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Jeff Lippman

Week 12 Injury Insider

By | Fantasy Writer


Tight end is generally the thinnest position in Fantasy to find quality talent worth using on a consistent basis. As some of the best in the NFL start dropping like flies, many Fantasy owners may be finding themselves dredging the waiver wire for some uncovered -- yet useful -- talent.

That's right. With Week 12 already beginning on Thursday night with a mid-week matchup between the Steelers and Bengals, a few elite Fantasy tight ends find themselves furiously trying to recuperate in time to play in their respective games this weekend.

Highlighting the list is Tony Gonzalez, who is joined by Alex Smith, Jason Witten and Kellen Winslow, who all could possibly missing time in Week 12. With so many tight ends questionable, Fantasy owners must really choose wisely from the hoi polloi off the waiver wire.

Owners are hopeful Jason Witten will be able to produce Sunday despite his injured ribs. (US Presswire)  
Owners are hopeful Jason Witten will be able to produce Sunday despite his injured ribs. (US Presswire)  
Before we go in depth into each injury situation, here are a few tight ends with possibilities of nice weeks that should still be available off waivers in most Fantasy leagues: Tampa Bay's Jerramy Stevens (available in 93 percent of CBSSports.com Fantasy leagues) caught six passes filling in for Smith last week; San Francisco's Vernon Davis (65 percent) has caught a touchdown pass in two straight games; Green Bay's Donald Lee (65 percent) caught six passes and a touchdown last week and meets the poor defense of the Saints; Baltimore's Todd Heap (62 percent) has caught eight passes for two touchdowns the last two weeks.

Tight Ends

Tony Gonzalez, Kansas City: Gonzalez is suffering from a knee injury he suffered in a Week 11 loss to New Orleans in which he caught five passes for 39 yards. Gonzalez was not forced out of the game, however, and that suggests he should be able to play through any pain he's feeling when the Chiefs host Buffalo in Week 12.

One of the all-time greatest NFL tight ends, Gonzalez could not practice on Wednesday, but the Kansas City Star reports Herm Edwards expects him to play against the Bills.

Fantasy Take: Gonzalez has developed quite a rapport with emerging quarterback Tyler Thigpen and even caught 10 passes for 113 yards and two scores two weeks ago against the Chargers. He has always been a must-start in Fantasy and that continues in Week 12 vs. Buffalo. We give him a 75 percent chance of starting and suggest keeping him active.

Jason Witten, Dallas: Witten was limited in Wednesday's practice for the Cowboys leading up to Week 12 against San Francisco in Big D. He's still feeling the affects of a broken rib he suffered Week 8 against St. Louis and, though he hasn't missed any games, Witten has been severely hampered and has only caught three passes for 42 yards in three games since.

Witten claimed on Tuesday that his ribs were feeling a little better but said, "The thing is, I need to avoid those direct blows," which obviously means the injury is still weighing heavy on his mind.

Fantasy Take: Witten is perhaps the best tight end in football when he's healthy but he's looked nothing of the sort lately, on either account. The continued return of Tony Romo should remedy that just a tad, but Witten isn't 100 percent. We give him an 80 percent chance of starting this week but don't expect top-notch production. Still, against the lowly 49ers defense, a less-than-100-percent Witten is still one worth starting.

Kellen Winslow, Cleveland: Winslow's right shoulder injury is not considered serious after an MRI Tuesday showed no structural damage but that doesn't mean his status for Week 12 is a go just yet. Winslow has yet to return to practice as of Thursday and coach Romeo Crennel has said the only way Winslow sees the field against Houston is if he's able to show a full range of motion in his shoulder.

There won't be definitive word on Winslow's situation until Friday at the earliest but one thing is certain, Winslow is a tough guy who wants to be out on the field. Still, he has missed two games this season and the best thing for all parties might be one more week of rest.

Fantasy Take: We can only give Winslow a 50 percent chance of starting against the Texans in Week 12. Until he gets on the practice field there is just no way of knowing how he's doing. If he's out, Steve Heiden would replace him. Heiden is a low-end Fantasy option and you'd probably get better production from one of the aforementioned players above.

Alex Smith, Tampa Bay: It was bad news for Smith and the Buccaneers as after being limited in Wednesday's practice due to an ankle injury, Tampa's tight end was unable to see the field on Thursday.

Tampa Bay coach Jon Gruden was asked if Smith was a long shot to play in Week 12 at Detroit and he said: "Based on today [Thursday], I'd say that. But we'll give him another day and see how he feels."

Fantasy Take: Smith could not play in last week's game against Minnesota after catching his third touchdown pass the previous Sunday. He's just a high-end No. 2 Fantasy tight end, when healthy, but with the other tight ends being injured, this could have been a good week to use him against the lowly, lowly Lions. Still, we give him just a 25 percent chance of playing against one of the NFL's worst defenses.

Quarterbacks

Brady Quinn, Cleveland: Funny how winning your first NFL game can make a little thing like a broken right index finger feel like a non event. Quinn broke the finger in the first half of Monday night's 29-27 win over Buffalo but stayed in the game to help the Browns to victory.

"At this point, it's just a little sore," Quinn said before practicing in full on Thursday. "Just doing the best we can to take all the precautions to make sure it's all right."

Fantasy Take: Quinn is expected to play after looking sharp in Thursday's practice. He didn't favor the finger while taking snaps and fired a few tight spirals while working out in the team's indoor practice facility. We give him a 90 percent chance of starting and proclaim him a No. 2 Fantasy quarterback for Week 12 against Houston.

JaMarcus Russell, Oakland: Russell is dealing with injuries to his ankle and knee and has been limited in practice all week leading up to Week 12 at Denver. Russell missed Week 10 and a series in Week 11 with the same injury. He was 15-of-22 passing for 156 yards against Miami last week.

Russell was seen wearing a walking boot on his right foot Wednesday but coach Tom Cable expects him to play against one of the worst passing defenses in the NFL, reports the Sacramento Bee.

Fantasy Take: Russell has a 90 percent chance of playing in Week 12, but even against the Broncos we don't expect much. He's just a high-end No. 2, at best, against Denver as the Raiders passing game is quite inept.

Running Backs

Clinton Portis, Washington: Why get your information from the injury report? Just listen to the man himself. Although Portis has yet to practice as of Thursday because of the sore knee that kept him a last-minute decision to play last Sunday night against the Cowboys, No. 26 fully expects to help coach Jim Zorn torch his former team in Week 12.

"It's coming along," Portis told the Washington Post after Thursday's practice. "I'm sore, but I'm playing this week. No ifs, ands or buts about it."

Fantasy Take: Portis rushed for 68 yards on 15 carries against Dallas when most thought he'd likely miss the game, so we expect the NFL's second-leading rusher to be active and starting against Seattle on Sunday. He gets a 90 percent chance of playing and remains a must-start against a below average rush defense.

Brian Westbrook, Philadelphia: Westbrook has yet to practice as of Thursday leading up to Week 12 at Baltimore because of a high ankle sprain. Westbrook has played in each of the four games since he last was forced to miss action, but he hasn't looked like the player who amassed an NFL-leading 2,104 yards from scrimmage last season.

While it is not unusual for Westbrook to miss practice time, his injuries rarely affect his play. This latest ankle problem certainly has done that. And now, Westbrook is admitting it has yet to fully. He told the Philadelphia Inquirer that it feels worse and worse as the game advances on.

Fantasy Take: Westbrook hasn't been very good in his last three weeks and the Eagles opponents in Week 12, the Ravens, are the NFL's third best rush defense. We give him only a 40 percent chance of being active for the game and even if he does play, he'd be just a low-end No. 3 option at Baltimore playing at less than 100 percent.

Brandon Jacobs, New York Giants: The Giants offensive line has been moving people like a fleet of U-Haul trucks and Jacobs doesn't want to miss out on that in Week 12 against Arizona. That's why the Giants tailback, who has five touchdowns in his last three games, returned to practice on Thursday after missing Wednesday with a knee injury.

"I was running hard," said Jacobs, who plans on playing in Week 12, said after practice. "I made some cuts I thought were going to be difficult and they ended up being OK. I feel good, no pain. As far as I'm concerned, I'm on track to go out and get it done."

Fantasy Take: Jacobs certainly sounds ready to play, doesn't he? Still, conventional wisdom suggests that even if active, he won't be 100 percent. The Cardinals have a solid rush defense but the Giants run game has been fantastic. What gives? We give Jacobs a 70 percent chance of playing in Week 12 and if he does he's a high-end No. 2 worth starting in all formats.

Reggie Bush and Deuce McAllister, New Orleans: The news is improving for Bush as the week progresses, but unfortunately for McAllister, the opposite is true. While Bush was able to practice in a limited capacity on Thursday, McAllister did not practice after being limited on Wednesday, reports the Monroe News-Star.

Saints coach Sean Payton said McAllister did not practice because of added swelling in his left knee. "It was maintenance and just monitoring where he's at," Payton said. "They drained it yesterday and we wanted to rest him today and see if it could calm down some."

Bush, on the other hand, has missed the last three games but has finally been able to practice again and Payton says he's further along in his progress than he was at this point last week. Payton said Bush looked "pretty good" in practice.

Fantasy Take: Neither player's fate is set in stone right now, though Bush looks like greater possibility to start. Still, until Friday at the earliest all we can do is speculate. That said, we give Bush a 70 percent chance of being active and McAllister a 65 percent nod. Both players are worth using against the Packers mediocre rush defense in Week 12, if healthy, so continue to monitor each of their situations leading up to Monday night.

Kevin Smith, Detroit: You can bet that after rushing for his first career 100-yard game against Carolina in Week 11, Smith has no designs on missing Sunday's game against Tampa Bay. The groin injury that has kept him limited in practice this week doesn't appear like it will stop him from attempting to improve upon the solid performance vs. the Panthers.

The Lions expect him to play against a pretty solid rush defense in Week 12 and after rushing for over 96 yards in two straight and scoring in three of his last five, Smith should play well once again.

Fantasy Take: This injury is not considered serious and we give him an 80 percent chance of playing against the Bucs. He looks as if he'll be the starting running back in Detroit for a long time and he should be starting as a No. 3 Fantasy back in Week 12 if he can give it a go.

Wide Receivers

Roddy White, Atlanta: You would think a back injury causing White to miss practice on Wednesday and Thursday would be something quite seriously challenging his chance at playing in Week 12 against Carolina.

The Falcons are calling White's ailment a deep back bruise but White is not concerned. "I just fell on it," White told the Atlanta Journal-Constitution Thursday. "I've got a little bruise back there. I just want to make sure that I'm ready to go on Sunday."

Fantasy Take: White has 58 catches for 903 yards and six touchdowns this season. He's emerged as a No. 1 Fantasy option and a threat to total 100 yards every week for Atlanta and young quarterback Matt Ryan. He's expected to practice Friday and we give him an 85 percent chance of playing against the Panthers.

Plaxico Burress, New York Giants: Burress apparently injured his hamstring sleeping Wednesday night. OK, that's just speculation, but the Giants have told us little else about why their star receiver wasn't injured on Wednesday but was forced to miss Thursday's practice.

A weekly member of the injury report last season, Burress did not miss a single game en route to New York winning the Super Bowl. That leads us to believe that whatever is bothering him won't be enough to keep him out of Week 12's game against the Cardinals in Arizona. More importantly, he's caught 35 passes this season but only 20 have come since the year's first two games. He's hauled in no more than three passes in the last five games, grabbing a total of 13 for 137 yards and two TDs in that span.

Fantasy Take: We give Burress a 75 percent chance at playing in Week 12 and expect him to be in there despite the claims of a hamstring problem. If he plays, he's got a solid matchup against the Cardinals but realize that teams have been double-teaming him everywhere he goes, a major reason for his lowered production.

Marques Colston, New Orleans: Colston's knee continues to place him on the practice injury report leading up to Week 12 against Green Bay. Colston was still just a limited participant in Thursday's practice, reports the Times-Picayune.

The same scenario clouded Colston during practice leading up to last week's game in which he started and caught three passes for 30 yards. For that reason, we expect he'll be just fine to play against the Packers in Week 12.

Fantasy Take: We absolutely expect Colston to be active and give him a 90 percent chance of playing Monday night against the Packers. Unfortunately, Green Bay owns the third best pass defense in the NFL and it will not be easy going for the third-year man out of Hofstra. Colston has been decent since his return with 12 catches for 226 yards and no scores in three games. Even against the Packers, Colston is worth starting on the biggest stage Monday.

Mark Bradley, Kansas City: Bradley was limited in Thursday's practice with a calf injury but coach Herm Edwards expects to have him for Week 12 against Buffalo, reports the Kansas City Star.

Bradley has developed into young starting quarterback Tyler Thigpen's favorite wide receiver as he led the Chiefs with three catches for 54 yards last week and has two touchdowns in his last four games. This injury is not considered serious and the Chiefs expect him to play.

Fantasy Take: Bradley may be limited in practice but we still give him an 80 percent chance at starting against the Bills. Fantasy owners should be starting him as a No. 3 Fantasy wideout.

Derrick Mason, Baltimore: Mason, who caught seven passes for 82 yards last week while dealing with the same shoulder injury, could not practice on Wednesday in preparation for Week 12 against Philadelphia.

Mason shook off the injury to play well in Week 11 and we expect he'll be able to do the same thing this week after he was able to return to practice in limited fashion on Thursday, reports the Baltimore Sun.

Fantasy Take: Mason was limited in practice last week as well so we expect him to be active against the Eagles. We give him an 85 percent chance of starting and since he has over 80 yards receiving in three of his last five games, he's worth using as a No. 3 option against the Eagles solid pass defense.

Do you have a Fantasy Football question? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll get to as many as we can. Be sure to put Attn: Injuries in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Rashard Mendenhall
PUP list in Mendenhall's future
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
2:15 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Mendenhall tore his right ACL in Week 17 of last season; recovery time for such injuries is anywhere from nine months to a year.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He'll likely get the first crack at starting in place of Mendenhall. There's still a lot of time between now and the regular season, but for now it's probably safe to expect Mendenhall to not be at even close to 100 percent to start the year, which will absolutely impact his Fantasy value. By August, you might be drafting Mendenhall as a middle- to late-round sleeper you'll have to sit on for a while. We'll keep you posted on Mendenhall as best as we can.

Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
10:10 AM
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to."
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
9:39 AM
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
9:36 AM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Isaac Redman
Redman in line to start for Steelers?
Isaac Redman, RB, PIT
2:23 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. That would open the door for Isaac Redman to be the starting rusher entering training camp.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He's also stepped up while working with Mendenhall and without him, though his one other start in 2011 was a flop (61 total yards, no touchdowns vs. Tennessee). By August we might recommend drafting Redman with a pick in Round 6 or 7 as a good early-season starting option with potential to be a quality Fantasy choice for the entire season. We'll see how the Steelers' run game shakes out.

Steve Slaton
Slaton, Dolphins likely parting ways
Steve Slaton, RB, MIA
12:56 PM
News: The Palm Beach Post reports that RB Steve Slaton is not expected to return to the Dolphins in 2012. Slaton played in three games this season with zero starts after being picked up on waivers before Week 4. He had 17 carries for 64 yards (3.8 average) with one touchdown and a long of 28 and also returned three kickoffs for 85 yards. Slaton was signed as insurance early in the season when both Reggie Bush (groin) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) battled injuries.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Slaton plays in 2012, but he likely has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
11:14 AM
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
9:53 AM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on the future of Hines Ward. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported previously that if the Steelers did decide to release Ward, he was unaware of it. NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report. Ward's 2012 salary is high and he's expected to at least take a significant pay cut, if not get released altogether. Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
9:49 AM
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
9:46 AM
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

 
 
 
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