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Dave Richard

The new value of some Fantasy veterans

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Fans might consider the annual NFL Draft to be like Christmas, but NFL veterans likely look at it as the exact opposite. Their teams might not be giving them anything -- except possibly a pink slip.

For nearly every rookie drafted, a veteran will be cut. Notable names like Chris Perry, Larry Foote and Edgerrin James have already been cast into the free-agent player pool following the 2009 draft, and more are sure to follow between now and August.

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It's not all bad for NFL veterans, though. The ones with job security, especially after the draft, actually benefit from having talent added to their side of the football. A new receiver or tight end is like a new toy for a quarterback. An infusion of offensive linemen is good for running backs and quarterbacks alike. There's always cause for optimism when a team adds some good talent.

Here are some veterans who gained or lost value following the 2009 draft:

Five who could shine

Shaun Hill, QB, San Francisco
Comment:
Hill might be in for a battle for the starting job with Alex Smith, but we think the job is his so long as he doesn't fall on his face. That's great news for him since the 49ers not only added Michael Crabtree in the 2009 draft but are also rethinking their offensive strategy for the upcoming season. It was initially believed that the Niners would be a power running team with a limited pass attack, but the addition of Crabtree has changed that philosophy. Hill was impressive in the club's minicamp following the draft and should be even more appealing as a sleeper in drafts over the next few months.

An improved offensive line and little competition means big things for Jones-Drew. (US Presswire)  
An improved offensive line and little competition means big things for Jones-Drew. (US Presswire)  
Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Jacksonville
Comment:
We'll admit this now: Even though we ranked Jones-Drew third overall among running backs before the draft, we were nervous about how his offensive line would shape up. Following the drafting of two quality linemen along with the signing of a veteran, we're no longer as concerned. Even though Jacksonville had other needs, improving the O-line with old workhorse Tra Thomas and rookies Eugene Monroe and Eben Britton speaks volumes to the committment they're going to make to Jones-Drew this season. He's a rock solid Top 3 pick now.

Eli Manning, QB, N.Y. Giants
Comment:
Replacing Plaxico Burress will be a tall order for the Giants, but they stook a nice step forward in selecting both Hakeem Nicks and Ramses Barden. Nicks might be more of a short-to-intermediary option with plenty of muscle while Barden is a Marques Colston clone in that he's lean, tall, from a small school and understated. Neither will replace Burress' awesome yardage and touchdown totals, but their combined efforts along with that of the other Giants receivers should do the trick, giving Manning a nice stat line by the end of the year. The additions of raw offensive tackle William Beatty and speed rusher Andre Brown also provides depth around Manning.

Donovan McNabb, QB, Philadelphia
Comment:
The Eagles knew they had to bowl over McNabb with offensive upgrades this offseason, but they truly out-did themselves. Not only did they draft receiver Jeremy Maclin to give the passing game an instant boost, and not only did they secure long-term prospects in LeSean McCoy and Cornelius Ingram, but they greatly improved their offensive line by dropping the second of their first-round picks in a package for mammoth left tackle Jason Peters. McNabb is truly surrounded with excellent talent and should have a shot to top his excellent 2008 totals so long as he can stay healthy for 16 games.

Pierre Thomas, RB, New Orleans
Comment:
The Saints were rumored to be enamored with Chris Wells, but couldn't pick him at No. 14 and didn't have enough ammo to get back into Round 1 to get him. That news is golden for Thomas, who should fulfill our expectations as the "pure" running back in the explosive Saints offense. Now if the Saints add a running back, it won't be someone they'll have a major financial commitment to or someone who could legitimately take a lot of touches away from Thomas. We still feel like he's a steal going in Round 3 or later in drafts.

Five who could disappoint

Joseph Addai is coming off a subpar season and now has job competition. (US Presswire)  
Joseph Addai is coming off a subpar season and now has job competition. (US Presswire)  
Joseph Addai, RB, Indianapolis
Comment:
The drafting of Connecticut rusher Donald Brown in Round 1 will either ignite Addai into being a game dominator or push him out of the picture. The point we'd like to emphasize here is that Colts GM Bill Polian has always been a shrewd drafter and likely sees Brown as a complementary piece to start the season but eventually become the main back in the Indy offense. That's the precise plan Polian had for Addai when he became a Colt in 2006. Expect Addai's production to be somewhat limited with Brown in his shadow this season.

All non-rookie Denver RBs
Comment:
The addition of Knowshon Moreno in Denver isn't just bad for him, but bad for all the other backs that Denver added this offseason. Correll Buckhalter is now a reserve behind Moreno, LaMont Jordan might be relegated to goal-line work, J.J. Arrington's status as a third-down back is now in jeopardy, Peyton Hillis is moving back to fullback and Ryan Torain is riding the bench while rehabbing his torn ACL. Taking a shot on any of these guys is a mistake, yet they'll still total enough touches to impact the potential of Moreno. Hard to believe, but the Broncos' running back situation is more muddled now than it ever was with Mike Shanahan running the show.

Antonio Bryant, WR, Tampa Bay
Comment:
Bryant did a nice job last year proving that he could still be a force in the NFL, and he did it with Jeff Garcia as his quarterback in an offense that really relied on him as a downfield threat. Since then, the Bucs' offense has changed, their quarterbacks have changed and Bryant has been franchised and turned down for a long-term deal. Furthermore, Bryant has never been a consistent receiver in the league, and with the Bucs changing so much of their offense this offseason, including three quarterbacks vying for the starting job, it's no promise that Bryant will continue his resurgence. The drafting of Josh Freeman only makes things messier for the Bryant.

Braylon Edwards, WR, Cleveland
Comment:
In 2007, Edwards had his best campaign when the Browns offense had multiple threats and an upstart quarterback as part of an aggressive offense. In 2009, Edwards is pretty much the only threat the offense has, and that's the case even after Cleveland drafted Brian Robiskie and Mohamed Massaquoi. When defenses face the Browns, they'll know to roll coverage to Edwards and take their chances with the rookie receivers, not to mention the faulty run game the Browns currently have going for them. With Edwards seemingly stuck in Cleveland and not on the way to a new team, he's a player to avoid in Fantasy drafts.

Thomas Jones, RB, N.Y. Jets
Comment:
The addition of rookie Shonn Greene foreshadows where the Jets are going with the running back position. Jones will reportedly count for $7 million against the Jets' salary cap in 2010, making him an unlikely candidate to stay with the team after this season. He knows it, and he has asked for a new contract, which the Jets have balked at. Jones has already boycotted the club's first set of voluntary workouts, and his name has been showing up in rumor mills. The more time Jones misses, the more work Greene gets, and Greene is a humble, tough runner who could easily replace Jones in a tandem with Leon Washington if the Jets decided to make a change. Jones, meanwhile, shouldn't be expected to carry a full workload for the Jets if he sticks with them, which is too bad because he would otherwise be building on a strong 2008 season.

Five who could surprise

Marc Bulger, QB, St. Louis
Comment:
Bulger won't be mistaken for a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback in drafts, but he could be a gem off the waiver wire during the season. The Rams have done a nice job upgrading the offense's biggest weakness from 2008: the offensive line. No. 2 overall pick Jason Smith should eventually work as the left tackle and free-agent acquisition Jason Brown should be a staple at center. And the Rams' decision not to draft a quarterback, or sign someone better than Kyle Boller, speaks to the comfort level the Rams' coaches have with Bulger. If the Rams find a way to add a receiver or two, he could be a huge sleeper.

Kerry Collins, QB, Tennessee
Comment:
New Titans rookie receiver Kenny Britt might not be a Fantasy stud from Day 1, but he gives Collins a new, big target to gun for. And Britt's not the only one -- the Titans also picked up South Carolina's Jared Cook in the draft, improving their tight end corps. The two rooks should work in tune with veterans Justin Gage, Nate Washington and Bo Scaife to give Collins a vast array of quality talent to connect with. Many people believe the Titans are going to remain a running team in 2009, but we can't help but figure that they're going to want to throw more with these offseason improvements. That will only perk up Collins' stat line.

Julius Jones, RB, Seattle
Comment:
Here's some news you can use: The Seahawks have done nothing to improve their rushing corps this offseason. They didn't add anyone via free agency, and they didn't draft anyone. Jones remains their likely starter for the upcoming season, and that's enough to make him a noteworthy Fantasy option as a No. 3 back simply because he'll see a lot of work in the Seattle offense. It also helps that the 'Hawks fortified their O-line with Max Unger, who they drafted in Round 2.

Packers DST
Comment:
The Packers got lucky with DT B.J. Raji falling to them at ninth overall, then they ponied up most of their valuable 2009 picks to get Clay Matthews late in Round 1. Both moves should put the finishing touches on their transition to a 3-4 defense. Raji should eat up space up front as the nose tackle while Matthews attacks the edges. They also got great value in 3-4 DE Jarius Wynn, giving them a little more depth up front. Usually it takes a team two or three years to fully convert from one defense to another. The Packers might do it in less than six months.

Sage Rosenfels, QB, Minnesota
Comment:
We've never thought of Rosenfels as a Fantasy superstar, but when he's been pressed into action he hasn't done poorly. But the additions of wide receiver Percy Harvin and offensive tackle Phil Loadholt should help Rosenfels, assuming he does beat Tarvaris Jackson for the starting job with the Vikings. Harvin will be a friend to any quarterback thanks to his catch-and-run ability, and Loadholt has a chance to begin the season as a starter and aid an already-strong offensive line.

Do you agree with Dave? What veterans would you target or steer clear of following the 2009 draft? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll post the best responses. Be sure to put Attn: 2009 Draft in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Richard Seymour
Seymour gets bonus from Raiders
Richard Seymour, DT, OAK
11:38 AM
News: The Oakland Raiders have paid DL Richard Seymour his $7.5 million roster bonus, ensuring he'll stay with the Raiders next season. The Raiders could have released Seymour and his massive contract, but chose instead to keep him and not make wholesale changes to the roster.
Analysis: The 32-year-old Seymour played in all 16 games for the Raiders in 2011 as he recorded 29 tackles and six sacks. His six sacks were his highest total since notching eight in 2008 for New England. Seymour is just a low-end option when it comes to IDP formats in Fantasy play.

Rey Maualuga
Maualuga charged by police
Rey Maualuga, MLB, CIN
2/11/2012
News: Bengals LB Rey Maualuga has officially been charged by Cincinnati police with misdemeanor assault stemming from a bar fight last weekend. This report comes from The Associated Press. The Bengals had no comment.
Analysis: Maualuga is likely to be at least fined for this incident, especially after his 2010 DUI arrest cost him two game checks. He won't miss any playing time, though. Maualuga is just a low-end option in IDP formats heading into next season.

Hines Ward
Report: Steelers to cut ties with Ward
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
2/11/2012
News: NFL.com reports that the Steelers are not expected to bring back receiver Hines Ward for 2012. This news comes according to NFL Network's Jason La Canfora. "He has one year left on his deal worth $4 million," said La Canfora. "According to my sources, he won't be back there. So that's $4 million off the books."
Analysis: Ward has said he'd be open to taking a pay cut, but it sounds like Pittsburgh is ready to just cut ties with him. Ward would be a No. 4 WR and that means he'd likely have to play on special teams, which he likely would not want. Ward will have little Fantasy value entering 2012, that is for sure.

Kevin Faulk
Faulk contemplating retirement
Kevin Faulk, RB, NE
2/11/2012
News: New England RB Kevin Faulk is contemplating retirement after being a healthy inactive for the Super Bowl loss to the Giants, reports the Boston Globe. "That morning, when I got the word that I wasn’t going to dress . . . wow," Faulk said. “I went in the room, cried a little bit, because 75 percent of me knew that this could be my last game playing, not playing, just dressing. If I dress, there could be that chance that I could play. So that really crushed me a whole lot. Went into my room, read my Bible, read so many different Scriptures, so many different chapters in the Bible, until it was time to go to the stadium. [I took] my exit physical after the game and the trainers give me a big hug and that’s when I knew, like ‘Wow, that might be it'."
Analysis: Faulk was drafted in 1999 and the 35-year-old RB is a member of New England's 50th anniversary team. He didn't actually declare himself retired, leaving the door slightly ajar on his 14th NFL season. Faulk might finish his career with 31 total touchdowns, 15 receiving and 16 rushing. He had a solid career, but isn't a recommended Fantasy option if he does return next year.

Rob Gronkowski
Gronkowski has ankle surgery
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE
2/10/2012
News: The Boston Herald reports that Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski underwent successful surgery Friday to fix his ailing ankle. The surgery was an arthroscopic procedure to clean out the ankle. Gronkowski played on a high-ankle sprain in Super Bowl XLVI, battling ligament damage to make two catches for 26 yards. The estimate is that it’s a 10-week recovery. That should allow him to be ready by mid-April, possibly for mini-camp.
Analysis: Continue to monitor what happens with Gronkowski this offseason, but he should be fine for the start of the 2012 season. Consider Gronkowski the No. 1 TE heading into the season. We can see Gronkowski being drafted as a Top 15 pick in all leagues, but it's a safer option to take him toward the end of Round 2 or beginning of Round 3 in all formats.

Reggie Wayne
Wayne unsure of future
Reggie Wayne, WR, IND
2/10/2012
News: Reggie Wayne told ESPN that while he'd like to stay with the Colts, he's just not sure if they want him. Wayne is scheduled to be a free agent this offseason and understands that his time might be over in Indy after 11 years. "I have been there 11 years and I would prefer to end my career a Colt. However, in due time those feelings could subside," he said. "I haven't heard anything from them yet, so maybe I am not as important on the chain of command as I should be. But either way, I'm cool. I have nothing bad to say about the Colts. ... My phone hasn't rung yet. It's only fair I worry about number 87 first. When I'm signed, then I can weigh in more."
Analysis: Wayne had a mostly horrible season thanks in big part to Peyton Manning being on the sideline. He caught 75 passes for 960 yards and four touchdowns, three coming in the final six weeks of the year. We don't think his 2011 is indicative of a slow-down in his game, but uncertainty about who he'll catch passes from and what his role will be keeps him from being a receiver we can get excited about. For now consider him a No. 3 Fantasy WR worth a mid-round pick.

Peyton Manning
Differing views on Peyton
Peyton Manning, QB, IND
2/10/2012
News: There are two differing reports on Colts QB Peyton Manning as the saga continues early this offseason in his recovery from missing this past season from neck surgery. CBSSports.com NFL Insider Mike Freeman reports that there remain a handful of team personnel men who have serious doubts he will ever play again or at the very least will miss most of next season. But, according to NFL.com, former Colts vice chairman Bill Polian, who was fired in early January, said he believes Manning will be fine in 2012 after he last saw Manning throw in late December. "It's marked (improvement) from where he was back in September," Polian said. "He threw it accurately, he threw it with a good, tight spiral, and he threw it with velocity. Generally, he looked like a pretty confident quarterback out there." Polian also indicated that Manning was able to make a variety of throws and throw across his body, which differs from a report on NFL Network earlier this week. Polian said that Manning's recovery is "coming, but coming slowly. But, nonetheless, its making progress."
Analysis: The bottom line with Manning is until the public sees him throw or work in practice we won't know where he's at in his recovery. The Colts also have to make a decision on his contract or else he can sign with a new team, with Arizona, Miami and Washington the likely suitors. If healthy, Manning will remain a No. 1 Fantasy QB no matter where he plays, but he has to prove that his neck is 100 percent. Continue to monitor what happens with Manning, and hopefully he can resume his career without any problems.

Fred Jackson
Jackson cleared, contract coming
Fred Jackson, RB, BUF
2/10/2012
News: Fred Jackson has been cleared to return to football activities for a couple of weeks following a broken fibula, but the good news for him doesn't stop there. The official team website reports that Jackson has been promised by team GM Buddy Nix that he will receive a contract extension, with the timeline set for before the 2012 season. Jackson is slated to be in a contract year as it stands now, but a new deal would change that. "Fred and I have talked," said Nix. "We want to extend Fred. I'd like for Fred to finish his career as a Bill. He's meant a lot to us. I've got great respect for him. We do want Fred back and we do intend to try to work out a deal with him. I've told him that. What we said is what we're going to do."
Analysis: Jackson told the site that he's ready to get started in 2012 after missing the last six games of the season with a broken leg. While he was sidelined, C.J. Spiller stepped up and put some good moves on the field, complicating the Buffalo running back situation heading into the new year. Chances are the Bills will lean on Jackson as they have been, but Spiller could take a bigger share of the run-game workload than in the past, and that could put a cap on what Jackson is capable of doing. He's also 31 years old but doesn't have the wear-and-tear that typically comes with rushers over 30. If the Bills extend Jackson then it will be clear that he's a part of their future and a potential 15-touch-per-game back. If not, he'll be in a contract year and could play well in hopes of cashing in after next season. Either way he represents a solid value as a No. 2 Fantasy RB worth a pick between late Round 3 and early Round 5.

Lavelle Hawkins
Hawkins gets three-year deal
Lavelle Hawkins, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Tennessean reports Friday that the Titans have agreed to terms on a contract extension for WR Lavelle Hawkins, who had his best season in 2011. He had 47 catches for 470 yards and one touchdown.
Analysis: Hawkins has minimal Fantasy value heading into 2012, especially if Kenny Britt (knee) returns at 100 percent. Keep an eye on what happens with the Titans receiving corps, but ignore Hawkins on Draft Day in most leagues.

Kenny Britt
Britt 'working hard'
Kenny Britt, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports that new Titans GM Ruston Webster said WR Kenny Britt, who suffered a torn ACL in September and had surgery in early October, should return in time for training camp in 2012. He said Britt appears to be a fast healer and is ahead of schedule in his recovery. "Kenny has been working hard and he's coming fast, probably even a little faster than I thought he would. So I'm real happy about that," he said. "We expect to have him out there for training camp. The good thing about his injury, is there is a good thing, is it happened early, and he's a very strong young and bounces back very quickly. We're hoping and planning to have him back for training camp."
Analysis: Britt is expected to make a full recovery in time for the start of the 2012 season, and hopefully he can come into training camp in shape. We consider Britt a low-end No. 2/high-end No. 3 Fantasy WR when healthy, and he is worth drafting with a mid-round pick if his knee proves to be 100 percent.

 
 
 
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