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Dave Richard

First Response: The more the merrier

By | Senior Fantasy Writer


Week 11 was a microcosm of what's happened to the quarterback position in Fantasy Football. You've heard of too many cooks in the kitchen? We've got too many quarterbacks in league play.

Our waiver wires will be robust with big-stat passers from Sunday. Matthew Stafford and Brady Quinn dueled each other in a game with two offenses that had no business being on one-win teams. More on them later. Ryan Fitzpatrick proved his coaches in Buffalo right with nearly 300 yards passing along with a gorgeous touchdown bomb to Terrell Owens. And even Matt Ryan bounced back from being on the cusp of Fantasy darkness with over 250 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

So many studs, not enough duds. In fact, this week's quarterbacking "duds" were guys like Tony Romo, Matt Hasselbeck and Philip Rivers. Even Peyton Manning and Tom Brady's stats (a paltry -- for them -- 17 and 18 points, respectively, in standard-scoring leagues) could be viewed as disappointments.

Fantasy Football - First Response: The more the merrier : FantasyNews.CBSSports.com

Moving back to the forefront among quarterbacks are Ryan and Eli Manning (two more passing touchdowns than his brother Sunday). Moving out? Kyle Orton, who didn't start and then didn't play well when the Broncos desperately went to him.

The bottom line is that if you take the quarterbacks who are typically studs -- Peyton Manning, Brady, Drew Brees, Matt Schaub, Brett Favre, Ben Roethlisberger, Rivers, Aaron Rodgers, Kurt Warner and Donovan McNabb -- and tack on not just the other very good quarterbacks this season but also the ones who are re-emerging, you're looking at far too many passers for open starting quarterback spots in Fantasy leagues.

Usually injuries will knock a couple of quarterbacks out but that hasn't happened -- yet. Roethlisberger got rocked late against the Chiefs and might miss time with what is believed to be his fourth career concussion. Owners might normally turn to a hot waiver property like Stafford in a situation like this, but he has a shoulder injury that might keep him out of Week 12 vs. the Packers on Thanksgiving (four days away, you Tryptophan fiends). Owners will be quick to dismiss Quinn's big outing, especially with the Bengals next on the schedule. We'll wait until there's something more definitive on Roethlisberger, but his owners should be ready to pounce on a quarterback if they don't have a replacement on the roster already.

But knowing how quarterbacks have grown on trees this season, most owners should have either one stud passer or a good enough (or better) backup to go with a good enough (or better) starter.

And even if you don't, just wait a week. Another quarterback is sure to be around the corner from having a huge game. It's been that kind of season after all.

Let's take a look around at the rest of the Week 11 action.

Start of the Week result: Kevin Smith was pretty pedestrian as running backs go with 45 yards on 12 carries, but the Lions backfield star more than made up for it with 104 yards on four catches including a 63-yard scamper and a 25-yard touchdown on a seam route. His 148 total yards was a season-high, and when you throw in the score he had his best game on the 2009 season. Not surprising that it came against the Browns.

Sit of the Week result: Joe Flacco's fantastic voyage has come to a halt. After a red-hot start to the season, Flacco has no touchdowns in his last three games with three interceptions. His 256 yards passing in Week 11 vs. the Colts was his best yardage output since Week 6, but this fall from grace is extremely troubling. Next up for Flacco: The Steelers.

Insane stat line of the day: Brady Quinn and Matthew Stafford combining for nine touchdowns (four for Quinn, five for Stafford) and 726 passing yards (304 for Quinn, 422 for Stafford). Considering how both young guns have played this season, their stats are a shock even considering their matchups. They were even Fantasy friendly as no player in the Browns-Lions shootout had two touchdowns -- nine players each had one.

Out-of-nowhere stat line of the day: Has to be Terrell Owens' nine catches for 197 yards with a score. Completely unexpected for him given his stats this year. And even if you take away his best catch of the season -- the 98-yard touchdown -- he still had eight grabs for 99 yards, which his Fantasy owners would have gladly taken. Of course, now that Owens was targeted 14 times this week and came away with nine catches, owners will have a harder time deciding whether or not to start him. His Week 12 opponent? The Dolphins.

Guy we were way right about: Back to the Browns-Lions game, where Calvin Johnson has been a nightmare for Fantasy owners all season. We knew heading into Week 11 that if he couldn't put up a huge game against the Browns he was probably a lost cause. He answered all doubts with a game-best 161 yards on seven catches with a 75-yard touchdown. He finished the touchdown with a "rim-rocking dunk" on the goal post, as if to exclaim that he's back to rock the league. He has the banged-up Packers in Week 12 on Thanksgiving followed by a date with the Bengals after a long rest, then the Ravens will force the Lions to throw in Week 14. Johnson should have a decent shot to keep racking up yardage regardless of who his quarterback is.

Guy we were way wrong about: We've been inching away from Greg Jennings for weeks, but thanks to a nice catch and some bumbling tackling attempts by the 49ers, he had a nice long touchdown vs. the 49ers. Just more than half of his yards in the game came on the play, but it led to a nice score. We doubt Fantasy owners will have concerns about Jennings in Week 12 when he takes on the Lions fresh off of their poor performance vs. the pass on Thanksgiving.

Overachieving defense of the week: Holding the Ravens to five field goals certainly gave the Colts defense a bright side to their win -- a game they probably would have lost had they not done so well in the red zone. Baltimore got inside the Colts 30 eight times on Sunday and couldn't punch it in once, throwing an interception in the process. The Indianapolis defense was very solid in Week 11, but they'll be tested in Week 12 at Houston.

Underachieving defense of the week: It's nice that the Jets have an answer for Randy Moss (who scored, by the way), but they might want to come up with something for the rest of the Patriots offense. New England did the right thing -- not force the ball to Moss -- and instead found mismatches all over the place, especially involving Wes Welker (15 catches, 194 yards). Additionally, the Jets' run defense continues to struggle as Laurence Maroney scored twice and had 77 yards. Worse news for the Jets -- the Panthers and their powerful running game come to the Meadowlands in Week 12.

Names to add to your scout team:

Charlie Batch, quarterback, Pittsburgh (replaced injured Ben Roethlisberger)
Kahlil Bell, running back, Chicago (72 yards on his first NFL carry)
Rock Cartwright, running back, Washington (13 carries, 67 yards, replaced Ladell Betts)
Michael Crabtree, wide receiver, San Francisco (four catches, 77 yards, touchdown)
Billy Cundiff, kicker, Baltimore (five of six field goals made)
Brandon Gibson, wide receiver, St. Louis (five catches, 61 yards; 17 targets)
Mohamed Massaquoi, wide receiver, Cleveland (five catches, 115 yards, touchdown)
Tom Santi, tight end, Indianapolis (six catches, 80 yards)
Mike Tolbert, running back, San Diego (seven carries, 58 yards, touchdown)

Injury alerts:

Ladell Betts, torn MCL; might be out for the season
Marshawn Lynch, shoulder; considered questionable for Week 12 vs. Miami
Ben Roethlisberger, head; considered questionable for Week 12 at Baltimore
Matthew Stafford, shoulder; considered doubtful for Week 12 vs. Green Bay
Kurt Warner, head; considered probable for Week 12 at Tennessee

The last word: Mike Singletary might be disappointed in his defense's play at Green Bay, but what about the decision to run the football just 10 times -- seven with Frank Gore? Now Gore scored a touchdown and salvaged his stat line for Week 11, but his owners have to be a little concerned with his seven-carry, three-catch performance.

Now maybe it's a false alarm since last week he had 25 carries in a close game with the Bears. But since his return from an ankle injury, that 25-carry performance was his only outing with more than 15 carries. He's getting stats for his Fantasy owners, so no one should be worried, but it's not good for a team that has been outspoken about running the football to only do it seven times with their best offensive player.

Three of Gore's next four games come against tough opponents -- the Jaguars, the Cardinals and the Eagles -- all good run defenses. He's startable, but he'll need to start getting more involved in the offense.

What stood out to you this week? How did your Fantasy teams do? Tell us via Twitter @daverichard. Or drop us a line and tell us about it at dmfantasyfootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Week 11 in the subject field. Please include your full name, hometown and state and we'll respond to as many as e-mails we can.

 
 
 
Player News
Rey Maualuga
Maualuga charged by police
Rey Maualuga, MLB, CIN
2/11/2012
News: Bengals LB Rey Maualuga has officially been charged by Cincinnati police with misdemeanor assault stemming from a bar fight last weekend. This report comes from The Associated Press. The Bengals had no comment.
Analysis: Maualuga is likely to be at least fined for this incident, especially after his 2010 DUI arrest cost him two game checks. He won't miss any playing time, though. Maualuga is just a low-end option in IDP formats heading into next season.

Hines Ward
Report: Steelers to cut ties with Ward
Hines Ward, WR, PIT
2/11/2012
News: NFL.com reports that the Steelers are not expected to bring back receiver Hines Ward for 2012. This news comes according to NFL Network's Jason La Canfora. "He has one year left on his deal worth $4 million," said La Canfora. "According to my sources, he won't be back there. So that's $4 million off the books."
Analysis: Ward has said he'd be open to taking a pay cut, but it sounds like Pittsburgh is ready to just cut ties with him. Ward would be a No. 4 WR and that means he'd likely have to play on special teams, which he likely would not want. Ward will have little Fantasy value entering 2012, that is for sure.

Kevin Faulk
Faulk contemplating retirement
Kevin Faulk, RB, NE
2/11/2012
News: New England RB Kevin Faulk is contemplating retirement after being a healthy inactive for the Super Bowl loss to the Giants, reports the Boston Globe. "That morning, when I got the word that I wasn’t going to dress . . . wow," Faulk said. “I went in the room, cried a little bit, because 75 percent of me knew that this could be my last game playing, not playing, just dressing. If I dress, there could be that chance that I could play. So that really crushed me a whole lot. Went into my room, read my Bible, read so many different Scriptures, so many different chapters in the Bible, until it was time to go to the stadium. [I took] my exit physical after the game and the trainers give me a big hug and that’s when I knew, like ‘Wow, that might be it'."
Analysis: Faulk was drafted in 1999 and the 35-year-old RB is a member of New England's 50th anniversary team. He didn't actually declare himself retired, leaving the door slightly ajar on his 14th NFL season. Faulk might finish his career with 31 total touchdowns, 15 receiving and 16 rushing. He had a solid career, but isn't a recommended Fantasy option if he does return next year.

Rob Gronkowski
Gronkowski has ankle surgery
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE
2/10/2012
News: The Boston Herald reports that Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski underwent successful surgery Friday to fix his ailing ankle. The surgery was an arthroscopic procedure to clean out the ankle. Gronkowski played on a high-ankle sprain in Super Bowl XLVI, battling ligament damage to make two catches for 26 yards. The estimate is that it’s a 10-week recovery. That should allow him to be ready by mid-April, possibly for mini-camp.
Analysis: Continue to monitor what happens with Gronkowski this offseason, but he should be fine for the start of the 2012 season. Consider Gronkowski the No. 1 TE heading into the season. We can see Gronkowski being drafted as a Top 15 pick in all leagues, but it's a safer option to take him toward the end of Round 2 or beginning of Round 3 in all formats.

Reggie Wayne
Wayne unsure of future
Reggie Wayne, WR, IND
2/10/2012
News: Reggie Wayne told ESPN that while he'd like to stay with the Colts, he's just not sure if they want him. Wayne is scheduled to be a free agent this offseason and understands that his time might be over in Indy after 11 years. "I have been there 11 years and I would prefer to end my career a Colt. However, in due time those feelings could subside," he said. "I haven't heard anything from them yet, so maybe I am not as important on the chain of command as I should be. But either way, I'm cool. I have nothing bad to say about the Colts. ... My phone hasn't rung yet. It's only fair I worry about number 87 first. When I'm signed, then I can weigh in more."
Analysis: Wayne had a mostly horrible season thanks in big part to Peyton Manning being on the sideline. He caught 75 passes for 960 yards and four touchdowns, three coming in the final six weeks of the year. We don't think his 2011 is indicative of a slow-down in his game, but uncertainty about who he'll catch passes from and what his role will be keeps him from being a receiver we can get excited about. For now consider him a No. 3 Fantasy WR worth a mid-round pick.

Peyton Manning
Differing views on Peyton
Peyton Manning, QB, IND
2/10/2012
News: There are two differing reports on Colts QB Peyton Manning as the saga continues early this offseason in his recovery from missing this past season from neck surgery. CBSSports.com NFL Insider Mike Freeman reports that there remain a handful of team personnel men who have serious doubts he will ever play again or at the very least will miss most of next season. But, according to NFL.com, former Colts vice chairman Bill Polian, who was fired in early January, said he believes Manning will be fine in 2012 after he last saw Manning throw in late December. "It's marked (improvement) from where he was back in September," Polian said. "He threw it accurately, he threw it with a good, tight spiral, and he threw it with velocity. Generally, he looked like a pretty confident quarterback out there." Polian also indicated that Manning was able to make a variety of throws and throw across his body, which differs from a report on NFL Network earlier this week. Polian said that Manning's recovery is "coming, but coming slowly. But, nonetheless, its making progress."
Analysis: The bottom line with Manning is until the public sees him throw or work in practice we won't know where he's at in his recovery. The Colts also have to make a decision on his contract or else he can sign with a new team, with Arizona, Miami and Washington the likely suitors. If healthy, Manning will remain a No. 1 Fantasy QB no matter where he plays, but he has to prove that his neck is 100 percent. Continue to monitor what happens with Manning, and hopefully he can resume his career without any problems.

Fred Jackson
Jackson cleared, contract coming
Fred Jackson, RB, BUF
2/10/2012
News: Fred Jackson has been cleared to return to football activities for a couple of weeks following a broken fibula, but the good news for him doesn't stop there. The official team website reports that Jackson has been promised by team GM Buddy Nix that he will receive a contract extension, with the timeline set for before the 2012 season. Jackson is slated to be in a contract year as it stands now, but a new deal would change that. "Fred and I have talked," said Nix. "We want to extend Fred. I'd like for Fred to finish his career as a Bill. He's meant a lot to us. I've got great respect for him. We do want Fred back and we do intend to try to work out a deal with him. I've told him that. What we said is what we're going to do."
Analysis: Jackson told the site that he's ready to get started in 2012 after missing the last six games of the season with a broken leg. While he was sidelined, C.J. Spiller stepped up and put some good moves on the field, complicating the Buffalo running back situation heading into the new year. Chances are the Bills will lean on Jackson as they have been, but Spiller could take a bigger share of the run-game workload than in the past, and that could put a cap on what Jackson is capable of doing. He's also 31 years old but doesn't have the wear-and-tear that typically comes with rushers over 30. If the Bills extend Jackson then it will be clear that he's a part of their future and a potential 15-touch-per-game back. If not, he'll be in a contract year and could play well in hopes of cashing in after next season. Either way he represents a solid value as a No. 2 Fantasy RB worth a pick between late Round 3 and early Round 5.

Lavelle Hawkins
Hawkins gets three-year deal
Lavelle Hawkins, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Tennessean reports Friday that the Titans have agreed to terms on a contract extension for WR Lavelle Hawkins, who had his best season in 2011. He had 47 catches for 470 yards and one touchdown.
Analysis: Hawkins has minimal Fantasy value heading into 2012, especially if Kenny Britt (knee) returns at 100 percent. Keep an eye on what happens with the Titans receiving corps, but ignore Hawkins on Draft Day in most leagues.

Kenny Britt
Britt 'working hard'
Kenny Britt, WR, TEN
2/10/2012
News: The Sports Xchange reports that new Titans GM Ruston Webster said WR Kenny Britt, who suffered a torn ACL in September and had surgery in early October, should return in time for training camp in 2012. He said Britt appears to be a fast healer and is ahead of schedule in his recovery. "Kenny has been working hard and he's coming fast, probably even a little faster than I thought he would. So I'm real happy about that," he said. "We expect to have him out there for training camp. The good thing about his injury, is there is a good thing, is it happened early, and he's a very strong young and bounces back very quickly. We're hoping and planning to have him back for training camp."
Analysis: Britt is expected to make a full recovery in time for the start of the 2012 season, and hopefully he can come into training camp in shape. We consider Britt a low-end No. 2/high-end No. 3 Fantasy WR when healthy, and he is worth drafting with a mid-round pick if his knee proves to be 100 percent.

Kevin Smith
Smith wants return to Lions
Kevin Smith, RB, DET
2/10/2012
News: According to mlive.com, impending free agent RB Kevin Smith would like to return to the Lions in 2012. Smith, 25, re-signed with Detroit last November and had four starts in seven games. He finished the regular season with 72 carries for 356 yards and four touchdowns, plus had 22 receptions for 179 yards and three scores. "In every interview that I've done, even though I'm a free agent, I've referred to the team and me as us," Smith said. "I'm on the Lions roster in my opinion until I'm not on the Lions roster. That says it all."
Analysis: Smith is a former third-round selection by Detroit in 2008. He showed promise as a rookie, gaining 976 yards and scoring eight touchdowns on 238 carries. He started 13 games in 2009 before suffering a season-ending injury to his left knee. He rushed for 747 yards and four touchdowns prior to his injury. Smith was phased out of the offense with the arrival of Jahvid Best in 2010. Detroit decided not to make him an offer when he became a restricted free agent after that season. After Best sustained a season-ending concussion last season, Detroit re-signed Smith. We'll find out if he can return to the Lions, who also have second-year RB Mikel Leshoure, who also is recovering from a season-ending Achilles tendon injury sustained in the preseason. Keep an eye on what happens with Smith, but he should only be drafted with a late-round pick if he's back in Detroit.

 
 
 
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