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Jamey Eisenberg

Waiver Wire: Houston, we have questions

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Gary Kubiak didn't help Fantasy owners much at his news conference Monday when the Texans coach was asked about his running back situation.

"I'm going to play them all," Kubiak said. "I'm in no hurry to make that decision. But, obviously, we're going to need all three of them. We'll make a decision when we get to Indianapolis."

Houston doesn't have a problem, it has a mess, mostly for those of us making lineup decisions when it comes to Steve Slaton, Ryan Moats and even Chris Brown. We don't have a clear understanding if Slaton is benched or if Moats is starting, and Brown might also see his role change.

Fantasy Football - Waiver Wire: Houston, we have questions : FantasyNews.CBSSports.com

The first thing to do is add Moats in all leagues, especially if you own Slaton. Based on what transpired in Week 8 at Buffalo, Slaton might find himself on the bench Sunday at Indianapolis.

Slaton lost another fumble against the Bills, his fifth of the season, which leads the NFL, and allowed Moats to take over. Moats finished with 23 carries for 126 yards and a team-record three touchdowns. He also caught two passes for 25 yards.

Moats is owned in only 5 percent of leagues on CBSSports.com, and you'll want to put in a waiver claim for him in case the Texans hand him the starting job. Most likely, Kubiak was just sending a message to Slaton, but you don't want to risk Moats taking over the role and not adding him when you had the chance.

No matter who starts, it appears like Moats has earned the right for additional carries because of Slaton's inability to hold onto the ball. And it's not like Slaton was tearing it up on the ground with a 3.1 yards per carry average. The Texans could also use Slaton and Moats in tandem with Slaton being limited to passing downs based on his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield (29 catches for 314 yards and three touchdowns).

We should get a better idea during practice this week who is getting the first- and second-team reps, which will indicate who is starting against the Colts. But you should take advantage of the chance to add Moats now in case the move last week was permanent.

As for Brown (8 percent ownership), he will likely remain in his short-yardage role and has minimal Fantasy value. He had seven carries for 22 yards against the Bills and is not worth adding.

Even though Kubiak might be upset with Slaton, he's still the future at running back for the Texans, who are in playoff contention at 5-3. Maybe this was the wake-up call Slaton needed because Houston still needs Slaton as the season goes on. Don't do anything drastic and drop Slaton out of spite, and you can't trade him now because his value is too low to get anything of quality in return.

Moats showed he could be a productive Fantasy running back when given a chance, but we're all still rooting for Slaton to get the job back. If he can stop his fumble issues then the problem in Houston will be solved.

In case you haven't noticed ... It's time to add Jamaal Charles since the Chiefs plan to start him in Week 9 at Jacksonville with Larry Johnson suspended. Charles, who is owned in 60 percent of leagues, is coming off a bye week and has two weeks to prepare for this game. The Jaguars just allowed Chris Johnson to run for 228 rushing yards and two touchdowns in Week 8, and six times a running back has had at least 70 total yards against Jacksonville this season. We're not saying Charles is going to run like Johnson or even finish as a Top 10 Fantasy running back, but he could be a good flex option this week or a bye-week replacement if you're missing Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch, Thomas Jones or Steven Jackson.

Each Tuesday we will highlight players who might be available in your league and whether you should consider picking them up off waivers based on their recent performances. The players chosen are based on the percentage of ownership in CBSSports.com leagues.

Add 'Em

Fred Davis, TE, Washington
Owned: 24 percent of leagues
Week 8: On a bye.
Analysis: As an Owen Daniels (torn ACL) owner myself, I'm in need of a starting tight end for the rest of the season, and Davis is the first player I will target. He has the most upside of the tight ends available. Davis had eight catches for 78 yards and a touchdown when he came on for the injured Chris Cooley (ankle) in Week 7 against Philadelphia and will remain a starter for at least the next four weeks with Cooley out. Cooley averaged five catches for 52 yards prior to the Eagles game with two touchdowns, and the Redskins will likely be throwing often while playing from behind. If you own Daniels or Cooley and need a replacement, Davis is your man. Some other tight ends who could be available include Todd Heap (67 percent ownership), Dustin Keller (54 percent), Benjamin Watson (43 percent) and Kevin Boss (38 percent). Boss (vs. San Diego) and Watson (vs. Miami) have the best matchups this week.

Malcom Floyd, WR, San Diego
Owned: 6 percent of leagues
Week 8: Caught two passes for 64 yards against Oakland.
Analysis: Floyd is worth a flier in deeper leagues with the Chargers getting rid of Chris Chambers this week. San Diego wants to get Floyd in the starting lineup and use his size (6-foot-5) and speed to help stretch the defense. He only has 11 catches for 251 yards and one touchdown this season, but the extra playing time should help to improve his stats. Remember, Philip Rivers likes throwing downfield, and Floyd has been a good deep threat in limited use. He has four catches of 20-plus yards this season. Some other receivers to target this week include Pierre Garcon (66 percent), Jeremy Maclin (64 percent), Nate Washington (54 percent) and Sam Aiken (5 percent). It appears like Garcon will continue to start with Anthony Gonzalez (knee) not close to returning, and Washington (at San Francisco) and Maclin (vs. Dallas) have good matchups this week.

Alex Smith, QB, San Francisco
Owned: 41 percent of leagues
Week 8: Completed 19 of 32 passes for 198 yards, one touchdown and one interception and also had one carry for 10 yards at Indianapolis.
Analysis: We had Smith as an avoid last week with the exception of his Week 9 matchup against Tennessee, where he could be useful for one week. Now, there aren't a lot of quality quarterbacks on a bye with Brett Favre the lone starting option who is off, but Smith is facing the worst secondary in the NFL. The Titans are getting healthy on defense and the 49ers are now down another offensive lineman with Joe Staley (knee) out, but Smith is doing a good job getting the ball to Vernon Davis and Michael Crabtree and should make some plays against the Titans. Some other quarterbacks to consider adding this week include Vince Young (15 percent) and Matt Cassel (61 percent). Young is facing a 49ers defense that just lost Nate Clements, and Cassel has a good matchup against the Jaguars.

Avoid 'Em

Deion Branch, WR, Seattle
Owned: 9 percent of leagues
Week 8: Caught three passes for 36 yards and a touchdown at Dallas.
Analysis: Don't be fooled by Branch catching a touchdown, which was his first of the season, and all of a sudden becoming a vital part of this passing game. He only has 15 catches for 130 yards on the season, and he hasn't topped 50 yards in a game. T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Nate Burleson are clearly ahead of Branch in the pecking order for Matt Hasselbeck, and Branch hasn't been a consistent Fantasy option since the beginning of 2007. Let him start to rack up some quality stats for several weeks in a row before considering him for one of your roster spots.

Ted Ginn, Jr., WR, Miami
Owned: 43 percent of leagues
Week 8: Had no catches at the Jets.
Analysis: Ginn might get a confidence boost from his performance against the Jets when he had two kickoff returns for touchdowns, but you have to see it first before adding him. He has been a disappointment as a receiver this season with only 18 catches for 211 yards and one touchdown. The Dolphins passing game has struggled the past two games against New Orleans and the Jets, and Ginn is a big reason for that. Now, if you're in leagues where you get points for return yardage, Ginn could start to pay dividends if his offensive production improves. But again, let it happen first before putting him on your roster.

Leonard Weaver, RB, Philadelphia
Owned: 0 percent of leagues
Week 8: Had eight carries for 75 yards and a touchdown against the Giants.
Analysis: Even if Brian Westbrook (concussion) remains out for Week 9 against Dallas and Weaver gets more carries, he's still just a fullback who broke off a big 41-yard touchdown run against a struggling defense. That's it. Prior to that, Weaver had four carries for 16 yards on the season and seven catches for 35 yards and a touchdown. He will get a touchdown here or there, but Weaver's role is to block and be an outlet in the passing game. The only reason to add Weaver would be if Westbrook is still limited or LeSean McCoy gets hurt as well.

Scout 'Em

Joel Dreessen, TE, Houston
Owned: 0 percent of leagues
Week 8: Had no catches at Buffalo.
Analysis: With Owen Daniels and James Casey out, Dreessen is expected to start at tight end. He isn't known for having good hands as a receiver (he also serves as Houston's long snapper), but he could be a good option in the red zone. Also keep an eye on rookie Anthony Hill (0 percent) because the Texans have a huge hole to fill at tight end with Daniels out. If Dreessen or Hill play well in Week 9 against the Colts then they could be worth adding, but wait and see what happens first.

Darren McFadden, RB, Oakland
Owned: 56 percent of leagues
Week 8: Did not play at San Diego.
Analysis: McFadden has missed the past four games with a knee injury, but he said Monday he plans to return in Week 10 against Kansas City after the Raiders' bye in Week 9. That would be a favorable matchup for him if he's able to start and get the majority of carries. We'll find out how he does in practice over the next two weeks, but it might be worth adding McFadden for that game alone. His only game with double digits in Fantasy points this year was Week 2 at Kansas City when he had 55 total yards and a touchdown.

Maurice Morris, RB, Detroit
Owned: 5 percent of leagues
Week 8: Had 14 carries for 63 yards and caught one pass for 19 yards against St. Louis.
Analysis: Morris came on for the injured Kevin Smith (shoulder) against the Rams and played well. Smith is expected to be fine for Week 9 at Seattle, but keep an eye on what happens during the week. If Smith shows up on the injury report and isn't able to practice then Morris is worth adding. Remember, there are some quality running backs on a bye this week -- Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch, Thomas Jones and Steven Jackson -- and if Morris starts against the Seahawks he could be a good flex option. Morris' value is tied to what happens with Smith heading into the Seattle game.

Do you have a question? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll post the best responses. Be sure to put Attn: Waiver Wire in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state. Also, follow me on Twitter @jameyeisenberg.

 
 
 
Player News
Rashard Mendenhall
PUP list in Mendenhall's future
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
2:15 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Mendenhall tore his right ACL in Week 17 of last season; recovery time for such injuries is anywhere from nine months to a year.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He'll likely get the first crack at starting in place of Mendenhall. There's still a lot of time between now and the regular season, but for now it's probably safe to expect Mendenhall to not be at even close to 100 percent to start the year, which will absolutely impact his Fantasy value. By August, you might be drafting Mendenhall as a middle- to late-round sleeper you'll have to sit on for a while. We'll keep you posted on Mendenhall as best as we can.

Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
10:10 AM
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to."
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
9:39 AM
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
9:36 AM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Isaac Redman
Redman in line to start for Steelers?
Isaac Redman, RB, PIT
2:23 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. That would open the door for Isaac Redman to be the starting rusher entering training camp.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He's also stepped up while working with Mendenhall and without him, though his one other start in 2011 was a flop (61 total yards, no touchdowns vs. Tennessee). By August we might recommend drafting Redman with a pick in Round 6 or 7 as a good early-season starting option with potential to be a quality Fantasy choice for the entire season. We'll see how the Steelers' run game shakes out.

Steve Slaton
Slaton, Dolphins likely parting ways
Steve Slaton, RB, MIA
12:56 PM
News: The Palm Beach Post reports that RB Steve Slaton is not expected to return to the Dolphins in 2012. Slaton played in three games this season with zero starts after being picked up on waivers before Week 4. He had 17 carries for 64 yards (3.8 average) with one touchdown and a long of 28 and also returned three kickoffs for 85 yards. Slaton was signed as insurance early in the season when both Reggie Bush (groin) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) battled injuries.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Slaton plays in 2012, but he likely has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
11:14 AM
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
9:53 AM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on the future of Hines Ward. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported previously that if the Steelers did decide to release Ward, he was unaware of it. NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report. Ward's 2012 salary is high and he's expected to at least take a significant pay cut, if not get released altogether. Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
9:49 AM
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
9:46 AM
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

 
 
 
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