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Jeff Lippman

Week 13 Injury Insider

By | Fantasy Writer


The Giants have a lot to be thankful for, or so we thought. At 10-1 they are at the top of the NFC standings and a virtual lock to make the playoffs already. Their Week 13 opponents, the Washington Redskins, have fallen three games behind in the loss column and would need a miracle to catch Big Blue.

Things are going so well in the Big Apple, New York isn't even really concerned that they could be without their top two offensive weapons against the Redskins. Plaxico Burress is already out, but the details as to why are still in flux. It seems unlikely that Brandon Jacobs will give it a go, considering New York's place in the standings and the big picture down the road.

Jacobs was also out last week in Arizona. His sprained knee is also causing him to be a huge question mark vs. the Redskins. And to make matters even worse, now his backup, Ahmad Bradshaw, is missing practice time with a sprained neck he suffered against the Cardinals.

Bradshaw, however, has called his injury not that bad and vowed to get onto the practice field before the end of the week. Jacobs, on the other hand, is keeping his status close to the vest because of the controversy created last week when he called himself probable and then missed the game.

"The last time we did that we were under investigation," Jacobs said. "So I'm not going to say I'm probable. I will line up and go see how it feels. I'm taking it day by day."

Jacobs and Bradshaw should both be able to return to the practice field shortly and if that happens, they should both be active in Week 13. We expect that scenario and give Bradshaw a 90 percent chance of playing and Jacobs an 80 percent shot.

Running Backs

Clinton Portis, Washington: The Redskins aren't without injuries of their own for their Week 13 meeting against the division-leading Giants. Portis could be seen on the sidelines numerous times during his 143-yard ground performance against the Seahawks last week grimacing and writhing on the ground in pain. Of course, minutes later, he could be seen running over and through Seattle defenders.

And that is pretty much what you can expect from Portis over the rest of the season. Still missing from practice, something tells us the NFL's leader in rushing yards will be just fine for perhaps the Redskins biggest game of the season. Coach Jim Zorn even said Portis is feeling better than he had before last week's game.

Fantasy Take: Don't expect Portis to practice much going forward but expect he'll be in the starting lineup and expect big things. He gets a 90 percent chance of starting and is a must-start against the G-men.

Willie Parker, Pittsburgh: Parker was obviously hampered in last Thursday's win over the Bengals as he rushed for just 37 yards on 14 carries. He re-aggravated his left knee problem and missed most of the second half. As the Steelers prepare for the Patriots in Week 13, Parker had yet to practice as of Wednesday.

Thursday brought good news as Parker did get back in action in a limited capacity, reports the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Still, afterwards he called himself day-to-day with the injury. When asked if practicing is a good sign that he'll play against New England, Parker admitted that it was.

Fantasy Take: Mewelde Moore is ready to start for Parker should he not be able to go. But the fact he practiced Thursday makes us believe he'll at least start the game Sunday. We give him a 60 percent chance of starting and a healthy Parker is a must-start. He won't be 100 percent, however, but that still makes him worth starting in most Fantasy formats.

Steven Jackson, St. Louis: Jackson has missed four of the past five games with this current thigh injury and the Rams have suffered without him. The good news for Fantasy owners is that Jackson was back at practice on Wednesday and took almost half the team's snaps, reports the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.

Rams coach Jim Haslett is still not convinced just yet that he'll be ready to play against Miami. Haslett wants to see more out of Jackson before the practice week is over if he hopes to start against the Dolphins. "Hopefully, there's not a setback. On Friday, we'll do short-yardage and goal-line (drills), and he should be OK," Haslett said.

Fantasy Take: We give Jackson a 70 percent chance of getting back in action vs. the Fish. For now you can go ahead and treat him as a must-start in Week 13 but continue to monitor the situation as the week progresses.

Reggie Bush, New Orleans: If you listen to Bush, it's pretty clear he'll be on the field on Sunday against Tampa Bay. Problem is, you listened to him last week and got burned.

"Oh yeah, I'm definitely a go this week.” Bush said after practicing in a limited capacity Wednesday. "I know I said that last week, but it's definitely a go this week. I felt good today ... I felt great. It's the best it's felt."

Fantasy Take: Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice ... Saints coach Sean Payton said he thinks Bush is playing against the Bucs, too, so we'll believe them. We give Bush an 85 percent chance of playing in the game. Still, you might consider leaving him on your bench for a week to see if he's fully recovered, especially if the guys you've been using in his absence have done well.

Tight Ends

Kellen Winslow, Cleveland: Winslow is still being limited in practice with the same shoulder injury that has caused him to make just four catches for 51 yards over the last two weeks.

Cleveland plays against the Colts in Week 13 and the Browns are switching back to original starting quarterback Derek Anderson as Brady Quinn is out for the year.

Fantasy Take: Winslow is only averaging 45.9 receiving yards per game this season but the switch back to Anderson could jump start him in a way. We give him a 90 percent chance of playing vs. Indy and suggest starting him across the board in hopes the pass-catch duo can restore some of last season's glory.

Todd Heap, Baltimore: Not much is known about what is bothering Heap other than he's dealing with an illness. He couldn't practice Wednesday with this mysterious illness but until we find out what exactly he's dealing with there is no way of knowing whether he'll be fine or if he'll be out a while.

Fantasy Take: Something tells us that Heap will be fine for Sunday's game at Cincinnati. The problem is, take away a two-touchdown performance in Week 10, and Heap hasn't been worth owning in Fantasy this season. He's the 27th best tight end in terms of receiving yards and he's just an emergency option at Cincy even if he's 100 percent.

Quarterbacks

Marc Bulger, St. Louis: Bulger went down in Sunday's loss to Chicago and suffered a concussion. The resulting Trent Green experiment was not a positive one and the Rams need Bulger back desperately. Fortunately, after taking nearly all the snaps with the first team in Wednesday's practice, Bulger appears fine to start Sunday against Miami.

Fantasy Take: If you listen to Bulger, he gives himself a 99 percent chance to start in Week 13, reports the Post-Dispatch. We believe he'll play but don't recommend him in Fantasy. Why would we? He and the Rams have been horrific all year.

David Garrard, Jacksonville: Garrard injured his ribs and back in last week's game against the Minnesota Vikings and has been limited in practice this week leading up to Sunday's clash at Houston.

There has been absolutely no indication that Garrard is in jeopardy of missing Week 13, however, and we expect him to be starting for the Jaguars on Sunday.

Fantasy Take: Garrard gets a 95 percent chance of starting against the Texans. He threw for 317 yards against the Vikings last week but did have two interceptions to just one touchdown. That said, Garrard is still worthy of a start in deeper Fantasy leagues as a high-end No. 2 signal caller.

Wide Receivers

T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Cincinnati: Cincinnati plays against Baltimore in Week 13 and that already puts owners of Houshmandzadeh at a disadvantage as the Ravens are one the league's best pass defenses.

Housh had been limited in practice this week but on Thursday was unable to step on the field. That is bad news after he caught just four balls for 20 yards in last week's game at Pittsburgh.

Fantasy Take: This back issue could pop up at any time and he'll likely be a game-time decision. We expect Housh, the NFL's third-leading receiver, will be able to start against the Ravens but not being 100 percent you shouldn't expect huge numbers out of him.

Eddie Royal, Denver: The Rocky Mountain News is reporting that Royal was held out of practice on Wednesday because of a toe injury. Royal was seen in full pads but could not ultimately participate.

Royal hasn't been particularly useful in Fantasy over the last two weeks for Denver. He's got just six catches for 48 yards over that span and is three weeks removed from a six-catch 164-yard performance against the Browns.

Fantasy Take: Royal has also been hampered by an ankle injury all year and has played through. We expect him to be on the field Sunday at the Jets and give him an 85 percent chance at being active. Royal remains a decent No. 3 receiver in Fantasy if he is able to play against New York.

Mark Bradley, Kansas City: Bradley is dealing with a calf injury that caused him to miss practice on Wednesday, reports the Kansas City Star. However, Bradley didn't practice on Wednesday of last week, either. By Friday he was ready to play and we expect a similar scenario in Week 13 at Oakland.

Fantasy Take: If Bradley sees the practice field before the weekend, he'll be fine for Sunday. We give him a 95 percent chance of starting against the Raiders surprisingly tough pass defense. He's alternated weeks with a touchdown recently and since he scored last week that means he's scheduled to miss out on the end zone in Week 13. That makes him a low-end option in Fantasy against the Raiders.

Do you have a Fantasy Football question? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll get to as many as we can. Be sure to put Attn: Injuries in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Rashard Mendenhall
PUP list in Mendenhall's future
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
2:15 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Mendenhall tore his right ACL in Week 17 of last season; recovery time for such injuries is anywhere from nine months to a year.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He'll likely get the first crack at starting in place of Mendenhall. There's still a lot of time between now and the regular season, but for now it's probably safe to expect Mendenhall to not be at even close to 100 percent to start the year, which will absolutely impact his Fantasy value. By August, you might be drafting Mendenhall as a middle- to late-round sleeper you'll have to sit on for a while. We'll keep you posted on Mendenhall as best as we can.

Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
10:10 AM
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to."
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
9:39 AM
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
9:36 AM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Isaac Redman
Redman in line to start for Steelers?
Isaac Redman, RB, PIT
2:23 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. That would open the door for Isaac Redman to be the starting rusher entering training camp.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He's also stepped up while working with Mendenhall and without him, though his one other start in 2011 was a flop (61 total yards, no touchdowns vs. Tennessee). By August we might recommend drafting Redman with a pick in Round 6 or 7 as a good early-season starting option with potential to be a quality Fantasy choice for the entire season. We'll see how the Steelers' run game shakes out.

Steve Slaton
Slaton, Dolphins likely parting ways
Steve Slaton, RB, MIA
12:56 PM
News: The Palm Beach Post reports that RB Steve Slaton is not expected to return to the Dolphins in 2012. Slaton played in three games this season with zero starts after being picked up on waivers before Week 4. He had 17 carries for 64 yards (3.8 average) with one touchdown and a long of 28 and also returned three kickoffs for 85 yards. Slaton was signed as insurance early in the season when both Reggie Bush (groin) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) battled injuries.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Slaton plays in 2012, but he likely has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
11:14 AM
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
9:53 AM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on the future of Hines Ward. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported previously that if the Steelers did decide to release Ward, he was unaware of it. NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report. Ward's 2012 salary is high and he's expected to at least take a significant pay cut, if not get released altogether. Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
9:49 AM
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
9:46 AM
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

 
 
 
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