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Jamey Eisenberg

Brian, Boldin and Brandon on the brain

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Sunday was a strange day in the NFL. We had the first game in NFL history end with the score at 11-10 when Pittsburgh beat San Diego. We also had the first tie since Nov. 10, 2002, when Cincinnati and Philadelphia ended with the score at 13.

Eagles quarterback Donovan McNabb had no idea the game could end in a tie.

"I've never been part of a tie," said McNabb, who set a career high with 58 attempts and tied a career high with three interceptions. "I never even knew it was in the rule book. I was looking forward to getting the opportunity to get out there and try to drive to win the game. But unfortunately with the rules, we settled with a tie."

Something else happened Sunday: Brian Westbrook looked like a mediocre running back. He struggled against the Bengals, and he hasn't played well the past three weeks.

Brian Westbrook continues to post mediocre numbers for owners. (AP)  
Brian Westbrook continues to post mediocre numbers for owners. (AP)  
Westbrook finished with 14 carries for 60 yards and three catches for 11 yards against the Bengals. This was a defense that has allowed 138 rushing yards per game and 12 touchdowns coming into Week 11, but they controlled Westbrook.

The same goes for the Giants last week, which held Westbrook to 13 carries for 26 yards and three catches for 33 yards. And two weeks ago against Seattle, Westbrook had 20 carries for 61 yards and six catches for 35 yards.

He has no touchdowns over that span. And on Sunday, the Eagles inability to get positive yards in short-yardage situations hurt the team, and Westbrook is partly at fault. Philadelphia tried to pass on all of its 18 third-down plays, including three third-and-1 plays. The Eagles converted only three of their third-down plays as they got away from the running game.

Westbrook is fighting through a myriad of injuries to his ankle, knee and broken ribs. But in his first game back from the rib injury in Week 8 against Atlanta he had 209 total yards and two touchdowns, so it's hard to say health is the main reason for his struggles.

Westbrook shouldn't be slowing down yet due to age (29) or wear-and-tear (seven seasons), but it could be a factor. The Eagles love for throwing the ball also could be a reason, with McNabb's 58 attempts way too much when you have a running back of Westbrook's caliber.

Whatever the reason, Westbrook is suffering, and Fantasy owners have a tough decision to make in Week 12 with the Eagles at Baltimore: Do you bench Westbrook?

The Ravens, prior to getting run over by the Giants for 207 rushing yards and two touchdowns Sunday, came into Week 11 at No. 1 in run defense with only one rushing touchdown allowed. Baltimore still has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 29-straight games.

Will Westbrook run well against the Ravens or even post good total yards with his receiving skills? It's hard to say right now with how he's played the past three weeks.

If you have two better running backs on your team, it might be a good idea to sit Westbrook against the Ravens. Then again, as we saw this week, stranger things have happened, so maybe Westbrook will snap out of his funk.

First down

Was the Ravens run defense exposed Sunday or are the Giants just that good? I'll go with the Giants, behind that offensive line, as being stellar in running the ball.

The Giants have now run for more than 200 yards in three straight games, and their offensive line is pushing people around. It has helped Brandon Jacobs become a Top 5 Fantasy running back this year.

Jacobs had 11 carries for 73 yards and two touchdowns Sunday, and he did all of his damage in the first half before taking the second half off. He wasn't hurt, but the Giants didn't feel a need to use him late in the game. The official word from the team was he went to the locker room to get re-taped in the second quarter.

Jacobs could have had a career day against the Ravens, and he will run all over Arizona in Week 12. But what about the Fantasy value for Derrick Ward and Ahmad Bradshaw?

Ward had 97 total yards against the Ravens and now has at least 50 total yards in every game this season. Bradshaw was 4 yards from snapping Baltimore's streak by finishing with 96 yards on nine carries.

Ward should be used as a No. 3 Fantasy running back or flex option. He has contributed all year long for Fantasy owners who have paid attention.

Bradshaw should remain a reserve running back. He only factors in blowouts, and it's hard to count on him for guaranteed production.

But with how the Giants have run the ball recently, it wouldn't be a surprise if Bradshaw continues to play well. The Giants have the best offensive line in the NFL, and the running game has been outstanding because of that group up front.

Second down

There were some impressive running back performances from some unexpected places. In Carolina, DeAngelo Williams had 14 carries for 120 yards and two touchdowns against Detroit, but rookie Jonathan Stewart had his best day as a pro with 15 carries for 130 yards and a touchdown.

Just when Williams was establishing himself as a stud running back, Stewart re-emerges to give Fantasy owners something to think about. Hopefully both running backs will continue to play like this, but it could be time to start Stewart again as a flex option at Atlanta in Week 12. Keep Williams active as a No. 1 option because he's on a roll.

Also in Carolina, Lions rookie running back Kevin Smith had a career day with 24 carries for 112 yards. Smith has played well recently, but he is at Tampa Bay next week. Don't put Smith in your lineup just yet, but this was encouraging.

The Broncos appear to have solved their running back issues for now with Peyton Hillis getting 10 carries for 44 yards and two touchdowns at Atlanta. Hillis is worth starting in Week 12 against Oakland, and he's only owned in 40 percent of leagues on CBSSports.com, so add him now. Tatum Bell only had seven carries for 34 yards, and P.J. Pope had four carries for 35 yards.

Third down

In my column this week, I touted Anquan Boldin as the NFL's MVP this season. He helped his cause with a season-high 13 catches for 186 yards at Seattle.

Boldin continues to be the No. 1 Fantasy wide receiver, and the Cardinals passing offense is tremendous for Fantasy owners. Larry Fitzgerald had 10 catches for 151 yards against Seattle, and Kurt Warner passed for 395 yards, one touchdown and one interception.

Throw in Steve Breaston, who was overshadowed with only two catches for 15 yards against the Seahawks, and the Cardinals are fun to watch. If you own any of the Cardinals wide receivers or Warner, hopefully this magical season continues.

Next week's game will be tough against the Giants, but the Cardinals are playing too good right now to sit any of these players.

Fourth down

Joseph Addai should have put every Fantasy owner at ease with his first 100-yard rushing game of the season against Houston when he gained 105 yards and a touchdown and caught four passes for 48 yards and a touchdown.

Addai, one of the biggest busts this season, has a great schedule with games remaining against San Diego, Cleveland, Cincinnati, Detroit and Jacksonville before facing Tennessee in the season-finale. He should turn his season around and get back to being a No. 1 Fantasy option with that schedule.

Some other observations: LaDainian Tomlinson was better than expected with 97 total yards and a touchdown at Pittsburgh. He only averaged 3.2 yards per carry, but his 40 yards receiving made up for his rushing total. ... Matt Ryan had his first interception in three games and failed to throw a touchdown for the first time in six games. He should have played better against Denver, which was No. 28 in pass defense prior to the game. It didn't help that Roddy White dropped a touchdown pass. ... Larry Johnson had 19 carries for 67 yards and one catch for 20 yards against New Orleans in his first game back for the Chiefs since missing the past three. Johnson was the latest running back to run the "Wildcat" offense, so it shows he's back as a focal point in Kansas City's offense. ... Ben Roethlisberger passed for 308 yards against the Chargers, but he hasn't thrown a touchdown in three games. That will change in Week 12 against Cincinnati, so don't worry. ... Kerry Collins now has five touchdowns in his past two games after throwing for three scores at Jacksonville. It could be time to consider him a starting Fantasy option, especially with favorable matchups the next two weeks against the Jets and Detroit.

What are your thoughts from this week? See anything that jumped off the screen? Let us know -- e-mail us at dmfantasyfootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Four Downs in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Rashard Mendenhall
PUP list in Mendenhall's future
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
2:15 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Mendenhall tore his right ACL in Week 17 of last season; recovery time for such injuries is anywhere from nine months to a year.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He'll likely get the first crack at starting in place of Mendenhall. There's still a lot of time between now and the regular season, but for now it's probably safe to expect Mendenhall to not be at even close to 100 percent to start the year, which will absolutely impact his Fantasy value. By August, you might be drafting Mendenhall as a middle- to late-round sleeper you'll have to sit on for a while. We'll keep you posted on Mendenhall as best as we can.

Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
10:10 AM
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to." NFL Network reports that teams have already been calling his agent following the news.
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
9:39 AM
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
9:36 AM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Isaac Redman
Redman in line to start for Steelers?
Isaac Redman, RB, PIT
2:23 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. That would open the door for Isaac Redman to be the starting rusher entering training camp.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He's also stepped up while working with Mendenhall and without him, though his one other start in 2011 was a flop (61 total yards, no touchdowns vs. Tennessee). By August we might recommend drafting Redman with a pick in Round 6 or 7 as a good early-season starting option with potential to be a quality Fantasy choice for the entire season. We'll see how the Steelers' run game shakes out.

Steve Slaton
Slaton, Dolphins likely parting ways
Steve Slaton, RB, MIA
12:56 PM
News: The Palm Beach Post reports that RB Steve Slaton is not expected to return to the Dolphins in 2012. Slaton played in three games this season with zero starts after being picked up on waivers before Week 4. He had 17 carries for 64 yards (3.8 average) with one touchdown and a long of 28 and also returned three kickoffs for 85 yards. Slaton was signed as insurance early in the season when both Reggie Bush (groin) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) battled injuries.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Slaton plays in 2012, but he likely has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
11:14 AM
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
9:53 AM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on the future of Hines Ward. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported previously that if the Steelers did decide to release Ward, he was unaware of it. NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report. Ward's 2012 salary is high and he's expected to at least take a significant pay cut, if not get released altogether. Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
9:49 AM
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
9:46 AM
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

 
 
 
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