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Jamey Eisenberg

Will Freeman emerge as the top rookie passer?

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Sammie Stroughter is just a rookie himself, but the Tampa Bay wide receiver can already see that quarterback Josh Freeman has the chance to be a star. It only took one game.

In Week 9, Freeman made his first NFL start against Green Bay. He helped the Buccaneers get their first win of the season by completing 14 of 31 passes for 205 yards, three touchdowns and one interception, and he had four carries for 20 yards.

Stroughter is looking forward to seeing what Freeman can do next.

"I call him the quiet assassin," Stroughter said. "He's one of those guys – when he's in there he wants to take care of business."

Freeman's work has just started, but he has a long way to go to be a standout quarterback, especially in the eyes of Fantasy owners. But now every prominent rookie passer has started at least one game this season as Freeman joins Matthew Stafford and Mark Sanchez.

Josh Freeman could emerge as the best quarterback from this year's class. (US Presswire)  
Josh Freeman could emerge as the best quarterback from this year's class. (US Presswire)  
While all three are backup Fantasy options for the rest of this season, they could enter 2010 as potential starters, and that's what we're here to address. But first, let's take a look at the latest rookie under the Fantasy microscope with Freeman, who will make his second start in Week 10 at Miami. He feels comfortable that he can build off his performance against the Packers.

Freeman, who was the No. 17 overall pick from Kansas State, waited as the Bucs started the season with Byron Leftwich and then went to Josh Johnson before giving him a chance after their bye in Week 8. He doesn't plan on giving up the job any time soon.

Learning the playbook was his biggest challenge because the Bucs are on their second offensive coordinator since the summer when Jeff Jagodzinski was replaced by Greg Olson. Freeman said he had to learn new protection schemes and route combinations, which took time. Still, Freeman felt he could have played from the beginning, much like Stafford and Sanchez.

"I'm definitely in my element on the football field," he said. "It's really just a matter of getting comfortable and maintaining that comfort level throughout the game and not feeling like the game is too big or that you have the game wrapped up. It's just finding that balance between being comfortable but still being on point and alert."

It also helps to have a big arm and an ability to make plays. Just ask Stroughter.

The two spent plenty of time working together from the rookie minicamps until now, and Stroughter said Freeman is the type of quarterback who can make a positive play when nothing is there. Against the Packers, Stroughter had three catches for 19 yards and a touchdown.

"Josh has a live arm, and there is no ball he can't throw," Stroughter said. "You could be last on the progression but you are live. He has that capability of making that throw."

Freeman doesn't have the best receiving corps, especially with Antonio Bryant (knee) at less than 100 percent. He has a solid tight end in Kellen Winslow, but his other receivers are either inexperienced like Stroughter or have underachieved like Maurice Stovall and Michael Clayton.

His Fantasy value heading into 2010 could rise if the Bucs give him some help, but Freeman does play behind a good offensive line. A safe comparison is probably Joe Flacco, who has limited talent around him this year but has played well in his second season.

Tampa Bay coach Raheem Morris said Freeman still has plenty of work to do before he is tabbed as a future star.

"He picked it up a lot faster probably than anyone else thought," Morris said. "Still, you have to be ready for patience. The young man is still young, he is still wet behind the ears and we are fired up to see him get another opportunity to play."

Stafford, the No. 1 overall pick from Georgia, has started six games. He has 1,265 passing yards with five touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and he has two rushing touchdowns with one lost fumble. He also missed two games with a knee injury.

It's unfair to judge Stafford's Fantasy value completely because Calvin Johnson has also missed two games with a knee injury, and Kevin Smith has been less than 100 percent with a shoulder problem. Stafford could finish the season strong with all three healthy, but he will likely remain a No. 2 option at best in all leagues.

Sanchez, the No. 5 overall pick from Southern Cal, has been the best rookie quarterback for Fantasy owners. In eight starts, Sanchez has passed for 1,443 yards, eight touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and he has three rushing touchdowns and two lost fumbles.

But Sanchez had two solid outings in Week 3 against Tennessee and Week 8 against Miami where he reached at least 21 Fantasy points in each game. He has the best chance to be a potential Fantasy option the rest of this year of the trio of rookie quarterbacks, especially with Jerricho Cotchery now healthy and the addition of Braylon Edwards.

Sanchez also should be the best Fantasy option next year, but it will depend on if the Jets bring back Edwards as a free agent or add another wide receiver. He has a great offensive line and a running game that opposing defenses will have to respect.

Stafford has the best weapon with Johnson and a good running back in Smith, but he needs help to make the leap from backup Fantasy quarterback to starter. And then there is Freeman.

We don't know how good he can be with just one start, and the Bucs have plenty of issues to address on offense heading into next year, notably at receiver with Bryant a free agent. But now we get to see what Freeman can do.

There is reason for hope after his first start, but Freeman has eight games left to prove that the quiet assassin can make plenty of noise with his play on the field.

You can e-mail your Fantasy Football questions to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Rookie QBs in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state and we'll get to as many as we can.

 
 
 
Player News
Rob Gronkowski
Gronkowski has ankle surgery
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE
2/10/2012
News: The Boston Herald reports that Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski underwent successful surgery Friday to fix his ailing ankle. The surgery was an arthroscopic procedure to clean out the ankle. Gronkowski played on a high-ankle sprain in Super Bowl XLVI, battling ligament damage to make two catches for 26 yards. The estimate is that it’s a 10-week recovery. That should allow him to be ready by mid-April, possibly for mini-camp.
Analysis: Continue to monitor what happens with Gronkowski this offseason, but he should be fine for the start of the 2012 season. Consider Gronkowski the No. 1 TE heading into the season. We can see Gronkowski being drafted as a Top 15 pick in all leagues, but it's a safer option to take him toward the end of Round 2 or beginning of Round 3 in all formats.

Reggie Wayne
Wayne unsure of future
Reggie Wayne, WR, IND
2/10/2012
News: Reggie Wayne told ESPN that while he'd like to stay with the Colts, he's just not sure if they want him. Wayne is scheduled to be a free agent this offseason and understands that his time might be over in Indy after 11 years. "I have been there 11 years and I would prefer to end my career a Colt. However, in due time those feelings could subside," he said. "I haven't heard anything from them yet, so maybe I am not as important on the chain of command as I should be. But either way, I'm cool. I have nothing bad to say about the Colts. ... My phone hasn't rung yet. It's only fair I worry about number 87 first. When I'm signed, then I can weigh in more."
Analysis: Wayne had a mostly horrible season thanks in big part to Peyton Manning being on the sideline. He caught 75 passes for 960 yards and four touchdowns, three coming in the final six weeks of the year. We don't think his 2011 is indicative of a slow-down in his game, but uncertainty about who he'll catch passes from and what his role will be keeps him from being a receiver we can get excited about. For now consider him a No. 3 Fantasy WR worth a mid-round pick.

Peyton Manning
Differing views on Peyton
Peyton Manning, QB, IND
2/10/2012
News: There are two differing reports on Colts QB Peyton Manning as the saga continues early this offseason in his recovery from missing this past season from neck surgery. CBSSports.com NFL Insider Mike Freeman reports that there remain a handful of team personnel men who have serious doubts he will ever play again or at the very least will miss most of next season. But, according to NFL.com, former Colts vice chairman Bill Polian, who was fired in early January, said he believes Manning will be fine in 2012 after he last saw Manning throw in late December. "It's marked (improvement) from where he was back in September," Polian said. "He threw it accurately, he threw it with a good, tight spiral, and he threw it with velocity. Generally, he looked like a pretty confident quarterback out there." Polian also indicated that Manning was able to make a variety of throws and throw across his body, which differs from a report on NFL Network earlier this week. Polian said that Manning's recovery is "coming, but coming slowly. But, nonetheless, its making progress."
Analysis: The bottom line with Manning is until the public sees him throw or work in practice we won't know where he's at in his recovery. The Colts also have to make a decision on his contract or else he can sign with a new team, with Arizona, Miami and Washington the likely suitors. If healthy, Manning will remain a No. 1 Fantasy QB no matter where he plays, but he has to prove that his neck is 100 percent. Continue to monitor what happens with Manning, and hopefully he can resume his career without any problems.

Fred Jackson
Jackson cleared, contract coming
Fred Jackson, RB, BUF
2/10/2012
News: Fred Jackson has been cleared to return to football activities for a couple of weeks following a broken fibula, but the good news for him doesn't stop there. The official team website reports that Jackson has been promised by team GM Buddy Nix that he will receive a contract extension, with the timeline set for before the 2012 season. Jackson is slated to be in a contract year as it stands now, but a new deal would change that. "Fred and I have talked," said Nix. "We want to extend Fred. I'd like for Fred to finish his career as a Bill. He's meant a lot to us. I've got great respect for him. We do want Fred back and we do intend to try to work out a deal with him. I've told him that. What we said is what we're going to do."
Analysis: Jackson told the site that he's ready to get started in 2012 after missing the last six games of the season with a broken leg. While he was sidelined, C.J. Spiller stepped up and put some good moves on the field, complicating the Buffalo running back situation heading into the new year. Chances are the Bills will lean on Jackson as they have been, but Spiller could take a bigger share of the run-game workload than in the past, and that could put a cap on what Jackson is capable of doing. He's also 31 years old but doesn't have the wear-and-tear that typically comes with rushers over 30. If the Bills extend Jackson then it will be clear that he's a part of their future and a potential 15-touch-per-game back. If not, he'll be in a contract year and could play well in hopes of cashing in after next season. Either way he represents a solid value as a No. 2 Fantasy RB worth a pick between late Round 3 and early Round 5.

Lavelle Hawkins
Hawkins gets three-year deal
Lavelle Hawkins, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Tennessean reports Friday that the Titans have agreed to terms on a contract extension for WR Lavelle Hawkins, who had his best season in 2011. He had 47 catches for 470 yards and one touchdown.
Analysis: Hawkins has minimal Fantasy value heading into 2012, especially if Kenny Britt (knee) returns at 100 percent. Keep an eye on what happens with the Titans receiving corps, but ignore Hawkins on Draft Day in most leagues.

Kenny Britt
Britt 'working hard'
Kenny Britt, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports that new Titans GM Ruston Webster said WR Kenny Britt, who suffered a torn ACL in September and had surgery in early October, should return in time for training camp in 2012. He said Britt appears to be a fast healer and is ahead of schedule in his recovery. "Kenny has been working hard and he's coming fast, probably even a little faster than I thought he would. So I'm real happy about that," he said. "We expect to have him out there for training camp. The good thing about his injury, is there is a good thing, is it happened early, and he's a very strong young and bounces back very quickly. We're hoping and planning to have him back for training camp."
Analysis: Britt is expected to make a full recovery in time for the start of the 2012 season, and hopefully he can come into training camp in shape. We consider Britt a low-end No. 2/high-end No. 3 Fantasy WR when healthy, and he is worth drafting with a mid-round pick if his knee proves to be 100 percent.

Kevin Smith
Smith wants return to Lions
Kevin Smith, RB, DET
2/10/2012
News: According to mlive.com, impending free agent RB Kevin Smith would like to return to the Lions in 2012. Smith, 25, re-signed with Detroit last November and had four starts in seven games. He finished the regular season with 72 carries for 356 yards and four touchdowns, plus had 22 receptions for 179 yards and three scores. "In every interview that I've done, even though I'm a free agent, I've referred to the team and me as us," Smith said. "I'm on the Lions roster in my opinion until I'm not on the Lions roster. That says it all."
Analysis: Smith is a former third-round selection by Detroit in 2008. He showed promise as a rookie, gaining 976 yards and scoring eight touchdowns on 238 carries. He started 13 games in 2009 before suffering a season-ending injury to his left knee. He rushed for 747 yards and four touchdowns prior to his injury. Smith was phased out of the offense with the arrival of Jahvid Best in 2010. Detroit decided not to make him an offer when he became a restricted free agent after that season. After Best sustained a season-ending concussion last season, Detroit re-signed Smith. We'll find out if he can return to the Lions, who also have second-year RB Mikel Leshoure, who also is recovering from a season-ending Achilles tendon injury sustained in the preseason. Keep an eye on what happens with Smith, but he should only be drafted with a late-round pick if he's back in Detroit.

Mike Tolbert
Tolbert would stay with Chargers
Mike Tolbert, RB, SD
2/10/2012
News: The Chargers official team website reports that impending free agent RB Mike Tolbert would like to remain in San Diego in 2012. “I would love to be here, but I’ve got to weigh my options and do what’s best for my family,” Tolbert said.
Analysis: Tolbert played well in 2011 in tandem with Ryan Mathews. He had 121 carries for 490 yards and eight touchdowns and caught 54 passes for 433 yards and two touchdowns. He now has 21 touchdowns in his past two seasons and has done a nice job for Fantasy owners scoring. We'll find out where he plays in 2012, but he should be considered a No. 3 Fantasy RB on Draft Day and is worth taking with a mid-round pick.

Dennis Pitta
High expectations ahead for Pitta
Dennis Pitta, TE, BAL
2/10/2012
News: The Ravens official team website reports that Ed Dickson and Dennis Pitta more than filled the shoes of departed longtime TE Todd Heap. In their first season splitting the workload, they combined to catch 94 passes for 933 yards and eight touchdowns. Those are better numbers than any of Heap’s 10 seasons in Baltimore in all three categories. Now Ravens Offensive Coordinator Cam Cameron only sees more production ahead out of his two young tight ends. “Those two are right on track in their development and we expect big years out of both of them next year,” Cameron said.
Analysis: Pitta finished the season with 40 catches for 405 yards and three touchdowns. He projects as a No. 2 Fantasy TE in 2012, and he is only worth drafting with a late-round pick in deeper leagues. His value would be higher if he didn't split time with Dickson, but Pitta could be considered a bye-week replacement next year if he starts out the season playing well.

Ed Dickson
Cameron counting on Dickson
Ed Dickson, TE, BAL
2/10/2012
News: The Ravens official team website reports that Ed Dickson and Dennis Pitta more than filled the shoes of departed longtime TE Todd Heap. In their first season splitting the workload, they combined to catch 94 passes for 933 yards and eight touchdowns. Those are better numbers than any of Heap’s 10 seasons in Baltimore in all three categories. Now Ravens Offensive Coordinator Cam Cameron only sees more production ahead out of his two young tight ends. “Those two are right on track in their development and we expect big years out of both of them next year,” Cameron said.
Analysis: Dickson finished the season with 54 catches for 528 yards and five touchdowns. He projects as a No. 2 Fantasy TE in 2012, and he is only worth drafting with a late-round pick in deeper leagues. His value would be higher if he didn't split time with Pitta, but Dickson could be considered a bye-week replacement next year if he starts out the season playing well.

 
 
 
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