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Dave Richard

Faceoffs: Will Romo be a turkey?

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Editor's note: Each week Senior Fantasy Writers Dave Richard and Jamey Eisenberg will debate the value of a handful of key Fantasy players heading into a certain week. They not only state their case below, but they also provide owners with some alternatives.

Start Tony Romo vs. Oakland?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard Thanksgiving is a time for family, giving thanks, turkey, stuffing and huge Tony Romo stats. Romo has played in three Thanksgiving games, all against bad opponents, and has totaled 10 touchdowns, two interceptions and two 300-yard games. This year he plays the Raiders, and they actually have a good secondary helped by one of the best cornerbacks in the game in Nnamdi Asomugha. But Asomugha can't play everywhere and the Cowboys have a lot of good receiving targets at Romo's disposal. I don't expect Romo to have 300 yards, but a modest 225-yard, two-touchdown outing seems reasonable. I doubt his back keeps him from playing -- head coach Wade Phillips has already said as much -- and playing at home on a short week that the Cowboys are used to (the Raiders are not) keeps Romo as a low-end No. 1 Fantasy quarterback.
I'd start him over: Donovan McNabb (vs. WAS), Alex Smith (vs. JAC), Matt Hasselbeck (at STL)
Jamey Eisenberg Bench the quarterback of the Cowboys on Thanksgiving? You bet. Romo has struggled this year against good pass defenses. He has faced the Giants, Carolina, Denver, Philadelphia, Green Bay and Washington, which all rank in the Top 10 of pass defense. He has four touchdowns, seven interceptions and two fumbles in those matchups with only one 300-yard game against the Eagles. The Raiders come into this game at No. 12 in pass defense and are among the league leaders with only eight passing touchdowns allowed. Only Eli Manning -- in a half -- has passed for multiple touchdowns against the Raiders, and they limited Philip Rivers, Kyle Orton, Matt Schaub, Donovan McNabb and Carson Palmer to one passing touchdown or less in six games. Teams run all over the Raiders, so look for Marion Barber to carry the Dallas offense in this game, especially with Romo dealing with a bad back.
I'd rather start: Matt Ryan (vs. TB), Matt Hasselbeck (at STL) and Alex Smith (vs. JAC)
Start Carson Palmer vs. Cleveland?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard Look, I want to say 'start Carson Palmer,' but the Bengals aren't letting me. They're very much into running the football instead of passing and have only taken to the air extensively in two games this season. Palmer has seven games this season with fewer than two passing touchdowns and six with fewer than two total touchdowns. Granted, one of those games was not his Week 4 meeting at Cleveland, but that is where he had a season-high 44 attempts and had only 230 yards to show for it. I suspect that Palmer might be aching, or that the coaches don't have confidence in the team's receivers, but until Palmer starts to sling it more, I can't see him being a helpful No. 1 Fantasy passer, even in good matchups.
I'd rather start: Matt Schaub (vs. IND), Ben Roethlisberger (at BAL), Matt Ryan (vs. TB)
Jamey Eisenberg Didn't the Browns just give up 422 passing yards and five touchdowns to rookie Matthew Stafford? And isn't this the same Cleveland defense that has allowed three 300-yard passing games and four games with multiple passing touchdowns? And you want to sit Palmer? Not me. I'll take my chances with any quarterback against the Browns, including Palmer, who had 230 passing yards, two touchdowns and one interception in the previous meeting in Week 4. He also has 14 touchdowns in his past five meetings with Cleveland. Palmer might not be having an outstanding season, but he has played well enough to use him as a starter against a bad defense. And this is a bad defense.
I'd start him over: Donovan McNabb (vs. WAS), Tony Romo (vs. OAK) and Eli Manning (at DEN)
Start Steve Slaton vs. Indianapolis?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard Shame on you, Gary Kubiak. You told the Fantasy world that Slaton would start for the Texans, and Slaton seemed to think he'd see a lot of playing time. But no, you trotted out Chris Brown with Slaton for the game's first play and then gave Brown more work than Slaton. Fortunately Slaton found the end zone for the second straight game and has touchdowns in four straight, not including the game at Buffalo where he got benched. But no one can tell you how many touches he'll get, and no one is torching the Colts' run defense these days anyway -- they've given up two 100-yard rushers all season and none since Week 7. Slaton is fine as a flex or a No. 3 rusher, but nothing more.
I'd rather start: Tim Hightower (at TEN), Laurence Maroney (at NO), Jonathan Stewart (at NYJ)
Jamey Eisenberg Now that Slaton has his starting job back he's worth re-inserting in your Fantasy lineup, and you can guarantee the carries will come as long as he doesn't fumble again. And even with just 11 carries in his past two games, Slaton still has two touchdowns against the Colts and Titans. He also has a solid history against the Colts. In three games, Slaton has four touchdowns, so it's hard to argue with his production. The Colts have allowed seven running backs to score touchdowns this year, and six running backs have reached double digits in Fantasy points. With all the injuries at running back this week, I'll take my chances with Slaton as a starting Fantasy option.
I'd start him over: Laurence Maroney (at NO), Kevin Smith (vs. GB) and Matt Forte (at MIN)
Start Jamaal Charles at San Diego?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard I'm surprised I'm fighting for Charles since I wasn't a huge fan of his when he became the Chiefs' starter. But he's won me over even though he's also working as a kickoff returner for Kansas City. Charles has had at least 19 total touches in his last two games and the Chiefs are giving him the chance to get going. They're also using him near the goal line (his receiving touchdown last week was a short shovel pass). The Chargers' run defense has been much improved but Charles' versatility will provide a challenge for them. All it will take is one big run for Charles to earn his keep for Fantasy owners this week, and San Diego could very easily give it up when they come blitzing.
I'd start him over: Knowshon Moreno (vs. NYG), Cadillac Williams (at ATL), Rock Cartwright (at PHI)
Jamey Eisenberg There is plenty of upside with Charles this week, but I'm not ready to call him a must-start option. While San Diego has struggled in run defense this year, only one running back has reached double digits in Fantasy points in the past six games. The Chiefs faced the Chargers in Week 7, and Charles and Larry Johnson combined for 20 carries for 82 yards (Charles had four carries for 33 yards). I would give Charles about eight Fantasy points, which makes him useful as a flex option. The key is Kansas City not letting San Diego build a big lead, which would take away the chance for Charles to get double digits in carries like he has the past two weeks.
I'd rather start: Fred Jackson (vs. MIA), Steve Slaton (vs. IND) and Rock Cartwright (at PHI)
Start Brandon Marshall vs. N.Y. Giants?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard There's plenty of bad news for Marshall this week -- the Giants will come to Denver with a healthy defensive secondary that did well against big receiver Roddy White last week (that's thanks in part to cornerback Aaron Ross being healthy), and the Broncos won't have a good, healthy quarterback to throw Marshall the ball. Figuring that the Giants will send their pass rush hard after Kyle Orton, who is clearly not close to 100 percent, there won't be much time for Marshall to run his routes and get open deep. That's what happened last week, and that's what will happen this week, which is why Marshall is no better than a No. 3 Fantasy receiver.
I'd rather start: Donald Driver (at DET), Santonio Holmes (at BAL), Pierre Garcon (at HOU)
Jamey Eisenberg Kyle Orton's health is the key this week, so hopefully his ankle injury won't hinder his ability to get Marshall the ball. The Giants have struggled with big receivers this season. Marques Colston (eight catches for 166 yards and a touchdown), Larry Fitzgerald (six catches for 83 yards) and Vincent Jackson (five catches for 58 yards and two touchdowns) have all done well against the Giants, and Marshall has the chance for a similar performance. Marshall doesn't have a quarterback like those receivers, but you can still count on him as a No. 2 Fantasy option. He also apparently likes the NFC East with three touchdowns in two games against Dallas and Washington.
I'd rather start: Jerricho Cotchery (vs. CAR), Steve Smith (at NYJ) and Steve Breaston (at TEN)
Start Brent Celek vs. Washington?
Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg
Dave Richard Celek has evolved to the point where he's been a reliable No. 1 Fantasy tight end for most of the season. Many owners are leaning on him regardless of his matchup, and this week against the Redskins is no exception. Sure, he might not get you many yards because the Redskins' safeties do a great job against opposing tight ends, but he'll always be a red-zone threat for Donovan McNabb, and that's good enough for Fantasy owners. Remember, productive tight ends don't grow on trees, so the prospect of replacing Celek with Brandon Pettigrew, Fred Davis or whoever is on waivers in your league isn't exactly appealing.
I'd start him over: Heath Miller (at BAL), Kevin Boss (at DEN), Jason Witten (vs. OAK)
Jamey Eisenberg Go back to the last time Celek faced the Redskins. It was Week 7, and he was held to three catches for 8 yards. It's almost impossible for a player to catch the ball three times and not get one Fantasy point, but that's what happened to Celek. He's having a great season, but this is a tough matchup for him. Washington allowed Tony Gonzalez to catch five passes for 41 yards and a touchdown in Week 9, but he's the only tight end to get double digits in Fantasy points against the Redskins. They have held Kevin Boss, Kellen Winslow and Jason Witten to minimal production, and Celek might not play well against Washington again.
I'd rather start: Jermichael Finley (at DET), Zach Miller (at DAL) and Dustin Keller (vs. CAR)

Do you agree with Dave or Jamey? Send your thoughts or questions to DMFantasyFootball@cbs.com. Be sure to put Attn: Fantasy Faceoff in the subject field. Include your full name, hometown and state.

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Player News
Kellen Winslow
Winslow a 'rotational player?'
Kellen Winslow, TE, SEA
5/25/2012
News: Kellen Winslow became a Seahawk recently, and he's spoken highly of his new team. But it remains how they'll use him and how often they'll use him. According to SiriusXM NFL Radio, a league personnel executive believes that Winslow's best days are behind him. "We talked to the Bucs before the draft and talked about (Winslow) further internally," said the source. "We just didn't think he could be more than a rotational player at this point (in his career) after examining his tape and performance."
Analysis: Winslow had 75 receptions for 763 yards and two TDs in 2011 and has caught at least 66 passes in each of his last three years while not missing a game. There is definitely a perception that he's old and over the hill, which his receiving average (10.2 yards per catch last year) supports. And he joins a crowded tight end corps in Seattle, but should be a fairly regular player in the offense. Problem is, he hasn't been productive enough to be considered reliable for Fantasy use week after week. He's fine as a No. 2 Fantasy TE worth a late pick, but don't expect him to put up huge numbers.

Jamaal Charles
Charles to rest until camp
Jamaal Charles, RB, KC
5/25/2012
News: The Kansas City Star reports that the Chiefs will rest running back Jamaal Charles until training camp in late July. He is not expected to participate in their minicamp as he continues to rehab and work his way back from a torn ACL suffered last September. Head coach Romeo Crennel hopes Charles will be cleared in time for camp.
Analysis: Charles has been vocal about being ready for the season, calling himself hungry and passionate to return to form. But the fact remains that he's coming off of a major injury and isn't promised to have any of the explosiveness he had before he got hurt. Tack on the Chiefs' addition of Peyton Hillis (Charles thinks Hillis will get the tough yards and goal-line work like Thomas Jones was supposed to previously), and there's a limit to Charles' 2012 expectations. So long as Charles proves that he's ready to roll, Fantasy owners should be optimistic. Assuming he's fine, Charles will be worth taking in the early rounds on Draft Day, but more as a No. 2 Fantasy RB. Plan on drafting Charles between 25th and 35th overall in all leagues.

Hakeem Nicks
Source: Nicks could return before camp
Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG
5/25/2012
News: ESPN reports that a source familiar with the broken bone in Hakeem Nicks' foot says the receiver might miss four-to-six weeks recovering from the injury and not the 12-week timeframe the Giants said on Thursday. Nicks fractured the fifth metatarsal of his right foot during an OTA practice. The team is hoping to have him back at some point during training camp and the preseason.
Analysis: Unless the diagnosis on Nicks' foot changes, we're not believers that he'll be ready in six weeks and thus long before the start of training camp. Nicks' teammate, Prince Amukamara, took 15 weeks before he was comfortable practicing last year according to the Newark Star-Ledger and he had the same injury. Nicks has had all sorts of issues with hamstrings, knees and his feet over the years. So long as he is healthy for the start of the season and gets some work in camp and a preseason game or two, the injury is more of a reminder that he's injury prone and less of a factor on his 2012 season. We'll see if this lasts into late August and the regular season; for now expect his stock to slip in drafts. He'll be a Round 3-4 choice as a low-end No. 1/high-end No. 2 Fantasy receiver.

Ben Roethlisberger
Roethlisberger admits to issues with new playbook
Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT
5/25/2012
News: Ben Roethlisberger's transition to new offensive coordinator Todd Haley's playbook is not going as smoothly as Steelers fans had hoped. Roethlisberger said Thursday that so far it's been "frustrating at times" but that he's going to put in "extra work" to understand what Haley wants him to do. "I think coach (Haley) really wants to challenge us," Big Ben said on a radio interview, per the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. "Me, maybe, in particular, I think he felt like I was real comfortable with the old offense, which ... I don't know why that's a bad thing. But I'm not the head coach."
Analysis: There's all sorts of talk that Haley wants Roethlisberger to stay in the pocket to avoid excess hits and that Haley wants to run the ball more. We're not sure how this is going to play out, but we do think there's a chance Roethlisberger could attempt a ton of passes given that Rashard Mendenhall is out and Isaac Redman, while talented, might not be a 20-touch back from week to week. Much of the offense might fall on Roethlisberger's shoulders. We consider Big Ben a low-end No. 1 Fantasy QB in all leagues well worth a mid-round pick.

Sam Bradford
Bradford's ankle 'getting there'
Sam Bradford, QB, STL
5/25/2012
News: Rams quarterback Sam Bradford said his left ankle, injured in October at Green Bay, is nearly 100 percent. "It's getting there," he said. "It feels better every week -- less soreness, more things I can do. It's definitely on the right track."
Analysis: There's no questioning his arm as several Rams receivers, including their rookies, have been in awe over his passing skills. Bradford is continuing to learn the Rams' new offense and says it's close to the West Coast offense he ran two season ago. But with a so-so offensive line and an unproven receiving corps, now's not the time to call Bradford a breakout candidate. He should have some good games, but no one should consider him either a Fantasy starter or a blue chip prospect. For now we're resigned to calling him a late-round pick as a good, not great, No. 2 quarterback.

Matt Hasselbeck
Titans' Palmer breaks down QB battle
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, TEN
5/25/2012
News: It's no secret that the Titans will have a competition for the starting quarterback job between veteran Matt Hasselbeck and second-year gunslinger Jake Locker. What remains to be seen is when they'll name a starter. Offensive coordinator Chris Palmer told the media Thursday that the job is up for grabs, that no preseason starts have been promised and that the coaching staff will pick a winner based on who can lead the team to wins, starting in Week 1 against the Patriots. Palmer said that while Locker's mobility is very appealing, Hasselbeck's experience and body of work from last season also gives him a chance to remain the starter. "Jake may not give all the other guys the opportunity to make plays like Matt does, but Jake can make plays with his legs," Palmer concluded. "When you add up how many plays Matt can make with the team and how many plays Jake can make with the team then you kind of have an idea who's going to give us the best chance to win."
Analysis: Hasselbeck started every game for the Titans in 2011 and threw for 3,571 yards with 18 scores and 14 interceptions. But when Locker did play, he did well, passing for four touchdowns with no interceptions and rushing for 56 yards on eight carries with a touchdowns run. Locker's completion percentage continued to be an eyesore (34 of 66 passing for 51.5 pct.), but the stats speak for themselves. Unless Locker can really prove that he's progressed as a passer, Hasselbeck is likely to take this job -- though there's no promise he'll start every game. Neither Titans QB should be drafted with anything more than a late-round pick. We'll keep you posted on the battle.

Brandon Lloyd
Lloyd already up to speed with Pats
Brandon Lloyd, WR, NE
5/25/2012
News: New Patriots receiver Brandon Lloyd has been impressive during the team's OTAs, but many people expected that. After all, Lloyd is on his third stop with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels and knows the playbook and play calls like the back of his hand. Lloyd has been so impressive that the Boston Globe reports that Patriots quarterbacks have been looking for him all week because he's been exactly where he needs to be on every play. Lloyd was coy when it came to his role and his goals for this season but gave a pretty simple explanation on why he wanted to follow McDaniels to New England. "You find something good, you stick with it," he said. "I think that's the case for everybody, with everything in life."
Analysis: Lloyd had 51 catches for 683 yards and five scores last year in 11 games in St. Louis when McDaniels was the offensive coordinator, and that came on the heels of a 77-catch, 1,448-yard, 11-touchdown season with McDaniels in Denver. He'll probably see a dip in opportunities because he'll share the field with so many other great weapons there. But he should still be about as productive as a No. 3 Fantasy receiver and should be drafted as such with a mid-round pick.

Ronnie Hillman
Tamme: Hillman looks good
Ronnie Hillman, RB, DEN
5/25/2012
News: In an interview with Moving The Chains on SiriusXM NFL Radio, new Broncos tight end Jacob Tamme gave an encouraging scouting report on rookie rusher Ronnie Hillman. "He seems to have a lot of quickness," Tamme said. "I've got to see him carry a few and catch some passes, he seems like a guy who can really move and sort of be a threat from the scatback-type position."
Analysis: Yep, that sounds like Hillman, who averaged over 130 total yards per game in 2011 with 20 total touchdowns while breaking some of Marshall Faulk's records at San Diego State. Hillman isn't a big back (5-foot-9, 200 pounds) but definitely plays bigger than he is. He's done good work between the tackles but is better known for his lateral agility and breakaway speed. Landing in Denver is nice since he won't be stuck behind a young back for long -- Willis McGahee will turn 31 in October and Knowshon Moreno is coming off of a torn ACL. We could see Hillman contribute this season, especially if he can perfect his pass blocking and receiving skills. Expect him to be taken late in all seasonal drafts as well as with a mid-to-late pick in dynasty/keeper leagues and a second-round pick in rookie-only formats.

Jacob Tamme
Tamme talks offense, role
Jacob Tamme, TE, DEN
5/25/2012
News: In an interview with Moving The Chains on SiriusXM NFL Radio, new Broncos tight end Jacob Tamme sounded very excited to follow quarterback Peyton Manning to Denver from Indy, adding that he "looks great." Tamme's also excited about the direction of the new offense, calling it a mix of what he did with Manning with the Colts and what offensive coordinator Mike McCoy wants to do. On the topic of his specific role with the Broncos, Tamme didn't want to give away much but did offer what he thinks is great about being a tight end. "I'm comfortable in slot and love that, but I would say I lined up on the line of scrimmage more than everywhere else [with the Colts]," Tamme said. " ... We should be able to move around and what we're going to do offensively, hopefully, we'll be able to move around some. I think that's what's great about playing tight end these days, you get to do everything. It's what makes the position a lot of fun."
Analysis: If we're reading between the lines, the Broncos could use Tamme as a tight end, slot receiver and H-back this season, all roles he's capable of playing as evidenced by his time in Indianapolis. Being comfortable with Manning is also built-in thanks to their relationship back in Indiana. Tamme had just 177 yards on 19 catches in 2011 with one score, but he worked behind starter Dallas Clark in a Manning-less Colts offense. In 10 games without Dallas Clark in 2010, Tamme caught 67 passes for 631 yards and four touchdowns. Expect him to have some Clark-like potential and thus get swiped with a middle- to late-round pick in drafts this summer as a borderline No. 1/No. 2 TE.

Stephen Hill
Hill lines up as starter in OTAs
Stephen Hill, WR, NYJ
5/25/2012
News: Jets rookie receiver Stephen Hill lined up opposite Santonio Holmes with the first-team offense during their recent OTAs. He caught a 75-yard touchdown pass from Mark Sanchez, burning cornerback Kyle Wilson in the process, according to the Newark Star-Ledger.
Analysis: The Jets aren't going to have a dominant pass attack, so that could limit Hill's production. But he does have the chance for plenty of playing time, which is a plus. He's worth a late-round pick in seasonal formats, a middle- to late-round pick in dynasty/keeper leagues and a Top 20 pick in rookie-only drafts.

 
 
 
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