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Jamey Eisenberg

Waiver Wire: A critical week on the wire

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Bernard Scott could become a popular Fantasy option this week. The same goes for Jason Snelling and Justin Forsett.

With so many key injuries at running back heading into Week 11, some players you might never have heard of could be on your roster and even starting. Making the right moves on the waiver wire will be important with the Fantasy playoffs looming.

It appears like Brian Westbrook (concussion), Ronnie Brown (foot), Julius Jones (ribs) and Michael Turner (ankle) are likely out for Week 11. Cedric Benson (hip) is questionable, and Clinton Portis (concussion), who missed Week 10, remains questionable as well.

That means Fantasy owners could be missing six running backs who have at least 95 percent ownership in leagues on CBSSports.com. There are going to be plenty of moves on the waiver wire, and here are some options to consider.

Fantasy Football - Waiver Wire: A critical week on the wire : FantasyNews.CBSSports.com

Ladell Betts should have been added last week, and he had an outstanding game against Denver with 26 carries for 114 yards and a touchdown. Betts, who is owned in 68 percent of leagues, could start in Week 12 at Dallas if Portis remains out.

Scott, who is only owned in 5 percent of leagues, would be a potential Fantasy starter if he starts in place of Benson at Oakland. The Raiders are among the worst teams in run defense this year, and Scott could post solid stats. Remember, as good as Benson has played, the Bengals offensive line deserves a lot of the credit, and they should help Scott do well.

He had 13 carries for 33 yards and caught one pass for 21 yards at Pittsburgh when Benson got hurt. Brian Leonard (1 percent ownership) would also get carries if Benson is out, but Scott is the running back to target -- depending on Larry Johnson.

The Bengals signed Johnson on Tuesday, but coach Marvin Lewis said he will be a backup. Johnson (66 percent) is worth a flier if Benson is out, but Lewis seemed to indicate Johnson would be the No. 3 running back behind Benson and Scott.

In Atlanta, Snelling (5 percent) returned against the Panthers after being out the previous two games with a hamstring injury and finished with 18 carries for 61 yards and a touchdown and three catches for 32 yards. He has been the No. 2 running back for the Falcons with Jerious Norwood (hip) out.

Norwood (18 percent) could return this week after being out for the past four games, but Snelling is the running back to add in Fantasy leagues. He has played well behind Turner with the limited amount of touches he has received. Snelling is averaging 4.9 yards per carry and 9.4 yards per catch.

In Seattle, Forsett (21 percent) looked phenomenal against the Cardinals with 17 carries for 123 yards and a touchdown and five catches for 26 yards once Jones got hurt. The only problem for Forsett this week is his matchup at the Vikings.

You should definitely add Forsett in case Jones is out for an extended period of time, and Forsett would have a tremendous matchup in Week 12 at St. Louis. But don't plan on starting Forsett at Minnesota, which is among the best teams in run defense.

If you miss on any of these running backs, some fallback plans should include the running backs in New England and Oakland.

In New England, Laurence Maroney had a key fumble at Indianapolis, which could be bad timing with Sammy Morris (32 percent) expected to return soon after missing the past three games with a knee injury. And if Morris is not back for Week 11 against the Jets then Kevin Faulk (22 percent) could get the majority of touches. Faulk had 12 carries for 79 yards and two catches for 7 yards against the Colts.

The Raiders continue to rotate running backs with Darren McFadden (65 percent), Justin Fargas (53 percent) and Michael Bush (29 percent). In Week 10, Bush had 14 carries for 119 yards and caught two passes for 10 yards against Kansas City. Fargas added 10 carries for 41 yards and a touchdown, and McFadden had four carries for 11 yards in his first game back after missing four games with a knee injury.

None of these running backs should be used as starters in Week 11 against the Bengals, but McFadden is worth stashing because eventually he will get the most touches as the season goes on.

And, based on the matchup, Jamal Lewis (58 percent) could be worth using this week at Detroit. Lewis had 10 carries for 36 yards and caught one pass for 5 yards against Baltimore on Monday night.

In case you haven't noticed ... Consider yourself lucky if Beanie Wells is still available since he's only owned in 81 percent of leagues. Wells had 16 carries for 85 yards and two touchdowns against Seattle with two catches for 32 yards. He has at least 70 total yards in three of his past four games with three touchdowns over that span and could be on the verge of replacing Tim Hightower as the main running back in Arizona. And this week, Wells has a dream matchup at St. Louis, so look for him to remain hot. Hightower is still worth using in leagues where receptions count, but Wells should be a No. 2 Fantasy running back against the Rams.

Each week we will highlight players who might be available in your league and whether you should consider picking them up off waivers based on their recent performances. The players chosen are based on the percentage of ownership in CBSSports.com leagues.

Add 'Em

Pierre Garcon, WR, Indianapolis
Owned: 67 percent of leagues
Week 10: Caught three passes for 50 yards and a touchdown against New England.
Analysis: Garcon and Austin Collie continue to flip flop as the No. 3 option in the passing game behind Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark with Anthony Gonzalez (knee) out, but you should still stash Garcon on your bench. He's going to get single coverage every week, and Peyton Manning will exploit the matchup if Garcon is open. There will be times, like Week 11 at Baltimore, where Garcon can be a No. 3 Fantasy wide receiver. You know the Colts are going to throw against the Ravens, and Garcon should benefit in that matchup.

Dustin Keller, TE, New York Jets
Owned: 65 percent of leagues
Week 10: Caught six passes for 58 yards against Jacksonville.
Analysis: We told you to add him last week, and he played well enough against the Jaguars that you should still pick him up if he's out there. Keller now has 14 catches for 134 yards and a touchdown in his past two games, and he's doing well with the single coverage he's getting now that Braylon Edwards and Jerricho Cotchery are healthy and on the field. Mark Sanchez continues to look for Keller, who was targeted nine targets against Jacksonville, which was among the leaders for tight ends in Week 10.

Robert Meachem, WR, New Orleans
Owned: 40 percent of leagues
Week 10: Caught one pass for 27 yards and a touchdown and had one carry for 41 yards at St. Louis.
Analysis: The key for Meachem is the health of Lance Moore, who has missed the past two games with an ankle injury. In those two games, Meachem has six catches for 125 yards and two touchdowns. Hopefully this type of production will continue when Moore returns, but Meachem is worth using as a No. 3 Fantasy wide receiver when Moore is out. Now, you should still add Meachem in all leagues because he plays for the Saints and will likely get single coverage, which is always a good thing with Drew Brees. But when setting your lineup with Meachem, check out the health of Moore.

Avoid 'Em

Brandon Gibson, WR, St. Louis
Owned: 0 percent of leagues
Week 10: Caught seven passes for 93 yards against New Orleans.
Analysis: The Rams need help at wide receiver, especially with Keenan Burton (leg) getting hurt against the Saints. But we're still talking about the Rams passing game, and it's not like Gibson is going to develop into the next Sidney Rice, Miles Austin or Mike Sims-Walker. Donnie Avery is the only wide receiver to own for the Rams since Marc Bulger's best days are behind him. This was Gibson's first game with a catch, so let's see if he can follow it up before adding him to your Fantasy roster.

Muhsin Muhammad, WR, Carolina
Owned: 16 percent of leagues
Week 10: Caught six passes for 91 yards and against Atlanta.
Analysis: This was Muhammad's best game this season, but it's not time to relive the past and add him to your roster. He still hasn't scored a touchdown this year, and the Panthers still have Jake Delhomme at quarterback. If Steve Smith is struggling, Muhammad isn't going to do much better. Hopefully he's healthy after missing two games prior to Week 10 with a knee injury, but he's not going to play like it's 2004 all over again. At 36 and in this offense, his best days are behind him.

Chris Simms, QB, Denver
Owned: 16 percent of leagues
Week 10: Completed 3 of 13 passes for 13 yards and an interception at Washington.
Analysis: Simms came on for the injured Kyle Orton (ankle) and did not play well against the Redskins. We'll find out how long Orton is out, but there are better quarterbacks out there than Simms. The Broncos passing game has been better than expected with Orton not making mistakes this season, but Simms is not going to be as efficient. He also won't post great Fantasy stats in Week 11 against San Diego if he gets the start this week, so ignore him in deeper leagues if you just lost Orton.

Scout 'Em

Jason Avant, WR, Philadelphia
Owned: 1 percent of leagues
Week 10: Caught eight passes for 156 yards at San Diego.
Analysis: We've been here before with Avant. In Week 2 against New Orleans he had seven catches for 79 yards and a touchdown. Since then, he has combined for seven catches for 101 yards before his performance against the Chargers. But with Brian Westbrook (concussion) now hurt, the Eagles might be throwing more than usual, which could increase the production for Avant. If he has another good game in Week 11 at Chicago then consider adding him to the end of your Fantasy roster as a reserve.

Josh Freeman, QB, Tampa Bay
Owned: 17 percent of leagues
Week 10: Completed 16 of 28 passes for 196 yards, one touchdown and one interception and had four carries for 36 yards with one fumble at Miami.
Analysis: We'll continue to scout Freeman as long as he keeps showing promise. He struggled with turnovers against the Dolphins, but he could be a serviceable replacement for Kyle Orton (ankle) in Week 11 against New Orleans. The same goes for Vince Young (24 percent) at Houston or even Matthew Stafford (23 percent) against Cleveland. If Orton is out, these are some quarterbacks to pick up and start based on their matchups.

Chaz Schilens, WR, Oakland
Owned: 5 percent of leagues
Week 10: Caught three passes for 27 yards against Kansas City.
Analysis: Schilens made his 2009 debut after missing the first eight games of the season with a broken foot. He has plenty of potential to be the No. 1 wide receiver for the Raiders and even emerge as a No. 4 Fantasy option based on what we saw last year when he finished the season with six catches for 102 yards and two touchdowns in the final two games. The problem for Schilens is the quarterback play in Oakland is so bad with JaMarcus Russell that you'll be hesitant to use him most weeks, which is understandable. But the minute he has a breakout game you should add him and stash him on your bench.

Do you have a question? Send your thoughts to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com and we'll post the best responses. Be sure to put Attn: Waiver Wire in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state. Also, follow me on Twitter @jameyeisenberg.

 
 
 
Player News
Rashard Mendenhall
PUP list in Mendenhall's future
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
2/13/2012
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Mendenhall tore his right ACL in Week 17 of last season; recovery time for such injuries is anywhere from nine months to a year.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He'll likely get the first crack at starting in place of Mendenhall. There's still a lot of time between now and the regular season, but for now it's probably safe to expect Mendenhall to not be at even close to 100 percent to start the year, which will absolutely impact his Fantasy value. By August, you might be drafting Mendenhall as a middle- to late-round sleeper you'll have to sit on for a while. We'll keep you posted on Mendenhall as best as we can.

Randy Moss
Moss: I'm coming back
Randy Moss, WR, TEN
2/13/2012
News: Randy Moss took to UStream on Monday morning to announce that he plans to return to football in 2012. Moss didn't play last season after fizzling out with the Titans during a tumultuous 2010. Moss answered fan questions on the live video site and made it clear at the end of his web stream that he intends to play again after stepping away for personal reasons. "Your boy will be back for the upcoming season," he said. "Hopefully I can get on a team and finish this thing the way I want to." NFL Network reports that teams have already been calling his agent following the news.
Analysis: Most people remember Moss for his incredible big plays and ridiculous stats, such as the 17 touchdowns he scored as a rookie, or the record-breaking 23 touchdowns he caught in 2007, or the 14,465 yards he gained from 1998 to 2009. But some will remember him for a very counterproductive 2010 in which he caught just five touchdowns on 28 grabs with three different teams. If he does indeed return to football, where he plays and how quick he is will ultimately determine whether he's worth a late-round flier or something far more substantial.

Calvin Johnson
Lions want to lock up Megatron
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
2/13/2012
News: Lions president Tom Lewand, who controls Detroit’s salary cap compliance, says the team has had positive negotiations with WR Calvin Johnson over a contract extension. “(Johnson’s) got a good relationship with Matthew (Stafford),” Lewand told a local radio station in Detroit. “There’s a desire to keep that (relationship) together. When that desire exists, you can get deals done.” Johnson is entering a contract year in 2012 and is coming off a sensational season, finishing the regular season with 96 catches for 1,681 yards and 16 touchdowns with another 211 yards and two touchdowns in one playoff game against the Saints.
Analysis: Johnson is not going to leave the Lions if Detroit has anything to do with it, and we expect him to get a big deal soon. Regardless of if he's in a contract year or not in 2012, it's clear Johnson is the No. 1 WR in Fantasy, and he should be drafted in Round 1 in all formats.

DeSean Jackson
Eagles could franchise D-Jax
DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
2/13/2012
News: The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that the Eagles are going to use the franchise tag on WR DeSean Jackson. The report says the Eagles will not let Jackson, whose contract is set to expire, walk without getting something in return. Feb. 20 is the first day NFL teams are permitted to franchise one player before he reaches free agency. March 5 is the deadline. At 4 p.m. on March 13 the league year starts and players with four or more years of service who are not under contract are eligible to become unrestricted free agents. Jackson, who signed a four-year, $3 million deal as a rookie in 2008, will not reach the open market because the Eagles are expected to franchise him. The receiver would stand to earn approximately $9.5 million - nearly $9 million more than he made in base salary last season - if he played next season under the tag. Jackson said immediately following the season finale that he would be fine with the franchise designation.
Analysis: Jackson's play slipped some last season, partly due to his distraction over his contract, but he still caught 58 passes for 961 yards and four touchdowns. His deep routes and ability to take multiple defenders often opened up the Eagles offense underneath. Keep an eye on what happens with Jackson and where he ends up in 2012. With the Eagles he would be considered a No. 2 Fantasy WR with upside, but if he leaves Philadelphia then his value will be determined by who his quarterback is and his contract. He will likely be drafted around Round 5 in most leagues.

Isaac Redman
Redman in line to start for Steelers?
Isaac Redman, RB, PIT
2/13/2012
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that there's a good chance RB Rashard Mendenhall will start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list. If so, he'd be forced to miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Moreover, Colbert is not convinced that Mendenhall will be able to contribute at all in 2012. "I never feel good about an ACL for a year," Colbert said according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. That would open the door for Isaac Redman to be the starting rusher entering training camp.
Analysis: With Mendenhall iffy, it's time to start giving some legit consideration to Isaac Redman as the primary rusher for the Steelers in 2012. Redman started the Steelers' playoff game at Denver and had 121 yards on 17 carries and 21 yards on two catches. He's also stepped up while working with Mendenhall and without him, though his one other start in 2011 was a flop (61 total yards, no touchdowns vs. Tennessee). By August we might recommend drafting Redman with a pick in Round 6 or 7 as a good early-season starting option with potential to be a quality Fantasy choice for the entire season. We'll see how the Steelers' run game shakes out.

Steve Slaton
Slaton, Dolphins likely parting ways
Steve Slaton, RB, MIA
2/13/2012
News: The Palm Beach Post reports that RB Steve Slaton is not expected to return to the Dolphins in 2012. Slaton played in three games this season with zero starts after being picked up on waivers before Week 4. He had 17 carries for 64 yards (3.8 average) with one touchdown and a long of 28 and also returned three kickoffs for 85 yards. Slaton was signed as insurance early in the season when both Reggie Bush (groin) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) battled injuries.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Slaton plays in 2012, but he likely has minimal Fantasy value. Ignore him in all leagues on Draft Day.

Doug Baldwin
Baldwin already working hard
Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA
2/13/2012
News: The Tacoma News Tribune reports that Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin is already working out with the hope of building on an impressive rookie season. As an undrafted rookie free agent out of Stanford, he was a long shot to make the team last season, let alone lead Seattle in receiving. But that’s what Baldwin did. He finished with a team-high 51 receptions for 788 yards and four touchdowns, good enough for fourth in the league among rookies in receptions and yards. Baldwin also finished 11th in the league in percentage of receptions caught for first downs (78.4 percent), and fourth in the league with 23 catches on third down to move the chains. The hard-working Baldwin said he thinks he can do better. “I felt like the stats and everything (were) real average,” he said. “But you’ve got to have that sense of confidence about yourself when you step out on the field. To be honest with you, I didn’t think I’d have the opportunity to step out on the field that early. And with that, the transition wasn’t really that difficult because we have such a great coaching staff and they explain everything so well that it makes it easier for you to understand it and grasp the offense.”
Analysis: Baldwin’s production in 2011 secured his spot as Seattle’s slot receiver. But Baldwin wants to be considered a compete receiver. “They say that I’m the slot guy, but every year they’re bringing somebody in to try to take your job – that’s the upper management’s job,” he said. “So my job is to make sure that whoever they bring in doesn’t have a chance. That’s why I’m here, to be honest with you. “I want to be known as the greatest receiver who ever played the game, and it’s going to be hard to do that strictly out of the slot.” We like the way Baldwin is talking, and he has plenty of potential heading into 2012. Plan on drafting Baldwin as a sleeper with a late-round pick in all leagues.

Hines Ward
Ward hopes to remain with Steelers
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
2/13/2012
News: Steelers GM Kevin Colbert said Monday that no decision has been made on the future of Hines Ward. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported previously that if the Steelers did decide to release Ward, he was unaware of it. NFL Network reported that Ward won't be back with the Steelers in 2012 but a source close to Ward refuted the report. Ward's 2012 salary is high and he's expected to at least take a significant pay cut, if not get released altogether. Ward has said many times that he wants to end his career in Pittsburgh but he is determined to play somewhere in 2012, even if the Steelers do not want him. Ward, who turns 36 March 8, has played all 14 of his seasons in the NFL with the Steelers and holds nearly every team receiving record.
Analysis: Keep an eye on what happens with Ward and where he ends up in 2012. No matter where Ward plays, however, he would have minimal Fantasy value, and he is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.

Josh Morgan
Morgan fine, looks at future
Josh Morgan, WR, SF
2/13/2012
News: The Sacramento Bee reports that 49ers WR Josh Morgan left the team facility after a workout Thursday as if there was nothing wrong with him. Morgan broke his lower right leg on Oct. 9 and was placed on injured reserve. He told the Associated Press that he's begun sprinting again, and he promises to be at full speed in the spring. Coach Jim Harbaugh has said the 49ers want to re-sign Morgan, who is a good fit for their power-based West Coast offense. Morgan, however, likely will test the market in free agency before agreeing to a new deal in San Francisco.
Analysis: Keep an eye on where Morgan ends up in 2012, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. Morgan is the type of player who is more valuable to his team than Fantasy owners.

Jeremy Shockey
Panthers could bring back Shockey
Jeremy Shockey, TE, CAR
2/13/2012
News: The Charlotte Observer considers re-signing free agent TE Jeremy Shockey a "high priority" this offseason. Shockey was the No. 2 TE for the Panthers behind Greg Olsen, and he had a productive season when he caught 37 passes for 455 yards and four touchdowns and missed only one game to injury.
Analysis: Though not the same receiver he was a decade ago, Shockey still is a dependable target, particularly in the red zone. If his asking price is too high, Panthers could turn to Gary Barnidge, who was having a great 2011 camp before breaking his ankle. Keep an eye on what happens with Shockey, and if he returns to the Panthers as expected he would be a No. 2 Fantasy TE on Draft Day worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.

 
 
 
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