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Jeff Lippman

Week 9 Injury Insider

By | Fantasy Writer


The game of the week normally plays on Monday night and Week 9 is no exception. The 6-2 Redskins host the 5-2 Steelers with first place in their respective divisions on the line. Washington's FedEx Field will be epicenter of the NFL in Week 9, which is plenty of motivation for players to dust off their injuries and get themselves ready for some football.

Many of the Redskins and Steelers best Fantasy options litter injury practice reports and they all have one thing in common: They'll do anything it takes to be on the field on Monday.

Pittsburgh is counting on the return of running back Willie Parker after a four-week absence with a badly sprained knee. Parker was finally able to practice in full on Wednesday and is expected to be in the starting lineup. His only two healthy games this season both produced 100-yard rushing games with a total of three touchdowns, so you are going to want to start him even against a tough Redskins rush defense.

Owners have been waiting patiently for Willie Parker to return. (US Presswire)  
Owners have been waiting patiently for Willie Parker to return. (US Presswire)  
Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is also banged up and Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin held him out of practice this week to rest his injured right shoulder in hopes that the rest will allow him to play against a Redskins pass rush that has only totaled 10 sacks this season. Apparently it worked, as Big Ben was able to practice in full on Thursday.

Roethlisberger has sounded a little scared of the NFC East -- and who can blame him, he's thrown for one touchdown and five interceptions in two games against the Giants and Eagles this season -- but he expects to play no matter how poorly his shoulder feels.

"We're hungry -- and we're beat up," Roethlisberger said. "It's going to be tough, but we need to come out and be hungry."

The Redskins were not as fortunate on the injury front on Thursday. There is still a very real possibility that they will be without two of their best Fantasy options. Wide receiver Santana Moss and running back Clinton Portis are still not practicing as their nagging injuries are being treated very carefully.

It's likely both will be game-time decisions, Moss with his hamstring and Portis with his ankle, but it would likely take broken bones to keep them idle Monday night. Moss is coming off a 140-yard performance against the Lions in which he scored a receiving and punt return touchdown and has been described as an indispensable cog in Washington's offense by coach Jim Zorn. He told the Washington Post Wednesday that he expects the wideout from Miami to be on the field against the Steelers.

Portis will probably continue to be held out of practice. The Redskins took the same approach last week with his injured ankle and he responded with his fifth straight game over 120 yards rushing. Fantasy owners need to realize he'll be listed on the injury report, but with a chance to put the Redskins in first place, there is no way he'll allow Shaun Alexander, the Redskins backup, to shoulder the load.

Monday night's showdown should prove to be a fantastic hard-nosed football matchup and luckily, all the players listed on each team's injury report are willing to play through the pain. Don't fret when you see the injury tag next to names Roethlisberger, Parker, Moss or Portis when deciding who to start in Week 9. None of them get anything less than a 90 percent chance of starting and all should be active in your lineup.

Running Backs

Steven Jackson, St. Louis: The only thing that has changed for Jackson between this week and last week's decision to sit out the Rams game at New England is the date. He's had another week to heal but still told the St. Louis Post-Dispatch on Thursday that he wasn't 100 percent.

Jackson participated with the first-team during 11-on-11 drills Thursday but the Rams have said all along they don't want him to play and risk further injury unless he's completely healthy. The fact that backups Antonio Pittman, Kenneth Darby and Travis Minor are all getting first-team reps in practice as well is also a bad sign for his return.

Fantasy Take: Jackson is not giving the media much they can work with in terms of how he feels right now. He said that he's planning to play in Week 9 against Arizona but that sheds no new light on what we already knew. Because the Rams have no problem keeping him out to avoid further injury, he'd have to get to 100 percent by Sunday in order to play and that gives him just a 50 percent chance of starting. Monitor him up until kickoff because a healthy Jackson is a must-start option.

Warrick Dunn, Tampa Bay: More telling than the fact that Dunn has yet to practice this week leading up to Sunday's game against Kansas City is the fact that Bucs coach Jon Gruden admitted that playing Dunn against Dallas last week was a mistake.

Dunn is suffering from a pinched nerve and his limited action last week didn't help. Kansas City is one of the worst rushing defenses in football so Tampa Bay has the ability to rest Dunn and still have a pretty good shot at running over the Chiefs.

Fantasy Take: Gruden believes that if a player can't practice they probably shouldn't be playing in the game so we have to assume Dunn will be kept out for now. He gets a 25 percent shot of starting so Fantasy owners would benefit from finding other options. The biggest winners here are owners of Earnest Graham, who stands to gain more touches with Dunn out of the lineup. Avoid backup Michael Bennett, who will take Dunn's place if he can't go, since the majority of the carries will be bestowed upon Graham.

Darren McFadden, Oakland: If it's not one toe, it's the other keeping McFadden out of practice Thursday. Avoiding details, McFadden has been limited all season by an injured right toe but has since said that the injury is better. Unfortunately, his left toe is now giving him problems.

"There's some thought that it's the support of the shoe, so we're working on that," Raiders coach Tom Cable said Wednesday. The Raiders and McFadden are sponsored by Nike and, although McFadden doesn't want to blame it on the Oregon-based shoe company, he didn't have these problems running in Adidas last season at Arkansas.

Fantasy Take: McFadden played last week despite the injury to his right toe and there is no way that is fully healed. Add the new injury to the other foot to the equation and it is probably best for the rookie to take the week off to heal -- no pun intended. We give him a 30 percent chance of starting against the Falcons in Week 9 and suggest starting Justin Fargas in all leagues against the porous Atlanta rush defense.

Sammy Morris, New England: The only thing we know for certain about Morris' injury status is that he plans on coming back at some point this season. As for Week 9 against the Colts on Sunday night, that remains up in the air.

Morris told the Boston Globe Tuesday that he's frustrated with his injuries but declined to say when he planned on returning, instead saying, "I'm working my way back."

Fantasy Take: Morris gets a 10 percent chance of playing against the Colts because although he plans on playing again this season, it doesn't sound as if a return is pending. With backup LaMont Jordan also still banged up, the Patriots could rely upon Kevin Faulk, BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Heath Evans as they did last week. None of those other backs with the possible exception of Faulk are great options against the Colts, however, but Morris is certainly someone to keep on the bench unless he's touched by a healing angel before Sunday night.

Tight Ends

Jason Witten, Dallas: Witten has yet to practice this week because of the broken ribs that limited him to one catch for eight yards against Tampa Bay last week. The No. 1 overall Fantasy tight end is having trouble sleeping and feels every breath he takes but still thinks he'll be able to play against the Giants in Week 9.

"I hope I can get out there and help," Witten said Thursday before the team practiced. "It's a big game obviously, and I want to do my part."

Fantasy Take: Witten and the Cowboys have a decision to make. Week 10 is Dallas' bye week and that makes keeping Witten inactive against the Giants the more rational choice. With 20 days to rest and heal, he'd be close to 100 percent when he returned. But against the NFC East-leading Giants, Witten is going to try to play. That boosts his probability of being out there a tad but we still think he gets just a 40 percent chance of playing. Possible last-minute tight end replacements for Week 9 include Jacksonville's Marcedes Lewis, Green Bay's Donald Lee or John Carlson of the Seahawks.

Tony Scheffler, Denver: Scheffler has missed the past two games for Denver but has been able to practice in a limited capacity all week leading up to Week 9 against Miami. His groin is healing and the Broncos expect he'll be able to make his return against the Dolphins.

Fantasy Take: Scheffler gets an 80 percent chance of playing against the Dolphins and that automatically makes him worth starting in Fantasy. There just aren't many Fantasy-viable tight ends this season and Scheffler has been a cog in the Broncos' offense in every game he's played.

L.J. Smith, Philadelphia: Smith is suffering from a concussion after making two grabs for 29 yards last week against the Falcons. Always a tough injury to predict, Smith said Monday he felt better and then suffered a setback Tuesday when he was completely out of it.

"Actually, Monday he was pretty good, and then, [Tuesday] he was a little bit out of it, and today he feels pretty good," coach Andy Reid told the Delaware News Journal. "That's kind of how those things work. It's nothing out of the norm for somebody that's had a concussion."

Fantasy Take: The Eagles tight end would be a No. 1 option at Seattle in Week 9 if he can go, but a concussion is never an injury to be taken lightly. We give him a 45 percent chance of playing against the Seahawks and suggest picking up one of names listed above if you need a contingency plan.

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay: Rodgers has been injured all season and has yet to miss a game. In fact, he's played like a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback despite the injury to his right shoulder.

Now, coming off a bye in Week 8, Rodgers has been able to get in some practice time and has said he feels a lot better than he has in a long time.

Fantasy Take: Rodgers is playing in Week 9 against the undefeated Tennessee Titans. Coming off the bye week he's going to be healthier against Tennessee than he has been in some time and he'll need to be against one of the toughest pass defenses in the NFL. Regardless, Rodgers is definitely worth starting in Week 9 with a 99 percent chance of playing.

Wide Receivers

Reggie Wayne, Indianapolis: Coach Tony Dungy thought his injured wide receiver, suffering from a knee injury, would be able to practice on Thursday. Turns out that didn't happen and Wayne is now in jeopardy of missing his first game of the season against the Patriots on Sunday night.

Fantasy Take: Wayne was hurt in Monday night's loss to Tennessee but was able to finish the game. The fact that Dungy thought he'd be fine to practice on Thursday suggests that he's going to be available against New England and the team is just taking it easy with him. Continue to monitor his situation but we give him a 70 percent chance of starting on Sunday night and consider him worthy of starting in all Fantasy leagues.

Laveranues Coles/Jerricho Cotchery, N.Y. Jets: Coles has been a permanent resident on the Injury Insider this season and we guess Cotchery just wanted to get in on the action. Coles' thigh is nothing new and we fully expect him to be ready for Week 9 at Buffalo. Cotchery, however, is dealing with a shoulder problem after he spent last week on the injury report with a head issue.

Fantasy Take: Coles gets a 90 percent chance of playing. He's a must-start across the board in Fantasy against the Bills. Cotchery is tougher to predict because we don't actually know when he injured himself. Conventional wisdom suggests that the Jets are simply limiting him as a precaution and we expect him to be fine against the Bills. He gets an 80 percent chance of starting and is a No. 3 Fantasy option in Week 9.

Brandon Lloyd, Chicago: Lloyd sprained his knee in a Week 4 game against the Eagles and hasn't played since for the Bears. After the team's first three games he looked like a must-start receiver in Fantasy but has since fallen off people's radar screens.

The Bears are coming off a bye and play Detroit in Week 9 and that would immediately make Lloyd worthy of starting for your team. The only problem remains his knee, which is still limiting him in practice as of Thursday.

Fantasy Take: If you've gotten by without Lloyd you should probably continue to avoid him in Week 9. He won't play until he feels 100 percent and that has yet to happen. You may continue to monitor the situation leading up to Sunday, but the bottom line is that he remains a very risky start against the Lions.

Do you have a Fantasy Football question? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll get to as many as we can. Be sure to put Attn: Injuries in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Rashard Mendenhall
PUP list in Mendenhall's future
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
2:15 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Mendenhall tore his right ACL in Week 17 of last season; recovery time for such injuries is anywhere from nine months to a year.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He'll likely get the first crack at starting in place of Mendenhall. There's still a lot of time between now and the regular season, but for now it's probably safe to expect Mendenhall to not be at even close to 100 percent to start the year, which will absolutely impact his Fantasy value. By August, you might be drafting Mendenhall as a middle- to late-round sleeper you'll have to sit on for a while. We'll keep you posted on Mendenhall as best as we can.

Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
10:10 AM
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to."
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
9:39 AM
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
9:36 AM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Isaac Redman
Redman in line to start for Steelers?
Isaac Redman, RB, PIT
2:23 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. That would open the door for Isaac Redman to be the starting rusher entering training camp.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He's also stepped up while working with Mendenhall and without him, though his one other start in 2011 was a flop (61 total yards, no touchdowns vs. Tennessee). By August we might recommend drafting Redman with a pick in Round 6 or 7 as a good early-season starting option with potential to be a quality Fantasy choice for the entire season. We'll see how the Steelers' run game shakes out.

Steve Slaton
Slaton, Dolphins likely parting ways
Steve Slaton, RB, MIA
12:56 PM
News: The Palm Beach Post reports that RB Steve Slaton is not expected to return to the Dolphins in 2012. Slaton played in three games this season with zero starts after being picked up on waivers before Week 4. He had 17 carries for 64 yards (3.8 average) with one touchdown and a long of 28 and also returned three kickoffs for 85 yards. Slaton was signed as insurance early in the season when both Reggie Bush (groin) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) battled injuries.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Slaton plays in 2012, but he likely has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
11:14 AM
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
9:53 AM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on the future of Hines Ward. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported previously that if the Steelers did decide to release Ward, he was unaware of it. NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report. Ward's 2012 salary is high and he's expected to at least take a significant pay cut, if not get released altogether. Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
9:49 AM
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
9:46 AM
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

 
 
 
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