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Jamey Eisenberg

Week 9 Faceoffs: Is Smitty on the comeback trail?

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Editor's note: Each week Senior Fantasy Writers Dave Richard and Jamey Eisenberg will debate the value of a handful of key Fantasy players heading into a certain week. They not only state their case below, but they also provide owners with some alternatives.

Start Donovan McNabb vs. Dallas?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard Pressure is something Donovan McNabb doesn't deal with well. Sure, in his last game against the Cowboys he and a hyped Philadelphia offense had their way with a disgruntled Dallas team that had the pressure on them. But in the three games prior he didn't fare as well, and it's been three years since McNabb has had a 300-yard game against the Cowboys. History doesn't help him and neither will the Dallas pass rush, which has 14 sacks in its last four games. The Eagles will protect McNabb as best as they can but expecting him to connect on bombs like he did against the Giants just doesn't seem realistic. Expect the Cowboys to keep it close with the Eagles, and the speed of their secondary will help them defending against DeSean Jackson. It all adds up to McNabb feeling the heat and struggling, as he typically does against the Cowboys.
I'd rather start: Matt Hasselbeck (vs. DET), Joe Flacco (at CIN) and Ben Roethlisberger (at DEN)
Jamey Eisenberg McNabb is easily a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback this week. He is coming off an excellent game against the Giants with 240 passing yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions. He was only sacked twice and his offensive line is getting back to form after a dismal performance at Oakland in Week 6. And now he's facing a Cowboys team that has struggled in pass defense. The Cowboys have allowed at least two passing touchdowns in five of seven games this season and four in a row. They are allowing 237 passing yards per game, and four quarterbacks have been over 20 Fantasy points against Dallas this year ( Eli Manning, Kyle Orton, Matt Cassel and Matt Hasselbeck). With the way DeSean Jackson, Brent Celek and Jeremy Maclin are playing, that's too many weapons for Dallas to stop. And let's not forget that Brian Westbrook (concussion) could return this week. McNabb also has four total touchdowns in his past two games against Dallas and should be excellent in this game.
I'd start him over: Ben Roethlisberger (at DEN), Jay Cutler (vs. ARI) and Matt Schaub (at IND)
Start Jamaal Charles at Jacksonville?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard I like Jamaal Charles, but not as an every-down running back. The reality is that he's a glorified third-down back who is getting a shot at extensive playing time because the starter got in hot water. And sure, he's going up against a Jaguars defense that got run over by Chris Johnson last week, but there are two huge differences: Charles isn't a physical runner at all and his offensive line is a mess. That easily helps Jacksonville. Charles can get the job done as a No. 3 option, especially in a PPR league because he catches so many passes, but I think owners can start someone safer as a starter in standard formats.
I'd rather start: Ryan Moats (at IND), Cadillac Williams (vs. GB) and Jonathan Stewart (at NO)
Jamey Eisenberg We like Charles' potential, and hopefully he can play well enough to make Larry Johnson go away forever. He also has a great matchup that should make him a serviceable Fantasy option this week. The Jaguars just allowed Chris Johnson to run for 228 rushing yards and two touchdowns in Week 8, and six times a running back has had at least 70 total yards against Jacksonville this season. The Chiefs don't have a good offensive line, but Charles' speed could be a difference maker compared to Johnson's plodding style. And Charles should do well catching the ball out of the backfield. If you need a running back this week, consider Charles a good sleeper.
I'd start him over: Ryan Moats (at IND), Ricky Williams (at NE) and Cadillac Williams (vs. GB)
Start Steve Smith at New Orleans?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard Jamey will tell you that Smith blew up the Saints last year and that he typically plays well against New Orleans, but I'll tell you that this is a whole new year and the Saints of 2009 carry a heck of a defense with a very good secondary. They've schemed well for most of their opponents this season, allowing just six passing touchdowns through seven games. You may also have noticed that Smith has had some quarterback issues that has held back his stats (one 100-yard game in '09). So even though he scored his first TD last week, the guy's not ready to be started in leagues with two wide receiver openings. Three? Maybe.
I'd rather start: Santana Moss (at ATL), Steve Breaston (at CHI) and Nate Burleson (vs. DET)
Jamey Eisenberg The Saints are giving up some big games to wide receivers. That comes at a good time for Smith, who is starting to come around the past two weeks after a miserable start. Smith had his first touchdown last week at Arizona, and he had 99 yards receiving in Week 7 against Buffalo. The lone concern is Jake Delhomme (chest) being 100 percent, but Smith should still play well against the Saints. Five wide receivers have gone over 90 yards against New Orleans this year ( Calvin Johnson, DeSean Jackson, Hakeem Nicks, Brian Hartline and Roddy White). And Smith has four touchdowns in his past five games with New Orleans, and last year he had 11 catches for 259 yards in two games against the Saints.
I'd start him over: Devin Hester (vs. ARI), Brandon Marshall (vs. PIT) and Steve Smith (vs. SD)
Start Mike Wallace at Denver?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard I actually think the Steelers will find success against the Broncos Monday night, especially because they've had an extra week to prepare and they have the weapons to overpower them. Wallace is one of these weapons -- he's scored in two of his last three games and has made big plays in all but one game this season. I don't think the Broncos have a defensive back with enough speed to keep up with him, or one with the height/verticals to go up for deep balls. If you're looking for a great flier in Week 9, maybe someone to replace Sidney Rice, Wallace is the guy. I think he'll score and even take on a bigger role than normal against the Broncos.
I'd start him over: Santonio Holmes (at DEN), Brandon Marshall (vs. PIT) and Hakeem Nicks (vs. SD)
Jamey Eisenberg I like the way Wallace has played this year, but there's no chance you should start him as anything more than a No. 3 Fantasy option. The Broncos have only allowed three wide receivers to top double digits in Fantasy points this season in Wes Welker, Vincent Jackson and Derrick Mason, with Welker's 14 points the highest total. That's it, and Wallace is still the No. 3 receiver and No. 4 option in the passing game for the Steelers behind Hines Ward, Santonio Holmes and Heath Miller. Use Wallace as a No. 3 option or flex player, but don't overvalue him since he's only averaging three catches per game with two touchdowns on the season.
I'd rather start: Austin Collie (at HOU), Michael Crabtree (vs. TEN) and Derrick Mason (at CIN)
Start Benjamin Watson vs. Miami?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard We're starting Watson? Granted, Visanthe Shiancoe is on bye, but ... Watson? OK fine, he's scored in two of his last three games but he also has no more than two catches in any of his last five contests. And three of his four touchdowns have come against Cover-2 defenses, which the Dolphins do not employ. It also doesn't help his cause that he's caught exactly one pass in each of his last three against Miami. Unless Randy Moss or Wes Welker are missing in action, Watson won't be worth starting as a low-end No. 1 option.
I'd rather start: Todd Heap (at CIN), Heath Miller (at DEN) and Greg Olsen (vs. ARI)
Jamey Eisenberg This is for the owners who are missing Owen Daniels (knee) or Chris Cooley (ankle) or have Visanthe Shiancoe on a bye. Watson faces a Dolphins team that has struggled with tight ends all season. Five of the six tight ends they have played this year have gone over 60 yards receiving, with three scoring touchdowns. Only Buffalo did not have a tight end play well against the Dolphins, and Dustin Keller struggled in his first meeting with Miami in Week 5. But Keller (eight catches for 76 yards and a touchdown) shined against the Dolphins last week, and Watson has the chance for double digits in Fantasy points in this matchup. Don't bench a stud tight end for Watson, but he should be considered a sleeper.
I'd start him over: Greg Olsen (vs. ARI), Todd Heap (at CIN) and Tony Scheffler (vs. PIT)

Do you agree with Dave or Jamey? Send your thoughts or questions to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Fantasy Faceoff in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Rashard Mendenhall
PUP list in Mendenhall's future
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
2:15 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Mendenhall tore his right ACL in Week 17 of last season; recovery time for such injuries is anywhere from nine months to a year.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He'll likely get the first crack at starting in place of Mendenhall. There's still a lot of time between now and the regular season, but for now it's probably safe to expect Mendenhall to not be at even close to 100 percent to start the year, which will absolutely impact his Fantasy value. By August, you might be drafting Mendenhall as a middle- to late-round sleeper you'll have to sit on for a while. We'll keep you posted on Mendenhall as best as we can.

Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
10:10 AM
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to." NFL Network reports that teams have already been calling his agent following the news.
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
9:39 AM
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
9:36 AM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Isaac Redman
Redman in line to start for Steelers?
Isaac Redman, RB, PIT
2:23 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. That would open the door for Isaac Redman to be the starting rusher entering training camp.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He's also stepped up while working with Mendenhall and without him, though his one other start in 2011 was a flop (61 total yards, no touchdowns vs. Tennessee). By August we might recommend drafting Redman with a pick in Round 6 or 7 as a good early-season starting option with potential to be a quality Fantasy choice for the entire season. We'll see how the Steelers' run game shakes out.

Steve Slaton
Slaton, Dolphins likely parting ways
Steve Slaton, RB, MIA
12:56 PM
News: The Palm Beach Post reports that RB Steve Slaton is not expected to return to the Dolphins in 2012. Slaton played in three games this season with zero starts after being picked up on waivers before Week 4. He had 17 carries for 64 yards (3.8 average) with one touchdown and a long of 28 and also returned three kickoffs for 85 yards. Slaton was signed as insurance early in the season when both Reggie Bush (groin) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) battled injuries.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Slaton plays in 2012, but he likely has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
11:14 AM
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
9:53 AM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on the future of Hines Ward. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported previously that if the Steelers did decide to release Ward, he was unaware of it. NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report. Ward's 2012 salary is high and he's expected to at least take a significant pay cut, if not get released altogether. Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
9:49 AM
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
9:46 AM
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

 
 
 
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