Forgot Log-in or  Password? |  Help  Not a member, Register Now!
      
2011 Draft Prep Guide
Fantasy Football Today
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Draft Analyzer
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Red Zone Stats
Teams
Schedules
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Office Pool Manager
Playoff Challenge
2011 Draft Prep Guide
Downloadable Draft Kit
Mock Drafts
Player News
Stats
Players
Depth Charts
Roster Trends
Columns
Injury Report
Rankings
Projections
Teams
Schedules
Weekly Planner
Probable Pitchers
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injuries
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
Downloadable Draft Kit
Player News
Stats
Players
Columns
Injury Report
Projections
Rankings
Teams
Schedules
Mock Drafts
Scores
Standings
Message Boards
Fantasy Games
Commissioner
Free
Premium
No Fantasy Teams Found
 
 

Dave Richard

Full Disclosure: Saturday night special

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


While the majority of you spend your Saturdays going out, getting together with friends, maybe watching some college football or generally having fun, I'm in front of my computer.

This isn't to say I'm some sort of geek. Okay, I probably am a geek, but when I say I'm on the computer I'm talking like 20 or 30 minutes, not all night long. I am married with children after all (not that that dismisses me from being a geek).

Saturdays are when I finalize my Fantasy lineups. But I'll also do something that you might not do when you set your lineups: I check the waiver wire at every position to see if I can make a last-minute improvement to my roster. Last week, it made the difference between winning and losing.

One of the leagues I don't normally talk about in Full Disclosure is a 12-team individual defensive player (IDP) league with 11 other experts in the industry. While I've made the playoffs in it in the past, I've never won it. I was 4-3 heading into my Week 8 matchup, which happened to have big bragging rights on the line -- I was playing my colleague here at CBSSports.com, Jamey Eisenberg. Must-win game if there ever was one.

Going through my weekly routine, I noticed that I had the Packers special teams (we use individual special teams) on my roster. They weren't doing anything special for me so I figured I could do better. When I look for a special teams unit, I want one with a fast returner obviously, but matchups against bad offenses that might result in several punt return opportunities is important. The Cowboys were out there, they were playing the Seahawks and I figured they'd force some punts. I made the switch.

Sure enough, Patrick Crayton returns a punt for a touchdown, earning me six extra Fantasy points in the IDP league. And wouldn't you know it? I won by three over Jamey and as a result hold the tiebreaker over him in case we tie for a playoff spot. And also because of the win, I'm just a game back of first place in my division. I would have lost had I not checked waivers on Saturday and made the change.

Sometimes it's the little things that can make the difference in Fantasy Football. Try it right now -- go on waivers and see who's out there, especially at kicker and DST. People drop good kickers all the time, usually because of bye weeks. Matt Stover, the Colts' current kicker, is owned in less than half of CBSSports.com leagues -- he's been better than many guys that people have been using all year. And DST sleepers are regularly on waivers -- for instance, this week the Seahawks host the Lions and the Falcons host the Redskins. Both defenses should be in line for good outings and might be more appealing than the unit you have starting right now.

And here's the best part to doing these maneuvers on a Saturday: The players you drop won't be available until next week if your league uses waivers. That means that so long as the guys you cut don't go off for a big game, you should be able to get them back the following week if you want them. It's almost the equivalent of when an NFL team cuts a player before their game, then signs them back two days later -- you're expanding your roster beyond the limits with minimal risk.

Not a bad way to spend a little bit of your precious weekend time, is it?

12-team keeper league

12-team keeper league (4-2-2)
Player Pos Opp.
Tom Brady QB vs. MIA
Ronnie Brown RB at NE
Brandon Jacobs RB vs. SD
Larry Fitzgerald WR at CHI
Chad Ochocinco WR vs. BAL
Dallas Clark TE vs. HOU
Matt Stover K vs. HOU
Seahawks DST vs. DET
Bench
Brett Favre QB bye
Michael Bush RB bye
Justin Fargas RB bye
Justin Forsett RB vs. DET
Shonn Greene RB bye
Fred Jackson RB bye
Marshawn Lynch RB bye
LeSean McCoy RB vs. DAL
Maurice Morris RB at SEA

Here's another benefit to doing some roster-checking on Saturday: Last-minute trades. I had a heck of a week in my keeper league, trading Greg Jennings and Ben Roethlisberger for Tom Brady and Cadillac Williams and a future pick for Chad Ochocinco in a separate deal. My lineup was stocked except I had no quarterback for Week 8. Because of byes, Brady and Carson Palmer were chilling out. Marc Bulger was my waiver-wire pickup.

Now I don't know about you, but when I think about Bulger as a Fantasy starter I get ill. Bulger might have been a great Fantasy passer once upon a time, but he's in a bad situation in St. Louis now. Knowing full well that I might lose with Bulger at quarterback, I had to make a deal. And knowing full well that I would use Brady week in and week out for the rest of the season, Palmer was the obvious guy to trade.

Sure enough, on a Saturday night I found an owner in my league who gave me Brett Favre, his backup, for Palmer (who admittedly has decent keeper value in our league). The deal was done, and on Sunday Favre outscored Bulger by 24 points. When you don't feel right about a spot in your lineup, act on it and make a sensible trade like this one.

Since then Bulger's been booted off my roster as I've focused on studs in my starting spots and a lot of running backs with upside on my bench. It's a strange mix -- I'm totally stuck if Larry Fitzgerald or Chad Ochocinco are lost for the season -- but remember this: It's a keeper league. Stashing a running back that becomes a stud will pay off for years, which is why LeSean McCoy and Shonn Greene have been fixtures on my bench all season. I think Justin Forsett has a chance to show what he can do this season and possibly evolve into a candidate to split reps with the Seahawks in 2009.

14-team TCW league

14-team TCW league (5-3)
Player Pos Opp.
Ben Roethlisberger QB at DEN
Maurice Morris RB at SEA
Willie Parker RB at DEN
Pierre Thomas RB vs. CAR
Austin Collie WR vs. HOU
Larry Fitzgerald WR at CHI
Johnny Knox WR vs. ARI
David Akers K vs. DAL
Seahawks DST vs. DET
Bench
Kyle Orton QB vs. PIT
Glen Coffee RB vs. TEN
Larry Johnson RB at JAC
Adrian Peterson RB bye
Chester Taylor RB bye
Vikings DST bye

Anyone else out there squeeze out a win thanks to Pierre Thomas' two touchdowns and 100 total yards in Week 8?

Thomas was my only hope as I was down 16 points because my opponent had taken a page out of my playbook and replaced his DST with the Bears DST off waivers. He got a team-high 33 Fantasy points out of them while the rest of his roster pitched in only fair numbers. He also sat Bernard Berrian for Hakeem Nicks, which at the time of our 1 p.m. games seemed like a reasonable decision.

Nonetheless, Thomas' work against the Falcons snuck me past "The Blackshirts" and into the thick of a playoff race. However, like every other Adrian Peterson owner, I have a problem with my lineup this week.

Peterson is off, and I don't have the horses to replace him. For those who don't already know, this is a 14-team league with minimal roster space, so having good backups is important because not everyone will have them. Count me as one of those people.

As you'd expect, I use Peterson and the Vikings DST week in and week out. I can't use both, so I had to pick up another DST (the Seahawks) off waivers while fishing for running backs. Believe it or not, Willie Parker and Maurice Morris will start with Pierre Thomas in my lineup this week. I don't exactly like my chances.

I'm also embattled over my third receiver spot. Johnny Knox hasn't been playing very well lately, which was sort of expected as defenses begin to figure out how to slow him down. Do I roll him out there one more time against the Cardinals, who have struggled against the pass, or do I cut him for someone off waivers like Jacksonville receiver Mike Thomas (who's getting involved in the Jags' offense) vs. the Chiefs or Seahawks receiver Deion Branch against the Lions? I could also cut Willie Parker or Maurice Morris for one of them and start four receivers. All three are kind of in the same boat, but with receptions counting in this league, I'm looking for someone who will reel in the most passes; all three have about the same chance to score, which frankly isn't much.

I might just have to suck up a loss this week. Or get lucky and pull out a win.

14-team podcast dynasty league

14-team podcast dynasty league (3-5)
Player Pos Opp.
Matt Schaub QB at IND
Cedric Benson RB vs. BAL
Jamaal Charles RB at JAC
Felix Jones RB at PHI
Mario Manningham WR vs. SD
Randy Moss WR vs. MIA
Fred Davis TE at ATL
Olindo Mare K vs. DET
Saints DST vs. CAR
Bench
Chad Henne QB at NE
Michael Bush RB bye
Justin Forsett RB vs. DET
Larry Johnson RB susp.
Maurice Morris RB at SEA
Malcom Floyd WR at NYG
Calvin Johnson WR at SEA

My inbox was full of nasty e-mails after I wrote about my teams two weeks back. "You stink!" half of them read after I talked about how poorly I was doing in my dynasty league. Let's face it -- I might be a Fantasy writer but it doesn't mean I dominate all my leagues. Besides, aren't you more interested in seeing how I react and respond to issues with my Fantasy teams? You don't want a whole column about how great of a Fantasy manager I am, do you?

So here I am at 3-5, almost in the basement of a 14-team league with podcast listeners. I have playmakers -- Matt Schaub, Cedric Benson, Randy Moss and Calvin Johnson, but the rest of the team is struggling. Admittedly, some of these guys on the roster are here for long-term value (Chad Henne the shining example), and no one is trading studs for future stars.

It's a tough league, and I'm in a tough spot. I did upgrade my kicker, taking my own advice and signing up Olindo Mare to boot against the Lions over the disappointing Neil Rackers. I also was fortunate enough to have Jamaal Charles on the roster, so hopefully he'll pitch in some stats. I'll also benefit from a healthy return by Calvin Johnson if he can get his knee right.

It's going to be tough to squeeze into the playoffs in this league, but it's still possible -- only one team has six wins, the rest have three, four or five. A winning streak can go a long way. Finding the guys to help me out on that streak is a different story.

I will have to seriously consider trading off Moss and/or Benson for some potential keepers if I lose in Week 9. That would be heartbreaking, but that's the nature of the beast in leagues that count year-round.

12-team CBSSports.com league

12-team CBSSports.com league (3-5)
Player Pos Opp.
Aaron Rodgers QB at TB
Joseph Addai RB vs. HOU
Steve Slaton RB at IND
Miles Austin WR at PHI
Santonio Holmes WR at DEN
Calvin Johnson WR at SEA
Tony Gonzalez TE vs. WAS
Mason Crosby K at CLE
Cowboys DST at PHI
Bench
Shonn Greene RB bye
Ryan Moats RB at IND
Darren Sproles RB at NYG
Malcom Floyd WR at NYG
Sidney Rice WR bye
Vikings DST bye

Here's a league where I have a losing record (3-5) and feel good about my chances.

Two weeks ago I made a big trade that landed Aaron Rodgers on my roster. I made another move (Brent Celek and Justin Fargas for Tony Gonzalez) to solidify my tight end spot and give me some breathing room on my bench. I am feeling good about my team in this league, especially since like in the podcast league only one team (Jamey Eisenberg's) has six wins. Seven teams have four or fewer wins. I can make a run at this.

Getting Rodgers has and will go a long way, but I can't stress enough how fortunate I've been to pick up players off waivers and ride them. Miles Austin and Sidney Rice both have played big roles in my turnaround, and the simple act of claiming hot prospects off waivers has charged up my team.

To that extent, I have a big problem with who to start between Steve Slaton and Ryan Moats. Moats showed off his wheels last week, scoring three times and totaling over 150 yards, but it came against the Bills. This week he takes on the Colts, who haven't been stiff against the run, but the bigger problem is that he'll share carries with Slaton. Worse yet, we don't know exactly how the breakdown will shake out, and I'm not sure the Texans coaching staff has a rock-solid plan on how to use these guys. The one thing I can figure out is that if the Texans are passing, Slaton will be in. I expect the Texans to throw more than run against the Colts because Indy will put up a lot of points. So I have Slaton in my lineup, but I am listening to everything head coach Gary Kubiak says this week.

I'll need all the help I can get -- I play Jamey in this league in Week 9. Time to take down the leader in the clubhouse!

Want to know the best part of our Full Disclosure column? You have the chance to give our Fantasy writers some advice! Drop Dave a line at dmfantasyfootball@cbs.com and share your thoughts on his rosters. Put Attn: Full Disclosure in the subject line, and don't forget to include your name, hometown and state.

 
 
 
Player News
Rashard Mendenhall
PUP list in Mendenhall's future
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
2:15 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Mendenhall tore his right ACL in Week 17 of last season; recovery time for such injuries is anywhere from nine months to a year.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He'll likely get the first crack at starting in place of Mendenhall. There's still a lot of time between now and the regular season, but for now it's probably safe to expect Mendenhall to not be at even close to 100 percent to start the year, which will absolutely impact his Fantasy value. By August, you might be drafting Mendenhall as a middle- to late-round sleeper you'll have to sit on for a while. We'll keep you posted on Mendenhall as best as we can.

Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
10:10 AM
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to."
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
9:39 AM
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
9:36 AM
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Isaac Redman
Redman in line to start for Steelers?
Isaac Redman, RB, PIT
2:23 PM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. That would open the door for Isaac Redman to be the starting rusher entering training camp.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He's also stepped up while working with Mendenhall and without him, though his one other start in 2011 was a flop (61 total yards, no touchdowns vs. Tennessee). By August we might recommend drafting Redman with a pick in Round 6 or 7 as a good early-season starting option with potential to be a quality Fantasy choice for the entire season. We'll see how the Steelers' run game shakes out.

Steve Slaton
Slaton, Dolphins likely parting ways
Steve Slaton, RB, MIA
12:56 PM
News: The Palm Beach Post reports that RB Steve Slaton is not expected to return to the Dolphins in 2012. Slaton played in three games this season with zero starts after being picked up on waivers before Week 4. He had 17 carries for 64 yards (3.8 average) with one touchdown and a long of 28 and also returned three kickoffs for 85 yards. Slaton was signed as insurance early in the season when both Reggie Bush (groin) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) battled injuries.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Slaton plays in 2012, but he likely has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
11:14 AM
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
9:53 AM
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on the future of Hines Ward. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported previously that if the Steelers did decide to release Ward, he was unaware of it. NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report. Ward's 2012 salary is high and he's expected to at least take a significant pay cut, if not get released altogether. Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
9:49 AM
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
9:46 AM
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

 
 
 
Top Videos
Rankings