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Jamey Eisenberg

Will Freeman emerge as the top rookie passer?

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Sammie Stroughter is just a rookie himself, but the Tampa Bay wide receiver can already see that quarterback Josh Freeman has the chance to be a star. It only took one game.

In Week 9, Freeman made his first NFL start against Green Bay. He helped the Buccaneers get their first win of the season by completing 14 of 31 passes for 205 yards, three touchdowns and one interception, and he had four carries for 20 yards.

Stroughter is looking forward to seeing what Freeman can do next.

"I call him the quiet assassin," Stroughter said. "He's one of those guys – when he's in there he wants to take care of business."

Freeman's work has just started, but he has a long way to go to be a standout quarterback, especially in the eyes of Fantasy owners. But now every prominent rookie passer has started at least one game this season as Freeman joins Matthew Stafford and Mark Sanchez.

Josh Freeman could emerge as the best quarterback from this year's class. (US Presswire)  
Josh Freeman could emerge as the best quarterback from this year's class. (US Presswire)  
While all three are backup Fantasy options for the rest of this season, they could enter 2010 as potential starters, and that's what we're here to address. But first, let's take a look at the latest rookie under the Fantasy microscope with Freeman, who will make his second start in Week 10 at Miami. He feels comfortable that he can build off his performance against the Packers.

Freeman, who was the No. 17 overall pick from Kansas State, waited as the Bucs started the season with Byron Leftwich and then went to Josh Johnson before giving him a chance after their bye in Week 8. He doesn't plan on giving up the job any time soon.

Learning the playbook was his biggest challenge because the Bucs are on their second offensive coordinator since the summer when Jeff Jagodzinski was replaced by Greg Olson. Freeman said he had to learn new protection schemes and route combinations, which took time. Still, Freeman felt he could have played from the beginning, much like Stafford and Sanchez.

"I'm definitely in my element on the football field," he said. "It's really just a matter of getting comfortable and maintaining that comfort level throughout the game and not feeling like the game is too big or that you have the game wrapped up. It's just finding that balance between being comfortable but still being on point and alert."

It also helps to have a big arm and an ability to make plays. Just ask Stroughter.

The two spent plenty of time working together from the rookie minicamps until now, and Stroughter said Freeman is the type of quarterback who can make a positive play when nothing is there. Against the Packers, Stroughter had three catches for 19 yards and a touchdown.

"Josh has a live arm, and there is no ball he can't throw," Stroughter said. "You could be last on the progression but you are live. He has that capability of making that throw."

Freeman doesn't have the best receiving corps, especially with Antonio Bryant (knee) at less than 100 percent. He has a solid tight end in Kellen Winslow, but his other receivers are either inexperienced like Stroughter or have underachieved like Maurice Stovall and Michael Clayton.

His Fantasy value heading into 2010 could rise if the Bucs give him some help, but Freeman does play behind a good offensive line. A safe comparison is probably Joe Flacco, who has limited talent around him this year but has played well in his second season.

Tampa Bay coach Raheem Morris said Freeman still has plenty of work to do before he is tabbed as a future star.

"He picked it up a lot faster probably than anyone else thought," Morris said. "Still, you have to be ready for patience. The young man is still young, he is still wet behind the ears and we are fired up to see him get another opportunity to play."

Stafford, the No. 1 overall pick from Georgia, has started six games. He has 1,265 passing yards with five touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and he has two rushing touchdowns with one lost fumble. He also missed two games with a knee injury.

It's unfair to judge Stafford's Fantasy value completely because Calvin Johnson has also missed two games with a knee injury, and Kevin Smith has been less than 100 percent with a shoulder problem. Stafford could finish the season strong with all three healthy, but he will likely remain a No. 2 option at best in all leagues.

Sanchez, the No. 5 overall pick from Southern Cal, has been the best rookie quarterback for Fantasy owners. In eight starts, Sanchez has passed for 1,443 yards, eight touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and he has three rushing touchdowns and two lost fumbles.

But Sanchez had two solid outings in Week 3 against Tennessee and Week 8 against Miami where he reached at least 21 Fantasy points in each game. He has the best chance to be a potential Fantasy option the rest of this year of the trio of rookie quarterbacks, especially with Jerricho Cotchery now healthy and the addition of Braylon Edwards.

Sanchez also should be the best Fantasy option next year, but it will depend on if the Jets bring back Edwards as a free agent or add another wide receiver. He has a great offensive line and a running game that opposing defenses will have to respect.

Stafford has the best weapon with Johnson and a good running back in Smith, but he needs help to make the leap from backup Fantasy quarterback to starter. And then there is Freeman.

We don't know how good he can be with just one start, and the Bucs have plenty of issues to address on offense heading into next year, notably at receiver with Bryant a free agent. But now we get to see what Freeman can do.

There is reason for hope after his first start, but Freeman has eight games left to prove that the quiet assassin can make plenty of noise with his play on the field.

You can e-mail your Fantasy Football questions to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Rookie QBs in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state and we'll get to as many as we can.

 
 
 
Player News
Rashard Mendenhall
PUP list in Mendenhall's future
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
2/13/2012
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Mendenhall tore his right ACL in Week 17 of last season; recovery time for such injuries is anywhere from nine months to a year.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He'll likely get the first crack at starting in place of Mendenhall. There's still a lot of time between now and the regular season, but for now it's probably safe to expect Mendenhall to not be at even close to 100 percent to start the year, which will absolutely impact his Fantasy value. By August, you might be drafting Mendenhall as a middle- to late-round sleeper you'll have to sit on for a while. We'll keep you posted on Mendenhall as best as we can.

Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
2/13/2012
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to." NFL Network reports that teams have already been calling his agent following the news.
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
2/13/2012
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
2/13/2012
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Isaac Redman
Redman in line to start for Steelers?
Isaac Redman, RB, PIT
2/13/2012
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. That would open the door for Isaac Redman to be the starting rusher entering training camp.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He's also stepped up while working with Mendenhall and without him, though his one other start in 2011 was a flop (61 total yards, no touchdowns vs. Tennessee). By August we might recommend drafting Redman with a pick in Round 6 or 7 as a good early-season starting option with potential to be a quality Fantasy choice for the entire season. We'll see how the Steelers' run game shakes out.

Steve Slaton
Slaton, Dolphins likely parting ways
Steve Slaton, RB, MIA
2/13/2012
News: The Palm Beach Post reports that RB Steve Slaton is not expected to return to the Dolphins in 2012. Slaton played in three games this season with zero starts after being picked up on waivers before Week 4. He had 17 carries for 64 yards (3.8 average) with one touchdown and a long of 28 and also returned three kickoffs for 85 yards. Slaton was signed as insurance early in the season when both Reggie Bush (groin) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) battled injuries.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Slaton plays in 2012, but he likely has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
2/13/2012
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
2/13/2012
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on the future of Hines Ward. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported previously that if the Steelers did decide to release Ward, he was unaware of it. NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report. Ward's 2012 salary is high and he's expected to at least take a significant pay cut, if not get released altogether. Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
2/13/2012
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
2/13/2012
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

 
 
 
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