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Jamey Eisenberg

Week 13 Fantasy Faceoffs

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Editor's note: Senior Fantasy Writers Dave Richard and Jamey Eisenberg disagree a lot on particular players in a given week. Instead of trying to convince each other they are right, we feel it makes for good reading to hear each argument. Here are their best debates entering Week 13.

Start Aaron Rodgers vs. Carolina?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard If Rodgers couldn't throttle the Saints pass defense, then he'll definitely struggle with the Panthers. Carolina has given up just eight passing touchdowns this season and only one 300-yard passer (MVP candidate Kurt Warner). They've stymied the likes of Philip Rivers and Drew Brees and should be able to contend with a Packers offense coming off a Monday night game. Additionally, the Panthers have been leaky against the run, so Ryan Grant could see the bulk of the work on Sunday, taking the ball out of Rodgers' hands. Besides, only nine of Rodgers' 21 total TDs have come at Lambeau.
I'd rather start: Tyler Thigpen at Oakland
Jamey Eisenberg I'll definitely start Rodgers at home in this matchup even with Carolina allowing only eight passing touchdowns on the season, which is No. 3 in the NFL. At home, Rodgers has played well with seven passing touchdowns and two interceptions and two rushing touchdowns in five games. He is going to be throwing -- he averages about 33 attempts a game -- and I'll take my chances with Rodgers against the Panthers in Lambeau Field. Rodgers might not pass for 300 yards, but he will finish as a top 12 Fantasy option. If this game were in Carolina, I might have some reservations, but I like Rodgers at home.
I'd start him over: Eli Manning at Washington
Start Matt Cassel vs. Pittsburgh?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard My argument for Cassel against the Steelers won't involve previous stats. Instead, let's focus on the Patriots' incredible ability to game plan against opponents. The Steelers may be top-ranked against the pass, but they are far more fearsome against the run, and the Patriots have to know they don't match up well there (they thought as much vs. Pittsburgh last season). That will mean a lot of passing, which translates into a lot of attempts for Cassel. Lots of attempts usually means lots of yards, and considering the way the Patriots spread-out offense has moved in recent weeks, a decent amount of touchdowns, too.
I'd start him over: Ben Roethlisberger at New England
Jamey Eisenberg Cassel has been a nice story the past two weeks with back-to-back 400-yard passing games against Miami and the Jets, but the Steelers will end the fairy tale. Pittsburgh's defense is much better than Cassel's two previous opponents, and Cassel will be running for his life. The Steelers are No. 1 in pass defense, No. 5 in passing touchdowns allowed and No. 2 in sacks. Cassel will see plenty of zone blitzes, and his stats will plummet from the past two games. Remember, prior to facing these porous defenses, Cassel was a terrible Fantasy option. His confidence might be high, and justifiably so, but this is a terrible matchup for any quarterback.
I'd rather start: Jeff Garcia vs. New Orleans
Start Peyton Hillis at N.Y. Jets?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard His matchup might be tough, but the Broncos haven't gotten away from using him since giving him playing time following their bye week. Hillis has seen his total reps increase in each of the last four weeks while being a consistent power rusher for the Broncos. Plus, he's also their goal-line back, and with the Broncos' penchant for scoring, it puts him in play as a threat for six points regardless of any matchup.
I'd start him over: Tim Hightower at Philadelphia
Jamey Eisenberg Hillis might make some plays in the passing game for the Broncos, but there's no chance he runs on the Jets and Kris Jenkins, who is the frontrunner for defensive MVP. Last week, the Jets shut down Chris Johnson and the Titans, and this week's victim will be Hillis. He's a nice story and worth owning in all leagues, but don't count on him in this matchup. The Jets are No. 3 in run defense for a reason.
I'd rather start: Darren McFadden vs. Kansas City
Start Jamal Lewis vs. Indianapolis?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard I don't mean to alarm you, but the Colts have only allowed two 100-yard rushers in their last eight games. Their weakness against the run comes in the touchdown department, but a running back has to usually get near the end zone before he can score. That's something Lewis and the Browns haven't been able to do for much of the season. With zero 100-total-yard games and only four scores on the season, I don't see Lewis breaking out.
I'd rather start: Derrick Ward at Washington
Jamey Eisenberg Lewis has struggled the past four weeks with less than 70 yards rushing in each game and only one touchdown. But now he faces a run defense that has struggled all year and could again be without standout safety Bob Sanders (knee). The Colts allow 136.8 rushing yards per game with 15 touchdowns on the season. This is a game where the Browns will feed Lewis the ball with Brady Quinn dealing with the broken finger. Lewis will respond with a good outing.
I'd start him over: Deuce McAllister at Tampa Bay
Start Torry Holt vs. Miami?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard I know Holt has been putting up some relatively good numbers of late, but I can't trust him even in a good matchup at home against the Dolphins. His quarterback will either be a concussed Marc Bulger or an over-the-hill Trent Green, neither of whom have shown much ability to feed Holt touchdowns. The guy has had no 100-yard games even with a season littered with favorable matchups. I don't know how 30 percent of CBSSports.com owners are even starting this guy.
I'd rather start: Derrick Mason at Cincinnati
Jamey Eisenberg Holt has to be saying to the Dolphins that he wants the same single coverage they gave Randy Moss last week when Moss had eight catches for 125 yards and three touchdowns. Regardless, Holt has played well at home this year with 23 catches for 334 yards and two touchdowns in five games. The Dolphins secondary has been terrible most of the season and is No. 29 this week. Holt should post solid enough stats to be used as a No. 3 Fantasy option.
I'd start him over: Braylon Edwards vs. Indianapolis

Do you agree with Dave or Jamey? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll post the best responses. Be sure to put Attn: Fantasy Faceoff in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Rashard Mendenhall
PUP list in Mendenhall's future
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
2:15 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Mendenhall tore his right ACL in Week 17 of last season; recovery time for such injuries is anywhere from nine months to a year.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He'll likely get the first crack at starting in place of Mendenhall. There's still a lot of time between now and the regular season, but for now it's probably safe to expect Mendenhall to not be at even close to 100 percent to start the year, which will absolutely impact his Fantasy value. By August, you might be drafting Mendenhall as a middle- to late-round sleeper you'll have to sit on for a while. We'll keep you posted on Mendenhall as best as we can.

Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
10:10 AM
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to." NFL Network reports that teams have already been calling his agent following the news.
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
9:39 AM
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
9:36 AM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Isaac Redman
Redman in line to start for Steelers?
Isaac Redman, RB, PIT
2:23 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. That would open the door for Isaac Redman to be the starting rusher entering training camp.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He's also stepped up while working with Mendenhall and without him, though his one other start in 2011 was a flop (61 total yards, no touchdowns vs. Tennessee). By August we might recommend drafting Redman with a pick in Round 6 or 7 as a good early-season starting option with potential to be a quality Fantasy choice for the entire season. We'll see how the Steelers' run game shakes out.

Steve Slaton
Slaton, Dolphins likely parting ways
Steve Slaton, RB, MIA
12:56 PM
News: The Palm Beach Post reports that RB Steve Slaton is not expected to return to the Dolphins in 2012. Slaton played in three games this season with zero starts after being picked up on waivers before Week 4. He had 17 carries for 64 yards (3.8 average) with one touchdown and a long of 28 and also returned three kickoffs for 85 yards. Slaton was signed as insurance early in the season when both Reggie Bush (groin) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) battled injuries.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Slaton plays in 2012, but he likely has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
11:14 AM
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
9:53 AM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on the future of Hines Ward. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported previously that if the Steelers did decide to release Ward, he was unaware of it. NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report. Ward's 2012 salary is high and he's expected to at least take a significant pay cut, if not get released altogether. Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
9:49 AM
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
9:46 AM
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

 
 
 
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