philip Rivers
The Plastic Representations of Colonel Mustard get: Ryan Grant and Steve Smith

Three weeks into the season, Rivers looked like as much of a breakout quarterback as Jay Cutler. He had three touchdown passes in each of his first three games, seemingly taking the next step forward in his NFL career after a modest 3,152-yard campaign.

But in the two weeks that followed, he crawled back into his shell, average 169.5 yards and one touchdown pass per game.

And you can expect to see more of those numbers in the future. Sure, Rivers will have his occasional big games where he has to lead the Chargers back with his arm, but as long as LaDainian Tomlinson has lightning bolts running down the side of his legs, Rivers is secondary, kind of like the Euphrates to the Tigris.

The Chargers -- and, in general, Norv Turner offenses -- lean on the running game and turn to the quarterback to fill in the missing yardage. Even with Tomlinson struggling, they've taken the same approach this year, which means while Rivers deserves to start in most Fantasy leagues, he's more of a do-no-harm quarterback than one who can carry a team on his own.

Steve Smith and Ryan Grant might just carry a Fantasy team, though. Smith has already reclaimed his role as Jake Delhomme's favorite target after serving a suspension the first two games of the season, catching six passes for 96 yards each of the last two weeks. And even though calling Grant a game-changing Fantasy running back sounds a bit loony considering he has yet to rush for 100 yards or a touchdown this season, he has to break out eventually given the way the Packers use him. He had 18 carries this past week to Brandon Jackson's two, so he doesn't have to worry about a split backfield, and the Packers coaches obsessed so much about his hamstring injury early in the season that they actually discouraged him from running hard. He has the green light now, though, and over the next few weeks, you can expect him to emerge as a legitimate No. 2 Fantasy running back.

So we're talking about a No. 2 running back and a No. 2 wide receiver for a do-no-harm quarterback and Holt, who plays for that sinking ship in St. Louis? Again, I say no contest.

Winner: The Plastic Representations of Colonel Mustard for trading the unreliable for the reliable.

Do you have a Fantasy Football question? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll get to as many as we can. Be sure to put Attn: Tradeoff in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Mike Wallace
Steelers want to lock up Wallace
Mike Wallace, WR, PIT
12:17 PM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday the team wants to keep WR Mike Wallace "here for the long run." Wallace, their leading receiver last season, will become a restricted free agent March 13.
Analysis: Wallace played well in 2011 with 72 catches for 1,193 yards and eight touchdowns on 114 targets. He will remain in Pittsburgh in 2012, and hopefully he can sign a long-term deal. We consider Wallace a Top 10 Fantasy WR on Draft Day, and he should be selected in all leagues in Round 3.

Hines Ward
GM says no decision on Ward yet
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
12:13 PM
News: The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on whether WR Hines Ward will be back with the Steelers in 2012. "To this current point, no final decisions have been made," Colbert said. "We've had several discussions internally. We're right in the midst of our free agent evaluations of other teams' free agents. We'll meet on those [on the Steelers roster] starting Thursday and carry through Monday." A recent report on NFL Network said that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Brandon Lloyd
Pats could go after Lloyd
Brandon Lloyd, WR, STL
12:08 PM
News: The Boston Herald reports that the Patriots will be in the market for a WR this year, and one obvious possibility is Brandon Lloyd, who is an impending free agent, because of his ties to offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. The fact that Lloyd said “I’m tied to McDaniels” makes him a likely free agent target. Lloyd had 51 catches for 683 yards and five TDs last year in 11 games in St. Louis when McDaniels was the offensive coordinator makes him look pretty good after he amassed 77 catches for 1,448 yards and 11 scores with Denver when McDaniels was the coach.
Analysis: One holdup for Lloyd and the Patriots could be Lloyd's agent, Tom Condon, who has a rocky relationship with the Patriots. We'll see what plays out this offseason, but if Lloyd signs in New England he would be considered a low-end No. 2 Fantasy WR. He could still return to the Rams, where he would be a strong No. 3 option. Or he could shop himself around the league. Stay tuned, but either way Lloyd is worth a mid-round pick in all leagues.

Bills
Fitzpatrick finished season hurt
Bills, TQB BUF,
11:53 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick's second-half swoon in 2011 was mystifying to fans and media who concluded the front office badly miscalculated in handing the career journeyman a 10-year, $60 million contract extension. But now it appears Fitzpatrick played the final nine games last season with cracked ribs. "A lot of people don't know, but Fitz, during the Washington game, actually cracked a couple of ribs," WR David Nelson said. "So after that he was playing hurt." It showed. In Fitzpatrick's first seven games of the year, he threw for 1,739 yards, 14 touchdowns and seven interceptions. After the injury, he had 2,093 yards, 10 touchdowns and 16 picks. He finished the year with a league-high 23 interceptions. "It's hard to find the silver lining but as we evaluate the season and what went right and what went wrong I'm sure we'll find a lot of positives and a lot of things that we can carry into next year hopefully and continue to get better at it," Fitzpatrick said.
Analysis: Fitzpatrick obviously has 4,000-yard, 25-touchdown potential, but issues involving the personnel around him along with his own issues (accuracy, for one) make him risky for weekly use in Fantasy. Figure that he's worth a late-round pick as a good No. 2 Fantasy QB with potential to be a low-end starter. It should only help him if the Bills not only re-sign Steve Johnson this offseason, but also add talent at wide receiver.

Josh Scobee
Jags want Scobee back
Josh Scobee, K, JAC
11:47 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that Jacksonville has most of its top offensive players locked into contracts for the coming season with one notable exception - kicker Josh Scobee, who is an eight-year veteran. Scobee has been one of the league's most accurate kickers in his eight seasons with the Jaguars, converting better than 75 percent of his field-goal attempts in all but one season. Scobee led the team in scoring last year with 92 points, including 23 of 25 (92 percent) field-goal attempts, the second time in his career he's finished over 90 percent with his kicks. It isn't likely the Jaguars would use the franchise tag on him and probably won't have to. They'll make every attempt to sign him. For a team that was among the league's lowest scoring clubs, the Jaguars can ill afford to lose a player with Scobee's talents.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Scobee. He is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues, but he could be used as a bye-week replacement as long as he remains with the Jaguars.

Rams
Coaches excited about Bradford
Rams, TQB STL,
11:44 AM
News: The Sports Xchange reports that new Rams coach Jeff Fisher and offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer are excited to be working with QB Sam Bradford. Fisher has said on several occasions that Bradford's presence was a major factor that made the Rams' job attractive. "Sam was a big part of the decision," Fisher said. "We think he has a chance to be great. A lot of people around the league believe that. We are going to everything possible to make that happen." As Schottenheimer began watching tape of Bradford, he liked what he saw. "Obviously, he's extremely gifted, extremely talented," Schottenheimer said. "As I'm watching the film, getting the sense of how accurate he is with the football and how well he actually moves around and has made plays. That was one of the things that jumped off the film at me. It will be a fun process going through and looking at all the games and just getting a sense of where he's at. Obviously, I've been around a lot of young quarterbacks, but I think this guy's got a chance to be real special."
Analysis: We have high expectations for Bradford heading into 2012, but he still remains just a No. 2 Fantasy QB in the majority of leagues. The Rams need to give Bradford some weapons, but he is someone to draft with a late-round pick with the hope he can develop into a potential starting option in all formats.

Shaun Hill
Hill wants return to Lions
Shaun Hill, QB, DET
11:19 AM
News: The Detroit Free-Press reports that Lions backup QB Shaun Hill would like to return to Detroit in 2012. The Lions have told Hill, his representatives and others that they want him back as the primary backup to Matthew Stafford. Hill also wants to return to Detroit -- and might even take a slight discount to do so. The 32-year-old appeared in two games last year and attempted just three passes, but he made 10 starts in 2010, when Stafford missed 13 games with two separated throwing shoulders.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Hill, but unless he signs with a team and earns a starting job he would not be worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Jerricho Cotchery
Cotchery wants return to Steelers
Jerricho Cotchery, WR, PIT
11:15 AM
News: The Newark Star-Ledger reports that Steelers WR Jerricho Cotchery, who is an impending free agent, would like to return to Pittsburgh in 2012. “In exit meetings (with the Steelers), it was pretty much stated that they were very pleased with me, who I was on the field and off the field,” Cotchery said. “I’m everything that they thought I would be, so from their standpoint, they definitely would want me back. And I expressed the same desire, so we’ll see what happens.”
Analysis: Cotchery was coming off offseason back surgery last season and then missed the first three games with a hamstring injury. He finished with 16 catches for 237 yards, and he caught a 31-yard touchdown pass to force overtime against the Broncos in the wild-card playoff game. Keep an eye on what happens with Cotchery, but he has minimal Fantasy value heading into the year. He should not be drafted in most formats.

Cardinals
Kolb plans to be Cardinals starter
Cardinals, TQB ARI,
11:06 AM
News: The Arizona Republic reports that Cardinals QB Kevin Kolb is not worried about losing his job heading into 2012 with the speculation the team could sign Peyton Manning if he becomes a free agent. "I know how the NFL works," Kolb said, "anything is possible. I just try to keep my mind clear and do what I can on my end. I plan on having a great year and being a Cardinal for a long time." Kolb is due a $7 million bonus if he's on the roster March 17, and said "every indication on my end shows me that I'll be there." Kolb's first season with the Cardinals was hampered by a foot injury and concussion. He missed four games because of the foot and the last three games of the season with the concussion. "I feel good," Kolb said. "I'd say it took three to four weeks after the season was over to not have any symptoms. Once my mind cleared, I got back to working out."
Analysis: Kolb struggled in his first year with the Cardinals in 2011, and he was outplayed by John Skelton for most of the year. Kolb passed for 1,955 passing yards, nine touchdowns and eight interceptions, but he will likely be the starter in 2012 if the team doesn't bring in Manning. Keep an eye on what happens, but Kolb is only worth drafting as a No. 2 Fantasy QB in deeper leagues if he remains the starter with the Cardinals.

Matt Prater
Broncos could franchise Prater
Matt Prater, K, DEN
10:54 AM
News: The Denver Post reports that the Broncos could use the franchise tag on impending free agent kicker Matt Prater. The projected salary for a franchised kicker this year is less than $2.6 million — down 19 percent from $3.176 million in 2011. Prater said near season's end that after five seasons of kicking on year-to-year deals, he was hoping free agency would bring him the security of a long-term contract. Prater drew a $1.835 million salary as a restricted free agent in 2011, when he had four walkoff field goals for wins, including successful overtime kicks of 52 yards at Miami and 51 yards against the Bears.
Analysis: Prater had a solid year in 2011. He was 19 of 25 on field goals and made all 30 extra points. Keep an eye on what happens with him this offseason, but he could be worth drafting with a late-round pick in all leagues if he remains with the Broncos.

 
 
 
Top Videos
Rankings